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1. Morgan Stanley (MS) Price: $17.08
Industry: Invest BKRS-MGRS
Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Wed Aug 17 10:47 EDT 2011
MS
Morgan Stanley $17.08 Power Gauge Rating
MS - Neutral
TM
The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for MS is neutral and reflects average
financial metrics, weak earnings performance, neutral price/volume activity and
negative expert opinions.
Financial Metrics
An appraisal of MS's financial metrics show a low price to book value.
Earnings Performance
MS's earnings performance is weak as a result of a relatively poor trend in
Price/Volume Activity
earnings this year.
Expert Opinions
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral
MS Morgan Stanley August 16, 2011 TM
Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for MS is neutral. Stories concerning MS have a
balanced or neutral sentiment.
News Sentiment :Neutral
Power Trend - 5 Year Chart
The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential. High Potential Neutral Low Potential
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2. Financials & Earnings
Financial Metrics
Financial Metrics Rating
LT Debt/Equity Ratio
Neutral
Price to Book Value MS's financial metrics are neutral. The company may be undervalued and is
carrying too much long term debt.
Return on Equity
The rank is based on a high long term debt to equity ratio, low price to book
value, low return on equity, high price to sales ratio and relatively high cash flow.
Price to Sales Ratio
Business Value
Assets and Liabilities Valuation Returns
Ratio TTM Ratio TTM Ratio TTM
Current Ratio 0.84 Price/Book 0.40 Return on Invest 1.3%
LT Debt/Equity 3.45 Price/Sales 0.83 Return on Equity 5.6%
Earnings Performance
Earnings Performance Rating
Earnings Growth
Bearish
Earnings Surprise MS's earnings performance has been weak. The company experienced relatively
poor earnings growth in the past 12 months and has an erratic 5 year earnings
trend.
Earnings Trend
The rank is based on poor EPS growth over the past 3-5 years, better than
Projected P/E Ratio expected earnings in recent quarters, a relatively poor trend in earnings this year,
a relatively low projected P/E ratio and inconsistent earnings over the past 5
years.
Earnings Consistency
5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth EPS Estimates
12/06 12/07 12/08 12/09 12/10 Factor Actual EPS Prev EST EPS Current Change
Revenue(M) 33,858.00 85,328.00 61,883.00 23,358.00 31,622.00 Quarterly EPS $-0.07 $0.48 +0.55
Rev % Growth 26.44% 152.02% -27.48% -62.25% 35.38% Yearly EPS $2.64 $1.26 -1.38
EPS $7.38 $3.13 $1.54 $-0.76 $2.64 Factor Actual EPS Growth Est EPS Growth Change
EPS % Growth 81.77% -57.59% -50.80% -149.35% 447.37% 3-5 year EPS 24.82% 10.00% -14.82
EPS Surprise EPS Quarterly Results
Estimate Actual Difference % Difference FY Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4 Total
Latest Qtr $-0.63 $-0.38 $0.25 39.68 12/09 $-0.57 $-1.10 $0.39 $0.29 $-0.99
1 Qtr Ago $0.34 $0.46 $0.12 35.29 12/10 $1.07 $1.20 $-0.07 $0.42 $2.62
2 Qtr Ago $0.35 $0.43 $0.08 22.86 12/11 $0.51 $-0.38 - - -
3 Qtr Ago $0.19 $0.05 $-0.14 -73.68 Fiscal Year End Month is December.
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3. Price Trend & Expert Opinions
Price/Volume Activity
Price/Volume Activity Rating
Relative Strength vs Market Neutral
Chaikin Money Flow
Price and volume activity for MS is neutral. MS is in an accelerating price trend
compared to 4 months ago and has underperformed the S&P 500 over 26 weeks.
Price Trend
The rank for MS is based on its relative weakness versus the market, negative
Price Trend ROC
Chaikin money flow, a negative Chaikin price trend, a positive Chaikin price trend
ROC and an increasing volume trend.
Volume Trend
Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index Chaikin Money Flow
Chart shows whether MS is performing better or worse than the market. Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.
Price Activity Price Activity Volume Activity
Factor Value Factor Value Factor Value
52 Week High 30.99 % Change Price - 4 Weeks -18.64% Average Volume 20 Days 31,816,330
52 Week Low 16.45 % Change Price - 24 Weeks -40.77% Average Volume 90 Days 18,747,194
% Change YTD Rel S&P 500 -33.78% % Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P -9.50% Chaikin Money Flow Persistency 23%
% Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P -35.13%
Expert Opinions
Expert Opinions
Earnings Estimate Revisions Bearish
Short Interest Expert opinions about MS are negative. Analysts are lowering their EPS
estimates for MS and MS has been under-performing the Invest BKRS-MGRS
Insider Activity industry over the past 13 weeks.
The rank for MS is based on analysts revising earnings estimates downward, a
Analyst Opinions
low short interest ratio, insiders purchasing stock, pessimistic analyst opinions
and relative weakness of the stock versus the Invest BKRS-MGRS industry
Relative Strength vs Industry
group.
Earnings Estimate Revisions Analyst Recommendations EPS Estimates Revision Summary
Current 7 Days Ago % Change Factor Value Last Week Last 4 Weeks
Current Qtr 0.48 0.48 0.00% Mean this Week Buy Up Down Up Down
Next Qtr 0.56 0.57 -1.75% Mean Last Week Buy Curr Qtr 0 0 5 5
Curr Yr 0 1 10 1
Current 30 Days Ago % Change Change 0.00
Next Qtr 0 1 6 4
Current FY 1.26 1.07 0.19 Mean 5 Weeks Ago Buy
Next Yr 0 1 4 6
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4. The Company & Its Competitors
MS's Competitors in Invest BKRS-MGRS News Headlines for MS
Company Power Historic EPS Projected EPS Profit Margin PEG PE Revenue(M) Forest Labs plans to buy back $350M in stock -
Gauge growth growth Aug 16, 2011
MS 24.82% 10.00% 9.93% 1.36 30.48 31,622 Forest Labs plans to buy back $350M in stock -
INTL 998.08% - 0.05% - 13.76 46,940
Aug 16, 2011
News Corp. stock up after 4Q beat, buyback
NMR 46.97% 87.13% 3.08% 0.24 29.64 16,626
plan - Aug 11, 2011
RJF 14.49% 12.00% 8.37% 1.01 12.28 2,980 DealBook: Bowing to Citadel, E*Trade Hires
Goldman Sachs - Aug 8, 2011
JEF 18.36% 15.00% - 0.71 - 2,797
DealBook: Morgan Stanley C.E.O. Buys $2
SCHW -0.34% 16.00% 15.78% 1.00 20.77 4,248
Million of Firm's Stock - Aug 4, 2011
GS 3.96% 11.33% 21.07% 0.89 11.48 39,161
Company Details Company Profile
MORGAN STANLEY MORGAN STANLEY is a preeminent global financial services firm that maintains leading
1585 BROADWAY market positions in each of its three primary businesses: securities; asset management;
NEW YORK, NY 10036 and credit services. The company combines global strength in investment banking and
USA institutional sales and trading with strength in providing full-service and on-line brokerage
Phone: 212-761-4000 services, investment and global asset management services and, primarily through its
Fax: 212-761-0086 Discover Card brand, quality consumer credit products.
Website:
http://http://www.morganstanley.co
m
Full Time Employees: 62,542
Sector: Finance
Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated
by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the
strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe.
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LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1
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