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Pierluigi Londero (dairy)

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Stefan Weber
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Pierluigi Londero (dairy)

  1. 1. Short-term projections for the EU dairy markets Pierluigi Londero Beatriz Velazquez DG Agriculture and Rural Development
  2. 2. Outline <ul><li>Methodology </li></ul><ul><li>World </li></ul><ul><li>EU milk production, deliveries, dairy cows, yield </li></ul><ul><li>Dairy products: cheese, butter, smp, wmp </li></ul>
  3. 3. Introduction <ul><li>Introduction </li></ul><ul><ul><li>DG AGRI produces the dairy balance sheets regularly, 3 times per year; </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Structure: Overall EU market balance </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Used database: EUROSTAT; COMEXT, other sources (problem of confidential statistics) </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Covered timeframe: from 2007 to 2012 </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>The years between 2007 and 2010 are based on historical data, estimates for 2011 were derived from latest monthly production statistics. Forecast for 2012 – trend analysis, assumptions. </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Regular discussion between market experts within DG AGRI </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Presented version: June 2011 </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Graphs – in 1 000 t. </li></ul></ul>
  4. 4. Cow's milk production, deliveries and dairy herd, 2007-2012
  5. 5. Cheese to return to steady growth in 2011
  6. 6. Firm butter market
  7. 7. SMP market balance
  8. 8. Thank you!

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