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AGRITECH IN THE
ANTHROPOCENE:
A question of survival | Dr. C.A.W. Brewster
July 2019 heatwave
THE ANTHROPOCENE
Human impact is so great that it is visible in the geological
record. A new geological epoch has been proposed.
Order of magnitude greater erosion due to urbanisation and
agriculture.
Major changes in element cycles such as nitrogen,
phosphorous, and carbon.
On course for 75% extinction of species
New “minerals” e.g. plastic, concrete and fly ash. Plastic
particles in our oceans, waterways and soil.
Black carbon particulate due to fossil fuel burning
Humans drive biological, chemical and environmental
changes. And this affects our capacity to grow food.
2 | Agritech in the Anthropocene:
FOOD AND AGRICULTURE SYSTEM CAUSING A CRISIS
Agriculture produces >24% of Greenhouse gasses
(GHGs). Food system about 37% of GHGs.
70% of global fresh water used in agriculture
1% of global soil lost every year – leaving 40-60
crop cycles left
80% of insect biomass has been lost, general major
loss of biodiversity e.g. countryside devoid of
hedgehogs. Ecosystems are collapsing.
Land use change causes combined effects of
GHGs, climate change, biodiversity loss, and water
loss
30-50% of food produced is wasted/thrown away
900M people undernourished, 2B overweight/obese
Current challenges for agrifood system
Soil Depth in Iowa Has Halved
Since Intensive Cultivation
Began
FOOD AND AGRICULTURE SUFFERING FROM CRISIS
Global population (= demand) increasing especially for meat
and dairy. BUT huge environmental problems with
livestock and dairy.
Soil is disappearing.
Water shortages globally + drought, while sudden storms
destroying soil.
Long term shortage of phosphate.
Fishing – 90% of stocks are fully exploited or overfished.
Loss of crop biodiversity + crop epidemics due to climate
change.
Current challenges for agrifood system
World population projections
CLIMATE BREAKDOWN ACCELERATION:
2030 IS THE NEW 2100
Scope Strategy Agrifood
https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201907
NEW EEA REPORT – 4 SEPT 2019
Extreme weather is affecting many parts of Europe.
Floods, droughts, heat waves.
Crop and livestock production is projected to decrease
and may even have to be abandoned in parts of
Europe’s southern and Mediterranean regions. Land
values will decrease and some land will have to be
abandoned.
Focus of the report is on adaptation, no longer on
mitigation. So this acknowledges the inevitability of
climate breakdown. Member states still focus on
mitigation in policy and funding.
THE SCIENCE SAYS ….
We cannot continue with “business as usual”
We cannot continue to lose 70+% of insects (due to habitat
loss and pesticides)
We cannot continue to lose 1% of top soil annually
We cannot continue to destroy our crop biodiversity and
wider biodiversity
We cannot continue to produce the same quantities of meat
and dairy products
….
DATA DRIVEN CLIMATE SMART AGRICULTURE
Prioritising climate and biodiversity before
technology. Precision agriculture with bells and whistles
Combining models of crops and environment, streams of
data from remote and proximate sensors,
Help guide agricultural decisions that are environmentally
sustainable.
Simple starting point: How to grow multiple crops in
the same time and space?
Return to basics: Crop rotation, multicropping
Providing a technological support of agroecological
methods ……
THE CHALLENGE: IDENTIFYING AN APPROPRIATE
ROLE FOR AGRITECH INNOVATION
For every idea, every invention, every
innovation in agritech, we need to ask:
How does your agritech innovation
affect climate breakdown or
biodiversity collapse?
If it does not help, think again.
Think about the unintended
consequences … 2 or 3 steps away
THANK YOU FOR YOUR
ATTENTION
Take a look:
https://www.tno.nl/feedthefuture

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Agritech in the anthropocene

  • 1. AGRITECH IN THE ANTHROPOCENE: A question of survival | Dr. C.A.W. Brewster July 2019 heatwave
  • 2. THE ANTHROPOCENE Human impact is so great that it is visible in the geological record. A new geological epoch has been proposed. Order of magnitude greater erosion due to urbanisation and agriculture. Major changes in element cycles such as nitrogen, phosphorous, and carbon. On course for 75% extinction of species New “minerals” e.g. plastic, concrete and fly ash. Plastic particles in our oceans, waterways and soil. Black carbon particulate due to fossil fuel burning Humans drive biological, chemical and environmental changes. And this affects our capacity to grow food. 2 | Agritech in the Anthropocene:
  • 3. FOOD AND AGRICULTURE SYSTEM CAUSING A CRISIS Agriculture produces >24% of Greenhouse gasses (GHGs). Food system about 37% of GHGs. 70% of global fresh water used in agriculture 1% of global soil lost every year – leaving 40-60 crop cycles left 80% of insect biomass has been lost, general major loss of biodiversity e.g. countryside devoid of hedgehogs. Ecosystems are collapsing. Land use change causes combined effects of GHGs, climate change, biodiversity loss, and water loss 30-50% of food produced is wasted/thrown away 900M people undernourished, 2B overweight/obese Current challenges for agrifood system Soil Depth in Iowa Has Halved Since Intensive Cultivation Began
  • 4. FOOD AND AGRICULTURE SUFFERING FROM CRISIS Global population (= demand) increasing especially for meat and dairy. BUT huge environmental problems with livestock and dairy. Soil is disappearing. Water shortages globally + drought, while sudden storms destroying soil. Long term shortage of phosphate. Fishing – 90% of stocks are fully exploited or overfished. Loss of crop biodiversity + crop epidemics due to climate change. Current challenges for agrifood system World population projections
  • 5. CLIMATE BREAKDOWN ACCELERATION: 2030 IS THE NEW 2100 Scope Strategy Agrifood https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/201907
  • 6. NEW EEA REPORT – 4 SEPT 2019 Extreme weather is affecting many parts of Europe. Floods, droughts, heat waves. Crop and livestock production is projected to decrease and may even have to be abandoned in parts of Europe’s southern and Mediterranean regions. Land values will decrease and some land will have to be abandoned. Focus of the report is on adaptation, no longer on mitigation. So this acknowledges the inevitability of climate breakdown. Member states still focus on mitigation in policy and funding.
  • 7. THE SCIENCE SAYS …. We cannot continue with “business as usual” We cannot continue to lose 70+% of insects (due to habitat loss and pesticides) We cannot continue to lose 1% of top soil annually We cannot continue to destroy our crop biodiversity and wider biodiversity We cannot continue to produce the same quantities of meat and dairy products ….
  • 8. DATA DRIVEN CLIMATE SMART AGRICULTURE Prioritising climate and biodiversity before technology. Precision agriculture with bells and whistles Combining models of crops and environment, streams of data from remote and proximate sensors, Help guide agricultural decisions that are environmentally sustainable. Simple starting point: How to grow multiple crops in the same time and space? Return to basics: Crop rotation, multicropping Providing a technological support of agroecological methods ……
  • 9. THE CHALLENGE: IDENTIFYING AN APPROPRIATE ROLE FOR AGRITECH INNOVATION For every idea, every invention, every innovation in agritech, we need to ask: How does your agritech innovation affect climate breakdown or biodiversity collapse? If it does not help, think again. Think about the unintended consequences … 2 or 3 steps away
  • 10. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION Take a look: https://www.tno.nl/feedthefuture