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Prioritising adaptation actions in value chains:What we know about best bets for costs benefits and co-benefits
1. What we know about best bets for costs benefits
and co-benefits
Peter Läderach
Senior Climate Change Specialist
International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT)
February 2016
Prioritising adaptation actions
in value chains:
3. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: The example of NICADAPT
CCAFS/CIAT Climate Science used by policy makers by farmers
in climate policies and for climate finance (IFAD/ASAP)
4. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: The Vulnerability
-
Changes in temperature
(°C)
Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.
Changes in precipitation
(mm)
Current Climatic
suitability of crops
Sensitivity
Adaptive Capacity
Potential Impact
Vulnerability
Changes in Crop
suitability (%)
Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions
Education
Economic well
being
Health and
nutrition
Commitment
to R & D
Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)
Future Climatic
suitability of crops - =
- Education expenditure as % of GDP
- Expenditure on education as % of
government spending
- GDP per capita
- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)
- Gini coefficient (income)…
- Public expenditure on health per capita
(US $ Purchasing Power Parity)
- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)
- Price index of food …
- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
5. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: The Vulnerability
-
Changes in temperature
(°C)
Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.
Changes in precipitation
(mm)
Current Climatic
suitability of crops
Sensitivity
Adaptive Capacity
Potential Impact
Vulnerability
Changes in Crop
suitability (%)
Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions
Education
Economic well
being
Health and
nutrition
Commitment
to R & D
Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)
Future Climatic
suitability of crops - =
- Education expenditure as % of GDP
- Expenditure on education as % of
government spending
- GDP per capita
- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)
- Gini coefficient (income)…
- Public expenditure on health per capita
(US $ Purchasing Power Parity)
- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)
- Price index of food …
- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
6. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: The Vulnerability
-
Changes in temperature
(°C)
Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.
Changes in precipitation
(mm)
Current Climatic
suitability of crops
Sensitivity
Adaptive Capacity
Potential Impact
Vulnerability
Changes in Crop
suitability (%)
Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions
Education
Economic well
being
Health and
nutrition
Commitment
to R & D
Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)
Future Climatic
suitability of crops - =
- Education expenditure as % of GDP
- Expenditure on education as % of
government spending
- GDP per capita
- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)
- Gini coefficient (income)…
- Public expenditure on health per capita
(US $ Purchasing Power Parity)
- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)
- Price index of food …
- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
7. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: The Vulnerability
-
Changes in temperature
(°C)
Exposure I: changes in temp. and prec.
Changes in precipitation
(mm)
Current Climatic
suitability of crops
Sensitivity
Adaptive Capacity
Potential Impact
Vulnerability
Changes in Crop
suitability (%)
Future conditions (GCMs) – Current conditions
Education
Economic well
being
Health and
nutrition
Commitment
to R & D
Bioclimatic variables (worldclim)
Future Climatic
suitability of crops - =
- Education expenditure as % of GDP
- Expenditure on education as % of
government spending
- GDP per capita
- GDP (total, Purchasing Power Parity)
- Gini coefficient (income)…
- Public expenditure on health per capita
(US $ Purchasing Power Parity)
- Public expenditure on health (% off GDP)
- Price index of food …
- Investment on R&D ( % of GDP)
11. Prioritizing adaptation actions in value
chains: Best bets, co-benefits & trade-offs
Plot level functions Full sun
monocrop
Shade tree
monocrop
Banana / food
intercrop
Polyculture
system
Forest
system
Yield quantity
Yield quality
External input use
Nutrient recycling
Production risks
Plantation life
Food security
CC adaptation
Carbon stock
Ecological services
light color = low → dark color = high