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Dr. Cori Zuppo, SHRM-SCP, SPHR, GPHR
College of Technology, Architecture & Applied Engineering
Bowling Green State University
Think Like a Futurist:
5 Steps to Future-Proof
Your Strategic
Technology Plan
©C. Zuppo 2016
http://www.corizuppo.com
©C. Zuppo 2016
If I can get it right, then I
can meaningfully touch
the lives of almost
everybody on the planet.
~ Brian David Johnson,
Chief Futurist for Intel
“
“
©C. Zuppo 2016
Everyone
is a technologist.
©C. Zuppo 2016
Everyone
must take risks to learn.
©C. Zuppo 2016
Everything
is applied.
©C. Zuppo 2016
Moore’s Law
©C. Zuppo 2016
Dr. Michio Kaku
©C. Zuppo 2016
Kurzweil’s Singularity
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
Forecasting Methods
©C. Zuppo 2016
Qualitative Quantitative
• Expert Opinion
• Delphi Technique
• Science Fiction
• Saleforce Polls
• Consumer Surveys
• Naive Assessment
• Moving Average
• Exponential Smoothing
• Trend Analysis
• Decomposition of Time
Series
• Projection • Simple Regression
• Multiple Regression
• Econometric Modeling
Categories
Causal
©C. Zuppo 2016
Factors
Historical
The rate of
technological
change
necessitates
increased usage of
forward looking
methods
Accuracy
Cost/
Benefit
Complexity
Short vs.
Long Term
Error
Tolerance
Data
Availability
Predictive
©C. Zuppo 2016
Assumptions
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
1Past = Future causal relationships
©C. Zuppo 2016
2Allow for errors & the unexpected
©C. Zuppo 2016
3Time series & accuracy are
negatively correlated
©C. Zuppo 2016
4Forecasts for groups are more robust
©C. Zuppo 2016
http://www.corizuppo.com
©C. Zuppo 2016
What does the
research say?
©C. Zuppo 2016
Inductive
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
According to Gartner
2016
Technology Trends
for Industry
©C. Zuppo 2016
The Digital Mesh
Ambient User
ExperienceDevice
Mesh
3D Printing
Materials
Mobile devices, wearable,
consumer and home electronic
devices, automotive devices
and environmental devices
(e.g. sensors in IoT)
3D-printing
shipments
will grow
64.1%
through 2019
©C. Zuppo 2016
Smart Machines
Information of
Everything
Machine learning gives rise to a
spectrum of smart machine
implementations including
robots, autonomous vehicles,
virtual personal assistants
(VPAs) and smart advisors and
will act as autonomous agents
Smart machines will enable
more robust
analytics & predictive
modeling systems
Advanced
Machine
Learning
Anonymous
Agents & Things
©C. Zuppo 2016
The New IT
Mesh App &
Service
Architecture
Advanced
System
Architure
Adaptive
Security
Architecture
Mobile devices, wearable,
consumer and home electronic
devices, automotive devices
and environmental devices
(e.g. sensors in IoT)
Threats will be
significantly
increased
due to
digital business,
hackers, & algorithms
IoT Platforms
©C. Zuppo 2016
Integration
Smart
Machines
The Digital
Mesh
The
New IT
Net effect
©C. Zuppo 2016
According to Campus Technology
2016
Technology Trends
for Education
©C. Zuppo 2016
3D Printing
Competency
Based Education
Virtual Reality
Data Analytics &
Machine Learning Accessibility
Mobile Wearables
Wireless
Architecture
Video
©C. Zuppo 2016
The Big 𝚫
©C. Zuppo 2016
Training
©C. Zuppo 2016
Adoption
Late
Majority
Innovators
Early
Adopters
Early
Majority
Laggards
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
Extend
©C. Zuppo 2016
©C. Zuppo 2016
Principles of
Future Proofing
©C. Zuppo 2016
Five Proactive Steps to
Future Proof
Your Technology
©C. Zuppo 2016
Pulling it all together
Needs
Analysis
Gap
Analysis
Macro/
Macro
Future Proof Your Strategy
3D-printing
shipments
will grow
64.1%
through 2019
Strategy
& Tactics
©C. Zuppo 2016
http://www.corizuppo.com
©C. Zuppo 2016
Think Like a Futurist: 5 Steps to Future-Proof Your Strategic Technology Plan

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Think Like a Futurist: 5 Steps to Future-Proof Your Strategic Technology Plan