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Startup Metrics for Pirates 5 th  Annual Arizona Entrepreneurship Conference Phoenix, AZ – Nov 2010 Dave McClure  @DaveMcClure http://www.500startups.com   http://500hats.typepad.com http://slideshare.net/dmc500hats HashTags: #AZEC10 #aarrr #leanstartup AARRR !
AARRR! : 5-Step Startup Metrics Model Website.com R evenue $$$ Biz Dev Ads, Lead Gen, Subscriptions, ECommerce A CQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains R etention Emails & Alerts System Events & Time-based Features Blogs, RSS, News Feeds
Startup Challenges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Startup 2.0 :  “Lean Investor” Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[Pardon The  Blatant  Commercial]
Dave McClure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],GEEK, CODER, ENTREPRENEUR Blogger, Marketing,  Angel/VC Investor
500 Hats Investments  (13+ deals, 2004-2008, ~$310K) Results:  1 exit @ $170M (9x) , +3-6 future wins  (i hope ;) 2 exits @ $50M, $70M  (advisory roles) (acq YHOO) (acq GOOG) (acq INTU)
Founders Fund Investments  (43 deals, 2009, ~2.9M) Results : 8 raised seed rd $500K+ 1 raised $4M; 3 early exits Results : 6 raised next rd $2M+ 1 raised $12M; 1 early exit fbFund REV  (Facebook Incubator) 22 deals ($850K total)  ~$40K avg FF Angel LLC 21 deals ($2M total) ~$100K avg
500 Startups - Fund I (60+ investments @ ~$75K avg) Wildfire Crave Tello AwayFind Indinero MyGengo Revnetics Mogotix EcoMom Zencoder GazeHawk Crocodoc SayHired Recurly AppBistro Foodspotting Gantto Medialets Rapportive TransFS SiteJabber GinzaMetrics Estately FlowTown OneForty Twilio Postling Plancast ElaCarte WePay Zappli Format Baydin GroupSpaces Rapportive Apsalar Bunndle Udemy Brainient ReadyForZero Graphicly StoryJumper OtherInbox Viikii Zozi One True Fan Formative Labs Networked Blogs
[ Important  Shit  ]
Web 2.0: Hell  Yes , Good Times. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],R.I.P. *BAD* TIMES
Discover  Meaning Why Should Users Give a  SHIT  About You? Kathy Sierra: “ Creating Passionate Users”
Read  Geoffrey Miller Sex  +  Evolution  +  Consumer Mktg  =  Awesome Sauce
Other Great  Shit. Psychology  +  Comics
Discover Meaning Keywords, Images, Call-to-Action ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
KILL  A FEATURE. Something  Sucks . Find It.  KILL   It. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[The  Lean  Startup]
The Lean Startup ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Discover  Customers (Steve Blank, SteveBlank.com)
Iterate , Dammit. (Eric Ries, StartupLessonsLearned.com) LEARN BUILD MEASURE IDEAS CODE DATA
Product/Market Fit  b4 “Launch” (Sean Ellis, Startup-Marketing.com) Startup-Marketing.com
[Startup Metrics 4  Pirates ]
Just Gimme the  GOOD  Metrics. Users, Pages, Clicks, Emails, $$$...? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],the  good  stuff.
Q: What’s My Business Model? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Optimize  4  Happiness  (both User + Business) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],$$$
Startup Metrics for Pirates ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],(note: If you’re in a hurry, Google “Startup Metrics” & watch 5m video) AARRR !
AARRR !: 5-Step Startup Metrics Model Website.com R evenue $$$ Biz Dev Ads, Lead Gen, Subscriptions, ECommerce A CQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains R etention Emails & Alerts System Events & Time-based Features Blogs, RSS, News Feeds
[Startup Roles &  Challenges ]
Startup Challenges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Role: Founder / CEO ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Role: Product / Eng / Design ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Example Conversion Dashboard (note: *not* actuals… your mileage may vary) Stage Conversion Status Conv.  % Est. Value (*not* cost) Acquisition Visitors -> Site/Widget/Landing Page (2+ pages, 10+ sec, 1+ clicks = don’t abandon) 60% $.05 Activation “ Happy” 1 st  Visit; Usage/Signup (clicks/time/pages, email/profile reg, feature usage) 15% $.25 Retention Users Come Back; Multiple Visits (1-3x visits/mo; email/feed open rate / CTR) 5% $1 Referral Users Refer Others (cust sat >=8; viral K factor > 1; ) 1% $5 Revenue Users Pay / Generate $$$ (first txn, break-even, target profitability) 2% $50
Role: Marketing / Sales ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Example Marketing Channels ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
M AARRR keting Plan ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
One Step at a Time. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],“ You probably can’t save your  Ass  and your  Face  at the same time…  choose carefully .”  – DMC
[ The Lean  Investor  ]
Startup 2.0:  “Lean Investor” Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Investment #1: Incubate (“Product”) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Investment #2: Seed (“Market”) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Investment #3: Venture (“Revenue”) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[ Don’t  Pitch  Me, Bro. ] Seriously : Don’t.  Fucking .  Pitch Me. (and  don’t email me  either, cuz i won’t read it)
Don’t Pitch Me, Bro. ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Email
Links & Resources ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Appendix
Startup Metrics Activation
Website.com ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],do LOTS of  landing  page  &  A/B tests  –  make lots of dumb  guesses &  iterate FAST Activation SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
Activation What do users do on their first visit? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Activation What do users do on their first visit? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Activation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Startup Metrics Retention
Website.com ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Retention SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains Emails & Alerts System Events & Time-based Features Blogs, RSS, News Feeds
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Retention How do users come back? How often?
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Retention How do users come back? How often?
Retention How do users come back? How often? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Retention ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Startup Metrics Acquisition
Website.com ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Acquisition SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains
Acquisition Where are users coming from? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Acquisition Keyword Vocabulary ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Acquisition Where are users coming from? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Example
Acquisition ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Startup Metrics Referral
Website.com Focus on driving referrals * after * users have a “ happy ” experience; avg score >=  8 out of 10 Referral Acquisition SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains Retention Emails & Alerts System Events & Time-based Features Blogs, RSS, News Feeds
Referral How do users refer others? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Referral Viral Growth Factor ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],A viral growth factor > 1 means an exponential organic user acquisition.
Referral ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Startup Metrics Revenue
Website.com Revenue This is the part *you*  still have to figure out…  (we  don’t know jack  about your business) R evenue $$$ Biz Dev Ads, Lead Gen, Subscriptions, ECommerce Acquisition SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains Retention Emails & Alerts System Events & Time-based Features Blogs, RSS, News Feeds
Revenue How do you make money? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Revenue ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Types of Measurement ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Startup Metrics for Pirates (Nov 2010)

  • 1. Startup Metrics for Pirates 5 th Annual Arizona Entrepreneurship Conference Phoenix, AZ – Nov 2010 Dave McClure @DaveMcClure http://www.500startups.com http://500hats.typepad.com http://slideshare.net/dmc500hats HashTags: #AZEC10 #aarrr #leanstartup AARRR !
  • 2. AARRR! : 5-Step Startup Metrics Model Website.com R evenue $$$ Biz Dev Ads, Lead Gen, Subscriptions, ECommerce A CQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains R etention Emails & Alerts System Events & Time-based Features Blogs, RSS, News Feeds
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. [Pardon The Blatant Commercial]
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  • 7. 500 Hats Investments (13+ deals, 2004-2008, ~$310K) Results: 1 exit @ $170M (9x) , +3-6 future wins (i hope ;) 2 exits @ $50M, $70M (advisory roles) (acq YHOO) (acq GOOG) (acq INTU)
  • 8. Founders Fund Investments (43 deals, 2009, ~2.9M) Results : 8 raised seed rd $500K+ 1 raised $4M; 3 early exits Results : 6 raised next rd $2M+ 1 raised $12M; 1 early exit fbFund REV (Facebook Incubator) 22 deals ($850K total) ~$40K avg FF Angel LLC 21 deals ($2M total) ~$100K avg
  • 9. 500 Startups - Fund I (60+ investments @ ~$75K avg) Wildfire Crave Tello AwayFind Indinero MyGengo Revnetics Mogotix EcoMom Zencoder GazeHawk Crocodoc SayHired Recurly AppBistro Foodspotting Gantto Medialets Rapportive TransFS SiteJabber GinzaMetrics Estately FlowTown OneForty Twilio Postling Plancast ElaCarte WePay Zappli Format Baydin GroupSpaces Rapportive Apsalar Bunndle Udemy Brainient ReadyForZero Graphicly StoryJumper OtherInbox Viikii Zozi One True Fan Formative Labs Networked Blogs
  • 10. [ Important Shit ]
  • 11.
  • 12. Discover Meaning Why Should Users Give a SHIT About You? Kathy Sierra: “ Creating Passionate Users”
  • 13. Read Geoffrey Miller Sex + Evolution + Consumer Mktg = Awesome Sauce
  • 14. Other Great Shit. Psychology + Comics
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. [The Lean Startup]
  • 18.
  • 19. Discover Customers (Steve Blank, SteveBlank.com)
  • 20. Iterate , Dammit. (Eric Ries, StartupLessonsLearned.com) LEARN BUILD MEASURE IDEAS CODE DATA
  • 21. Product/Market Fit b4 “Launch” (Sean Ellis, Startup-Marketing.com) Startup-Marketing.com
  • 22. [Startup Metrics 4 Pirates ]
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27. AARRR !: 5-Step Startup Metrics Model Website.com R evenue $$$ Biz Dev Ads, Lead Gen, Subscriptions, ECommerce A CQUISITION SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains R etention Emails & Alerts System Events & Time-based Features Blogs, RSS, News Feeds
  • 28. [Startup Roles & Challenges ]
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32. Example Conversion Dashboard (note: *not* actuals… your mileage may vary) Stage Conversion Status Conv. % Est. Value (*not* cost) Acquisition Visitors -> Site/Widget/Landing Page (2+ pages, 10+ sec, 1+ clicks = don’t abandon) 60% $.05 Activation “ Happy” 1 st Visit; Usage/Signup (clicks/time/pages, email/profile reg, feature usage) 15% $.25 Retention Users Come Back; Multiple Visits (1-3x visits/mo; email/feed open rate / CTR) 5% $1 Referral Users Refer Others (cust sat >=8; viral K factor > 1; ) 1% $5 Revenue Users Pay / Generate $$$ (first txn, break-even, target profitability) 2% $50
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37. [ The Lean Investor ]
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42. [ Don’t Pitch Me, Bro. ] Seriously : Don’t. Fucking . Pitch Me. (and don’t email me either, cuz i won’t read it)
  • 43.
  • 44.
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  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62.
  • 64. Website.com Focus on driving referrals * after * users have a “ happy ” experience; avg score >= 8 out of 10 Referral Acquisition SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains Retention Emails & Alerts System Events & Time-based Features Blogs, RSS, News Feeds
  • 65.
  • 66.
  • 67.
  • 69. Website.com Revenue This is the part *you* still have to figure out… (we don’t know jack about your business) R evenue $$$ Biz Dev Ads, Lead Gen, Subscriptions, ECommerce Acquisition SEO SEM Apps & Widgets Affiliates Email PR Biz Dev Campaigns, Contests Direct, Tel, TV Social Networks Blogs Domains Retention Emails & Alerts System Events & Time-based Features Blogs, RSS, News Feeds
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72.

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. I know, too many bullets…
  2. Qualitative: SurveyMonkey (surveys), CrazyEgg (heatmap), TechSmith Morae / UserVue (ux recording), RobotReplay, TapeFailure. Quantitative: Google Analytics (free), MyBlogLog, ClickTracks, Index Tools, Visual Sciences / Webside Story, Omniture, WebTrends, etc. Comparative: Google Website Optimizer, SiteSpect, Optimost, Offermatica, Vertster, Kefta. Competitive: Quantcast, Compete.com, Alexa, Hitwise, Comscore, Nielsens. see more info at: http://webanalyticsassociation.com/ (WAA) http://kaushik.net/ (Avinash Kaushik) http://grokdotcom.com/ (Eisenbergs) http://www.emetrics.org/ (Jim Sterne)