1. NewRussiaGrowth Private Equity Advisors Opportunities for Investments in Russia: private equity and mezzanine Alexander Abolmasov Director Email: aabolmasov@nrgc.com November2009
19. Share of Oil&Gas in GDP decreased by 2.1xCrisis 2008: CBR reserves: $430 bn GDP2008: $1,670.3bn Oil&Gas: 9% of GDP Net private sector capital outflow, $ bn Crisis 1998: CBR reserves: $8bn GDP 1999: $196bn Oil&Gas: 18.7% of GDP 3 Source: Central Bank of Russia
29. Total banking capital $50bn. Additional capital up to $70bn could be required. Sources of credit organisations, $ bn 6 Source: Central Bank of Russia
30.
31. The borrowing rate for companies in $ terms has gone up from 8-11% to 16-22%
32. Average interest rate for ruble bonds are 12 - 18% (for the third tier issues – 22% - 28%)
33. Eurobonds rates are 9- 20% in $Corporate bonds rates in Russia Source: Central Bank of Russia Source: cbonds.ru 7
40. Short and long-term investment strategy 2009 Generate current interest income until repayment Provide secured debt to strong borrowers Credit Opportunity Fund Options and warrants to share upside 2009 - 2010 Real Estate Opportunity Fund Invest at distressed valuations Generate some current rent income Refinance as cap rates exceed interest rates. Sell at recovered value 2010 - 2011 2009 Help them grow on the empty field Sell at next long-term high market Private Equity Fund “Bottom fishing” Invest in “survivors” 10
48. Equity kickers leading to 30%+ targeted gross returnGoverning Law:Deal documents – English Law Collateral of assets in Russia – Russian Law Monitoring and control:Board participation with veto rights Right to appoint a Financial controller Regular reports from the company Control over use of funds Negative controls covenants 11
49.
50. Focus on mid-price and low-price segment with retail prices 40% lower on average than in Detskiy Mir.
51. 50 own and 17 franchisee shops in 66 Russian cities.
52. Key toy supplier for leading retail chains in Russia, such as Magnit, Perekrestok and Sedmoi Continent.
53. In house developed ERP system allows controlling all sales and stocks daily.
54. Average mark up is 96%, private label with mark up of 250% which account for 13% of total sales.
55. EBITDA in 2009 is expected to grow by 37% despite 40% ruble devaluation and resulted slightly reduction of sales in USD.
56. After new debt, the Debt/EBITDA ratio for the company will still be below 2x.Key financials 12