Professor David Cebon, Director of Centre for Sustainable Road Freight at Cambridge University presents at CILT International Convention 2018 in Wroclaw

1. ciltinternational.org
1 International Convention 2018 Wroclaw | Poland
Linking CEE to the World | Impact of the Electric Car Revolution
Wroclaw | 3 – 6 June 2018
Prof David Cebon
Director, Centre for Sustainable Road Freight
Prospects for Electrification of Road Freight

2. www.sustainableroadfreight.org
Prospects for Electrification of Road Freight
CILT2018 Convention Wroclaw Poland
Prof David Cebon
Director, Centre for Sustainable Road Freight
University of Cambridge, UK

3. ciltinternational.org
3 International Convention 2018 Wroclaw | Poland
Linking CEE to the World | Impact of the Electric Car Revolution
1. Barriers and Benefits of decarbonisation measures
2. A roadmap for decarbonisation of freight
3. A logistics network for electrification
4. Conclusions
Contents

4. ciltinternational.org
4 International Convention 2018 Wroclaw | Poland
Linking CEE to the World | Impact of the Electric Car Revolution
Technologies for reducing fuel
consumption and CO2
Barriers to mainstream adoption (Technical, Economic, Political)
LowHigh
ReductionofGreenhouseGases
10%
20%
30%
Medium
Higher Capacity
Vehicles
Electrification
(Urban, 2025)
Dual Fuel
Vehicle Technologies
Aerodynamics
Light-weighting
Refrigeration
Low RR tyres
More efficient diesel
Improved transmissions
Fuels and lubricants
Dedicated
CNG/LNG
Dedicated
compressed
Bio Gas
Hydraulic
Hybrids
Platooning
Autonomous Vehicles
Hydrogen
2035
Best
solutions
Driver
Feedback?
Driver training
Routing
Telematics
Dedicated
Bio Gas
Exhaust heat
recovery
Electric
Hybrids
Tyre pressure
Smoother roads
Electrification
(Urban, 2035)
Insufficient benefit
Electrification
(Long-haul,
2040)
40%

5. ciltinternational.org
5 International Convention 2018 Wroclaw | Poland
Linking CEE to the World | Impact of the Electric Car Revolution
Routing
Port Centric
Logistics
Consolidation
centres
Co-Modality
Crowd sourced
logistics
Physical
Internet
Vehicle Fill
Co-loading
Logistics measures for reducing CO2
Barriers to mainstream adoption (Corporate, Technical, Economic, Political)
LowHigh
Best-caseoverallimpact
5%
10%
15%
Medium
Backhaul
Home Delivery
Of
Groceries
Best
solutions
Retiming
DeliveriesLast mile
solutions
Drones

6. ciltinternational.org
6 International Convention 2018 Wroclaw | Poland
Linking CEE to the World | Impact of the Electric Car Revolution
-80%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
1. ‘Positive NPV’
Highest impact measures:
• Driver training; aerodynamics;
EMS vehicles;
• Electrified urban delivery
• Retiming off-peak; optimised
routing; backhaul;
synchronised consolidation
2. ‘Incentivised uptake’
As for ‘Positive NPV’
+ substantial adoption of
methane and dual fuel
3. ‘Electrification
of Long Haul’
SRF Roadmap – 3 scenarios

7. ciltinternational.org
7 International Convention 2018 Wroclaw | Poland
Linking CEE to the World | Impact of the Electric Car Revolution
A Logistics Network for Electrification
City
City
Home delivery:
Battery EV
National or
Regional DC
National or
Regional DC
Local DC
/Supermarket
/UCC
All batteries < 85 kWh (Tesla ‘S’)
Refuse collection:
Battery EV/Opp. charge
Convenience
stores & shops
Urban delivery from UCC:
Battery EV/Opp. charge
Trunk network:
Charge-in-motion

8. ciltinternational.org
8 International Convention 2018 Wroclaw | Poland
Linking CEE to the World | Impact of the Electric Car Revolution
Advantages of Opportunity Charging:
• Smaller, lighter, cheaper batteries
• More payload
• Lower CO2 emissions
• Much lower charging power overnight
Similar concept for charge-in-motion
Battery
capacity
20% final SoC to
preserve battery life
Battery
capacity Charging
cycles
Opportunity Charging
50
06:00 09:00 12:00 15:00 18:00 21:00 00:00 03:00
Hours
0
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
EnergyStored(kWh)
Overnight Charging
Overnight vs Opportunity Charging

9. ciltinternational.org
9 International Convention 2018 Wroclaw | Poland
Linking CEE to the World | Impact of the Electric Car Revolution
Conclusions
1. 80% CO2 reduction by 2050 is only achievable with
electrification most heavy goods vehicles
2. Battery EVs are viable for urban areas
3. Opportunity Charging infrastructure provides huge advantages..
4. ‘Big-Battery’ EVs are not viable for long-haul: requires charge-
in-motion
5. Overhead wires are the most likely solution for highways:
proven technology, fewest technical challenges, practical cost.
 A new era of infrastructure investment is required!

10. ciltinternational.org
10 International Convention 2018 Wroclaw | Poland
Linking CEE to the World | Impact of the Electric Car Revolution
Thank You
David Cebon
Centre for Sustainable Road Freight
dc@eng.cam.ac.uk

11. ciltinternational.org
11 International Convention 2018 Wroclaw | Poland
Linking CEE to the World | Impact of the Electric Car Revolution
Opportunity Charging power delivery for buses
• Hamburg, Germany
• Innovation Line 109
• 4 X 300 kW conductive chargers
• Milton Keynes, UK
• Route 7
• 2 X 120 kW wireless chargers