The survey of 1,257 likely general election voters on Oahu found: - Former governor Ben Cayetano had 51% support for Honolulu mayor compared to 42% for former acting mayor Kirk Caldwell. - 38% of respondents supported the Honolulu Rail project while 53% opposed it. 71% had felt the same way about rail for over a year. - Among rail opponents, concerns about cost (37%) were highest, followed by traffic issues (35%).

1. 1
• 1,257 Likely General Election Voters on Oahu
• Sampling Margin of Error +/-2.8%
• September 26-28, 2012
Who would you vote for in the race for Honolulu mayor—former Governor Ben Cayetano, or
former Honolulu acting Mayor Kirk Caldwell? [name order randomized]
Mayor
Cayetano 51%
Caldwell 42%
Unsure 7%
Total 100%
How do you feel about the Honolulu Rail project – do you generally support or oppose it?
Rail
Support 38%
Oppose 53%
Unsure 10%
Total 100%
How recently did you make up your mind about the Rail project? Was it just within the past few
months? Within the past year? Or have you felt the same way about Rail for more than a year?
Rail_Decide
Few months 9%
Past year 19%
More than a year 71%
Unsure 1%
Total 100%

2. 2
Rail Supporters Only:
How upset would you be if the Rail project is not completed—very upset, somewhat upset, or
not upset?
Supporters
Very upset 65%
Somewhat upset 27%
Not upset 8%
Unsure 1%
Total 100%
The Hawaii Supreme Court recently ruled the city should have done all of its burial surveys
along the entire route before starting rail construction. Because of this, the city has halted
construction. Did this Supreme Court ruling reduce your support of the Rail project?
Ruling
Yes 5%
No 84%
Unsure 11%
Total 100%

3. 3
Rail Opponents Only:
How upset would you be if the Rail project is completed—very upset, somewhat upset, or not
upset?
Opponents
Very upset 71%
Somewhat upset 19%
Not upset 7%
Unsure 3%
Total 100%
What concerns you most about the Rail project? Is it that it will not help fix Honolulu’s traffic
congestion problems? That it’s too expensive? That it will damage Oahu’s natural beauty and
landscape? That not enough people will use it? Or that it will disturb Native Hawaiian burials?
Concerns
Traffic 35%
Cost 37%
Landscape 9%
Use 13%
Burials 0%
Unsure 6%
Total 100%

4. 4
Demographics:
Gender
Male 46%
Female 54%
Total 100%
Age
18-29 5%
30-39 8%
40-49 10%
50-64 31%
65+ 46%
Total 100%
Race_Ethnicity
Caucasian 36%
Japanese 38%
Filipino 8%
Hawaiian 3%
Chinese 12%
Hispanic/Latino 0%
Other/Mixed 3%
Total 100%

5. 5
Politics
Liberal/Progressive 26%
Moderate 38%
Conservative 21%
Unsure 15%
Total 100%
Party_ID
Democrat 52%
Republican 18%
Independent 26%
Unsure 4%
Total 100%
Education
No degree 2%
High School Degree 27%
College Degree 43%
Graduate Degree 28%
Total 100%
Military_Family
Yes 11%
No 89%
Total 100%
Income
Less than $50,000 33%
$50,000-$100,000 40%
$100,000 or more 27%
Total 100%

6. 6
Crosstabs:
Mayor * Rail Crosstabulation
% within Rail
Rail
Support Oppose Unsure
Mayor Cayetano 11% 84% 19%
Caldwell 87% 11% 43%
Unsure 3% 5% 38%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Rail * Mayor Crosstabulation
% within Mayor
Mayor
Cayetano Caldwell Unsure
Rail Support 8% 77% 14%
Oppose 89% 14% 36%
Unsure 3% 9% 51%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Mayor * Rail_Decide Crosstabulation
% within Rail_Decide
Rail_Decide
More
Few Past than a
months year year Unsure
Mayor Cayetano 69% 55% 52% 36%
Caldwell 29% 41% 44% 55%
Unsure 2% 4% 4% 9%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Rail_Decide * Mayor Crosstabulation
% within Mayor
Mayor
Cayetano Caldwell Unsure
Rail_Decide Few months 11% 6% 5%
Past year 20% 18% 20%
More than a year 68% 74% 73%
Unsure 1% 1% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100%

7. 7
Mayor * Supporters Crosstabulation
% within Supporters
Supporters
Very Somewhat Not
upset upset upset Unsure
Mayor Cayetano 7% 14% 29%
Caldwell 90% 84% 71% 100%
Unsure 3% 2%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Mayor * Ruling Crosstabulation
% within Ruling
Ruling
Yes No Unsure
Mayor Cayetano 16% 9% 18%
Caldwell 84% 88% 80%
Unsure 3% 2%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Mayor * Opponents Crosstabulation
% within Opponents
Opponents
Very Somewhat Not
upset upset upset Unsure
Mayor Cayetano 94% 60% 68% 58%
Caldwell 3% 30% 30% 37%
Unsure 3% 10% 2% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Mayor * Concerns Crosstabulation
% within Concerns
Concerns
Landscap
Traffic Cost e Use Burials Unsure
Mayor Cayetano 90% 85% 83% 76% 50% 74%
Caldwell 7% 12% 9% 15% 50% 12%
Unsure 3% 3% 9% 9% 15%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

8. 8
Mayor * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
Mayor Cayetano 55% 47%
Caldwell 40% 44%
Unsure 6% 8%
Total 100% 100%
Mayor * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+
Mayor Cayetano 34% 50% 58% 51% 51%
Caldwell 53% 31% 37% 43% 44%
Unsure 14% 19% 5% 7% 5%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Mayor * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Japanes Hispanic/Latin
Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed
Mayor Cayetano 58% 44% 47% 58% 47% 40% 54%
Caldwell 35% 51% 44% 36% 41% 60% 31%
Unsure 7% 5% 9% 6% 11% 14%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

9. 9
Mayor * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ
e Moderate e Unsure
Mayor Cayetano 46% 47% 65% 45%
Caldwell 48% 49% 29% 37%
Unsure 5% 5% 5% 19%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Mayor * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
Party_ID
Republica Independen
Democrat n t Unsure
Mayor Cayetano 43% 59% 59% 39%
Caldwell 52% 36% 34% 12%
Unsure 5% 5% 7% 49%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Mayor * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Education
High
No School College Graduate
degree Degree Degree Degree
Mayor Cayetano 25% 52% 51% 48%
Caldwell 55% 39% 44% 44%
Unsure 20% 9% 5% 8%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

10. 10
Mayor * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes No
Mayor Cayetano 49% 50%
Caldwell 42% 43%
Unsure 9% 7%
Total 100% 100%
Mayor * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less
than $50,000- $100,000
$50,000 $100,000 or more
Mayor Cayetano 48% 52% 49%
Caldwell 44% 41% 47%
Unsure 8% 8% 3%
Total 100% 100% 100%

11. 11
Rail_Decide * Rail Crosstabulation
% within Rail
Rail
Support Oppose
Rail_Decide Few months 8% 10%
Past year 17% 20%
More than a year 75% 68%
Unsure 0% 1%
Total 100% 100%
Rail * Rail_Decide Crosstabulation
% within Rail_Decide
Rail_Decide
More
Few Past than a
months year year Unsure
Rail Support 35% 38% 44% 18%
Oppose 65% 62% 56% 82%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

12. 12
Rail * Gender Crosstabulation
% within Gender
Gender
Male Female
Rail Support 39% 36%
Oppose 54% 52%
Unsure 7% 12%
Total 100% 100%
Rail * Age Crosstabulation
% within Age
Age
18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 65+
Rail Support 63% 37% 33% 36% 37%
Oppose 37% 49% 61% 53% 52%
Unsure 14% 6% 11% 11%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Rail * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation
% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_Ethnicity
Japanes Hispanic/Latin
Caucasian e Filipino Hawaiian Chinese o Other/Mixed
Rail Support 31% 46% 40% 31% 32% 60% 26%
Oppose 64% 43% 48% 63% 47% 40% 66%
Unsure 5% 11% 12% 6% 20% 8%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Rail * Politics Crosstabulation
% within Politics
Politics
Liberal/Progressiv Conservativ
e Moderate e Unsure
Rail Support 42% 42% 24% 38%
Oppose 47% 52% 70% 36%
Unsure 10% 6% 6% 26%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%

13. 13
Rail * Party_ID Crosstabulation
% within Party_ID
Party_ID
Republica Independen
Democrat n t Unsure
Rail Support 46% 28% 29% 29%
Oppose 44% 65% 64% 22%
Unsure 9% 8% 7% 49%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Rail * Education Crosstabulation
% within Education
Education
High
No School College Graduate
degree Degree Degree Degree
Rail Support 50% 34% 38% 40%
Oppose 23% 54% 55% 49%
Unsure 27% 12% 7% 11%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
Rail * Military_Family Crosstabulation
% within Military_Family
Military_Family
Yes No
Rail Support 38% 38%
Oppose 52% 52%
Unsure 11% 10%
Total 100% 100%
Rail * Income Crosstabulation
% within Income
Income
Less
than $50,000- $100,000
$50,000 $100,000 or more
Rail Support 42% 36% 41%
Oppose 48% 54% 51%
Unsure 10% 10% 8%
Total 100% 100% 100%

14. 14
Mayor * Senate Crosstabulation
% within Senate
Senate
Hirono Lingle Unsure
Mayor Cayetano 42% 65% 25%
Caldwell 53% 31% 24%
Unsure 5% 4% 51%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Senate * Mayor Crosstabulation
% within Mayor
Mayor
Cayetano Caldwell Unsure
Senate Hirono 44% 66% 35%
Lingle 53% 30% 20%
Unsure 3% 4% 44%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Mayor * CD Crosstabulation
% within CD
CD
1 2 Total
Mayor Cayetano 49% 54% 51%
Caldwell 44% 37% 42%
Unsure 7% 9% 7%
Total 100% 100% 100%