Wimax opportunities factors success

WiMAX: 2010 and Beyond

Presented by: Daryl Schoolar

Date: February 4, 2010

Washington DC / Paris

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2

Agenda

State of the Market
WiMAX Drivers and Future Trends

3

WiMAX
STATE OF THE MARKET

4

State of the Market
WiMAX is now a global technology, with 523
deployments in 147 countries

Deployments by Region

21 Africa
51
112
CALA

69
Eastern Europe

Asia-Pacific

Western Europe
103
84 North America

Middle East
84

Source: WiMAX Forum, 12/09

5

State of the Market
Most deployments are in 2.3, 2.5, or 3.5 GHz

Deployments by Spectrum
6%
2.3 GHz
24% 14%
2.5 GHz

2% 3.3 GHz

4% 3.5 GHz

5+ GHz

Unknown
50%

Source: WiMAX Forum, 12/09 N = 523

6

State of the Market
Other Market Facts per WiMAX Forum
434,400,000 pops covered
– 205 million coming from Asia Pacific
– Africa and CALA next two largest regions
Total certified products = 178
– 57 base stations
– 121 devices
Number of vendors with certified products
– 25 for base stations
– 45 for devices
WiMAX spectrum currently available in 178 countries

7

State of the Market
The WiMAX Forum tracks deployments
http://www.wimaxmaps.org/
Can sort by vendor, spectrum, profile, status

8

State of the Market
Not all deployments are equal
Most of today’s deployments are fixed or portable
Clearwire, Packet One, UQ, Yota, and KT Wibro are the
exceptions, not the rule when it comes to deployment types
Some deployments are not what one would generally call
commercial – i.e. govt. agencies DISA in the US
Certification
WiMAX Forum certification results include both D and E
On the device side, certification still revolves around data devices
(CPE, modems, laptops)
Certification has not kept up with Forum promises
– Didn’t hit 100 certified products goal for end of 2008
– Predicting 1,000 certified products by end of 2011

9

State of the Market
WiMAX’s two-year head start on LTE has changed
It is no longer about time between initial deployments
Head start is now about experience in deployments, ecosystem
development, and spectrum availability

10

WiMAX
MARKET DRIVERS AND
FUTURE TRENDS

11

Market Drivers and Future Trends
2.3 GHz Certification
The status of some deployments is uncertain, or not what you
generally call commercial – i.e. govt. agencies DISA in the US
Previous 2.3 GHz certification was for WiBRO
Certification expected in 2010
2.3/2.5/3.5 GHz support on single chipset
Intel Kilmer Peak, just shown at 2010 CES
Will help drive volumes and lower prices with single SKU to support
multiple deployments
Important part of future WiMAX roaming

12

WiMAX Roaming
Will increase service coverage, which will lead to increased service
interest
Clearwire has MOU of roaming with UQ and Yota
Forum is active in setting up roaming requirements, arranged trial
between Clearwire and Digital Bridge Communications
Open Retail Certification Program
Important for expanding device ecosystem
Help end service provider device subsidies, quicker positive ROI for
new subscribers
Major WiMAX Forum initiative for 2010

13

802.16m or WiMAX Release 2
Will give current 802.16e operators a migration path to higher
capacity network
Completion of specification expected in 2010
Devices and infrastructure in 2011 or 2012
Samsung has already demonstrated 802.16m with Yota
India spectrum auction
Plagued by delays
State run operator BSNL has already launched some services
Forum forecasts 20% of 2012 users will be from India
Services and device prices need to be low

14

Broadband Stimulus fund
WiMAX projects have applied for $1.6 billion of the $14.2 billion to
be awarded
Plagued by delays
Vendors have set up programs to help operators win funds
http://match.broadbandusa.gov/BTOPpartners/BPMhome.aspx
WiMAX needs to leverage Wi-Fi
There are thousands of Wi-Fi devices on the market
Wi-Fi/WiMAX devices, like Clear Spot, solves current issues with
limited availability of WiMAX consumer devices
Needs to be built into devices, like phones

15

Applications
To attract users, needs to be more than a dumb pipe
Voice is an obvious application, and not just for fixed voice like
Clearwire
Operators/vendors need to create programs to enable application
development
Need flexible billing options
Explore non-carrier opportunities like utilities

16

Conclusion
WiMAX has built a sustainable market
Growth for WiMAX will come from existing fixed operators and new
market entrants
Wi-Fi on steroids isn’t a bad thing
Devices, Devices, Devices
Services need to differentiate from existing offerings,
can’t just compete on price
WiMAX’s ecosystem remains one of its key strengths

17

Thank You

For more information, please contact…
Daryl Schoolar
Principal Analyst
703–788-3609
dschoolar@currentanlysis.com|
www.currentanalysis.com

Washington, D.C. Paris, France
21335 Signal Hill Plaza, Suite 200 Bureaux de Sèvres - 2, rue Troyon
Sterling, VA 20164, United States 92316 Sevres Cedex, France
Phone +1 703 404 9200 Phone +33 (0) 1 41 14 83 15
Toll free 877 787 8947
Fax +1 703 404 9300

18 18

WiMAX: Opportunities
and Key Factors for
Success in 2010 &
Beyond
Kelvin Lee
Senior General Manager
4 February 2010

Greenpacket - Overview

21
Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved.
Green Packet Bhd Private and Confidential

2 Key Business Pillars

PRODUCTS & SOLUTIONS CONVERGED SERVICES

Packet One Ruumznation S/B
Software & VAS Networks (M) S/B
Offer seamless connectivity, improved
communication and compelling content &
services to increase revenue streams for
clients.

Next Telecommunications S/B

NGTNetworks
WiMAX based solutions and services
OneVois Pte Ltd
p (Thailand) NGT Networks Pte Ltd
WiMAX Global Services
22

Strategic Alliances

Global Partnerships
Equipment Vendor . Chipset Manufacturer . Device Manufacturer . WiMAX Operator

Quanta Microsystems

Sphere
Serbia

23
Continue building strong alliances within ecosystem

TRENDS & CHALLENGES 24
Green Packet Bhd Private and Confidential Source: Inmagine

WiMAX Is Here To Stay!

523 434
‘000,000

4
Networks
POPS

years 147 300
Countries WiMAX Products

WiMAX is here to stay!
Momentum faster than WF initial forecast despite economic downturn
25

WiMAX Growth

45
Million
By 2013

Substantial MOMENTUM and
4
Million
GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
for the WiMAX industry
End 2009
26
Green Packet Bhd Private and Confidential Source: Maravedis

The Rise of WiMAX Enabled Devices

Wide range of WiMAX enabled devices

Mobile Internet Devices
eBook, Mediaphones

Embedded Computers
Laptop, Netbook

Mobile
WiMAX and 3G

VoIP or Cordless
WiMAX or WiMAX / Wi-Fi

27

WIMAX 2010 & BEYOND

28

WiMAX: A Maturing Ecosystem

Integrated
Lower priced
WiMAX WiFI
WiMAX devices
devices

Maturing Introduction of Availability of
Ecosystem Dual Mode
devices
more certified
products

Emergence of Advance
Technologies –
MIMO, Switched Tx
Diversity and
29
Copyright © 2008 Green Packet. All rights reserved. Beamforming

Trends - Open Retail Certification

Traditional Certification

Open Retail Certification
Drives the proliferation of WiMAX devices

Economies of Scale - Lower cost of network
equipments & devices
Address interoperability and standard compliance
issues
Consumer has wider choice of WiMAX devices and
applications. 30

Increase of WiMAX Adoption

increase Availability of Open Retail WiMAX Global
more certified Certification Roaming
WiMAX products Program Program
WiMAX adoption

Lower total certification cost

Savings can go into more device certifications

Speed up global roaming

Improve economies of scale

Faster time to market
31

Key Factors for Success

32

Key Success Driver

WiMAX Devices
MIDs,eBook, ,Netbook Proliferation of wide range
Mediaphones
of WiMAX devices
(handheld devices, computers
and consumer electronics )

Technologies Leading-edge
technologies and
innnovations to drive
Industry development
(MIMO, Switched Tx Diversity
and Beamforming)

Contents and Applications
Innovative and
differentiated Value-Added
Services to attract to
subscribers adoption
33

Greenpacket’s
Value Proposition
34

Greenpacket’s Advantage

3
FULL RANGE of in the world

outdoor, indoor, US
B modems for
6
continents
35
countries

2.3, 2.5 & 3.5GHz
frequencies 13
deployments
35
operators

35

Greenpacket WiMAX Modems

TOWER
• VoIP Capabilities
Supports phone and fax transmission over IP network
• WiMAX WiFi
Built-in WiFi for convenient wireless access around the home / SOHO
• High Gain Omni Antenna
Flexible modem placement with 5dBi omni antenna gain
• Smart Signal Transmission
Switched Tx Diversity ,2Tx CDD & *2 Tx STC Technologies
Improved uplink performance and better indoor coverage
• Plug ‘n Play

SHUTTLE
The first Hybrid USB modem that supports 4G Broadband for
Home, Office and On-the-Go!
• Wideband Support
One device to access WiMAX in the 2.3 GHz – 2.7GHz frequency range
• High Gain Omni Antenna
Flexible modem placement with 5dBi omni antenna gain
• Smart Signal Transmission- Switched Tx Diversity Technology
Improved uplink performance and better indoor coverage
• Plug ‘n Play 36

#1 Seamless
Handover
Appstore
Front
Solutions Enablers
Increase ARPU by
Accelerating Product
and Service Creation Multi Device, Multi
Operator , Multi
networks
Connection
Manager

Intelligent
Diagnostics
#2
Device and
Subscriber
Management Optimizing Profits by
lowering OPEX
Data
Congestion
Management
37

Greenpacket’s End to End WiMAX Solutions

End to End Services
Preliminary Conceptualize Develop &
Study & Design Prototype

Customized
Product IOT Deliver
Packaging

38

Greenpacket Value Proposition

• Complete range of high performance and award-
winning WiMAX modems from Indoor, Outdoor to
USB Mobile.

• Carrier-grade connectivity and content solutions
to help Operators to enjoy improved
ARPU, shorter time-to-market and cost savings.

• End to end consulting services.

39

Downloads

For more information, kindly visit
www.greenpacket.com

Download Greenpacket WiMAX Modem brochure
http://www.greenpacket.com/devices_wm_overview.html

40

Thank You

Kelvin Lee
Senior General Manager
marketing.gp@greenpacket.com
www.greenpacket.com

Opportunities and success factors

Devices Network

Factors

Quality

Devices

WiMAX will be
everywhere and anywhere

Devices

Mobilize the Internet
Anywhere, Anyhow and Anytime

Connect to the world
Man to man, man to machine, machine to machine

Internet Lifestyle
Social Media

Key success factor
& Challenges

Cost

Coverage – expanding aggressively

States with P1 Wimax Coverage
(35% of pop. coverage)
States have yet to be covered
by P1 Wimax

Coverage targets
• 2009: achieved 35% population coverage of Peninsular Malaysia
• 2010: 45% population coverage of Malaysia
• 2012: 65% population coverage of Malaysia

Coverage – Broadband for all

Malaysian Reserve,
Dec 07, 2009

Coverage – Broadband for all
A daily life of Roast Duck Seller
P1 W1MAX

Still,
We can’t build fast enough
We can’t serve fast enough

Key success factor & Challenges

Speed

Quality

Fast &
Consistent
connectivity &
customer service

Key success factor & Challenges

Bandwidth &
Capacity

Broadband your life.
WiMAX your soul.

Wimax opportunities factors success

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