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DNA Evidence
Using DNA to Verify My Ancestry Tree
Jamie Cox
January, 2016
My Background
• Using Ancestry for ~ 4 years
• 1130 People on my tree
• Mostly in Georgia, USA
• I’ve Taken the Ancestry DNA test
• Which of my research lines have DNA evidence?
Data Overload
• 254 Pages of matches
• (Over 1200 matches)
• Two 2nd cousin matches
• Eight 3rd cousin matches
• 60 DNA Hints
• 620 4th-6th cousin matches
• 19 DNA Circles
• (I have No “New Ancestor Discovery” Circles)
Back to Basics
• What areas of my family tree are solidly backed by
DNA evidence?
• I have a lot of DNA matches that don’t match my tree
• Are any areas wrong?
• How to use all this data?
• Ancestry provides very limited tools
• I Decided to make a paper chart
Fan Chart
Grandparents
Great-Grandparents
GG Grandparents
3rd GGrandparents
Mother’s Tree
Brick Wall
Father’s Tree
DNA Circle
DNA Circle
DNA Hint
DNA Circle
DNA Hint
Wow!
No Matches
to Paternal Grandfather’s
Tree. Uh-Oh.
Chart Interpretations
Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence
• Am I the Last of the Mohicans?
• What if I’m one of the only living descendants from this
family, and there’s no one else to match … or…
• My paternal grandfather’s folks don’t like genealogy/DNA
• Unlucky DNA - My DNA happens to differ so much as to
not be a match
• Non-paternity
The Fourth Case
DNA Match No DNA Match
Trees Match
DNA Hint or
Circle
Mismatch Alert!
X
No Tree Match
“New Ancestor
Circle” or regular
DNA match
unrelated,
ignore
Non-Paternity
Non-paternity - anytime someone’s actual parent(s)
are not who we think they are
• Non-Paternity Events:
• Infidelity
• Rape
• Secret Adoption - a woman pretends a child is
hers to protect the actual mother
Non-Paternity Rate
Generation
Opportunities
for Error
Total
Opportunities
for Error
1.2% 1.5% 5.0%
Years
Ago
You 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0
Parents 1 1 1 1% 2% 5% 20
Grandparents 2 2 3 4% 4% 14% 40
GG parents 3 4 7 8% 10% 30% 60
GGG parents 4 8 15 17% 20% 54% 80
GGGGp 5 16 31 31% 37% 80% 100
… 6 32 63 53% 61% 96% 120
7 64 127 78% 85% 100% 140
8 128 255 95% 98% 100% 160
Next Steps
• Test Family Members’ DNA
• Father (deceased)
• Mother ✔(Helps identify matches as maternal/paternal)
• Siblings ✔(Complete, another random sample of Dad’s DNA, similar results)
• 2nd or 3rd cousins ✔
• I’m looking for “cousins” who may not be cousins
• Cousins on my tree who have done DNA test (Found 4!)
• They don’t match my DNA - non-paternity confirmed
• Y-DNA Testing ✔ - since my straight male line is now in question
• NO matches to my surname
Help From ancestry.com
• We need help with all this data, please
• Ancestry should have drawn that DNA chart for me
• need WAY more searching & sorting options
• User-assignable tags & categories
• AND/OR/NOT filters
• Download DNA matches to spreadsheet

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DNA Evidence with Ancestry

  • 1. DNA Evidence Using DNA to Verify My Ancestry Tree Jamie Cox January, 2016
  • 2. My Background • Using Ancestry for ~ 4 years • 1130 People on my tree • Mostly in Georgia, USA • I’ve Taken the Ancestry DNA test • Which of my research lines have DNA evidence?
  • 3. Data Overload • 254 Pages of matches • (Over 1200 matches) • Two 2nd cousin matches • Eight 3rd cousin matches • 60 DNA Hints • 620 4th-6th cousin matches • 19 DNA Circles • (I have No “New Ancestor Discovery” Circles)
  • 4. Back to Basics • What areas of my family tree are solidly backed by DNA evidence? • I have a lot of DNA matches that don’t match my tree • Are any areas wrong? • How to use all this data? • Ancestry provides very limited tools • I Decided to make a paper chart
  • 12.
  • 15. DNA Circle DNA Hint Wow! No Matches to Paternal Grandfather’s Tree. Uh-Oh.
  • 16. Chart Interpretations Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence • Am I the Last of the Mohicans? • What if I’m one of the only living descendants from this family, and there’s no one else to match … or… • My paternal grandfather’s folks don’t like genealogy/DNA • Unlucky DNA - My DNA happens to differ so much as to not be a match • Non-paternity
  • 17. The Fourth Case DNA Match No DNA Match Trees Match DNA Hint or Circle Mismatch Alert! X No Tree Match “New Ancestor Circle” or regular DNA match unrelated, ignore
  • 18. Non-Paternity Non-paternity - anytime someone’s actual parent(s) are not who we think they are • Non-Paternity Events: • Infidelity • Rape • Secret Adoption - a woman pretends a child is hers to protect the actual mother
  • 19. Non-Paternity Rate Generation Opportunities for Error Total Opportunities for Error 1.2% 1.5% 5.0% Years Ago You 0 0 0 0% 0% 0% 0 Parents 1 1 1 1% 2% 5% 20 Grandparents 2 2 3 4% 4% 14% 40 GG parents 3 4 7 8% 10% 30% 60 GGG parents 4 8 15 17% 20% 54% 80 GGGGp 5 16 31 31% 37% 80% 100 … 6 32 63 53% 61% 96% 120 7 64 127 78% 85% 100% 140 8 128 255 95% 98% 100% 160
  • 20. Next Steps • Test Family Members’ DNA • Father (deceased) • Mother ✔(Helps identify matches as maternal/paternal) • Siblings ✔(Complete, another random sample of Dad’s DNA, similar results) • 2nd or 3rd cousins ✔ • I’m looking for “cousins” who may not be cousins • Cousins on my tree who have done DNA test (Found 4!) • They don’t match my DNA - non-paternity confirmed • Y-DNA Testing ✔ - since my straight male line is now in question • NO matches to my surname
  • 21. Help From ancestry.com • We need help with all this data, please • Ancestry should have drawn that DNA chart for me • need WAY more searching & sorting options • User-assignable tags & categories • AND/OR/NOT filters • Download DNA matches to spreadsheet