Regression analysis: Simple Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression
Stock Research Report for URBN as of 6/23/11 - Chaikin Power Tools
1. URBAN OUTFITTER (URBN) Price: $28.64
Industry: Nonfood Retail-Wholesale
Chaikin Power Gauge Report | Generated: Thu Jun 23 13:39 EDT 2011
URBN
URBAN OUTFITTER $28.64 Power Gauge Rating
URBN - Very Bearish
TM
The Chaikin Power Gauge Rating for URBN is very bearish due to very
negative expert opinions, poor financial metrics and bearish price/volume
activity.
Financial Metrics
Expert opinions about URBN are very negative which is evidenced by analysts
Earnings Performance revising earnings estimates downward and a high short interest ratio.
Price/Volume Activity
Expert Opinions
News Sentiment Rating
Neutral
URBN URBAN OUTFIT.. May 28, 2011 TM
Chaikin Sentiment Gauge for URBN is neutral. Stories concerning URBN
have a balanced or neutral sentiment.
News Sentiment :Neutral
Power Trend - 5 Year Chart
The Power Gauge distills a 20 factor model into a concise picture of a stock's potential. High Potential Neutral Low Potential
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2. Financials & Earnings
Financial Metrics
Financial Metrics Rating
LT Debt/Equity Ratio
Bearish
Price to Book Value URBN's financial metrics are poor. The company has relatively low revenue per
share and may be overvalued.
Return on Equity
The rank is based on a low long term debt to equity ratio, high price to book value
ratio, high return on equity and high price to sales ratio.
Price to Sales Ratio
Business Value
Assets and Liabilities Valuation Returns
Ratio TTM Ratio TTM Ratio TTM
Current Ratio 3.31 Price/Book 3.54 Return on Invest 19.1%
LT Debt/Equity 0.00 Price/Sales 2.04 Return on Equity 19.1%
Earnings Performance
Earnings Performance Rating
Earnings Growth
Neutral
Earnings Surprise URBN's earnings performance has been neutral. The company has a history of
strong earnings growth and is priced relatively high compared to next year's
projected EPS.
Earnings Trend
The rank is based on high earnings growth over the past 3-5 years, worse than
Projected P/E Ratio expected earnings in recent quarters, a relatively poor trend in earnings this year,
a relatively high projected P/E ratio and consistent earnings over the past 5 years.
Earnings Consistency
5 Year Revenue and Earnings Growth EPS Estimates
01/07 01/08 01/09 01/10 01/11 Factor Actual EPS Prev EST EPS Current Change
Revenue(M) 1,224.72 1,507.72 1,834.62 1,937.82 2,274.10 Quarterly EPS $0.42 $0.33 -0.09
Rev % Growth 12.14% 23.11% 21.68% 5.62% 17.35% Yearly EPS $1.64 $1.55 -0.09
EPS $0.71 $0.97 $1.20 $1.31 $1.64 Factor Actual EPS Growth Est EPS Growth Change
EPS % Growth -11.25% 36.62% 23.71% 9.17% 25.19% 3-5 year EPS 15.98% 19.07% +3.09
EPS Surprise EPS Quarterly Results
Estimate Actual Difference % Difference FY Qtr 1 Qtr 2 Qtr 3 Qtr 4 Total
Latest Qtr $0.25 $0.23 $-0.02 -8.00 01/09 $0.18 $0.29 $0.37 $0.46 $1.30
1 Qtr Ago $0.52 $0.45 $-0.07 -13.46 01/10 $0.31 $0.42 $0.44 $0.46 $1.63
2 Qtr Ago $0.42 $0.43 $0.01 2.38 01/11 $0.24 - - - -
3 Qtr Ago $0.39 $0.42 $0.03 7.69 Fiscal Year End Month is January.
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3. Price Trend & Expert Opinions
Price/Volume Activity
Price/Volume Activity Rating
Relative Strength vs Market Bearish
Chaikin Money Flow
Price and volume activity for URBN is bearish. URBN has underperformed the
S&P 500 over 26 weeks and has a declining price trend.
Price Trend
The rank for URBN is based on its relative weakness versus the market, negative
Price Trend ROC
Chaikin money flow, a negative Chaikin price trend and a positive Chaikin price
trend ROC.
Volume Trend
Relative Strength vs S&P500 Index Chaikin Money Flow
Chart shows whether URBN is performing better or worse than the market. Chaikin Money Flow analyzes supply and demand for a company's stock.
Price Activity Price Activity Volume Activity
Factor Value Factor Value Factor Value
52 Week High 38.50 % Change Price - 4 Weeks -5.14% Average Volume 20 Days 3,049,402
52 Week Low 28.27 % Change Price - 24 Weeks -19.92% Average Volume 90 Days 3,453,569
% Change YTD Rel S&P 500 -20.42% % Change Price - 4 Wks Rel to S&P -2.68% Chaikin Money Flow Persistency 48%
% Change Price - 24 Wks Rel to S&P -20.57%
Expert Opinions
Expert Opinions
Earnings Estimate Revisions Very Bearish
Short Interest Expert opinions about URBN are very negative. Analysts are lowering their EPS
estimates for URBN and short interest in URBN is high.
Insider Activity
The rank for URBN is based on analysts revising earnings estimates downward, a
high short interest ratio, insiders purchasing stock, pessimistic analyst opinions
Analyst Opinions
and relative weakness of the stock versus the Nonfood Retail-Wholesale industry
group.
Relative Strength vs Industry
Earnings Estimate Revisions Analyst Recommendations EPS Estimates Revision Summary
Current 7 Days Ago % Change Factor Value Last Week Last 4 Weeks
Current Qtr 0.33 0.33 0.00% Mean this Week Buy Up Down Up Down
Next Qtr 0.44 0.44 0.00% Mean Last Week Buy Curr Qtr 0 0 1 6
Curr Yr 0 1 1 8
Current 30 Days Ago % Change Change 0.00
Next Qtr 0 1 0 5
Current FY 1.55 1.56 -0.01 Mean 5 Weeks Ago Buy
Next Yr 0 1 0 9
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4. The Company & Its Competitors
URBN's Competitors in Nonfood Retail-Wholesale News Headlines for URBN
Company Power Historic EPS Projected EPS Profit Margin PEG PE Revenue(M) Two New Suitors Are Said To Be Interested in J.
Gauge growth growth Crew - Jan 6, 2011
URBN 15.98% 19.07% 11.16% 0.99 18.71 2,274 Urban Outfitters OKs repurchase of added
GPS -1.69% 8.88% 7.76% 1.38 9.64 14,664
shares - Nov 18, 2010
Ahead of the Bell: Urban Outfitters shares jump -
FL -2.14% 11.00% 4.00% 1.42 17.51 5,049
Nov 16, 2010
JNY -5.99% 11.00% 1.07% 0.80 7.41 3,643
JWN 4.05% 11.75% 6.66% 1.31 15.52 9,310
ANF 5.55% 18.83% 5.18% 1.13 26.89 3,469
PSS 4.99% 12.00% 2.53% 0.99 10.85 3,376
LTD 0.21% 13.08% 8.66% 1.17 16.69 9,613
Company Details Company Profile
URBAN OUTFITTER Urban Outfitters, Inc. operates two business segments consisting of a lifestyle-oriented
5000 SOUTH BROAD STREET general merchandise retailing segment and a wholesale apparel business. The retailing
PHILADELPHIA, PA 19112 segment operates through retail stores and direct response, including a catalog and two
USA web sites. The company's wholesale business designs and markets young women's
Phone: 2154545500 casual wear which it provides to the company's retail operations and sells to specialty
Fax: 215-454-5163 retailers worldwide.
Website:
http://http://www.urbanoutfitters.co
m
Full Time Employees: 16,000
Sector: Retail/Wholesale
Power Gauge Ratings are created using a relative ranking system that assigns a rank of 0 to 100 (100 being the highest) to each stock in the universe. Rank is calculated
by evaluating each of the stocks factors and combining them into a single number using a weighting formula. A stock's rank ranges from 100-0, where 100 is the
strongest, and a rank of 95 indicates the stock is better than 95% of the stocks in the universe.
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LM 2.3 DS 3.0 LS 2.1
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