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From consumer to producer Solar energy innovations in the built environment   Wim C. Sinke ECN Solar Energy, Utrecht University & EU PV Technology Platform
Or: 7 myths about solar energy
The many faces of (photovoltaic) solar energy
Myth 1 ,[object Object]
Fact is: ,[object Object]
oil coal gas nuclear power hydroelectricity biomass (traditional) biomass (advanced) solar power (photovoltaics (PV) & solar thermal generation (CSP) solar thermal (heat only) other renewables geothermal wind energy Source: German Advisory Council on Global Change, 2003,  www.wbgu.de  (example scenario) EJ/a  Solar energy in the energy transition PV & CSP year 2000 2020 2040 200 600 1000 1400 2100
2500 TWh ~1% of primary energy 1500 ~ 2000  GWp
 
 
Myth 2 ,[object Object]
Fact is: ,[object Object]
Solar resource solar irradiation in kWh/m 2. day (source: ABB, 1998)
Myth 3 ,[object Object]
Fact is: ,[object Object]
Grid parity in Europe – 2007 (lines to guide the eye)   insolation map :  Šúri M., Huld T.A., Dunlop E.D. Ossenbrink H.A., 2007. Potential of solar electricity generation in the European Union member states and candidate countries.  Solar Energy  (in press), http://re.jrc.ec.europa.eu/pvgis/
Grid parity in Europe – 2010   (lines to guide the eye)
Grid parity in Europe – 2015   (lines to guide the eye)
Grid parity in Europe – 2020   (lines to guide the eye)
Grid parity in Europe – 2030   (lines to guide the eye)
Fingerprints of PV technology                     0.25 0.5 1 2 >10  Typical system energy pay-back time Southern Europe  (yrs) up to 60% up to 40% Up to 30% up to 25% (  10%) Typical commercial  concentrator  module efficiencies up to 40% up to 25% Up to 20% up to 15% up to 8% Typical commercial  flat-plate  module efficiencies  (total area) 0.03 0.06 (competitive with wholesale electricity) 0.15  /  0.12 (competitive with retail electricity) 0.30 >2 Typical electricity generation costs S Europe  (2007 €/kWh) 0.5 1 2.5  /  2.0 5 (range 4 ~8) >30 Typical turn-key system price (2007 €/Wp, excl.  VAT) Long term potential 2030 2015  /  2020 Today 1980 Rounded figures
Fingerprints of PV technology                     0.25 0.5 1 2 >10  Typical system energy pay-back time Southern Europe  (yrs) up to 60% up to 40% Up to 30% up to 25% (  10%) Typical commercial  concentrator  module efficiencies up to 40% up to 25% Up to 20% up to 15% up to 8% Typical commercial  flat-plate  module efficiencies  (total area) 0.03 0.06 (competitive with wholesale electricity) 0.15  /  0.12 (competitive with retail electricity) 0.30 >2 Typical electricity generation costs S Europe  (2007 €/kWh) 0.5 1 2.5  /  2.0 5 (range 4 ~8) >30 Typical turn-key system price (2007 €/Wp, excl.  VAT) Long term potential 2030 2015  /  2020 Today 1980 Rounded figures
Myth 4 ,[object Object],[object Object]
Fact is: ,[object Object]
Solar resource NL: freedom in design for “sun-friendly” urban planning and architecture Source: Holland Solar orientation and tilt dependence of yearly irradiance (NL) < 10% loss
Solar resource NL: freedom in design for “sun-friendly”  urban planning and architecture Source: Holland Solar orientation and tilt dependence of yearly irradiance (NL) < 20% loss
Mayersloot (architect Tjerk Reijenga)
City of the Sun, courtesy: Municipality of Heerhugowaard
Derbisolar W ü rth Solar
Office building ECN (architect Tjerk Reijenga)
W ürth S olar
Ohta city, Japan Photo courtesy SunConnex Berlin, DE Sunderland, UK
United Solar
Myth 5 ,[object Object]
Fact is: ,[object Object]
Ken Zweibel, James Mason and Vasilis Fthenakis
Europe - Middle East & North Africa (EU-MENA) grid  Source: DLR (DE) / Stichting GEZEN (NL) Press release 26 Nov 2007: Clean Power from Deserts for Europe, the Middle East and North Africa Prince Hassan bin Talal of Jordan presents White Paper to EU Parliament
PV grid integration Source: M. Braun, ISET, DE
Myth 6 ,[object Object]
Fact is: ,[object Object]
Energy pay-back time  (NL) : status and near-future development Alsema, de Wild-Scholten and Fthenakis, Proc. EUPVSEC21 (2006)
Myth 7 ,[object Object]
Facts are: ,[object Object],[object Object]
Global cell production 1997-2007 (in MWp) Source: Photon, April 2008 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],China, Taiwan & RoW Japan Total Europe USA
Installed power per application area Source:  Paul Maycock & Travis Bradford, Renewable Energy World (July/Aug 2007)
Solar Europe Initiative
thank you for your attention! © Greenpeace

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Solar energy innovations in the built environment

  • 1. From consumer to producer Solar energy innovations in the built environment Wim C. Sinke ECN Solar Energy, Utrecht University & EU PV Technology Platform
  • 2. Or: 7 myths about solar energy
  • 3. The many faces of (photovoltaic) solar energy
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. oil coal gas nuclear power hydroelectricity biomass (traditional) biomass (advanced) solar power (photovoltaics (PV) & solar thermal generation (CSP) solar thermal (heat only) other renewables geothermal wind energy Source: German Advisory Council on Global Change, 2003, www.wbgu.de (example scenario) EJ/a Solar energy in the energy transition PV & CSP year 2000 2020 2040 200 600 1000 1400 2100
  • 7. 2500 TWh ~1% of primary energy 1500 ~ 2000 GWp
  • 8.  
  • 9.  
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Solar resource solar irradiation in kWh/m 2. day (source: ABB, 1998)
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. Grid parity in Europe – 2007 (lines to guide the eye) insolation map : Šúri M., Huld T.A., Dunlop E.D. Ossenbrink H.A., 2007. Potential of solar electricity generation in the European Union member states and candidate countries. Solar Energy (in press), http://re.jrc.ec.europa.eu/pvgis/
  • 16. Grid parity in Europe – 2010 (lines to guide the eye)
  • 17. Grid parity in Europe – 2015 (lines to guide the eye)
  • 18. Grid parity in Europe – 2020 (lines to guide the eye)
  • 19. Grid parity in Europe – 2030 (lines to guide the eye)
  • 20. Fingerprints of PV technology                     0.25 0.5 1 2 >10 Typical system energy pay-back time Southern Europe (yrs) up to 60% up to 40% Up to 30% up to 25% (  10%) Typical commercial concentrator module efficiencies up to 40% up to 25% Up to 20% up to 15% up to 8% Typical commercial flat-plate module efficiencies (total area) 0.03 0.06 (competitive with wholesale electricity) 0.15 / 0.12 (competitive with retail electricity) 0.30 >2 Typical electricity generation costs S Europe (2007 €/kWh) 0.5 1 2.5 / 2.0 5 (range 4 ~8) >30 Typical turn-key system price (2007 €/Wp, excl. VAT) Long term potential 2030 2015 / 2020 Today 1980 Rounded figures
  • 21. Fingerprints of PV technology                     0.25 0.5 1 2 >10 Typical system energy pay-back time Southern Europe (yrs) up to 60% up to 40% Up to 30% up to 25% (  10%) Typical commercial concentrator module efficiencies up to 40% up to 25% Up to 20% up to 15% up to 8% Typical commercial flat-plate module efficiencies (total area) 0.03 0.06 (competitive with wholesale electricity) 0.15 / 0.12 (competitive with retail electricity) 0.30 >2 Typical electricity generation costs S Europe (2007 €/kWh) 0.5 1 2.5 / 2.0 5 (range 4 ~8) >30 Typical turn-key system price (2007 €/Wp, excl. VAT) Long term potential 2030 2015 / 2020 Today 1980 Rounded figures
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. Solar resource NL: freedom in design for “sun-friendly” urban planning and architecture Source: Holland Solar orientation and tilt dependence of yearly irradiance (NL) < 10% loss
  • 25. Solar resource NL: freedom in design for “sun-friendly” urban planning and architecture Source: Holland Solar orientation and tilt dependence of yearly irradiance (NL) < 20% loss
  • 27. City of the Sun, courtesy: Municipality of Heerhugowaard
  • 28. Derbisolar W ü rth Solar
  • 29. Office building ECN (architect Tjerk Reijenga)
  • 30. W ürth S olar
  • 31. Ohta city, Japan Photo courtesy SunConnex Berlin, DE Sunderland, UK
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. Ken Zweibel, James Mason and Vasilis Fthenakis
  • 36. Europe - Middle East & North Africa (EU-MENA) grid Source: DLR (DE) / Stichting GEZEN (NL) Press release 26 Nov 2007: Clean Power from Deserts for Europe, the Middle East and North Africa Prince Hassan bin Talal of Jordan presents White Paper to EU Parliament
  • 37. PV grid integration Source: M. Braun, ISET, DE
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40. Energy pay-back time (NL) : status and near-future development Alsema, de Wild-Scholten and Fthenakis, Proc. EUPVSEC21 (2006)
  • 41.
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44. Installed power per application area Source: Paul Maycock & Travis Bradford, Renewable Energy World (July/Aug 2007)
  • 46. thank you for your attention! © Greenpeace