Technical analysis is done on the basis of historical price movement plotted on a two-dimensional chart. One reason it has become popular is that anybody can look at the chart and see how prices have moved.
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What is Stock Market Technical Analysis
1.
2. Analysis of statistics generated by market
activity such as past price and volume to come
up with reasonable outcome in future using
charts as a primary tool.
Should I take a long position? Should I take a
short position? What is going to be the price
tomorrow, next week or next year?
Introduction
3. The market discounts everything
Prices move in trends
History tends to repeat itself
Assumptions
8. The meaning of trend in finance isn't all that different from
the general definition of the term - a trend is really nothing
more than the general direction.
A trend represents a consistent change in prices (i.e. a change
in investor’s expectations)
A trendline is a simple charting technique that adds a line to a
chart to represent the trend in the market or a stock.
Trends
12. Support and Resistance
Support level is a price level where the price tends to find
support as it is going down
13. Support and Resistance
Resistance Level is a price level where the price tends to
find resistance as it is going up
14. Importance of Support and Resistance
Support and resistance analysis is an important part
of trends because it can be used to make trading
decisions and identify when a trend is reversing
15. Aware: Support and Resistance levels
Support and Resistance levels are highly
volatile
Traders should not buy and sell directly at
these points as there may be breakout also
20. Indicators
A mathematical tool that can be applied on security’s
price giving a result that can be used to anticipate
trends, volatility and price
Indicators are used in two main ways: to confirm
price movement and to form buy and sell signals
21. Types of Indicator
Lagging
This indicator simply tells you what prices are
doing, they don’t warn you of upcoming changes
Leading
This indicators attempt to make investment calls on
securities prior to actual price confirmation
22. Moving Averages
A simple moving average is calculated by taking
average of most recent closing prices of n time period
Exponential Moving average applies weighting
factors which decrease exponentially
26. Bollinger Bands
Bollinger bands are the envelopes plotted at standard
deviations above and below the moving average
Bollinger Bands can be used to measure the highness
or lowness of the price relative to previous trades
30. Impulse and Corrective Patterns
The impulse pattern consists of five waves, the
five waves can be in either direction, up or
down
Corrective patterns can be grouped into two
different categories:
• Simple Correction( Zig-Zag )
• Complex correction (Flat, Irregular,
Triangle)
31. Fractal Structure
The structures Elliott described meet the
common definition of a fractal ( self-similar
patterns appearing at every degree of trend)
Elliott Wave patterns that show up on long
term charts are identical to, and will also show
up on short term charts
33. Fibonacci Retracement Patterns
Stocks often pull back or retrace a percentage
of the previous move before reversing
Retracement percentages follow a Fibonacci
ratio pattern, the key Fibonacci ratios are 23.6,
38.2, 50, 61.8
35. Linear Regression Lines
When prices are below the Linear Regression Line, this could
be viewed as a good time to buy, and when prices are above
the Linear Regression Line, a trader might sell
36. Linear Regression Channel
A Linear Regression trendline shows where equilibrium exists
but Linear Regression Channels show the range prices can be
expected to deviate from a trendline
37. Relative Strength Index
It compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses in an
attempt to determine overbought and oversold conditions of an
asset
RSI= 100- 100/ (1+RS)
RS=EMA[U]/EMA[D] EMA- exponential moving
average
U= Sig (close (today)-close (yesterday))
D= Sig(close(yesterday)-close(today))
39. Stochastic Oscillator
Compares where a security’s price closed
relative to its price range over a given time
period
Fast oscillator
Slow oscillator %D = SMA(%K, N)
40. Stochastic Oscillator
Buy when the Oscillator (either %K or %D) falls below a specific level
(e.g., 20) and then rises above that level. Sell when the Oscillator rises
above a specific level (e.g., 80) and then falls below that level;
Buy when the %K line rises above the %D line and sell when the %K line
falls below the %D line