Project 8: A Blues Primer

Whole farm modelling farmer decision behaviour

SAMBA presentation to Stakeholders 2011

The ninth Competent Communicator speech at Toastmasters. The aim was to persuade. The argument was that we lost good things with the transition to an agriculture based civilisation that has seen malnutrition, ill-health, social and sexual inequality, Over population and environmental degradation, elitism and tyranny, and more war. We do take our progressive lifestyles for given, we can;t go back to hunter-gathering, but we could go forward wiser and more aware.

Project 9: Agriculture, a catastrophe from which we have never recovered!

Presented at: TradeM International Workshop Hurdal (near Oslo) Norway - 25-27 November 2014 25-27 November 2014, Hurdal (near Oslo), Norway Economics of integrated assessment approaches for agriculture and the food sector The LiveM theme of the FACCE-JPI MACSUR Knowledge Hub brings together 30 institutes from 14 European countries with expertise in a diverse range of disciplines, from grassland and farm-scale modelling through to livestock disease and health research. Climate change, food security, and agricultural production interact in complex ways. A major challenge for scientists is to understand and assess the biological, economic, and ecological interdependencies in the context of climate change and food security. More and better knowledge is necessary to aid politicians, stakeholders and farmers in their decisions. The event has four major goals: • to critically discuss the state-of-the-art and future perspectives of integrated assessment approaches • to study and assess examples of applied modelling approaches integrating crop, livestock, and economic models • to foster international collaboration in the research areas of food security, climate change, and agrosystem modelling • to plan and identify next steps to achieve TradeM contributions to MACSUR goals Keynote-speaker: John Antle (Oregon State University), and co-leader of the Economics Team of AgMIP

Simulating Optimal future land use in the Nordic area

Samaritanmag.com is the anti-tabloid, an online magazine that interviews people about the causes they support, in addition to highlighting the charitable initiatives of corporations and small businesses, and the charities themselves. Samaritanmag.com is a cool unintimidating site that gives readers insight into a multitude of causes and hopefully gives them incentive to make a difference in the world, if they aren’t already. Started by award-winning music journalist Karen Bliss (Billboard, RollingStone.com, MSN), Samaritanmag.com is a content- driven site with high journalistic standards; the stories are original — interviews are conducted with our writers for the online magazine — and not taken or repurposed from other sites, as is often the case in today’s media world. Even short news pieces are only taken from the original press releases. Why is this important? Because Samaritanmag.com articles are fact-checked and comprised of information directly from the source. Samaritanmag.com covers a range of causes; the list is endless from building wells in Africa to a line of clothing for people in wheelchairs to a toxic-free spa for people with cancer and mobility carts for sick or injured animals. Among the artists interviewed for the site are: Neil Young, The Who’s Pete Townshend, Rush’s Geddy Lee, Bon Jovi’s Richie Sambora, Bryan Adams, Sammy Hagar, Motley Crue’s Nikki Sixx and Vince Neil, Drake, Nelly Furtado, One Direction, Iron Maiden’s Steve Harris, Cody Simpson, Ed Sheeran, Bruce Cockburn, Taylor Swift, P. Diddy, Rob Zombie, Peaches, Nick Carter, Simple Plan, Kate Nash, Danny Fernandes, Tom Cochrane, Buckcherry’s Josh Todd, 30 Seconds To Mars’ Jared Leto, The Tenors, Our Lady Peace’s Raine Maida and many more. There is also a Charity Song of the Month, Cause Song of the Month, and Product of the Month. This is a site for people who are interested in making a difference, either by finding the cause that speaks to them or by making informed buying decision based on companies’ corporate social responsibility platform. Samaritanmag attracts the following identifiable groups of visitors: 1. the socially conscious in Canada/USA 2. the music/entertainment fan 3. the news junkie Samaritanmag provides a forum for anyone looking to: *Let consumers know about the good that you are doing *Your company’s corporate social responsibility platform *The products that are eco-friendly or have a charitable component Does your company support a cause? Do you produce an environ- mentally-conscious product you want people to know about? Partner with Samaritanmag.com. Take out a banner ad or post a video that highlights the good you are doing at your company. Perhaps you are aligned with a certain cause or give your staff a day off to volunteer or sell a product with a portion of the proceeds going to charity? Consumers want to make informed buying decisions.

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Unusual Images 3

amonyhig .

Keynote, Smithsonian 2.0

George Oates

Title: Understanding Europe’s future ability to feed itself within an uncertain climate change and socio economic scenario space Authors: Sandars DL, Audsley E, Holman IP Affiliations: Cranfield University, Cranfield, Bedfordshire, MK43 0AL, UK; Email: Daniel.sandars@cranfield.ac.uk Abstract: Europe’s ability to feed its population depends on the balance of agricultural productivity (yields and land suitability) and demand which are affected by future climate and socio-economic change (arising from changing food demand; prices; technology change etc). Land use under 2050 climate change and socio-economic scenarios can be rapidly and systematically quantified with a modelling system that has been developed from meta-models of optimal cropping and crop and forest yields derived from the outputs of the previously developed complex models (Audsley et al; 2015). Profitability of each possible land use is modelled for every soil in every grid across the EU. Land use in a grid is then allocated based on profit thresholds set for intensive agriculture extensive agriculture, managed forest and finally unmanaged forest or unmanaged land. The European demand for food as a function of population, imports, food preferences and bioenergy, is a production constraint, as is irrigation water available. The model iterates until demand is satisfied (or cannot be met at any price). Results are presented as contour plots of key variables. For example, given a 40% increase in population from the baseline socio-economic scenario, adapting by increasing crop yields by 40% will leave a 38% probability that the 2050 future climate will be such that we cannot feed ourselves – considering “all” the possible climate scenarios. Audsley E, Trnka M, Sabate S, Maspons J, Sanchez A, Sandars D, Balek J, Pearn K (2015) Interactively modelling land profitability to estimate European agricultural and forest land use under future scenarios of climate, socio-economics and adaptation. Climatic Change 128:215–227 DOI 10.1007/s10584-014-1164-6 Presentation type preference: Oral Session: Economics in modelling climate change and agriculture

Understanding Europe’s future ability to feed itself within an uncertain clim...

The first hour lecture I give when introducing Linear Programming to MSc students studying 1) landscape ecology and 2) Economics and natural resource management. The second hour I give them hands on experience with Excel and its Solver. The final hour is taken up with real world application case-studies. As a footnote what I notice is that my style of preparing presentation is evolving alongside my membership of Toastmasters International. These slides are far too wordy and simply list the words I want to say rather than illustrate the concept I am get across. Change required but power point slides still need to read well and be comprehensible for those students that don't show to hear me present.

New voice, new tone, new IA: Writing for the modern developer

Keith Boyd

Lecture: Introduction to Linear Programming for Natural Resource Economists a...

Lecture: The world over we create a lot of bio degradable waste. Many of our traditional methods of dumping these wastes into seas of hole in the ground are closing. We need better and we need to take care of the environment. Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) is a 'systems theory' method that accounts for the environment by taking a cradle to grave view of changed products and processes and accounting for all inputs and outputs across the system boundary. I present case studies and some of the ideas and insights in modelling them and what has been learned about the systems

Lecture:Organic/Bio waste Life Cycle Assessment case studies

Title: A comparison of farm-scale models to estimate greenhouse gas emissions from dairy farms in Europe Authors: Nicholas Hutchings1 Daniel Sandars2, Şeyda Özkan3 Michel de Haan4 Affiliations: 1Dept. of Agroecology, Aarhus University, Blichers Allé 20, PO Box 50, 8830 Tjele, Denmark 2Institute for Environment, Health, Risk and Futures, School of Energy, Environment and Agrifood (SEEA), Cranfield University, Cranfield, Bedfordshire, MK43 0AL, United Kingdom 3Department of Animal and Aquacultural Sciences, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, PO Box 5003, 1432 Ås, Norway 4Wageningen UR Livestock Research, PO Box 338, 6700 AH Wageningen, Netherlands Email: Nick.Hutchings@agro.au.dk Abstract: Farm-scale models quantify the cycling of nitrogen (N) and carbon (C) so are powerful tools for assessing the impact of management-related decisions on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, especially on dairy cattle farms, where the internal cycling is particularly important. Farm models range in focus (economic, environmental) and the detail with which they represent C and N cycling. We compared four models from this range in terms of on-farm production and emissions of GHGs, using standardized scenarios. The models compared were SFarMod, DairyWise, FarmAC and HolosNor. The scenarios compared were based on two soil types (sandy clay versus heavy clay), two roughage systems (grass only versus grass and maize), and two climate types (Eindhoven versus Santander). Standard farm characteristics were; area (50 ha), milk yield (7000 kg/head/year), fertiliser (275 kg N and 150 kg N/ha/year for grass and maize, respectively). Potential yields for grass 10t dry matter (DM)/ha/year in both areas, maize 14 t DM/ha/ year in Eindhoven and 18t DM/ha/ year in Santander. The import of animal feed and the export/import manure and forages was minimized. Similar total farm direct GHG emissions for all models disguised a variation between models in the contribution of the different on-farm sources. There were large differences between models in the predictions of indirect GHG emission from nitrate leaching. Results could be explained by differences between models in the assumptions made and detail with which underlying processes were represented. We conclude that the choice of an appropriate farm model is highly dependent upon the role it should play and the context within which it will operate, so the current diversity of farm models will continue into the future. 1. Presentation type preference: Oral 2. The session at which I would prefer to present: Day 2 sessions Live M Theme Farm-scale modelling

A comparison of farm-scale models to estimate greenhouse gas emissions from d...

10waystobeamarketinggeniuslikeladygaga 100803083850-phpapp02

Hassan Ali

Teen Driving - Kimberly Stavropoulos

kimmymarie

Cranfield Speakers Club: The Area Director's perspective

En vedette (16)

Presentation at EURO 2007

Whole farm modelling farmer decision behaviour

SAMBA presentation to Stakeholders 2011

Project 9: Agriculture, a catastrophe from which we have never recovered!

Simulating Optimal future land use in the Nordic area

Why Advertise/Sponsor Samaritanmag?

Unusual Images 3

Keynote, Smithsonian 2.0

Understanding Europe’s future ability to feed itself within an uncertain clim...

New voice, new tone, new IA: Writing for the modern developer

Lecture: Introduction to Linear Programming for Natural Resource Economists a...

Lecture:Organic/Bio waste Life Cycle Assessment case studies

A comparison of farm-scale models to estimate greenhouse gas emissions from d...

10waystobeamarketinggeniuslikeladygaga 100803083850-phpapp02

Teen Driving - Kimberly Stavropoulos

Cranfield Speakers Club: The Area Director's perspective

Plus de Daniel Sandars

2018-06-16 dot#1 pr slides and notes

Sustainability Table Topics

2017 02-22 university of essex speechcraft preparation_and_practice

Speech Topics: Creating and Breaking the Paradox of Choice

Making Better Decisions: Operational Research

Know Your Message...Know Your Audience

Given on the 16th June at FACCE-JPI Macsur LiveM conference "Modelling Grassland-Livestock Systems under Climate Change" 15-16th June, Potsdam, Germany Farm systems modelling is an important tool to quantify and understanding the impacts of management decisions on farm productivity and environmental burdens, such as greenhouse gas emissions. Predicted emission intensity varied little between models, from 0.98 to 1.02 carbon dioxide equivalents (kg milk)-1, corresponding to a variation of about ±5%. This similarity disguised much larger variations in the underlying sources. For the two largest sources (enteric methane and soil nitrous oxide), which accounted for on average 55% and 26% of the total GHG emissions respectively. The differences and limitations of the inter-comparison are discussed and ways forward are suggested.

A comparison of greenhouse gases emmisions from dairy farms using four system...

A comparison of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from dairy farms by four syste...

An agriculturalist's operational research career perspective

Synergies between mitigation and adaptation to Climate Change in grassland-ba...

Populations and sustainability :- Fisheries

Presented at: The LiveM conference in Bilbao, which took place between 14th and 16th of October 2014 at the Maritime Museum on the banks of the Nervión-Ibaizabal estuary, bringing together around 45 MACSUR researchers from LiveM, CropM and TradeM, as well as representatives of ATF (Animal Task Force), EAAP (European Federation of Animal Science), the GRA Animal Health and GHG Emissions Intensity Network, AgMIP (Agricultural Modelling Improvement Programme) and the SOLID (Sustainable, Organic and Low Input Dairying) project.

Poster "Agricultural systems modelling coupled with Environmental Life Cycle ...

D sandars talk2

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Plus de Daniel Sandars (13)

2018-06-16 dot#1 pr slides and notes

Sustainability Table Topics

2017 02-22 university of essex speechcraft preparation_and_practice

Speech Topics: Creating and Breaking the Paradox of Choice

Making Better Decisions: Operational Research

Know Your Message...Know Your Audience

A comparison of greenhouse gases emmisions from dairy farms using four system...

A comparison of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from dairy farms by four syste...

An agriculturalist's operational research career perspective

Synergies between mitigation and adaptation to Climate Change in grassland-ba...

Populations and sustainability :- Fisheries

Poster "Agricultural systems modelling coupled with Environmental Life Cycle ...

D sandars talk2

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