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© Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is prohibited. 1/2012http://www.chetansharma.com 1
2015 Mobile Industry
Predictions Survey
Research. Technology. Strategy. Intellectual Property. Thought Leadership Summits.
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 2
2015 Mobile Industry Predictions Survey
A very happy, healthy, and prosperous 2015 to you and your family. My thanks to all who participated in our 8th
annual Mobile Predictions Survey. It is a unique polling of the insiders to get a glimpse into what the ecosystem
is thinking about the future.
2014 was without a doubt an awesome year for the mobile industry. Not only the ecosystem perform well on
almost metrics, it has started to open up the tent to bring in other industries as well which is where lot of the
action is going to be in the next 5-10 years. As we discussed in the Connected Intelligence Paper, the Golden
Age of Mobile is here and we are in for one heck of a ride.
They were so many milestones that it is hard to capture them in a short note but it is worth noting the steady
climb of subscriptions past the human population, the continuous of apps and data revenue, and the
disruption of vertical industries like transportation, travel, and health were probably the defining highlights of
the year. The 4th wave is indeed in full-effect. Many incumbents are struggling to adjust and the torrent of
startup innovation is changing the global landscape of how new revenue is generated in the ecosystem. By our
count, there were at least 38 companies generating a billion dollars of more from 4th wave services. This is a
whopping 442% jump from 2012. The average amount of data consumed by smartphones doubled in most LTE
markets and we can expect a similar jump in 2015.
Just consider the amount of change we have seen in the first half of this decade: 483% growth in digital
information, 12,816% growth in mobile data traffic, 339% growth in smartphone sales, 1,344% growth in
tablets sales, 73% growth in data revenues, 433% growth in OTT revenues, 50% growth in mobile industry
revenues, and 341% growth in mobile apps revenue. Can you imagine what the next 5 years will be like? Stay
with us and we will keep you posted 
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 3
2015 Mobile Industry Predictions Survey
Our annual survey is a way to engage our knowledgeable community on the trends we are likely
to see the next year. We put some of the pressing questions to our colleagues and industry
leaders from all corners of the world. The aggregated view and the nuances help us in getting a
sense of what’s to come. Executives, developers, and insiders (n=175) from leading mobile
companies and startups from across the value chain and from around the globe participated to
help see what 2015 might bring to surprise us. The survey draws upon the unique collective
wisdom of the folks who are the center of the mobile evolution. Thanks for being part of our
annual ritual.
25 names were randomly drawn for the limited edition of Mobile Future Forward 2014 Book and
they have been notified. Welcome 2015!
Kind regards,
Chetan
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 4
Participant Composition
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 5
Biggest Mobile Stories of 2014
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 6
Biggest Mobile stories of 2015
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 7
Most Important Players in Mobile
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 8
Breakthrough Mobile Categories in 2015
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 9
Apps in 2015
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 10
Wearables in 2015
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 11
Mobile Payments/Commerce
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 12
M&As in 2015
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 13
IoT Leaders
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 14
Solutions for mobile data growth
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 15
Mobile data revenues in 2015
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 16
Mobile Commerce > E-Commerce?
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 17
Gadget Company of the Year 2014-15
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 18
Mobile Company of the year – 2014-15
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 19
Impact of Automation
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 20
What does the future hold?
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 21
Digital Mobile Operators
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 22
Impact of mobile on verticals
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 23
Disintermediation in the next 5 years
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 24
Mobile Person of the Year
Chetan Sharma Consulting
• Strategy
– Consumer & Enterprise
• Roadmap
• Product and Technology
Strategy
• Technical Due-Diligence
• R&D
• Business Plan Development
• Revenue Models
• Market Research
– Research and Forecasting
– Competitive Analysis
– Market Sizing
• Intellectual Property
– Strategy, Audit, & Policy
– Patents, Infringement analysis
– Patent Mining and Valuation
– Litigation
• Mobile Thought-leadership Summits
– Mobile Future Forward
– Mobile Breakfast Series
www.chetansharma.com
 13 yr old ManagementConsulting firm exclusively focused on Mobile
 Advisor to major operators, OEMs, brands, startups,VCs, and Fortune 500 firms
around the world
 Strategy for each of the top 6 global mobile data operators
 Have a unique 360o view of the ecosystem
Next 5 years in mobile in 1 day
Sept, 2015
Seattle
Ever wondered what the future of mobile looks like?
Join us for an extraordinary day of executive mobile brainstorming
Contact info@mobilefutureforward.com for
sponsorship and speaking opportunities
www.mobilefutureforward.com
© Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 27
We look forward to hearing from you
Chetan Sharma
chetan@chetansharma.com
TW: @chetansharma
http://www.chetansharma.com
Mobile Future Forward
info@mobilefutureforward.com
TW: @mfutureforward
http://www.mobilefutureforward.com
Research. Technology. Strategy. Intellectual Property. Thought Leadership Summits.

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2015 mobile industry_predictions_survey

  • 1. © Copyright 2012, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is prohibited. 1/2012http://www.chetansharma.com 1 2015 Mobile Industry Predictions Survey Research. Technology. Strategy. Intellectual Property. Thought Leadership Summits.
  • 2. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 2 2015 Mobile Industry Predictions Survey A very happy, healthy, and prosperous 2015 to you and your family. My thanks to all who participated in our 8th annual Mobile Predictions Survey. It is a unique polling of the insiders to get a glimpse into what the ecosystem is thinking about the future. 2014 was without a doubt an awesome year for the mobile industry. Not only the ecosystem perform well on almost metrics, it has started to open up the tent to bring in other industries as well which is where lot of the action is going to be in the next 5-10 years. As we discussed in the Connected Intelligence Paper, the Golden Age of Mobile is here and we are in for one heck of a ride. They were so many milestones that it is hard to capture them in a short note but it is worth noting the steady climb of subscriptions past the human population, the continuous of apps and data revenue, and the disruption of vertical industries like transportation, travel, and health were probably the defining highlights of the year. The 4th wave is indeed in full-effect. Many incumbents are struggling to adjust and the torrent of startup innovation is changing the global landscape of how new revenue is generated in the ecosystem. By our count, there were at least 38 companies generating a billion dollars of more from 4th wave services. This is a whopping 442% jump from 2012. The average amount of data consumed by smartphones doubled in most LTE markets and we can expect a similar jump in 2015. Just consider the amount of change we have seen in the first half of this decade: 483% growth in digital information, 12,816% growth in mobile data traffic, 339% growth in smartphone sales, 1,344% growth in tablets sales, 73% growth in data revenues, 433% growth in OTT revenues, 50% growth in mobile industry revenues, and 341% growth in mobile apps revenue. Can you imagine what the next 5 years will be like? Stay with us and we will keep you posted 
  • 3. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 3 2015 Mobile Industry Predictions Survey Our annual survey is a way to engage our knowledgeable community on the trends we are likely to see the next year. We put some of the pressing questions to our colleagues and industry leaders from all corners of the world. The aggregated view and the nuances help us in getting a sense of what’s to come. Executives, developers, and insiders (n=175) from leading mobile companies and startups from across the value chain and from around the globe participated to help see what 2015 might bring to surprise us. The survey draws upon the unique collective wisdom of the folks who are the center of the mobile evolution. Thanks for being part of our annual ritual. 25 names were randomly drawn for the limited edition of Mobile Future Forward 2014 Book and they have been notified. Welcome 2015! Kind regards, Chetan
  • 4. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 4 Participant Composition
  • 5. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 5 Biggest Mobile Stories of 2014
  • 6. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 6 Biggest Mobile stories of 2015
  • 7. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 7 Most Important Players in Mobile
  • 8. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 8 Breakthrough Mobile Categories in 2015
  • 9. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 9 Apps in 2015
  • 10. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 10 Wearables in 2015
  • 11. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 11 Mobile Payments/Commerce
  • 12. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 12 M&As in 2015
  • 13. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 13 IoT Leaders
  • 14. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 14 Solutions for mobile data growth
  • 15. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 15 Mobile data revenues in 2015
  • 16. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 16 Mobile Commerce > E-Commerce?
  • 17. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 17 Gadget Company of the Year 2014-15
  • 18. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 18 Mobile Company of the year – 2014-15
  • 19. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 19 Impact of Automation
  • 20. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 20 What does the future hold?
  • 21. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 21 Digital Mobile Operators
  • 22. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 22 Impact of mobile on verticals
  • 23. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 23 Disintermediation in the next 5 years
  • 24. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 24 Mobile Person of the Year
  • 25. Chetan Sharma Consulting • Strategy – Consumer & Enterprise • Roadmap • Product and Technology Strategy • Technical Due-Diligence • R&D • Business Plan Development • Revenue Models • Market Research – Research and Forecasting – Competitive Analysis – Market Sizing • Intellectual Property – Strategy, Audit, & Policy – Patents, Infringement analysis – Patent Mining and Valuation – Litigation • Mobile Thought-leadership Summits – Mobile Future Forward – Mobile Breakfast Series www.chetansharma.com  13 yr old ManagementConsulting firm exclusively focused on Mobile  Advisor to major operators, OEMs, brands, startups,VCs, and Fortune 500 firms around the world  Strategy for each of the top 6 global mobile data operators  Have a unique 360o view of the ecosystem
  • 26. Next 5 years in mobile in 1 day Sept, 2015 Seattle Ever wondered what the future of mobile looks like? Join us for an extraordinary day of executive mobile brainstorming Contact info@mobilefutureforward.com for sponsorship and speaking opportunities www.mobilefutureforward.com
  • 27. © Copyright 2015, All Rights Reserved. Copying w/o permission is strictly prohibited. 1/2015http://www.chetansharma.com 27 We look forward to hearing from you Chetan Sharma chetan@chetansharma.com TW: @chetansharma http://www.chetansharma.com Mobile Future Forward info@mobilefutureforward.com TW: @mfutureforward http://www.mobilefutureforward.com Research. Technology. Strategy. Intellectual Property. Thought Leadership Summits.