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Global	
  Health	
  Ethics,	
  Poli1cs,	
  and	
  Economics	
  
Yale	
  University	
  
Guest	
  Lecture,	
  March	
  5,	
  2013	
  
From anecdote …
… to evidence
January,	
  2008	
  June,	
  2007	
  
Battling sepsis in the
Médica Sur Hospital.
Mexico City. July 2008
Juanita:
Advanced metastatic breast
cancer is the result of a series
of missed opportunities
Launching a program
at the Mexican
Health Foundation
the day I got sepsis.
July 2008.
From anecdote …
… to evidence
GTF.CCC
Members	
  
= global health + cancer care
Challenge and disprove the
myths about cancer
M1. Unnecessary
M2. Unaffordable
M3. Impossible
M4: Inappropriate
• Should,
• Could, and
• Can…..
….be
Expanding access to cancer care and control in
low and middle income countries:
"  Mirrors the epidemiological transition
"   LMICs increasingly face both infection-
associated cancers, and all other cancers.
The Cancer Transition
"   Cancers increasingly only of the poor, are
not the only cancers affecting the poor.
#2 cause of death in wealthy countries
#3 in upper middle-income
#4 in lower middle-income
and # 8 in low-income countries
More than 85% of pediatric cancer cases and 95% of
deaths occur in developing countries.
For children & adolescents
5-14 cancer is	
  
The cancer transition in LMICs:
breast and cervical cancer
LMICs account for
>90% of cervical
cancer deaths and
>60% of breast
cancer deaths.
Both diseases are
leading killers –
especially of young
women.
Mortality	
  from	
  breast	
  and	
  cervical	
  
cancer	
  in	
  México	
  1955-­‐2010	
  
0	
  
4	
  
8	
  
12	
  
16	
  
1955	
  
1960	
  
1965	
  
1970	
  
1975	
  
1980	
  
1985	
  
1990	
  
1995	
  
2000	
  
2005	
  
2010	
  
Mama	
  
Cervix	
  
Mortalidad de cáncer de mama y
cervical en México 1979-2010
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1979
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
Oaxaca
Tasapor100,000mujeresajustadoporedad
Nuevo León
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1979
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
1980
1990
2000
2010
1980
1980
1980
1980
1990
2000
2010
1980
1980
1980
Source:	
  Knaul	
  et	
  al.,	
  2008.	
  Reproduc=ve	
  Health	
  MaBers,	
  and	
  updated	
  by	
  Knaul,	
  Arreola-­‐Ornelas	
  and	
  Méndez.	
  
Cáncer de mama
Cáncer de cérvix
•  The divide is the result of concentrating risk
factors, preventable disease, suffering,
impoverishment from ill health and death
among poor populations.
•  fueled by progress in cutting-edge science and
medicine in high-income countries.
Cancer is a disease of both rich and poor;
yet it is increasingly the poor who suffer:
1.  Exposure to risk factors
2.  Preventable cancers (infection)
3.  Treatable cancer death and disability
4.  Stigma and discrimination
5.  Avoidable pain and suffering
The Cancer Divide:
An Equity Imperative
Facets
Adults
Leukaemia
All cancers
Source: Knaul, Arreola, Mendez. estimates based on IARC, Globocan, 2010.
Children
LOW
INCOME
HIGH
INCOME
Survival
inequalitygap
LOW
INCOME
HIGH
INCOME
100%
Facet 3: The Opportunity to Survive
Should Not, but Is Defined by Income
In Canada, almost 90% of children with
leukemia survive.
In the poorest countries only 10%.
Cancer – especially in
women and children - adds a
layer of discrimination onto
ethnicity, poverty, and
gender.
Facet 5: The most insidious injustice
is lack of access to pain control
Non-methadone, Morphine Equivalent opioid
consumption per death from HIV or cancer in pain:
Poorest 10%: 54 mg per death
Richest 10%: 97,400 mg per death
Challenge and disprove the
myths about cancer
Investing In CCC:
We Cannot Afford Not To
"   Inaction reduces efficacy of health and social investments
"   Total economic cost of cancer, 2010: 2-4% of global GDP
"   Tobacco is a huge economic risk: 3.6% lower GDP
Prevention and treatment offers potential
world savings of $ US 130-940 billion
1/3-1/2 of cancer deaths are “avoidable”:
2.4-3.7 million deaths,
of which 80% are in LIMCs
✓	
  
The costs to close the cancer divide
may be less than many fear:
"   All but 3 of 29 LMIC priority cancer chemo and
hormonal agents are off-patent
"   Cost of drug treatment: cervical cancer + HL +
ALL(kids) in LMICs / year of incident cases: $US
280 m
"   Pain medication is cheap
"   Prices drop: HepB and HPV vaccines
"   Delivery & financing innovations are
underutilized & undeveloped: purchasing
fragmented, procurement unstable
Challenge and disprove the
myths about cancer
Women and mothers in LMICs
face many risks through the life cycle
Women 15-59, annual deaths
Diabetes
120,889
Breast
cancer
166,577
Source: Estimates based on data from WHO: Global Health Observatory, 2008 and Murray et al Lancet 2011.
Cervical
cancer
142,744
Mortality
in
childbirth
342,900
- 35%
in 30
years
= 430, 210 deaths
The Diagonal Approach to
Health System Strengthening
"   Rather than focusing on either disease-specific
vertical or horizontal-systemic programs, harness
synergies that provide opportunities to tackle disease-
specific priorities while addressing systemic gaps and
optimize available resources
"   Diagonal strategies:  X = > Σ parts
"   Bridge disease divides: patients suffer over a lifetime, most
of it chronic.
"   Generate positive externalities
Diagonal Strategies:
Positive Externalities
"   Promoting prevention and healthy lifestyles:
"   Reduce risk for cancer and many other diseases
"   Reducing stigma around women’s cancers:
"   Contributes to reducing gender discrimination
"   Promoting access to education for children w/ cancer
"   Reduces poverty, contributes to social development
"   Pain control and palliation
"   Reducing barriers to access is essential for cancer as
well as for for other diseases and for surgery.
Challenge and disprove the
myths about cancer
Initial views on MDR-TB
treatment, c. 1996-97
“MDR-TB is too
expensive to treat in
poor countries; it
detracts attention and
resources from treating
drug-susceptible
disease.” WHO 1997
Outcomes in MDR-TB
patients in Lima, Peru
receiving at least four
months of therapy
All patients initiated therapy
between Aug 96 and Feb 99
Abandon
therapy
2%
Failed
therapy
8%
Died
8%
Champions
Nobel Amartya Sen,
Cancer survivor diagnosed in India
50 years ago
Drew G. Faust
President of Harvard University
22+ year BC survivor
Rural Rwanda: 0 oncologist
Source: Paul Farmer., 2009
Burkitt´s
lymphoma
Embryonal
Rhabdomyosarcoma
St. Jude’s International
Outreach Program
•  Twinning in 20+ countries
– El Salvador: 5-year survival for children
with ALL increased from 10% to 60% in
five years
•  Cure4Kids/Oncopedia
– Over 31,000 users in more than 183
countries
México: IT IS POSSIBLE
‘Diagonalizing’ Financing:
Integrate cancer care and control into
national insurance and social security
programs to express previously suppressed
demand beginning with cancers of women
and children:
"  Mexico, Colombia, Dom Rep, Peru
"  China, India, Thailand
"  Rwanda, Ghana, South Africa
Universal Health Coverage in Mexico
through Seguro Popular
Horizontal	
  Coverage:	
  	
  
>	
  54.6	
  million	
  Beneficiaries	
  
Ver=cal	
  Coverage	
  	
  	
  
Diseases	
  and	
  Interven=ons:	
  	
  
	
  Expanded	
  Benefit	
  Package	
  	
  	
  
Evolution of vertical coverage: cumulative #
of covered interventions, 2004-2012
Notes: 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  
SP	
  =	
  Seguro	
  Popular	
  	
  
MING	
  =	
  Medical	
  Insurance	
  for	
  a	
  New	
  Genera=on	
  (Children	
  born	
  aWer	
  December	
  1,	
  2006	
  and	
  un=l	
  they	
  are	
  5	
  years	
  of	
  age)	
  
FPCHE	
  =	
  Fung	
  for	
  Protec=on	
  against	
  Catastrophic	
  Health	
  Expenditure	
  
EPHS	
  =Essen=al	
  Personal	
  Health	
  Services	
  	
  
EPI	
  =	
  Expanded	
  Programme	
  of	
  Immunisa=ons	
  
CBP=	
  Community-­‐based	
  package	
  ”	
  
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
63 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65
6 6 8 6 12 12 12 12 1322
83
176 184
189 189 198 198 206
6
6
17 20
49 49
49 57
57
110
108 116
128
128
131
MING
EPHS
EPI
CBP
FPCHE
Numberofinterventions
Seguro Popular
284 interventions
MING + SP
FPCHE
57
interventions
CAUSES	
  91	
  
FPCHE	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  6	
  
CAUSES	
  	
  284	
  FPCHE	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
57	
  
Seguro Popular:
Cancer and the Fund for Protection from
Catastrophic Illness
"   Accelerated, universal, vertical coverage by disease
with an effective package of interventions
"  2004: HIV/AIDS
"  2005: cervical cancer
"  2006: ALL in children
"  2007: All pediatric cancers; Breast cancer
"  2011: Testicular and Prostate cancer and NHL
"  2012: Ovarian (colorectal) cancer
Seguro Popular and cancer:
Evidence of impact
"  Access to medicines – an anecdote
"  Since the incorporation of childhood cancers
into the Seguro Popular
"   Adherence to treatment: 70% to 95%
"  Breast cancer adherence to treatment:
"   2005: 200/600
"   2010: 10/900
% diagnosed in Stage 4 by state
• # 2 killer of women 30-54
• Only 5-10% of cases in Mexico are
detected in Stage 1 or in situ
• Poor municipalites: 50% Stage 4; 5x rich
Delivery failure: Breast Cancer
Juanita
Poor/Marginalized	
  
Effective financial coverage:
breast cancer in Mexico
–  Primary prevention
–  Secondary prevention (early detection)
–  Diagnosis
–  Treatment
–  Survivorship care
–  Palliative care
Large and exemplary investment in treatment for women
and the health system, yet a low survival rate.
By applying a diagonal approach,
this can and is being remedied.
Health System
Functions
Stage of Chronic Disease Life Cycle /components CCC
Primary
Prevention
Secondary
prevention
Diagnosis Treatment
Survivorship/
Rehabilitation
Palliation/
End-of-life care
Stewardship
Financing
Delivery
Resource
Generation
Responding to the challenge of chronicity:
Health system functions by care continuum
Benefits:coveredinterventions
Horizontal and vertical financial protection strategies:
Seguro Popular in Mexico
ACCELERATED	
  VERTICAL	
  COVERAGE	
  for	
  Catastrophic	
  Illnesses	
  included	
  
in	
  the	
  Fund:	
  breast	
  cancer,	
  	
  AIDS	
  
Community	
  and	
  Public	
  Health	
  Services	
  
Poor	
   Rich	
  
CHILDREN:	
  Health	
  insurance	
  for	
  a	
  New	
  Genera1on	
  
Survivorship	
  
Package	
  of	
  essen1al	
  personal	
  services	
  
Preven=on,	
  	
  
Early	
  detec=on	
  
Beneficiaries
Harness platforms by integrating breast and
cervical cancer prevention, screening and
survivorship care into MCH, SRH, HIV/AIDS,
social welfare and anti-poverty programs.
Solution:
‘Diagonalizing’ Delivery
Including breast cancer awareness for
early detection in Oportunidades
•  “Guía de orientación y
capacitación a titulares
beneficiarios del programa
Oportunidades” includes
information on breast cancer
as of 2009/10
•  1.5 million copies to
promoters
•  Reaches 5.8 million families =
more than 90% of poor
households
Solution:
‘Diagonalizing’ Delivery
Results: 000´s promoters, nurses, doctors
Harnessing the primary level of care
Survivorship care…
incipient
Pain	
  and	
  Pallia=on	
  
Where are the opportunities?
•  LMICs – not months but whole lifetimes to be gained
•  Focus on prevention but do not stop there!
–  No prevent/treat dichotomization
•  Do not take prices as fixed or given – price permeability
•  Harness global and national health system platforms
•  Innovate in implementation, delivery and financing
–  Evaluate, replicate and scale up
–  Leapfrog and give forward
•  Redefine and reformulate health systems to manage chronicity
•  Harness cancer to strengthen health and social systems
•  Recognize LMICs as part of a global solution:
 investment in learning, research and human beings
Expanding access to cancer care and control in
LMICs: Should, Could, and Can be done

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Universal health coverage and the challenge of responding to chronic illness: a case study of Mexico and breast cancer

  • 1. Global  Health  Ethics,  Poli1cs,  and  Economics   Yale  University   Guest  Lecture,  March  5,  2013  
  • 2. From anecdote … … to evidence
  • 4. Battling sepsis in the Médica Sur Hospital. Mexico City. July 2008
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  • 9. Juanita: Advanced metastatic breast cancer is the result of a series of missed opportunities
  • 10. Launching a program at the Mexican Health Foundation the day I got sepsis. July 2008.
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  • 12. From anecdote … … to evidence
  • 14. = global health + cancer care
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  • 16. Challenge and disprove the myths about cancer M1. Unnecessary M2. Unaffordable M3. Impossible M4: Inappropriate • Should, • Could, and • Can….. ….be Expanding access to cancer care and control in low and middle income countries:
  • 17. "  Mirrors the epidemiological transition "   LMICs increasingly face both infection- associated cancers, and all other cancers. The Cancer Transition "   Cancers increasingly only of the poor, are not the only cancers affecting the poor.
  • 18. #2 cause of death in wealthy countries #3 in upper middle-income #4 in lower middle-income and # 8 in low-income countries More than 85% of pediatric cancer cases and 95% of deaths occur in developing countries. For children & adolescents 5-14 cancer is  
  • 19. The cancer transition in LMICs: breast and cervical cancer LMICs account for >90% of cervical cancer deaths and >60% of breast cancer deaths. Both diseases are leading killers – especially of young women. Mortality  from  breast  and  cervical   cancer  in  México  1955-­‐2010   0   4   8   12   16   1955   1960   1965   1970   1975   1980   1985   1990   1995   2000   2005   2010   Mama   Cervix  
  • 20. Mortalidad de cáncer de mama y cervical en México 1979-2010 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 1979 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Oaxaca Tasapor100,000mujeresajustadoporedad Nuevo León 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 1979 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1980 1990 2000 2010 1980 1980 1980 1980 1990 2000 2010 1980 1980 1980 Source:  Knaul  et  al.,  2008.  Reproduc=ve  Health  MaBers,  and  updated  by  Knaul,  Arreola-­‐Ornelas  and  Méndez.   Cáncer de mama Cáncer de cérvix
  • 21. •  The divide is the result of concentrating risk factors, preventable disease, suffering, impoverishment from ill health and death among poor populations. •  fueled by progress in cutting-edge science and medicine in high-income countries.
  • 22. Cancer is a disease of both rich and poor; yet it is increasingly the poor who suffer: 1.  Exposure to risk factors 2.  Preventable cancers (infection) 3.  Treatable cancer death and disability 4.  Stigma and discrimination 5.  Avoidable pain and suffering The Cancer Divide: An Equity Imperative Facets
  • 23. Adults Leukaemia All cancers Source: Knaul, Arreola, Mendez. estimates based on IARC, Globocan, 2010. Children LOW INCOME HIGH INCOME Survival inequalitygap LOW INCOME HIGH INCOME 100% Facet 3: The Opportunity to Survive Should Not, but Is Defined by Income In Canada, almost 90% of children with leukemia survive. In the poorest countries only 10%.
  • 24. Cancer – especially in women and children - adds a layer of discrimination onto ethnicity, poverty, and gender.
  • 25. Facet 5: The most insidious injustice is lack of access to pain control Non-methadone, Morphine Equivalent opioid consumption per death from HIV or cancer in pain: Poorest 10%: 54 mg per death Richest 10%: 97,400 mg per death
  • 26. Challenge and disprove the myths about cancer
  • 27. Investing In CCC: We Cannot Afford Not To "   Inaction reduces efficacy of health and social investments "   Total economic cost of cancer, 2010: 2-4% of global GDP "   Tobacco is a huge economic risk: 3.6% lower GDP Prevention and treatment offers potential world savings of $ US 130-940 billion 1/3-1/2 of cancer deaths are “avoidable”: 2.4-3.7 million deaths, of which 80% are in LIMCs ✓  
  • 28. The costs to close the cancer divide may be less than many fear: "   All but 3 of 29 LMIC priority cancer chemo and hormonal agents are off-patent "   Cost of drug treatment: cervical cancer + HL + ALL(kids) in LMICs / year of incident cases: $US 280 m "   Pain medication is cheap "   Prices drop: HepB and HPV vaccines "   Delivery & financing innovations are underutilized & undeveloped: purchasing fragmented, procurement unstable
  • 29. Challenge and disprove the myths about cancer
  • 30. Women and mothers in LMICs face many risks through the life cycle Women 15-59, annual deaths Diabetes 120,889 Breast cancer 166,577 Source: Estimates based on data from WHO: Global Health Observatory, 2008 and Murray et al Lancet 2011. Cervical cancer 142,744 Mortality in childbirth 342,900 - 35% in 30 years = 430, 210 deaths
  • 31. The Diagonal Approach to Health System Strengthening "   Rather than focusing on either disease-specific vertical or horizontal-systemic programs, harness synergies that provide opportunities to tackle disease- specific priorities while addressing systemic gaps and optimize available resources "   Diagonal strategies:  X = > Σ parts "   Bridge disease divides: patients suffer over a lifetime, most of it chronic. "   Generate positive externalities
  • 32. Diagonal Strategies: Positive Externalities "   Promoting prevention and healthy lifestyles: "   Reduce risk for cancer and many other diseases "   Reducing stigma around women’s cancers: "   Contributes to reducing gender discrimination "   Promoting access to education for children w/ cancer "   Reduces poverty, contributes to social development "   Pain control and palliation "   Reducing barriers to access is essential for cancer as well as for for other diseases and for surgery.
  • 33. Challenge and disprove the myths about cancer
  • 34. Initial views on MDR-TB treatment, c. 1996-97 “MDR-TB is too expensive to treat in poor countries; it detracts attention and resources from treating drug-susceptible disease.” WHO 1997 Outcomes in MDR-TB patients in Lima, Peru receiving at least four months of therapy All patients initiated therapy between Aug 96 and Feb 99 Abandon therapy 2% Failed therapy 8% Died 8%
  • 35. Champions Nobel Amartya Sen, Cancer survivor diagnosed in India 50 years ago Drew G. Faust President of Harvard University 22+ year BC survivor
  • 36. Rural Rwanda: 0 oncologist Source: Paul Farmer., 2009 Burkitt´s lymphoma Embryonal Rhabdomyosarcoma
  • 37. St. Jude’s International Outreach Program •  Twinning in 20+ countries – El Salvador: 5-year survival for children with ALL increased from 10% to 60% in five years •  Cure4Kids/Oncopedia – Over 31,000 users in more than 183 countries
  • 38. México: IT IS POSSIBLE
  • 39. ‘Diagonalizing’ Financing: Integrate cancer care and control into national insurance and social security programs to express previously suppressed demand beginning with cancers of women and children: "  Mexico, Colombia, Dom Rep, Peru "  China, India, Thailand "  Rwanda, Ghana, South Africa
  • 40. Universal Health Coverage in Mexico through Seguro Popular Horizontal  Coverage:     >  54.6  million  Beneficiaries   Ver=cal  Coverage       Diseases  and  Interven=ons:      Expanded  Benefit  Package      
  • 41. Evolution of vertical coverage: cumulative # of covered interventions, 2004-2012 Notes:                 SP  =  Seguro  Popular     MING  =  Medical  Insurance  for  a  New  Genera=on  (Children  born  aWer  December  1,  2006  and  un=l  they  are  5  years  of  age)   FPCHE  =  Fung  for  Protec=on  against  Catastrophic  Health  Expenditure   EPHS  =Essen=al  Personal  Health  Services     EPI  =  Expanded  Programme  of  Immunisa=ons   CBP=  Community-­‐based  package  ”   0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 63 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 65 6 6 8 6 12 12 12 12 1322 83 176 184 189 189 198 198 206 6 6 17 20 49 49 49 57 57 110 108 116 128 128 131 MING EPHS EPI CBP FPCHE Numberofinterventions Seguro Popular 284 interventions MING + SP FPCHE 57 interventions CAUSES  91   FPCHE              6   CAUSES    284  FPCHE                   57  
  • 42. Seguro Popular: Cancer and the Fund for Protection from Catastrophic Illness "   Accelerated, universal, vertical coverage by disease with an effective package of interventions "  2004: HIV/AIDS "  2005: cervical cancer "  2006: ALL in children "  2007: All pediatric cancers; Breast cancer "  2011: Testicular and Prostate cancer and NHL "  2012: Ovarian (colorectal) cancer
  • 43. Seguro Popular and cancer: Evidence of impact "  Access to medicines – an anecdote "  Since the incorporation of childhood cancers into the Seguro Popular "   Adherence to treatment: 70% to 95% "  Breast cancer adherence to treatment: "   2005: 200/600 "   2010: 10/900
  • 44. % diagnosed in Stage 4 by state • # 2 killer of women 30-54 • Only 5-10% of cases in Mexico are detected in Stage 1 or in situ • Poor municipalites: 50% Stage 4; 5x rich Delivery failure: Breast Cancer Juanita Poor/Marginalized  
  • 45. Effective financial coverage: breast cancer in Mexico –  Primary prevention –  Secondary prevention (early detection) –  Diagnosis –  Treatment –  Survivorship care –  Palliative care Large and exemplary investment in treatment for women and the health system, yet a low survival rate. By applying a diagonal approach, this can and is being remedied.
  • 46. Health System Functions Stage of Chronic Disease Life Cycle /components CCC Primary Prevention Secondary prevention Diagnosis Treatment Survivorship/ Rehabilitation Palliation/ End-of-life care Stewardship Financing Delivery Resource Generation Responding to the challenge of chronicity: Health system functions by care continuum
  • 47. Benefits:coveredinterventions Horizontal and vertical financial protection strategies: Seguro Popular in Mexico ACCELERATED  VERTICAL  COVERAGE  for  Catastrophic  Illnesses  included   in  the  Fund:  breast  cancer,    AIDS   Community  and  Public  Health  Services   Poor   Rich   CHILDREN:  Health  insurance  for  a  New  Genera1on   Survivorship   Package  of  essen1al  personal  services   Preven=on,     Early  detec=on   Beneficiaries
  • 48. Harness platforms by integrating breast and cervical cancer prevention, screening and survivorship care into MCH, SRH, HIV/AIDS, social welfare and anti-poverty programs. Solution: ‘Diagonalizing’ Delivery
  • 49. Including breast cancer awareness for early detection in Oportunidades •  “Guía de orientación y capacitación a titulares beneficiarios del programa Oportunidades” includes information on breast cancer as of 2009/10 •  1.5 million copies to promoters •  Reaches 5.8 million families = more than 90% of poor households
  • 50. Solution: ‘Diagonalizing’ Delivery Results: 000´s promoters, nurses, doctors Harnessing the primary level of care
  • 53. Where are the opportunities? •  LMICs – not months but whole lifetimes to be gained •  Focus on prevention but do not stop there! –  No prevent/treat dichotomization •  Do not take prices as fixed or given – price permeability •  Harness global and national health system platforms •  Innovate in implementation, delivery and financing –  Evaluate, replicate and scale up –  Leapfrog and give forward •  Redefine and reformulate health systems to manage chronicity •  Harness cancer to strengthen health and social systems •  Recognize LMICs as part of a global solution:  investment in learning, research and human beings
  • 54. Expanding access to cancer care and control in LMICs: Should, Could, and Can be done