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Office
Property Market Overview
INDIA
QUARTERLY UPDATE | JULY | 2012




Accelerating success.
2Q 2012 | OFFICE


Research & forecast report
SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT

research & forecast Report
India office market




                                                                    MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
                                                                                                                                     ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                                                                    •	GDP growth rate saw a sharp reduction to
                                                                      5.3% during 1Q 2012. The most impacted                                                                                       Gross Domestic Product at factor cost
                                                                      sector included agriculture, mining &                          10.0%
                                                                                                                                      9.0%
                                                                      quarrying, manufacturing and construction.                      8.0%

                                                                      Prime reasons attributed to this were                           7.0%
                                                                                                                                      6.0%
                                                                      uncertainties in domestic policy, cumulative                    5.0%

                                                                      impact of monetary tightening and slackening                   4.0%
                                                                                                                                      3.0%
                                                                      of external demand.                                            2.0%
                                                                                                                                      1.0%
                                                                                                                                     0.0%
                                                                    •	Inflation as measured by the wholesale price




                                                                                                                                                        Jan - Mar 09

                                                                                                                                                                              Apr - Jun 09

                                                                                                                                                                                               Jul - Sep 09

                                                                                                                                                                                                               Oct - Dec 09

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Jan - Mar 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Apr - Jun 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Jul - Sep 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Oct - Dec 10

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Jan - Mar 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Apr - Jun 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Jul - Sep 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Oct - Dec 11

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Jan - Mar 12
 ECONOMIC BAROMETER                                                   index (WPI), was 7.55%, 7.23% & 7.69% in
                                                                      May, April & March 2012, respectively. There
                                   Jun-11                 Jun-12
                                                                      was upward pressure on the WPI, due to
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           FDI in Real Estate
                                                                      steep price increase of vegetable, milk, pulses           16,000
        REPO RATE                      7.50%               8.00%
                                                                      & protein based items. While inflation remain             14,000


                                                                      a concern, the WPI stands 200 basis lower in
                                                                                                                                12,000
   REVERSE REPO
                                       6.50%               7.00%                                                                10,000
              RATE                                                    2Q 2012 as compared to the same period last                    8,000
                                                                                                                         INR Crore




               CRR                     6.00%               4.75%      year.                                                          6,000

                                                                                                                                     4,000


                                                                    •	Early in this quarter, RBI cut the repo and
                                                                                                                                     2,000
         INFLATION                     9.51%               7.55%
                                                                                                                                         0
                                                                      reverse repo rates by 50 basis points each to
                                                                                                                                                              2005 - 06



                                                                                                                                                                                             2006 - 07



                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2007 - 08



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     2008 - 09



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2009 - 10



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        2010 - 11



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2011-12



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     April 12
             PRIME
    LENDING Rate
                       9.25% - 10.00%             10.00% - 10.50%     boost the economy. However, the increased
    DEPOSIT RATE
                                                                      inflation rate has left a limited scope for
          (<1 YEAR)
                         7.75% - 9.50%              8.00% - 9.25%     further reduction in repo rates.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  BSE Sensex & Realty Index
      Foreign Ex-                                                                                                                      120

           change                       45.18               55.68   •	The rupee remained under pressure and                            115


         INR - USD                                                    depreciated further against both the EURO                        110

                                                                                                                                      105
                                                                      and the US Dollar as foreign investors were                     100
        INR- Euro                      63.25               70.04
                                                                      worried about persisting inflation, and the                      95

                                                                      high fiscal and current account deficit. The                     90

                                                                                                                                       85
                                                                      Rupee closed at INR 55.68 to 1 USD and INR                       80
Return on Alternative Investments                                     70.04 to 1 Euro as on 15th June 2012.
                                                                                                                                              2-Apr-12


                                                                                                                                                                           11-Apr-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                   20-Apr-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                              29-Apr-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           8-May-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  17-May-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            26-May-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          4-Jun-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   13-Jun-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         22-Jun-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       1-Jul-12




                          Jun-11           Jun-12          YoY %
                                                                    •	The Department of Industrial Policy and              * Rebase to 100                                                                                         BSE Sensex                                                                           Realty Index


                                                          Change
                                                                      Promotion (DIPP) recorded a total FDI inflow
            Gold           22,114           30,097        36.10%      for April 2012 in at $ 1.85 billion which is 41%                120
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Exchange Rates

                                                                      lower as compared to $ 3.12 billion in April                    115

          SILVER          52,590            54,494         3.62%      2011. The housing and construction sectors                      110


                                                                      contributed only 2.96% to the total FDI
                                                                                                                                      105

    EQUITY (BSE                                                                                                                       100
                                                                      received.                                                        95
        SENSEX)            18,132           16,949        -6.52%
                                                                                                                                       90

   REALTY INDEX                2,123            1,623    -23.55%                                                                       85

                                                                                                                                       80
                                                                                                                                             1-Apr-12


                                                                                                                                                                          10-Apr-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                 19-Apr-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                         28-Apr-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          7-May-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 16-May-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         25-May-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         3-Jun-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   12-Jun-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         21-Jun-12


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       30-Jun-12




 Note : As on 15th June 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               USD                                                                                  Euro
                                                                                                                           * Rebase to 100




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Source: Colliers International India Research




www.colliers.com
INDIA | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          MUMBAI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          •	During 2Q 2012, approximately 9.4 million
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            sq.ft. of grade ’A’ office space was available                                                                                                Goregoan / JVLR 8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Kalina 1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            for lease and sale, primarily concentrated in
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Worli / Prabhadevi 1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Powai 4%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Andheri East, Lower Parel and Thane/ LBS                                                         Malad 5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Thane / LBS 22%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Marg.                                                                            Navi Mumbai 6%




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          •	The city’s grade ‘A’ inventory was added by
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             CBD 1%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            0.2 million sq.ft. of new supply in SBD this
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            quarter by “Star Hub” project of Star                                                    Lower Parel 19%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Developers at Andheri East.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               Andheri East 24%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    BKC 9%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          •	During the surveyed quarter, construction
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            activities remained moderate. Due to a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            slowdown in the economy, developers
MUMBAI                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      remained cautious and hesitant in undertaking
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  2Q 2012 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE ’B’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            further construction activities, thus, no new                         RENTAL VALUES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            projects were launched in the market.
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         300

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          •	Rental levels of grade ‘A’ office space remained                                  250

                                                                                                                          1Q 2012                                                        2Q 2012                                            stable across all the micro markets except                                        200

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            BKC (Bandra-Kurla-Complex) where rents                                            150




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 INR Per Sq ft Per Month
                                                           VACANCY                                                                                                                                                                          increased by 3% q-o-q due to limited supply                                       100

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            and demand from corporates.
                                          ABSORPTION                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           50


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          •	Going forward, the rental values for grade ‘A’



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        CBD

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Andheri East
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  BKC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Lower Parel
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Malad

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Navi Mumbai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Powai
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Worli/Prabhdevi

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Goregaon / JVLR

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Kalina
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Thane / LBS

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Andheri East (IT)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Lower Parel (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Malad (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Navi Mumbai (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Powai (IT)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Goregaon / JVLR (IT)

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Thane / LBS (IT)
                                CONSTRUCTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            office space are expected to remain stable in
                                  RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                              almost all micro markets.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Grade A                                                                   Grade B


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          •	In this quarter, the state revenue department
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            revised the Land Lease Policy and imposed a
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            7.5% premium on the market value of the
             GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                                 land/plots leased for redevelopment of                                prime office space rental trend
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            residential, educational and religious activities,
                          245
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            whereas 10% for other activities.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             420
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              370
                          210
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          •	During the same period, Peninsula Land sold                                       320
                          175
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            off its office building located at Lower Parel to                                 270

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             220
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            various financial services firms namely Tata
INR per Sq ft per Month




                          140
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   INR per Sq ft per Month




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              170

                          105                                                                                                                                                                                                               Capital, National Realty, India Nivesh Insurance                                  120


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Brokers and Tata AIG Life Insurance.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               70
                           70
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    1Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             1Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1Q2012
                           35                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             2Q2012

                           0                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           CBD                                                         Andheri East                                                             Malad                                                                          BKC
                                1Q2008
                                         2Q2008
                                                  3Q2008
                                                           4Q2008
                                                                    1Q2009
                                                                             2Q2009
                                                                                      3Q2009
                                                                                               4Q2009
                                                                                                        1Q2010
                                                                                                                 2Q2010
                                                                                                                          3Q2010
                                                                                                                                   4Q2010
                                                                                                                                            1Q2011
                                                                                                                                                     2Q2011
                                                                                                                                                              3Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                                1Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                         2Q2012




                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1Q2013F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2013F
                                                                                                                                                                                                  3Q2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                            4Q2012F




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Lower Parel                                                 Navi Mumbai                                                              Powai                                                                          Worli /
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Prabhadevi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Goregaon                                                     Kalina                                                                  Thane / LBS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       / JVLR




                          MARKET TRANSaCTIONS
                          CLIENT                                                                                                                                                                             building name                                                      AREA                                          LOCATION                                                                                                                                                                   TRANSACTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             (Sq. Ft.)                                                                                                                                                                                                                   TYPE

                          Devon                                                                                                                                                                              Supreme Business Park                                             56,000                                         Powai                                                                                                                                                                      Lease

                          Famy Care                                                                                                                                                                          Peninsula Corporate Park                                           15,000                                        Lower Parel                                                                                                                                                                Lease

                          Lodha                                                                                                                                                                              I Think                                                           40,000                                         Thane                                                                                                                                                                      Lease

                          Reliance Digital                                                                                                                                                                   Times Square                                                      26,000                                         Andheri                                                                                                                                                                    Lease

                          Tata Tesco                                                                                                                                                                         Kohinoor Business Park                                            50,000                                         Vidyavihar                                                                                                                                                                 Lease

                          Vships                                                                                                                                                                             Lotus Midtown                                                     27,000                                         Kalina                                                                                                                                                                     Lease

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Source: Colliers International India Research



                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Colliers International |                                                                                                                                                                                               p. 3
INDIA | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 DELHI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 •		 pproximately 1.0 million sq.ft. of grade ‘A’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   A
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   office space was ready for lease / sale in                                                                                                                                            Nehru Place 10%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2Q 2012 located mainly in Saket and Jasola
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   neighborhoods of Delhi.                                                                                                                                                                                                  Connaught Place 2%




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 •	Fast paced construction activities were                                             Saket 29%


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   observed in a newly developed area near Delhi
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Airport namely Aerocity. Two projects located
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   at Aerocity such as “Aria Signature Office”                                                                                                                                                                              Jasola 59%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   and “IBIS Commercial Tower” developed by
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   JW Marriot and IBIS Hotel respectively, added
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   approximately 0.2 million sq.ft. of commercial
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   grade ’A’ office during this quarter.

delhi                                                                                                                                                                                                                            •	A new commercial project “Caddie Commercial
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2Q 2012 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE ’B’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Tower”, was launched by Caddle Hotel with                       RENTAL VALUES
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   an area of 0.1 million sq.ft. in Aerocity. The
CITY OFFICE BAROMETER                                                                                                                                                                                                              project is expected to be complete by end of                                 400


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2013.                                                                        350

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                300
                                                                                                                    1Q 2012                                                     2Q 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                250
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 •	Overall absorption was restrained in 2Q




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    INR per Sq Ft per Month
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                200
                                                           VACANCY                                                                                                                                                                 2012 in comparisons to last quarter as both                                  150

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   investors and end-users were following wait                                  100
                                         ABSORPTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   and watch policy due to prevailing economic                                   50


                                CONSTRUCTION                                                                                                                                                                                       uncertainties.                                                                0




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Nehru Place




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Jasola




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Saket
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Netaji Subhash
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Place
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Connaught
                                RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                     •	In 2Q 2012, rental values for grade ‘A’
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Grade A                                                Grade B
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   properties increased in the range of 2 to 7%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   on q-o-q in locations such as Connaught
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Place and Nehru Place, however negative
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   corrections in the range of 4 to 10% were
                 GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAL VALUE                                                                                                                                                                                    registered in Jasola and Saket.                                 prime office space rental trend


                          280
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 •	Office rent prognosis reveal further stability                               450


                          245
                                                                                                                                                                                          Forecast
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   for grade ‘A’ office space in the market on                                  400


                          210
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   account of economy slowdown and limited                                      350


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   supply.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                300
                          175
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                250
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      INR per Sq ft per Month
INR per Sq ft per Month




                          140                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   200

                          105                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   150

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                100
                           70
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 50
                           35
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  0
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      2Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               3Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 4Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          1Q2008

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            3Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       4Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1Q2009

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          3Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    4Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                1Q2010

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         2Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  3Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           4Q2011

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      1Q2012

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               2Q2012

                           0
                                2Q2008
                                         3Q2008
                                                  4Q2008
                                                           1Q2009
                                                                    2Q2009
                                                                             3Q2009
                                                                                      4Q2009
                                                                                               1Q2010
                                                                                                        2Q2010
                                                                                                                 3Q2010
                                                                                                                          4Q2010
                                                                                                                                   1Q2011
                                                                                                                                            2Q2011
                                                                                                                                                     3Q2011
                                                                                                                                                              4Q2011
                                                                                                                                                                       1Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                2Q2012
                                                                                                                                                                                         3Q2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                   4Q2012F
                                                                                                                                                                                                             1Q2013F
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       2Q2013F




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Nehru Place                                          Jasola                                          Cannaught                                      Saket
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     place
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Netaji Subhash




                          MARKET TRANSaCTIONS
                          CLIENT                                                                                                                                                                    building name                                                   AREA                                        LOCATION                                                                                                                       TRANSACTION
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 (Sq. Ft.)                                                                                                                                                                     TYPE

                          Barista                                                                                                                                                                   Independent Building                                           10,000                                       Okhla Phase I                                                                                                                  Lease

                          CPM                                                                                                                                                                       C-126                                                          12,000                                       Okhla Phase I                                                                                                                  Lease

                          Hitachi                                                                                                                                                                   Konnectus                                                      25,000                                       Minto Road, C.P                                                                                                                Lease

                          Marico                                                                                                                                                                    DLF Towers                                                      4,300                                       Jasola                                                                                                                         Lease




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Source: Colliers International India Research



p. 4                                | Colliers International
The Knowledge Report India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
The Knowledge Report India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
The Knowledge Report India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
The Knowledge Report India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
The Knowledge Report India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
The Knowledge Report India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
The Knowledge Report India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012
The Knowledge Report India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

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The Knowledge Report India Office Property Market Overview 2Q 2012

  • 1. Office Property Market Overview INDIA QUARTERLY UPDATE | JULY | 2012 Accelerating success.
  • 2. 2Q 2012 | OFFICE Research & forecast report SYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICT research & forecast Report India office market MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW ECONOMIC INDICATORS • GDP growth rate saw a sharp reduction to 5.3% during 1Q 2012. The most impacted Gross Domestic Product at factor cost sector included agriculture, mining & 10.0% 9.0% quarrying, manufacturing and construction. 8.0% Prime reasons attributed to this were 7.0% 6.0% uncertainties in domestic policy, cumulative 5.0% impact of monetary tightening and slackening 4.0% 3.0% of external demand. 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% • Inflation as measured by the wholesale price Jan - Mar 09 Apr - Jun 09 Jul - Sep 09 Oct - Dec 09 Jan - Mar 10 Apr - Jun 10 Jul - Sep 10 Oct - Dec 10 Jan - Mar 11 Apr - Jun 11 Jul - Sep 11 Oct - Dec 11 Jan - Mar 12 ECONOMIC BAROMETER index (WPI), was 7.55%, 7.23% & 7.69% in May, April & March 2012, respectively. There Jun-11 Jun-12 was upward pressure on the WPI, due to FDI in Real Estate steep price increase of vegetable, milk, pulses 16,000 REPO RATE 7.50% 8.00% & protein based items. While inflation remain 14,000 a concern, the WPI stands 200 basis lower in 12,000 REVERSE REPO 6.50% 7.00% 10,000 RATE 2Q 2012 as compared to the same period last 8,000 INR Crore CRR 6.00% 4.75% year. 6,000 4,000 • Early in this quarter, RBI cut the repo and 2,000 INFLATION 9.51% 7.55% 0 reverse repo rates by 50 basis points each to 2005 - 06 2006 - 07 2007 - 08 2008 - 09 2009 - 10 2010 - 11 2011-12 April 12 PRIME LENDING Rate 9.25% - 10.00% 10.00% - 10.50% boost the economy. However, the increased DEPOSIT RATE inflation rate has left a limited scope for (<1 YEAR) 7.75% - 9.50% 8.00% - 9.25% further reduction in repo rates. BSE Sensex & Realty Index Foreign Ex- 120 change 45.18 55.68 • The rupee remained under pressure and 115 INR - USD depreciated further against both the EURO 110 105 and the US Dollar as foreign investors were 100 INR- Euro 63.25 70.04 worried about persisting inflation, and the 95 high fiscal and current account deficit. The 90 85 Rupee closed at INR 55.68 to 1 USD and INR 80 Return on Alternative Investments 70.04 to 1 Euro as on 15th June 2012. 2-Apr-12 11-Apr-12 20-Apr-12 29-Apr-12 8-May-12 17-May-12 26-May-12 4-Jun-12 13-Jun-12 22-Jun-12 1-Jul-12 Jun-11 Jun-12 YoY % • The Department of Industrial Policy and * Rebase to 100 BSE Sensex Realty Index Change Promotion (DIPP) recorded a total FDI inflow Gold 22,114 30,097 36.10% for April 2012 in at $ 1.85 billion which is 41% 120 Exchange Rates lower as compared to $ 3.12 billion in April 115 SILVER 52,590 54,494 3.62% 2011. The housing and construction sectors 110 contributed only 2.96% to the total FDI 105 EQUITY (BSE 100 received. 95 SENSEX) 18,132 16,949 -6.52% 90 REALTY INDEX 2,123 1,623 -23.55% 85 80 1-Apr-12 10-Apr-12 19-Apr-12 28-Apr-12 7-May-12 16-May-12 25-May-12 3-Jun-12 12-Jun-12 21-Jun-12 30-Jun-12 Note : As on 15th June 2012 USD Euro * Rebase to 100 Source: Colliers International India Research www.colliers.com
  • 3. INDIA | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE MUMBAI AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas • During 2Q 2012, approximately 9.4 million sq.ft. of grade ’A’ office space was available Goregoan / JVLR 8% Kalina 1% for lease and sale, primarily concentrated in Worli / Prabhadevi 1% Powai 4% Andheri East, Lower Parel and Thane/ LBS Malad 5% Thane / LBS 22% Marg. Navi Mumbai 6% • The city’s grade ‘A’ inventory was added by CBD 1% 0.2 million sq.ft. of new supply in SBD this quarter by “Star Hub” project of Star Lower Parel 19% Developers at Andheri East. Andheri East 24% BKC 9% • During the surveyed quarter, construction activities remained moderate. Due to a slowdown in the economy, developers MUMBAI remained cautious and hesitant in undertaking 2Q 2012 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE ’B’ further construction activities, thus, no new RENTAL VALUES projects were launched in the market. CITY OFFICE BAROMETER 300 • Rental levels of grade ‘A’ office space remained 250 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 stable across all the micro markets except 200 BKC (Bandra-Kurla-Complex) where rents 150 INR Per Sq ft Per Month VACANCY increased by 3% q-o-q due to limited supply 100 and demand from corporates. ABSORPTION 50 0 • Going forward, the rental values for grade ‘A’ CBD Andheri East BKC Lower Parel Malad Navi Mumbai Powai Worli/Prabhdevi Goregaon / JVLR Kalina Thane / LBS Andheri East (IT) Lower Parel (IT) Malad (IT) Navi Mumbai (IT) Powai (IT) Goregaon / JVLR (IT) Thane / LBS (IT) CONSTRUCTION office space are expected to remain stable in RENTAL VALUE almost all micro markets. Grade A Grade B • In this quarter, the state revenue department revised the Land Lease Policy and imposed a 7.5% premium on the market value of the GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAL VALUE land/plots leased for redevelopment of prime office space rental trend residential, educational and religious activities, 245 whereas 10% for other activities. 420 Forecast 370 210 • During the same period, Peninsula Land sold 320 175 off its office building located at Lower Parel to 270 220 various financial services firms namely Tata INR per Sq ft per Month 140 INR per Sq ft per Month 170 105 Capital, National Realty, India Nivesh Insurance 120 Brokers and Tata AIG Life Insurance. 70 70 20 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 35 2Q2012 0 CBD Andheri East Malad BKC 1Q2008 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 1Q2013F 2Q2013F 3Q2012F 4Q2012F Lower Parel Navi Mumbai Powai Worli / Prabhadevi Goregaon Kalina Thane / LBS / JVLR MARKET TRANSaCTIONS CLIENT building name AREA LOCATION TRANSACTION (Sq. Ft.) TYPE Devon Supreme Business Park 56,000 Powai Lease Famy Care Peninsula Corporate Park 15,000 Lower Parel Lease Lodha I Think 40,000 Thane Lease Reliance Digital Times Square 26,000 Andheri Lease Tata Tesco Kohinoor Business Park 50,000 Vidyavihar Lease Vships Lotus Midtown 27,000 Kalina Lease Source: Colliers International India Research Colliers International | p. 3
  • 4. INDIA | 2Q 2012 | OFFICE DELHI AVAILABLE Supply in Prime Areas • pproximately 1.0 million sq.ft. of grade ‘A’ A office space was ready for lease / sale in Nehru Place 10% 2Q 2012 located mainly in Saket and Jasola neighborhoods of Delhi. Connaught Place 2% • Fast paced construction activities were Saket 29% observed in a newly developed area near Delhi Airport namely Aerocity. Two projects located at Aerocity such as “Aria Signature Office” Jasola 59% and “IBIS Commercial Tower” developed by JW Marriot and IBIS Hotel respectively, added approximately 0.2 million sq.ft. of commercial grade ’A’ office during this quarter. delhi • A new commercial project “Caddie Commercial 2Q 2012 GRADE ‘A’ AND GRADE ’B’ Tower”, was launched by Caddle Hotel with RENTAL VALUES an area of 0.1 million sq.ft. in Aerocity. The CITY OFFICE BAROMETER project is expected to be complete by end of 400 2013. 350 300 1Q 2012 2Q 2012 250 • Overall absorption was restrained in 2Q INR per Sq Ft per Month 200 VACANCY 2012 in comparisons to last quarter as both 150 investors and end-users were following wait 100 ABSORPTION and watch policy due to prevailing economic 50 CONSTRUCTION uncertainties. 0 Nehru Place Jasola Saket Netaji Subhash Place Connaught RENTAL VALUE • In 2Q 2012, rental values for grade ‘A’ Grade A Grade B properties increased in the range of 2 to 7% on q-o-q in locations such as Connaught Place and Nehru Place, however negative corrections in the range of 4 to 10% were GRADE ‘A’ AVERAGE RENTAL VALUE registered in Jasola and Saket. prime office space rental trend 280 • Office rent prognosis reveal further stability 450 245 Forecast for grade ‘A’ office space in the market on 400 210 account of economy slowdown and limited 350 supply. 300 175 250 INR per Sq ft per Month INR per Sq ft per Month 140 200 105 150 100 70 50 35 0 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2008 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2009 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2010 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 0 2Q2008 3Q2008 4Q2008 1Q2009 2Q2009 3Q2009 4Q2009 1Q2010 2Q2010 3Q2010 4Q2010 1Q2011 2Q2011 3Q2011 4Q2011 1Q2012 2Q2012 3Q2012F 4Q2012F 1Q2013F 2Q2013F Nehru Place Jasola Cannaught Saket place Netaji Subhash MARKET TRANSaCTIONS CLIENT building name AREA LOCATION TRANSACTION (Sq. Ft.) TYPE Barista Independent Building 10,000 Okhla Phase I Lease CPM C-126 12,000 Okhla Phase I Lease Hitachi Konnectus 25,000 Minto Road, C.P Lease Marico DLF Towers 4,300 Jasola Lease Source: Colliers International India Research p. 4 | Colliers International