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- 1. Geospatial Intelligence to Guide Wildlife Management ¹Department of Geomatics Engineering, U of C D. Birkigt¹, C. Semeniuk¹, M. Musiani², ²Faculty of Environmental Design, U of C G. McDermid³, M. Hebblewhite4, S. Grindal5, ³Department of Geography, U of C 4College of Forestry and Conservation, U of Montana, D. Marceau*¹ 5Environmental Stewardship, ConcocoPhillips Canada, *Project Leader
- 2. The Path I. Overview I. Industrial Development II. Woodland Caribou III. Issue II. Realistic Future Scenario Landuse I. Cellular Automata III. Representing the Woodland Caribou I. Agent Based Modeling IV.Integrating Land and Animal I. Strategic Insight V. Where to Start Modified from wburris Flickr
- 4. Like Much of Alberta Memestate Flickr
- 5. 1998
- 6. 2001
- 7. 2004
- 8. 2007
- 9. 2011
- 10. 1998
- 12. ALSO HOME TO
- 13. Stingp flickr The Situation PapaMarina Flickr
- 15. Legal Responsibility Species at Risk Act Steps Must be Taken to Recover the Species
- 16. Past Present Future The Future State of the Landscape UNKNOWN
- 17. UNKNOWN Spatial Distribution and Energy HOW AND WHY CARIBOU SELECT AND USE WINTER Bruce McKay Flickr HABITAT
- 18. BECOME KNOWNS Spatial Distribution and Energy Provide Future Insight Future Bruce McKay Flickr The Future The Relationship of State of the the Caribou with Landscape Winter Habitat
- 19. The Path I. Overview I. Industrial Development II. Woodland Caribou III. Issue II. Future Scenario Landuse Planning I. Cellular Automata III. Representing the Woodland Caribou I. Agent Based Modeling IV. Integrating Land and Animal I. Strategic Insight V. Where to Start
- 20. What Will The Little Smoky Look like in 10 Years?
- 21. CELLULAR AUTOMATA WELLS A method to simulate future patterns based on past patterns
- 22. Space is Divided Into Regular Arrangement of Cells Cell States Neighbourhood Transition Rule
- 23. Space is Divided Into Regular Arrangement of Cells Neighbourhood Cell States Transition Rule
- 24. Space is Divided Into Regular Arrangement of Cells Neighbourhood Cell States Transition Rule TI M E +1
- 26. 1998
- 27. 1998
- 28. 2001
- 29. 2004
- 30. 2007
- 31. 2011
- 32. Driving Factors
- 37. [ DISTANCE TO INFRASTRUCTURE ]
- 38. 1998
- 39. 2001
- 40. 2004
- 41. 2007
- 42. 2011
- 45. [ DISTANCE TO WELL ]
- 46. 1998
- 47. 2001
- 48. 2004
- 49. 2007
- 50. 2011
- 52. Establish Transition Rules From Historical Development Patterns
- 53. All Driving Factors All Time Steps
- 54. CAPTURE THE RELATIONSHIP 120 1 100 Cumulative Proportion 0.75 Number of Wells 80 60 0.5 40 0.25 20 0 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 Distance Meters
- 55. All Driving Factors All Time Steps
- 57. SIMULATE REALISTIC SCENARIOS
- 60. What Will The Little Smoky Look like in 10 Years?
- 63. Was The Relationship Captured No One Knows The Future Past Does Not Predict Future LIMITATIONS
- 64. KNOWNS Spatial Distribution and Energy Provide Future Insight Future Bruce McKay Flickr The Future The Relationship of State of the the Caribou with Landscape Winter Habitat
- 65. The Path I. Overview I. Industrial Development II. Woodland Caribou III. Issue II. Future Scenario Landuse Planning I. Cellular Automata III. Representing the Woodland Caribou I. Agent Based Modeling IV. Integrating Land and Animal I. Strategic Insight V. Where to Start
- 66. 1. AGENT Entity Interacts With Environment BASED and Tries To Achieve a Goal MODEL 2. Respond To Sensory Input
- 67. UNKNOWNS Spatial Distribution and Energy HOW AND WHY CARIBOU SELECT AND USE WINTER Bruce McKay Flickr HABITAT
- 68. KNOWLEDGE Troy Thomson Flickr
- 69. Foraging Potential Landscape Internal Energy Travel Costs Predation Risk SENSE Troy Thompson Flickr
- 70. SIMULATE Acquire Energy: Maintenance Conserve Energy: Reproduction GOAL Minimize Risk and Disturbance
- 71. SIMULATE
- 72. OUTPUT Spatial Location Energy GPS Troy Thomson Flickr BIOLOGY
- 73. The Path I. Overview I. Industrial Development II. Woodland Caribou III. Issue II. Future Scenario Landuse Planning I. Cellular Automata III. Representing the Woodland Caribou I. Agent Based Modeling IV. Integrating Land and Animal I. Strategic Insight V. Where to Start
- 74. KNOWNS Spatial Distribution and Energy Provide Future Insight Future Bruce McKay Flickr The Future The Relationship of State of the the Caribou with Landscape Winter Habitat
- 77. WHERE TO START? Project Gigalopolisis SLEUTH netlogo www.ncgia.ucsb.edu/projects/gig/index.html ccl.northwestern.edu/netlogo/ DINAMICA project Repast www.csr.ufmg.br/dinamica/ repast.sourceforge.net/
- 78. Acknowledgements
- 79. WHERE TO START? Project Gigalopolisis SLEUTH netlogo www.ncgia.ucsb.edu/projects/gig/index.html ccl.northwestern.edu/netlogo/ DINAMICA project Repast www.csr.ufmg.br/dinamica/ repast.sourceforge.net/ dabirkig@ucalgary.ca
Notes de l'éditeur
- Daily Energetic Requirements Pregnant caribouEnergy Required for A Successful CalvingForaging Theory Predation sensitive foraging tradeoffs how hungry vs risk willing to tolerate
- sensoryForaging potential of the LandscapeAssess elevation Travel costInternal energy levelsPredation Potential of the LandscapeLandcover type, open, industrial features
- Each time step is 30 min; simulation is run for 180 days (winter period)Agent represents pregnant female Output: energy gain/loss per time step, agent activities per time step, spatial coordinates of agents at 4hr-intervals.
- Each time step is 30 min; simulation is run for 180 days (winter period)Agent represents pregnant female Output: energy gain/loss per time step, agent activities per time step, spatial coordinates of agents at 4hr-intervals.
- Locationlandcover typeseasonal behavioral patternsex activity reduced in late seasonie energetically stressed use easier terrain
- Occupy smaller extent and use more energy to live their