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Agriculture and Future
Climate in Latin America
and the Caribbean:
Systemic Impacts and
Potential Responses
1
Relevance of LAC’s Agricultural Sector
2
Economic Social Climate
• 5% of regional GDP
(2012)
• More than 50%
share of total income
among poor
households in some
countries
• Agriculture, land use,
land use change and
forestry are the main
source of emissions
• Over 50% of
worldwide exports of
sugar, soybeans and
coffee
• 7 out of 10
agricultural units in
almost all countries
are family farms
• Mitigation efforts
affecting both land
use and energy are
essential to achieve
climate
stabilization goals
Key Features
• $300 billion aggregate agricultural output
– Additional 31 million hectares placed into agriculture
between 2001 and 2011
At the expense of
– Reduction of natural and cultivated pastures as well as an
increase in deforestation (70% of worldwide deforestation
is in LAC)
– 34% of cropland shows degradation
• 90% is rain-fed but the sector accounts for 66% of water
withdrawals
• Potential for increases in productivity mostly among
medium and small producers
3
Climate Change Impacts
• These impacts will put additional pressure over land and
water resources as well as exacerbate existing
development challenges
– Increases in soil and air temperature
– Decreases in soil moisture
– Sea level rise
– Changes in precipitation patterns
– Increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme
weather events
– Distribution of plants and animals
– Phenology
– Ecological interactions
4
Potential Actions
• Revise current agricultural policies to channel resources
and promote a low carbon resilient agriculture
– Risk management, value added, traditional knowledge,
resilient varieties
• Promote agricultural research and extension
• Assist decision making with climate information
services that target long-term trends
• Leverage public, private and international funding to
maximize benefits
• Private sector participation
5
Thank you
Ana Rios
Climate Change Specialist
arios@iadb.org
http://publications.iadb.org/handle/
11319/5806?locale-attribute=en
http://publications.iadb.org/handle/
11319/456?locale-attribute=en
6

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WG3 release Ana Rios 16 apr 2014

  • 1. Agriculture and Future Climate in Latin America and the Caribbean: Systemic Impacts and Potential Responses 1
  • 2. Relevance of LAC’s Agricultural Sector 2 Economic Social Climate • 5% of regional GDP (2012) • More than 50% share of total income among poor households in some countries • Agriculture, land use, land use change and forestry are the main source of emissions • Over 50% of worldwide exports of sugar, soybeans and coffee • 7 out of 10 agricultural units in almost all countries are family farms • Mitigation efforts affecting both land use and energy are essential to achieve climate stabilization goals
  • 3. Key Features • $300 billion aggregate agricultural output – Additional 31 million hectares placed into agriculture between 2001 and 2011 At the expense of – Reduction of natural and cultivated pastures as well as an increase in deforestation (70% of worldwide deforestation is in LAC) – 34% of cropland shows degradation • 90% is rain-fed but the sector accounts for 66% of water withdrawals • Potential for increases in productivity mostly among medium and small producers 3
  • 4. Climate Change Impacts • These impacts will put additional pressure over land and water resources as well as exacerbate existing development challenges – Increases in soil and air temperature – Decreases in soil moisture – Sea level rise – Changes in precipitation patterns – Increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events – Distribution of plants and animals – Phenology – Ecological interactions 4
  • 5. Potential Actions • Revise current agricultural policies to channel resources and promote a low carbon resilient agriculture – Risk management, value added, traditional knowledge, resilient varieties • Promote agricultural research and extension • Assist decision making with climate information services that target long-term trends • Leverage public, private and international funding to maximize benefits • Private sector participation 5
  • 6. Thank you Ana Rios Climate Change Specialist arios@iadb.org http://publications.iadb.org/handle/ 11319/5806?locale-attribute=en http://publications.iadb.org/handle/ 11319/456?locale-attribute=en 6