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FUELING THE
FUTURE: SUSTAINABLE AND
RENEWABLE ENERGY
OPPORTUNITIES AND SOLUTIONS
Sharon Fortune Bowden
Certified Architect
Abner Tsadick
Principal Pricing Analyst
PANELISTS
Sarath Kamalakkannan
Delivery Manager
Moderator
Dr. Claire A. Nelson
Founder and CIO
The Futures Forum
Our Topic
• Energy Efficiency and the use of alternative
energy solutions is a hot topic in our nation.
Policy makers, educators, and STEM
professionals are working in many areas to
evaluate energy alternatives and develop
innovative ways to be more efficient about
how we fuel the future. What are new trends
in this industry? What is our collective
responsibility? How do policy and politics
impact renewable energy?
Agenda
• Impact of Sustainable and Renewable Energy
• Recent Developments and sources of energy
available
• Impact of policy and law on renewable energy
• Global perspectives on Energy Efficiency
Sustainable Energy Trends
Upward trend in renewable
energy generated in Scotland
*China above
*US above
Recent Developments: New and Emerging Technologies
Wave Power: Usage?
Luz Solar Electric
Generating
Station: Usage?
Large Scale Fuel Cell:
Usage?
• Daily patterns are expected
– Demand is lowest overnight, increases through the morning, and peaks in afternoon or evening
– Features: morning ramp, evening peak.
– Generators increase output or begin generating to match demand during ramp. Steeper ramps
are more challenging
– Note that small demand fluctuations are smoothed out over a large population/geographic area
Sustainable Energy: Typical Daily Electrical load patterns in
the Southwest Power Pool
Solar and Wind Innovations: Renewable Energy Effectiveness
• Wind generation varies widely from near-zero to ~10,000 MW
• ERCOT system operator sees sudden increases and decreases, gaining or losing thousands of MW of generation in an hour
• ERCOT has about 12,000 MW of wind capacity.
• Typical March load on the ERCOT system tops out at 60,000
Issues with Solar generation
5 Critical External Factors Influencing System
Performance
• Irradiance : the amount of sunlight falling on a given
surface
• Temperature: the warmer solar cells get, the less
efficient they are
• Soiling
• Shading
• Snow: performance degradation may range from a
minimum of 8% performance degradation (for early
spring and late fall months) to a maximum of 30%
(for mid-winter months) for systems in regions that
experience significant snowfall.
Issues with Solar generation: Very short term variability
• Cloud cover dramatically
reduces output on very fast
timescales
• But on an hourly and seasonal
basis, solar output is fairly
predictable: PV generates
during daytime, peaking
around noon, and weakening
in winter months vs summer
months
• EIA puts hourly solar
generation + solar capacity
growth in California in context
of all generation sources:
Harnessing Wave Energy
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GA_UgVm9bvU
Polices to Promote Renewable Energy
Most common policies:
1.Feed-in law [producers guaranteed sale to electric network].
- By 2007, at least 37 countries and 9
states/provinces, more than half enacted since 2002.
2. Renewable portfolio standards (RPS)/ renewable obligations or
quota [a % of generation sold or capacity installed is
provided by renewable energy
- United States, Canada, India, Australia, China, Italy,
Japan, Poland, Sweden, and the United Kingdom.
- U. S., five states enacted new RPS policies during 2006/2007
(Illinois, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Oregon, and
Washington State), total US = 25 + D.C (four states have policy
goals).
- 9 U.S. states revised existing RPS targets, including California,
which accelerated to 2010 an existing target of 20 % by 2017.
Policies to Promote Renewable Energy
Other Forms of Policy Support
Capital investment subsidies or rebates,
Tax incentives and credits,
Sales tax and value-added tax exemptions,
Energy production payments or tax credits,
Public investment or financing.
Mandates for incorporating solar hot water into new construction.
Germany:
All new residential buildings (2009), 14 % of household
heating and hot water energy from renewables
Existing German buildings be retrofitted to meet 10 % of
their heating energy from renewables.
Allocation of $490 million in 2008 for capital grants to
homeowners.
Cape Town, South Africa,
- Draft 2007 bylaw undergoing review: solar hot water in new
houses for middle- and high-income groups.
Other Forms of Policy Support
Renewable Portfolio Standard Policies
United States Renewable Portfolio Standard Policies
Renewable Standard Policy Description The percentage of
participating states
States with Renewable portfolio standards 58%
States with Renewable portfolio goals 18%
States that are Solar water heating eligible 28%
States with minimum solar or customer-sited requirements 38%
States with Extra credit for solar or customer-sited renewables 18%
States with non-renewable alternatives resources 10%
• Five States in the U.S enacted new RPS policies during 2006/07(Illinois, New
Hampshire, North Carolina, Oregon and Washington State), total US = 25 + D.C
(four states have policy goals)
• 9 U.S states revised existing RPS targets, including California, which
accelerated to 2010 an existing target of 20% by 2017
-Industrial policies by region: Main point??
Global Energy Efficiency Policies
-Building policies by region:
-Transportation policies by region
Germany’s Reaction to Fukushima
Germany’s Reaction to Fukushima, cont.
Germany’s Reaction to Fukushima, cont.
Overall Investment in renewable power and fuels
Total investment in renewable power and fuels (excluding large hydro-electric projects) fell for the second year running in 2013,
reaching $214 billion worldwide, some 14% lower than in 2012 and 23% below the 2011 record. The decline reflected a sharp fall
in solar system prices, and the effect of policy uncertainty in many countries. The latter issue also depressed investment in fossil
fuel generation in 2013.
Worries about policy support, and reductions in technology costs, were the two main reasons for the fall in global financial
commitments to renewable energy in 2013.
Although renewable energy investment in 2013 was some 14% down on 2012, there were more hopeful signs for investment in
2014 and beyond.
*The first sign was the further gain in the cost-competitiveness of the two leading renewable power technologies – solar PV
and onshore wind.
*The second sign was that the year brought a trickle of significant projects – many of them in Latin America but others in
the Middle East and Africa – in which hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of investment was being made in wind and
solar without any subsidy support.
*The third shaft of light for renewables in 2013 came from investors themselves. After a four and- a-half-year bear market
in clean energy stocks that brought share prices down by a total of 78%, the Wilder Hill New Energy Global Innovation
Index, or NEX, bottomed out in July 2012. This bottoming developed into a strong rally during 2013, with the NEX, which
tracked 96 clean energy stocks worldwide last year, gaining 54%. The improved share price performance took place as many
companies in the solar and wind manufacturing chains moved back towards profitability after the painful period of
overcapacity and corporate distress in 2011-12.
Citations/References
• http://www.globalclimateforum.org/fileadmin/ecf-documents/news-events/2008-03_renewables-in-the-
mediterranean/toro__the-environmental-impacts-of-renewable-
energy.ppt+&cd=2&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
• EIA.gov (http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=16851)
• NREL.gov
• AWStruepower.com
• AWEA.org
• https://facultystaff.richmond.edu/~sabrash/110/Renewable%2520Energy%2520Sources.ppt+&cd=2&
hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
• http://www.dsireusa.org/summarymaps/index.cfm?ee=1&RE=1
• http://www.colby.edu/environ/courses/ES118/LectNotes/Energy1.ppt+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us
• https://www.iea.org/media/workshops/2013/semedmenaroundtable/Session4DidierBossebeouf.pdf
• http://www.hit-u.ac.jp/kenkyu/file/23eusi/raetzke.pdf
• http://www.unep.org/pdf/Green_energy_2013-Key_findings.pdf
• Constellation Market Fundamentals (Senior Market Analyst – Marie Rinkoski Spangler)
• http://www.eia.gov/energy_in_brief/images/charts/nonhydro_renewable_electricity_generation_by_so
urce_2013.jpg
• http://www.futuretimeline.net/blog/images/1212.gif
• http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/0046/00466993-745.png

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Fueling the Future: Sustainable and Renewable Energy Opportunities and Solutions

  • 1. FUELING THE FUTURE: SUSTAINABLE AND RENEWABLE ENERGY OPPORTUNITIES AND SOLUTIONS Sharon Fortune Bowden Certified Architect Abner Tsadick Principal Pricing Analyst PANELISTS Sarath Kamalakkannan Delivery Manager Moderator Dr. Claire A. Nelson Founder and CIO The Futures Forum
  • 2. Our Topic • Energy Efficiency and the use of alternative energy solutions is a hot topic in our nation. Policy makers, educators, and STEM professionals are working in many areas to evaluate energy alternatives and develop innovative ways to be more efficient about how we fuel the future. What are new trends in this industry? What is our collective responsibility? How do policy and politics impact renewable energy?
  • 3. Agenda • Impact of Sustainable and Renewable Energy • Recent Developments and sources of energy available • Impact of policy and law on renewable energy • Global perspectives on Energy Efficiency
  • 4. Sustainable Energy Trends Upward trend in renewable energy generated in Scotland *China above *US above
  • 5. Recent Developments: New and Emerging Technologies Wave Power: Usage? Luz Solar Electric Generating Station: Usage? Large Scale Fuel Cell: Usage?
  • 6. • Daily patterns are expected – Demand is lowest overnight, increases through the morning, and peaks in afternoon or evening – Features: morning ramp, evening peak. – Generators increase output or begin generating to match demand during ramp. Steeper ramps are more challenging – Note that small demand fluctuations are smoothed out over a large population/geographic area Sustainable Energy: Typical Daily Electrical load patterns in the Southwest Power Pool
  • 7. Solar and Wind Innovations: Renewable Energy Effectiveness • Wind generation varies widely from near-zero to ~10,000 MW • ERCOT system operator sees sudden increases and decreases, gaining or losing thousands of MW of generation in an hour • ERCOT has about 12,000 MW of wind capacity. • Typical March load on the ERCOT system tops out at 60,000
  • 8. Issues with Solar generation 5 Critical External Factors Influencing System Performance • Irradiance : the amount of sunlight falling on a given surface • Temperature: the warmer solar cells get, the less efficient they are • Soiling • Shading • Snow: performance degradation may range from a minimum of 8% performance degradation (for early spring and late fall months) to a maximum of 30% (for mid-winter months) for systems in regions that experience significant snowfall.
  • 9. Issues with Solar generation: Very short term variability • Cloud cover dramatically reduces output on very fast timescales • But on an hourly and seasonal basis, solar output is fairly predictable: PV generates during daytime, peaking around noon, and weakening in winter months vs summer months • EIA puts hourly solar generation + solar capacity growth in California in context of all generation sources:
  • 10. Harnessing Wave Energy • https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GA_UgVm9bvU
  • 11. Polices to Promote Renewable Energy Most common policies: 1.Feed-in law [producers guaranteed sale to electric network]. - By 2007, at least 37 countries and 9 states/provinces, more than half enacted since 2002. 2. Renewable portfolio standards (RPS)/ renewable obligations or quota [a % of generation sold or capacity installed is provided by renewable energy - United States, Canada, India, Australia, China, Italy, Japan, Poland, Sweden, and the United Kingdom. - U. S., five states enacted new RPS policies during 2006/2007 (Illinois, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Oregon, and Washington State), total US = 25 + D.C (four states have policy goals). - 9 U.S. states revised existing RPS targets, including California, which accelerated to 2010 an existing target of 20 % by 2017. Policies to Promote Renewable Energy
  • 12. Other Forms of Policy Support Capital investment subsidies or rebates, Tax incentives and credits, Sales tax and value-added tax exemptions, Energy production payments or tax credits, Public investment or financing. Mandates for incorporating solar hot water into new construction. Germany: All new residential buildings (2009), 14 % of household heating and hot water energy from renewables Existing German buildings be retrofitted to meet 10 % of their heating energy from renewables. Allocation of $490 million in 2008 for capital grants to homeowners. Cape Town, South Africa, - Draft 2007 bylaw undergoing review: solar hot water in new houses for middle- and high-income groups. Other Forms of Policy Support
  • 14. United States Renewable Portfolio Standard Policies Renewable Standard Policy Description The percentage of participating states States with Renewable portfolio standards 58% States with Renewable portfolio goals 18% States that are Solar water heating eligible 28% States with minimum solar or customer-sited requirements 38% States with Extra credit for solar or customer-sited renewables 18% States with non-renewable alternatives resources 10% • Five States in the U.S enacted new RPS policies during 2006/07(Illinois, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Oregon and Washington State), total US = 25 + D.C (four states have policy goals) • 9 U.S states revised existing RPS targets, including California, which accelerated to 2010 an existing target of 20% by 2017
  • 15. -Industrial policies by region: Main point?? Global Energy Efficiency Policies -Building policies by region: -Transportation policies by region
  • 17. Germany’s Reaction to Fukushima, cont.
  • 18. Germany’s Reaction to Fukushima, cont.
  • 19. Overall Investment in renewable power and fuels Total investment in renewable power and fuels (excluding large hydro-electric projects) fell for the second year running in 2013, reaching $214 billion worldwide, some 14% lower than in 2012 and 23% below the 2011 record. The decline reflected a sharp fall in solar system prices, and the effect of policy uncertainty in many countries. The latter issue also depressed investment in fossil fuel generation in 2013. Worries about policy support, and reductions in technology costs, were the two main reasons for the fall in global financial commitments to renewable energy in 2013. Although renewable energy investment in 2013 was some 14% down on 2012, there were more hopeful signs for investment in 2014 and beyond. *The first sign was the further gain in the cost-competitiveness of the two leading renewable power technologies – solar PV and onshore wind. *The second sign was that the year brought a trickle of significant projects – many of them in Latin America but others in the Middle East and Africa – in which hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of investment was being made in wind and solar without any subsidy support. *The third shaft of light for renewables in 2013 came from investors themselves. After a four and- a-half-year bear market in clean energy stocks that brought share prices down by a total of 78%, the Wilder Hill New Energy Global Innovation Index, or NEX, bottomed out in July 2012. This bottoming developed into a strong rally during 2013, with the NEX, which tracked 96 clean energy stocks worldwide last year, gaining 54%. The improved share price performance took place as many companies in the solar and wind manufacturing chains moved back towards profitability after the painful period of overcapacity and corporate distress in 2011-12.
  • 20. Citations/References • http://www.globalclimateforum.org/fileadmin/ecf-documents/news-events/2008-03_renewables-in-the- mediterranean/toro__the-environmental-impacts-of-renewable- energy.ppt+&cd=2&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us • EIA.gov (http://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.cfm?id=16851) • NREL.gov • AWStruepower.com • AWEA.org • https://facultystaff.richmond.edu/~sabrash/110/Renewable%2520Energy%2520Sources.ppt+&cd=2& hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us • http://www.dsireusa.org/summarymaps/index.cfm?ee=1&RE=1 • http://www.colby.edu/environ/courses/ES118/LectNotes/Energy1.ppt+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us • https://www.iea.org/media/workshops/2013/semedmenaroundtable/Session4DidierBossebeouf.pdf • http://www.hit-u.ac.jp/kenkyu/file/23eusi/raetzke.pdf • http://www.unep.org/pdf/Green_energy_2013-Key_findings.pdf • Constellation Market Fundamentals (Senior Market Analyst – Marie Rinkoski Spangler) • http://www.eia.gov/energy_in_brief/images/charts/nonhydro_renewable_electricity_generation_by_so urce_2013.jpg • http://www.futuretimeline.net/blog/images/1212.gif • http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Resource/0046/00466993-745.png

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Large push to wind and solar not only in the US but across the world
  2. Luz Solar – Ivanpah in California 354 MW in Mojave deserthttp://www.brightsourceenergy.com/ivanpah-solar-project#.VNDLQUfF98E Large Scale Fuel Cell – Bloomenergy, AT&T, Walmart, Apple, Data Centers, etc. Wave Power – many different technology types in protype testing across the world
  3. Industry – On. Avg. 70% of countries have implemented measures in the industry sector. Asia largely dominant regulatory push on large commercial industrial players. Building - The banishment of incandescent lamps is widely applied (in 70% of surveyed countries) Targets on energy efficiency of new/existing/all buildings are significant in Asia, north America and EU. 83% of targets concern residential, 13% public sector and 4% services Transport – 80% of countries have measures on transport:38% in the Middle East to almost 100% in OECD countries. As a whole, regulation (e.g. labels on cars) are largely dominant. Financial (e.g. energy audit of transport companies or subsidies for efficient cars) and fiscal measures (e.g. tax reduction on cars) represent each on average 20%.