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Investors magic touch. iForum 2019

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Magic touch:
who are the modern kings Midases

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Investors magic touch. iForum 2019

  1. 1. Magic touch: who are the modern kings Midases Denis Dovgopoliy Oleksandr Udodenko
  2. 2. In big data we trust
  3. 3. Database data up to date 100k out of 6m cells about unicorns, funds, deals and other
  4. 4. Growing up of Unicorns
  5. 5. Exit Valuation and Money Raised
  6. 6. Access to capital
  7. 7. Average Exit Valuation and Raised Money by industries
  8. 8. Average Exit Valuation and Raised Money by industries * areas highlighted in red intersect on two graphs
  9. 9. Average Exit Valuation and Raised Money by industries * areas marked by arrow are active in Ukraine
  10. 10. Around whom the industry is spinning
  11. 11. Correlations hidden inside funds х х х х х
  12. 12. Correlation does not imply causation SUMMER HEAT NUMBER OF HEART ATTACKS ICE CREAM SALE correlation causation causation
  13. 13. Survivorship Bias
  14. 14. Survivorship Bias
  15. 15. Analysis arsenal - Separation of stages - Cluster analysis - Multiple regression
  16. 16. sucksWhy traditional approach doesn’t work Seed stage “A” stage “A+B” stages 85% of funds are hidden 98% of funds are hidden 79% of funds are hidden * “hidden” means that these funds are located below 1000th position of Crunchbase list of top investors
  17. 17. Seed stage magic touch
  18. 18. Seed stage magic touch
  19. 19. “A” stage magic touch
  20. 20. “A” stage magic touch
  21. 21. “A+B” stages magic touch
  22. 22. “A+B” stages magic touch
  23. 23. Kings Midases’ background Seed stage “A” stage Technology Entrepreneurs Venture Fund Managers Celebrities Technology Entrepreneurs Venture Fund Managers Celebrities 82% 64% 0% 75% 46% 7%
  24. 24. Mafia wars
  25. 25. Updates https://t.me/DDFundslist Oleksandr Udodenko alexandr.udodenko@gmail.com Denis Dovgopoliy denny.do@gmail.com

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