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Principal and practical challenges with
increasing complexity in the generation system
through DSM integration
Current issues in Demand Side Management
(IEA‐DSM) Programme – Enova Workshop
Trondheim, 18 April 2012
Seppo Kärkkäinen
Elektraflex
Operating Agent of Task XVII
VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND
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Presentation is mainly based on the work
done inside the Task XVII of IEA DSM
Content of the presentation
q  Overview of Task XVII
q  Output of the Phase 1 (scope study)
q  Phase 2. Emerging technologies at customers’
premises: PE/PHEV, Heat pumps, photovoltaic,
µCHP, energy storages, smart metering and ICT
q  Examples from the emerging technologies
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Overview of Task XVII
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IEA DSM Task 17: Integration of Demand Side
Management, Distributed Generation, Renewable
Energy Sources and Energy Storages
Phase one of Task XVII completed
Inside the IEA DSM Agreement a scope study was carried out in Task
XVII in cooperation with seven countries: Austria, Finland, Italy, Korea,
the Netherlands, Spain and USA.
The study was based on the information collected from the participating
countries as well as from other countries concerning the state-of the art
of market, DG/RES/storage technologies and their penetration as well
as pilot case studies, research projects, etc.
Phase two to be completed shortly
Participant: Austria, Finland, France, the Netherlands, Spain
The final workshop will be next week in Arnhem
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Objectives of the Task XVII of IEA DSM
The main objective of the Task is to study how to achieve the optimal
integration of flexible demand with Distributed Generation, energy
storages and Smart Grids, and thus increase the value of Demand
Response, Demand Side Management and Distributed Generation and
decrease problems caused by variable output generation (mainly based
on RES) both
q in the physical electricity systems and
q at the electricity market
The Task deals with distributed energy resources both
Ø at local (distribution network) level and
Ø at transmission system level where large wind farms are
connected.
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Problems caused by variable output generation
In electrical networks
q In some places, an increase in the network stresses are observed and
needs for upgrades to provide greater capacity and flexibility to integrate
the variable generation.
q It also increases the need for flexible, dispatchable, fast-ramping
generation for balancing variations in load, generation and contingencies
such as the loss of transmission or generation assets.
At market:
q national and local balances between supply and demand are more
complicated to manage with high levels of variable‑output generation,
which can increase total financial electricity costs.
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Possible solutions
q One solution to decrease the problems caused by the variable output
of some DG is to add energy storages into the systems (centralised or
distributed energy storages DS).
q Another way is to use flexibility in electricity consumption (demand
response DR).
q  Smart grids
In this sense distributed generation (DG), distributed energy storages
(DS) and demand response (DR) can be seen as an integrated
distributed energy resource (DER). Combining the different
characteristics of these resources is essential in increasing the value of
variable output generation in the energy market.
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8
Central power
stations
High voltage
grid,
400, 220,110 kV
Medium voltage
Network
20 kV
Low voltage
Network
0,4 kV
Passive distribution system: Electricity flows "downstream"
Centralised production
Transmission
Distribution system
Operator
Customers
Local
CHP
Electricitymarkets
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FUTURE ACTIVE DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM: Smart Grid
Characteristics:
Ø  Decentralized power production
in defferent part of network
Ø  Energy storages
Ø  Electricity flows in different
directions
Ø  new operators (producer,
producer/cosumer)
Ø  Producer and consumers
participate actively in markets
q functional markets
q smart grids
q smart DER
managenment
q smart consumer
• Measurement
• Communication
• Automation
• Energy
management
Local CHP
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Examples on smart grid architectures
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Challences of SmartGrid concepts
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Output of Phase 1
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Outputs from Phase 1
q Task XVII - Integration of Demand Side Management, Distributed
Generation, Renewable Energy Sources and Energy Storages - Final
Synthesis Report vol 1. December 2008
q Task XVII - Integration of Demand Side Management, Distributed
Generation, Renewable Energy Sources and Energy Storages - Final
Synthesis Report vol 2.
Vol l. includes the main report and Vol 2. is the annex report with detailed
country descriptions, analysis tools etc. These reports are available at the
IEADSM-website (http://www.ieadsm.org/)
q Two public workshops were also arranged in Petten and in Seoul. The
presentations can be found from web-site
In spite of these public reports the secure web-site includes the answers to
questionnaires of the experts and descriptions of about 50 case studies.
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Concluding remarks from the Phase 1
As a conclusion of the analysis it can be said that the increased
penetration of DG as well as the technology and market developments
result in
q new roles of the different stakeholders meaning new business
environment and possibilities; on the other hand new tools are also
needed in this new business area,
q metering and ICT technologies are essential and developing rapidly,
q the above development will result in new products, services and pricing
policies which can activate the more deep participation of final consumers
in the market
Successful integration means that different technologies in supply and
demand side as well as in ICT are developed to the level where their
integration is feasible both technically and economically and that
regulation, policy and market give the successful framework for the
integration.
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DER business opportunities: market access via aggregators
One obstacle in the promotion of Demand Side Integration is that small
and medium size customers usually don’t have direct access to different
types of market either due to the market rules or due to the high
transaction costs in market entry. To decrease this kind of barriers a new
type of service company, an aggregator, who acts as intermediator
between distributed energy resources and energy markets, can emerge
Three main types of aggregators can be defined:
q Demand aggregators collecting demand response (DR) from different
types of flexible customers and offering the aggregated DR to different
market actors
q Generation aggregators collecting and using a group of dispersed
generators in aggregation and offering that into market. This kind of
aggregated generation is often called “Virtual power Plant (VPP)”.
q Combination of these.
Internationally, aggregators are most common in the USA market. Also in
Australia and Europe some aggregators exist
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Overview of the Phase 2
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Task XVII extension: Phase 2 (1)
The emerging DER technologies to be discussed include
q  plug-in electric and hybrid electric vehicles (PEV/PHEV)
q  different types of heatpumps for heating and cooling
q  photovoltaic at customer premises
q  micro-CHP at customer premises
q  energy storages (thermal/electricity) in the connection of
previous technologies
q  smart metering and ICT
Assessment the effects of the penetration of emerging DER
technologies to different stakeholders and to the whole
electricity system
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The main Subtasks in the Task extension are
q  Assessment of technologies and their penetration
in participating countries
q  Stakeholders involved in the penetration and
qualitative effects on the stakeholders
q  Assessment of the quantitative effects on the
power systems and stakeholders
q Case studies and pilots
q Conclusions and recommendations
Time schedule: March 2010 – May 2012
Task XVII extension: Phase 2 (2)
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Task XVII extension: Phase 2 (3)
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Examples from the integration of emerging
technologies
q PEV/PHEV
q Heating and cooling – heat pumps
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Electric vehicles (PEV/PHEV) (1)
Sales of different vehicle types in the BLUE Map scenario (IEA 2009).
Penetration scenarios vary, but anyway
Ø  The share will be considerable in 15 – 25 years
Ø  The battery costs are gradually decreasing
Ø  Many countries have incentives for EVs
Ø  Smart charging is essential from the electricity system point of view
Ø  EVs can in the future provide ancillary and balancing services (V2G)
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System level impacts (2):
Simulation case 1: 5 million PEV/PHEV in Nordic system:
normal charging
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00
16.1.-22.1.2006 (Monday - Sunday)
MWh
FI+SE+DE+NO Electric vehicles
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00
16.1.-22.1.2006 (Monday - Sunday)
MWh
FI+SE+DE+NO Electric vehicles
Present peak load 67.8 GW
New peak load 71.6 GW
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0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00
16.1.-22.1.2006 (Monday - Sunday)
MWh
FI+SE+DE+NO Electric vehicles
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00
16.1.-22.1.2006 (Monday - Sunday)
MWh
FI+SE+DE+NO Electric vehicles
System level impacts (3):
5 million PEV/PHEV in Nordic system: intelligent charging
Present peak load 67.8 GW New peak load 68.8 GW
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System level impacts: France, Spain (4)
Similar impacts can be found also from the simulations
in other countries like France (above) or Spain:
q  in the worst case peak load increase 6000 – 7000 MW
q  but with smart charging 6.5 million PEV can be connected
without additional investmenst
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Example: effect of the charging method on the
local network: Finland (5)
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New services and business models needed (6)
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Heating and cooling – heat pumps (1)
Ø  Heating and cooling loads are very suitable for DSM services
Ø  They can utilise both natural storing capacity of buildings and
artificial heat and cool storages
Ø  The share of different types of heat pumps is increasing in buildings
Heat pumps for heating and cooling buildings can be divided into four main categories:
v  Heating-only heat pumps, providing space heating and/or water heating.
v  Heating and cooling heat pumps, providing both space heating and cooling.
The most common type is the reversible air-to-air heat pump, which either operates in heating
or cooling mode. Large heat pumps in commercial/institutional buildings use water loops for
heat and cold distribution, so they can provide heating and cooling simultaneously.
v  Integrated heat pump systems, providing space heating, cooling, water heating and
sometimes exhaust air heat recovery.
v  Heat pump water heaters, fully dedicated to water heating.
They often use air from the immediate surroundings as heat source, but can also be
exhaust-air heat pumps, or desuperheaters on air-to-air and water-to-air heat pumps.
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Example: DSM potential for residential sector
in Finland (2)
Load curves for different heating types during a typically January weekday in Finland
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Aggregated winter load curve for residential
sector in Finland (3)
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Estimated flexibility potential in the residential
sector during an average winter week (4)
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Heat pumps and energy storages in the
Netherlands. Example: aquifers as a seasonal
heat storage (5)
In the Netherlands, there is a large installed
base of heat pumps, based on aquifer
storage of heat, especially in large buildings.
The opportunities of these types of heat
storage depend on the absence of long
term local subsurface flows of water in
geological strata at a certain suitable depth.
In the Netherlands, generally, the possibilities
at most locations are good.
The challenges in operating these devices is maintaining the heat/cold balance during a year
to guarantee operation at the optimal COP and to comply to municipality license conditions
and in configuring in relation to the other heat/cold generating devices and the realized user
comfort. Aquifers allow comfort control by delivering cooling capacity in summer and heating
capacity in winter.
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32
Example on the integration: residential load
shifting in the Netherlands in the future (1)
Electric appliances with a large future potential
for load shifting:
Ø  Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles
Ø  Electric heat pumps
Ø  Air conditioning
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33
Contribution of PHEV and heat pumps to flatten day-night patterns (2)
Table 9. Share of plug-in vehicle and heat pump electricity demand as percentage of final electricity
demand in SE scenario, and their contribution to filling the ‘night trough’
2020 2040
Final electricity demand in SE scenario (TWh/a) 137 161
Electricity demand heat pumps + EV (TWh/a) 5.8 24.3
Heat pumps and EV as percentage of SE: (%) 4.2 15.1
Annual electricity demand to create a flat load curve (at
load factor of 0.8) (TWh/a)
27 32
Heat pump and EV contribution to a flat load curve (%) 21 76
Conclusion: if heat pumps and
electric vehicles become popular,
residential load shifting can almost
completely flatten the total
electricity load in the Netherlands
VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND
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34
Conclusions (3)
Ø  1.5 million heat pumps (2040) can provide the equivalent
of 250 MW regulating power and 1.5 GWh storage
Ø  6.5 million PHEV can provide 26 GWh of storage
Ø  Together this is sufficient to compensate most of the
short term differences between predicted versus realised
output of 10 GW wind farms
Residential load shifting (with plug-in hybrid
electric vehicles and heat pumps) can contribute
substantially to integration of intermittent
renewables
VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND
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Thank you

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Principal and practical challenges with increasing complexity in the generation system through the DSM integration

  • 1. Principal and practical challenges with increasing complexity in the generation system through DSM integration Current issues in Demand Side Management (IEA‐DSM) Programme – Enova Workshop Trondheim, 18 April 2012 Seppo Kärkkäinen Elektraflex Operating Agent of Task XVII
  • 2. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 2 Presentation is mainly based on the work done inside the Task XVII of IEA DSM Content of the presentation q  Overview of Task XVII q  Output of the Phase 1 (scope study) q  Phase 2. Emerging technologies at customers’ premises: PE/PHEV, Heat pumps, photovoltaic, µCHP, energy storages, smart metering and ICT q  Examples from the emerging technologies
  • 3. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 3 Overview of Task XVII
  • 4. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 4 IEA DSM Task 17: Integration of Demand Side Management, Distributed Generation, Renewable Energy Sources and Energy Storages Phase one of Task XVII completed Inside the IEA DSM Agreement a scope study was carried out in Task XVII in cooperation with seven countries: Austria, Finland, Italy, Korea, the Netherlands, Spain and USA. The study was based on the information collected from the participating countries as well as from other countries concerning the state-of the art of market, DG/RES/storage technologies and their penetration as well as pilot case studies, research projects, etc. Phase two to be completed shortly Participant: Austria, Finland, France, the Netherlands, Spain The final workshop will be next week in Arnhem
  • 5. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 5 Objectives of the Task XVII of IEA DSM The main objective of the Task is to study how to achieve the optimal integration of flexible demand with Distributed Generation, energy storages and Smart Grids, and thus increase the value of Demand Response, Demand Side Management and Distributed Generation and decrease problems caused by variable output generation (mainly based on RES) both q in the physical electricity systems and q at the electricity market The Task deals with distributed energy resources both Ø at local (distribution network) level and Ø at transmission system level where large wind farms are connected.
  • 6. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 6 Problems caused by variable output generation In electrical networks q In some places, an increase in the network stresses are observed and needs for upgrades to provide greater capacity and flexibility to integrate the variable generation. q It also increases the need for flexible, dispatchable, fast-ramping generation for balancing variations in load, generation and contingencies such as the loss of transmission or generation assets. At market: q national and local balances between supply and demand are more complicated to manage with high levels of variable‑output generation, which can increase total financial electricity costs.
  • 7. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 7 Possible solutions q One solution to decrease the problems caused by the variable output of some DG is to add energy storages into the systems (centralised or distributed energy storages DS). q Another way is to use flexibility in electricity consumption (demand response DR). q  Smart grids In this sense distributed generation (DG), distributed energy storages (DS) and demand response (DR) can be seen as an integrated distributed energy resource (DER). Combining the different characteristics of these resources is essential in increasing the value of variable output generation in the energy market.
  • 8. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 8 8 Central power stations High voltage grid, 400, 220,110 kV Medium voltage Network 20 kV Low voltage Network 0,4 kV Passive distribution system: Electricity flows "downstream" Centralised production Transmission Distribution system Operator Customers Local CHP Electricitymarkets
  • 9. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 9 9 FUTURE ACTIVE DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM: Smart Grid Characteristics: Ø  Decentralized power production in defferent part of network Ø  Energy storages Ø  Electricity flows in different directions Ø  new operators (producer, producer/cosumer) Ø  Producer and consumers participate actively in markets q functional markets q smart grids q smart DER managenment q smart consumer • Measurement • Communication • Automation • Energy management Local CHP
  • 10. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 10 Examples on smart grid architectures
  • 11. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 11 Challences of SmartGrid concepts
  • 12. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 12 Output of Phase 1
  • 13. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 13 Outputs from Phase 1 q Task XVII - Integration of Demand Side Management, Distributed Generation, Renewable Energy Sources and Energy Storages - Final Synthesis Report vol 1. December 2008 q Task XVII - Integration of Demand Side Management, Distributed Generation, Renewable Energy Sources and Energy Storages - Final Synthesis Report vol 2. Vol l. includes the main report and Vol 2. is the annex report with detailed country descriptions, analysis tools etc. These reports are available at the IEADSM-website (http://www.ieadsm.org/) q Two public workshops were also arranged in Petten and in Seoul. The presentations can be found from web-site In spite of these public reports the secure web-site includes the answers to questionnaires of the experts and descriptions of about 50 case studies.
  • 14. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 14 Concluding remarks from the Phase 1 As a conclusion of the analysis it can be said that the increased penetration of DG as well as the technology and market developments result in q new roles of the different stakeholders meaning new business environment and possibilities; on the other hand new tools are also needed in this new business area, q metering and ICT technologies are essential and developing rapidly, q the above development will result in new products, services and pricing policies which can activate the more deep participation of final consumers in the market Successful integration means that different technologies in supply and demand side as well as in ICT are developed to the level where their integration is feasible both technically and economically and that regulation, policy and market give the successful framework for the integration.
  • 15. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 15 DER business opportunities: market access via aggregators One obstacle in the promotion of Demand Side Integration is that small and medium size customers usually don’t have direct access to different types of market either due to the market rules or due to the high transaction costs in market entry. To decrease this kind of barriers a new type of service company, an aggregator, who acts as intermediator between distributed energy resources and energy markets, can emerge Three main types of aggregators can be defined: q Demand aggregators collecting demand response (DR) from different types of flexible customers and offering the aggregated DR to different market actors q Generation aggregators collecting and using a group of dispersed generators in aggregation and offering that into market. This kind of aggregated generation is often called “Virtual power Plant (VPP)”. q Combination of these. Internationally, aggregators are most common in the USA market. Also in Australia and Europe some aggregators exist
  • 16. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 16 Overview of the Phase 2
  • 17. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 17 Task XVII extension: Phase 2 (1) The emerging DER technologies to be discussed include q  plug-in electric and hybrid electric vehicles (PEV/PHEV) q  different types of heatpumps for heating and cooling q  photovoltaic at customer premises q  micro-CHP at customer premises q  energy storages (thermal/electricity) in the connection of previous technologies q  smart metering and ICT Assessment the effects of the penetration of emerging DER technologies to different stakeholders and to the whole electricity system
  • 18. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 18 The main Subtasks in the Task extension are q  Assessment of technologies and their penetration in participating countries q  Stakeholders involved in the penetration and qualitative effects on the stakeholders q  Assessment of the quantitative effects on the power systems and stakeholders q Case studies and pilots q Conclusions and recommendations Time schedule: March 2010 – May 2012 Task XVII extension: Phase 2 (2)
  • 19. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 19 Task XVII extension: Phase 2 (3)
  • 20. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 20 Examples from the integration of emerging technologies q PEV/PHEV q Heating and cooling – heat pumps
  • 21. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 21 Electric vehicles (PEV/PHEV) (1) Sales of different vehicle types in the BLUE Map scenario (IEA 2009). Penetration scenarios vary, but anyway Ø  The share will be considerable in 15 – 25 years Ø  The battery costs are gradually decreasing Ø  Many countries have incentives for EVs Ø  Smart charging is essential from the electricity system point of view Ø  EVs can in the future provide ancillary and balancing services (V2G)
  • 22. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 22 System level impacts (2): Simulation case 1: 5 million PEV/PHEV in Nordic system: normal charging 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 16.1.-22.1.2006 (Monday - Sunday) MWh FI+SE+DE+NO Electric vehicles 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 16.1.-22.1.2006 (Monday - Sunday) MWh FI+SE+DE+NO Electric vehicles Present peak load 67.8 GW New peak load 71.6 GW
  • 23. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 23 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 16.1.-22.1.2006 (Monday - Sunday) MWh FI+SE+DE+NO Electric vehicles 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 16.1.-22.1.2006 (Monday - Sunday) MWh FI+SE+DE+NO Electric vehicles System level impacts (3): 5 million PEV/PHEV in Nordic system: intelligent charging Present peak load 67.8 GW New peak load 68.8 GW
  • 24. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 24 System level impacts: France, Spain (4) Similar impacts can be found also from the simulations in other countries like France (above) or Spain: q  in the worst case peak load increase 6000 – 7000 MW q  but with smart charging 6.5 million PEV can be connected without additional investmenst
  • 25. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 25 Example: effect of the charging method on the local network: Finland (5)
  • 26. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 26 New services and business models needed (6)
  • 27. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 27 Heating and cooling – heat pumps (1) Ø  Heating and cooling loads are very suitable for DSM services Ø  They can utilise both natural storing capacity of buildings and artificial heat and cool storages Ø  The share of different types of heat pumps is increasing in buildings Heat pumps for heating and cooling buildings can be divided into four main categories: v  Heating-only heat pumps, providing space heating and/or water heating. v  Heating and cooling heat pumps, providing both space heating and cooling. The most common type is the reversible air-to-air heat pump, which either operates in heating or cooling mode. Large heat pumps in commercial/institutional buildings use water loops for heat and cold distribution, so they can provide heating and cooling simultaneously. v  Integrated heat pump systems, providing space heating, cooling, water heating and sometimes exhaust air heat recovery. v  Heat pump water heaters, fully dedicated to water heating. They often use air from the immediate surroundings as heat source, but can also be exhaust-air heat pumps, or desuperheaters on air-to-air and water-to-air heat pumps.
  • 28. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 28 Example: DSM potential for residential sector in Finland (2) Load curves for different heating types during a typically January weekday in Finland
  • 29. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 29 Aggregated winter load curve for residential sector in Finland (3)
  • 30. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 30 Estimated flexibility potential in the residential sector during an average winter week (4)
  • 31. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 31 Heat pumps and energy storages in the Netherlands. Example: aquifers as a seasonal heat storage (5) In the Netherlands, there is a large installed base of heat pumps, based on aquifer storage of heat, especially in large buildings. The opportunities of these types of heat storage depend on the absence of long term local subsurface flows of water in geological strata at a certain suitable depth. In the Netherlands, generally, the possibilities at most locations are good. The challenges in operating these devices is maintaining the heat/cold balance during a year to guarantee operation at the optimal COP and to comply to municipality license conditions and in configuring in relation to the other heat/cold generating devices and the realized user comfort. Aquifers allow comfort control by delivering cooling capacity in summer and heating capacity in winter.
  • 32. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 32 32 Example on the integration: residential load shifting in the Netherlands in the future (1) Electric appliances with a large future potential for load shifting: Ø  Plug-in hybrid electric vehicles Ø  Electric heat pumps Ø  Air conditioning
  • 33. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 33 33 Contribution of PHEV and heat pumps to flatten day-night patterns (2) Table 9. Share of plug-in vehicle and heat pump electricity demand as percentage of final electricity demand in SE scenario, and their contribution to filling the ‘night trough’ 2020 2040 Final electricity demand in SE scenario (TWh/a) 137 161 Electricity demand heat pumps + EV (TWh/a) 5.8 24.3 Heat pumps and EV as percentage of SE: (%) 4.2 15.1 Annual electricity demand to create a flat load curve (at load factor of 0.8) (TWh/a) 27 32 Heat pump and EV contribution to a flat load curve (%) 21 76 Conclusion: if heat pumps and electric vehicles become popular, residential load shifting can almost completely flatten the total electricity load in the Netherlands
  • 34. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 34 34 Conclusions (3) Ø  1.5 million heat pumps (2040) can provide the equivalent of 250 MW regulating power and 1.5 GWh storage Ø  6.5 million PHEV can provide 26 GWh of storage Ø  Together this is sufficient to compensate most of the short term differences between predicted versus realised output of 10 GW wind farms Residential load shifting (with plug-in hybrid electric vehicles and heat pumps) can contribute substantially to integration of intermittent renewables
  • 35. VTT TECHNICAL RESEARCH CENTRE OF FINLAND 35 Thank you