1. w here there is
more energy
th an we need
Connected Urban Development
Seoul, 21th May 2009
by
Prof. Ludger Hovestadt
ETH Zürich, Switzerland

2. Ludger Hovestadt
Architect - Computer Scientist
Interfacing Technologies to an everyday Context
the
e
planet the digital energy future

3. 1
the climate debate
and the apo stels of catastrophy
e
the digital energy future

5. when
truth
meets
catastrophy
e
welcome to the metalithicum

6. c ool it !
e
the digital energy future

7. 2
a story ab out stones and fires
e
the digital energy future

8. e join the PowerPath
my hometown zürich, switzerland 2009

9. e join the PowerPath
2010 technology weisweiler, germany

10. e join the PowerPath
the 2010 stone age zurich, switzerland

11. e join the PowerPath
the 2010 stone age zurich, switzerland

12. e join the PowerPath
the 2010 stone age zurich, switzerland

13. it's all about the stones and the fires
e
where there is more energy
than needed the neolithicum

14. no re ason t o panic
e
the e-planet the coal price (index 1900)
14

15. 3
there is m ore than enough data
e
the digital energy future

16. e
th ere is more than enough data
where there is more energy
than needed

17. 2 exabyte 250 exabyte
2002 2008
e
world data volume
where there is more energy the incredible growth of the virtual
than needed

18. wikipedia (since 2004)
new meanings on the new platform
e
where there is more energy 18
than needed

19. twitter (since 2006)
new habits on the new platform
e
where there is more energy 19
than needed

20. google (since 1998)
new habits on the new platform
e
where there is more energy 20
than needed

21. 4
th e limits of growth
e
the digital energy future

22. 02_Resource_commodities 01.03.09 15:04
Source: IMF, Treasury.
Chart 9 shows that periods of above-average steel production growth correspond to periods of Japan’s
industrialisation (1950s and 1960s) and South Korea’s industrialisation (1980s). More recently, the chart
shows global steel production entering an above-average growth phase that corresponds to China’s 2007 Survey of Energy Resources!!!quot;#$%&!'()$*+!,#-(./%!0112!!!Nuclear
present industrialisation.
236
Chart 9: World GDP and steel production growth
(Levels)
2007 Survey of Energy Resources!!!quot;#$%&!'()$*+!,#-(./%!0112!!!Uranium!
Figure 6-8!!6H)$7*)!7H7/%7B/%/9+!#8!9;)!5#$%&_=!8%))9!#8!(-.%)7$!>#5)$!>%7(9=!N%)89O!7(&!/(.$):)(97%!(-.%)7$!
201 *)()$79/(*!.7>7./9/)=!7(&!(-.%)7$!)%).9$/./9+!*)()$79/#(!N$/*;9OE
3#-$.)P!!M6'6
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W#-$.)b!!N'APOA'A?!011Q!
Source: derived from various sources, especially Maddison (2003) and Mitchell (2003).
Strong growth in steel production has, in turn, stimulated demand for the key inputs into steel production
— iron ore and metallurgical coal — resulting in dramatic price increases of about 120 per cent for
metallurgical coal and about 70 per cent for iron ore earlier in 2005. In addition, global prices for thermal
coal grew by 20 per cent this year in response to power companies, especially in Asia, competing to
secure additional coal feedstock to meet growing electricity demand.
The demand shock that has precipitated these price increases has, in turn, been due to growth in
China’s construction, investment and manufacturing sectors. And this growth is likely to continue for
some time. Maurer et al (2004) observe that on a per capita basis, China lags well behind developed
regional neighbours such as Japan and Korea for consumption of a range of resources and resource-
intensive manufactures, such as steel (Chart 10). 8
!
!
http://www.treasury.gov.au/documents/1042/HTML/docshell.asp?URL=02_Resource_commodities.asp Page 8 of 12
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in commodity prices
oves with global economic activity but with more pronounced swings (Chart
he world as a whole has not fallen for almost 60 years, mining production
ing the global slowdowns in 1975, 1981 and 1982. Mineral exports are in turn
neral production (Chart 6).
Chart 5: World GDP and mining production
e Organization data.
Chart 6: World minerals production and exports
HTML/docshell.asp?URL=02_Resource_commodities.asp Page 5 of 12 !
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welcome to the metalithicum
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the crisis of the rational
22
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23. Buckminster Fuller, LIFE Magazine
the rati onal has become too narrow
e welcome to the metalithicum

24. when the limits of the rationa l provoke the limits of growth
...
politics
economy
ecology
military
technology
research
...
e the crisis of the rational

25. when the limits of the rationa l provoke the limits of growth
...
politics
economy
ecology
military
technology
research
...
e the crisis of the rational

26. it is a crisis of the rational
e welcome to the metal
ithicum

27. never mind !
e welcome to the metal
ithicum

28. one machine any machine
you can grasp you can't grasp
v irtualizing the rational ...
e
welcome to the metalithicum

29. Serres Deleuze
Gödel
Lagranges
Euler
Foucault
Fourier
Turing
Wittgenstein
the ration alist of the irrational ...
e
welcome to the metalithicum the abstraction of things

30. information
information technology
electricity quantum mechanics
quantum
... we already entered a phantastic new plateau !
e
welcome to the metalithicum

31. silicon as virtual machines
... CPU WLAN IBAN GSM RAM GPS ...
e
welcome to the metalithicum the abstraction of things

32. closing the story of stones and fires
leaving the stone age
e
welcome to the metalithicum

33. telling a new story ab out the potential of the intellect
entering the metalithicum
e
welcome to the metalithicum

34. 5
there will be more energy
than we need
e
the digital energy future

35. energy form stones energy from the athmosphere
e
where there is more energy
than we need

36. 2009 : 0.17 $
1.000 Wh once 300Wh per year
e
where there is more energy
than we need

37. 0.57 $ / Wp
energy form
the stones
kWatt like kByte
energy from
the athmosphere
2009 2014
e
where there is more energy
than we need the incredible growth of the virtual

38. 160.0 00 sq km fits all energy needs
there is 10.000 times more solar
e impact to the planet earth, than
where there is more energy mankind is using, every day
than we need

39. e
where there is more energy
than we need

40. It‘s all about the weather ...
e
the e-planet

41. ... and harvesting energy
e
41
the e-planet

42. few to many
t he interne t of things
m any to many
smart grid
e
42
the e-planet

43. the 500 bn devices problem
the last meter : 3 b n homes -> 500 bn devices
e
43
the e-planet

44. since 1890
the STROM*
e
44
the e-planet * the german word for electrical current
* the german word for electrical current

45. introducing
PCL all-in-one -95%
0.1W
6 mm2
zero engineering -98%
open source
e
45
the e-planet

46. since 2010
the STROM and the BIT
e
46
the e-planet

47. digitalSTROM.org Alliance (since 2008)
Communication: Deutsche Telekom ...
Transportation and Logistics: DHL ...
Smart Metering: Landis&Gyr, Holley ...
Energy Provider: EDF, YELLO ...
...
e
47
the digital energy future

48. single chip GSM
a 5 bn online logistic system on communication
e
48
the e-planet

49. single high-voltage chip PLC
a 500 bn online logistics system on energy
e
49
the e-planet

50. virtua l switzerland as an on line energy monitor
e
50
the e-planet

51. 1969 2009
e
51
the e-planet

52. data
&
energy
inhabiting the athmosphere
e
52
the e-planet

53. th ere is enough energy ...
e
the e-planet

54. without any pollution ...
e
the e-planet

55. we can have it for 'nothing', but ...
e
the e-planet

56. you can't grasp it
it's the athmosphere
e
the e-planet

57. trust in the uncertain !
contract the existant !
e
the e-planet

58. jo in the PowerPath
conferences
talks
books
coming soon ...
e
the e-planet

59. Thanks
e
Ludger Hovestadt
ETH Zürich
Switzerland
hovestadt@arch.ethz.ch

61. welcome to the metalithicum
e

63. it's a vector, not a declaration

64. you can't grasp it!

65. objects changes
depending on our access

66. self-reference
instead of
external reference

67. the challange :
contracting new references
instead of
controlling the one reference

69. it's the athmosphere
instead of
the ground

70. 1 die gefährliche selbstbezüglichkeit des prinzips der rationalität
2 die unerträgliche gründung unserer existenz
3 das sagenhafte wachstum der virtuale
4 die krise der rationalität
5 welcome to the metalithicum
5 welcome to the metalithicum

71. the cli mate debate
and the apostels of c atastrophy
the
e
planet initiative

73. calculating with the irrational
e

76. more
irrational numbers
than
rational numbers
√-1
e = 2,718281828459...

77. e = 2,718281828459...

78. the
e planet initiative
the digital energy future

79. the climate debate
and the apost els of catastrophy
e
the digital energy future

80. using a given material creating new material
e

81. 81

82. the whole world in your pocket

83. there is no solution within the actual reference system
the ratio
the nature

84. greetings fr om the metalithicum : )

85. burn to death freeze to death
...
politics
economy
ecology
military
technology
research
...
w hen the limits of the rational
e define the limits of growth