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What we know about best bets for costs benefits
and co-benefits
Peter Läderach
Senior Climate Change Specialist
International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT)
February 2016
Prioritising adaptation actions
in value chains:
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: ASAP IFAD Value Chains
CCAFS/CIAT climate science for IFAD/ASAP projects
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: The example of NICADAPT
CCAFS/CIAT Climate Science used by policy makers by farmers
in climate policies and for climate finance (IFAD/ASAP)
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: The Vulnerability
-
Changes in temperature
(°C)
Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.
Changes in precipitation
(mm)
Current Climatic
suitability of crops
Sensitivity
Adaptive Capacity
Potential Impact
Vulnerability
Changes in Crop
suitability (%)
Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions
Education
Economic well
being
Health and
nutrition
Commitment
to R & D
Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)
Future Climatic
suitability of crops - =
- Education expenditure as % of GDP
- Expenditure on education as % of
government spending
- GDP per capita
- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)
- Gini coefficient (income)…
- Public expenditure on health per capita
(US $ Purchasing Power Parity)
- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)
- Price index of food …
- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: The Vulnerability
-
Changes in temperature
(°C)
Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.
Changes in precipitation
(mm)
Current Climatic
suitability of crops
Sensitivity
Adaptive Capacity
Potential Impact
Vulnerability
Changes in Crop
suitability (%)
Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions
Education
Economic well
being
Health and
nutrition
Commitment
to R & D
Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)
Future Climatic
suitability of crops - =
- Education expenditure as % of GDP
- Expenditure on education as % of
government spending
- GDP per capita
- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)
- Gini coefficient (income)…
- Public expenditure on health per capita
(US $ Purchasing Power Parity)
- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)
- Price index of food …
- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: The Vulnerability
-
Changes in temperature
(°C)
Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.
Changes in precipitation
(mm)
Current Climatic
suitability of crops
Sensitivity
Adaptive Capacity
Potential Impact
Vulnerability
Changes in Crop
suitability (%)
Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions
Education
Economic well
being
Health and
nutrition
Commitment
to R & D
Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)
Future Climatic
suitability of crops - =
- Education expenditure as % of GDP
- Expenditure on education as % of
government spending
- GDP per capita
- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)
- Gini coefficient (income)…
- Public expenditure on health per capita
(US $ Purchasing Power Parity)
- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)
- Price index of food …
- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: The Vulnerability
-
Changes in temperature
(°C)
Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.
Changes in precipitation
(mm)
Current Climatic
suitability of crops
Sensitivity
Adaptive Capacity
Potential Impact
Vulnerability
Changes in Crop
suitability (%)
Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions
Education
Economic well
being
Health and
nutrition
Commitment
to R & D
Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)
Future Climatic
suitability of crops - =
- Education expenditure as % of GDP
- Expenditure on education as % of
government spending
- GDP per capita
- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)
- Gini coefficient (income)…
- Public expenditure on health per capita
(US $ Purchasing Power Parity)
- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)
- Price index of food …
- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: Feasibility of CSA practices
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: Cost and benefit of CSA practice
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: Best bets, co-benefits & trade-
offs
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: Best bets, co-benefits & trade-offs
Plot level functions Full sun
monocrop
Shade tree
monocrop
Banana / food
intercrop
Polyculture
system
Forest
system
Yield quantity
Yield quality
External input use
Nutrient recycling
Production risks
Plantation life
Food security
CC adaptation
Carbon stock
Ecological services
light color = low → dark color = high
Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: Scaling of CSA in supply chains
www.ciat.cgiar.org Science to cultivate change
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!
Peter Läderach
p.laderach@cgiar.org

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Prioritising adaptation actions in value chains:What we know about best bets for costs benefits and co-benefits

  • 1. What we know about best bets for costs benefits and co-benefits Peter Läderach Senior Climate Change Specialist International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT) February 2016 Prioritising adaptation actions in value chains:
  • 2. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: ASAP IFAD Value Chains CCAFS/CIAT climate science for IFAD/ASAP projects
  • 3. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The example of NICADAPT CCAFS/CIAT Climate Science used by policy makers by farmers in climate policies and for climate finance (IFAD/ASAP)
  • 4. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The Vulnerability - Changes in temperature (°C) Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec. Changes in precipitation (mm) Current Climatic suitability of crops Sensitivity Adaptive Capacity Potential Impact Vulnerability Changes in Crop suitability (%) Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions Education Economic well being Health and nutrition Commitment to R & D Bioclimatic variables (worldclim) Future Climatic suitability of crops - = - Education expenditure as % of GDP - Expenditure on education as % of government spending - GDP per capita - GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity) - Gini coefficient (income)… - Public expenditure on health per capita (US $ Purchasing Power Parity) - Public expenditure on health (% off GDP) - Price index of food … - Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
  • 5. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The Vulnerability - Changes in temperature (°C) Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec. Changes in precipitation (mm) Current Climatic suitability of crops Sensitivity Adaptive Capacity Potential Impact Vulnerability Changes in Crop suitability (%) Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions Education Economic well being Health and nutrition Commitment to R & D Bioclimatic variables (worldclim) Future Climatic suitability of crops - = - Education expenditure as % of GDP - Expenditure on education as % of government spending - GDP per capita - GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity) - Gini coefficient (income)… - Public expenditure on health per capita (US $ Purchasing Power Parity) - Public expenditure on health (% off GDP) - Price index of food … - Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
  • 6. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The Vulnerability - Changes in temperature (°C) Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec. Changes in precipitation (mm) Current Climatic suitability of crops Sensitivity Adaptive Capacity Potential Impact Vulnerability Changes in Crop suitability (%) Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions Education Economic well being Health and nutrition Commitment to R & D Bioclimatic variables (worldclim) Future Climatic suitability of crops - = - Education expenditure as % of GDP - Expenditure on education as % of government spending - GDP per capita - GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity) - Gini coefficient (income)… - Public expenditure on health per capita (US $ Purchasing Power Parity) - Public expenditure on health (% off GDP) - Price index of food … - Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
  • 7. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: The Vulnerability - Changes in temperature (°C) Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec. Changes in precipitation (mm) Current Climatic suitability of crops Sensitivity Adaptive Capacity Potential Impact Vulnerability Changes in Crop suitability (%) Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions Education Economic well being Health and nutrition Commitment to R & D Bioclimatic variables (worldclim) Future Climatic suitability of crops - = - Education expenditure as % of GDP - Expenditure on education as % of government spending - GDP per capita - GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity) - Gini coefficient (income)… - Public expenditure on health per capita (US $ Purchasing Power Parity) - Public expenditure on health (% off GDP) - Price index of food … - Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
  • 8. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Feasibility of CSA practices
  • 9. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Cost and benefit of CSA practice
  • 10. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Best bets, co-benefits & trade- offs
  • 11. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Best bets, co-benefits & trade-offs Plot level functions Full sun monocrop Shade tree monocrop Banana / food intercrop Polyculture system Forest system Yield quantity Yield quality External input use Nutrient recycling Production risks Plantation life Food security CC adaptation Carbon stock Ecological services light color = low → dark color = high
  • 12. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value chains: Scaling of CSA in supply chains
  • 13. www.ciat.cgiar.org Science to cultivate change THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! Peter Läderach p.laderach@cgiar.org

Notes de l'éditeur