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Prepared for 
6.S897 / 17.S952 : Elections and Voting Technology 
(Guest Lecture) 
MIT 
October 2014 
Redistricting and Technology 
Dr. Micah Altman 
<escience@mit.edu> 
Director of Research, MIT Libraries 
Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution
DISCLAIMER 
These opinions are my own, they are not the opinions 
of MIT, Brookings, any of the project funders, nor (with 
the exception of co-authored previously published 
work) my collaborators 
Secondary disclaimer: 
“It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the 
future!” 
-- Attributed to Woody Allen, Yogi Berra, Niels Bohr, Vint Cerf, Winston Churchill, 
Confucius, Disreali [sic], Freeman Dyson, Cecil B. Demille, Albert Einstein, Enrico Fermi, 
Edgar R. Fiedler, Bob Fourer, Sam Goldwyn, Allan Lamport, Groucho Marx, Dan Quayle, 
George Bernard Shaw, Casey Stengel, Will Rogers, M. Taub, Mark Twain, Kerr L. White, 
etc. 
Redistricting and Technology
Collaborators & Co-Conspirators 
• Michael P. McDonald, 
George Mason University 
• Alejandro Trelles, University of Pittsburgh 
• Eric Magar, ITAM 
• Research Support 
Thanks to the the Sloan Foundation, the Joyce 
Foundation, the Judy Ford Watson Center for 
Public Policy, Amazon Corporation 
Redistricting and Technology
Recent Related Work 
• Altman, Micah, and Michael P McDonald (2014) “Paradoxes of Political Reform: Congressional 
Redistricting in Florida”, in Jigsaw Politics in the Sunshine State, University Press of Florida. 
Forthcoming. 
• Altman, Micah, and Michael P McDonald. (2014) “Public Participation GIS : The Case of 
Redistricting.” Proceedings of the 47th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System 
Sciences. Computer Society Press (IEEE). 
• Micah Altman, Michael P McDonald (2013) “A Half-Century of Virginia Redistricting Battles: 
Shifting from Rural Malapportionment to Voting Rights to Public Participation”. Richmond Law 
Review. 
• Micah Altman, Michael P McDonald (2012) Redistricting Principles for the Twenty-First Century, 1- 
26. In Case-Western Law Review 62 (4). 
• Micah Altman, Michael P. McDonald (2012) Technology for Public Participation in Redistricting. In 
Redistricting and Reapportionment in the West, Lexington Press. 
• Altman, M., & McDonald, M. P. (2011). The Dawn of Do-It-Yourself Redistricting ? Campaigns & 
Elections, (January), 38-42 
• Michael Altman, Michael P McDonald (2011) BARD: Better automated redistricting, 1-28. In 
Journal Of Statistical Software 42 (4). 
• Micah Altman, M MCDONALD (2010) The Promise and Perils of Computers in Redistricting, 69– 
159. In Duke J Const Law Pub Policy 
Reprints available from: 
informatics.mit.edu 
Redistricting and Technology
Roadmap 
* Redistricting & Gerrymandering* 
* Algorithmic Approaches * 
* Crowdsourcing * 
* Thoughts on System and Algorithmic 
Transparency* 
Redistricting and Technology
What are 
Redistricting & 
Gerrymandering 
Redistricting and Technology
What is Redistricting ? 
• The periodic redrawing of legislative boundaries 
• Advance administrative criteria, e.g.: 
– equalize district populations 
– compactness 
– maintain existing political boundaries 
– respect communities of interest 
• Advance explicitly representational criteria, e.g.: 
– Voting Rights Act 
– “Cannot favor” candidates and parties 
– Competitiveness 
Redistricting and Technology
What is Gerrymandering 
Electoral Boundary Delimitation. 
Assignment of people to geographical 
districts from which they will elect 
representatives, in order to reflect 
communities of interest, meet 
administrative criteria, and to 
improve representation. 
Gerrymandering. Gerrymandering is 
a form of political boundary 
delimitation, or redistricting, in which 
the boundaries are selected to 
produce an outcome that is 
improperly favorable to some group.. 
Redistricting and Technology 
Classic 
(eponymous) 
Gerrymander 
Modern 
Gerrymander
What’s hard 
about doing it 
right? 
Redistricting and Technology
A Core Challenge: 
How to measure quality of representation? 
There is a story about a very senior political scientist and a world- renowned scholar in the field of 
representation who traveled to Russia shortly after the fall of communism to lecture to the newly formed 
Duma. 
After speaking, a newly-minted member of the Duma approached him and asked him a question with great 
earnestness. 
“I have been elected as a representative,” the Duma 
member asked, “so when I vote, should I vote the 
way I think the electors want me to, or should I vote 
the way I think is right?” 
“That’s a good question… Scholars have been studying 
this for two thousand years. And, let me just say, there 
are many opinions.” 
Redistricting and Technology
Can we just 
agree on some 
measures? 
Redistricting and Technology
Some Proposed Representational Measures 
Scholarly criteria 
Neutrality’ (unbiasedness) [Niemi & 
Deegan 1978] 
symmetry of seats-votes curve 
‘Range of responsiveness’ [Niemi & 
Deegan 1978] 
range of vote shares across which 
electoral results change 
Constant Swing [Niemi & Deegan 1978] 
increase of seat share is constant in 
increase in seat share 
‘Competitiveness’ [Niemi & Deegan 
1978] 
maximize number of districts with 
competitive margins 
Compactness – perception of district 
appearance [see Altman 1998b] 
Minimize voting for a loser 
(anticompetitiveness) [Brunell 2008] 
‘Cognizability’ [Grofman 1985] 
‘Communities of Interest’ [See Forrest 
2004] 
Clustering [Fryer & Holden 2007] 
Conformance with natural/administrative 
boundaries 
Media market preservation 
Moderate majoritarianism 
Continuity of representative relationship 
(incumbency protection) [ see Persily 
2003] 
Graphical symmetry around expected 
partisan vote share [Kousser 1996] 
U.S. State Criteria 
Coincidence with “major roads, streams, or 
other natural boundaries”. 
Coincidence with census tract boundaries. 
Being “square, rectangular or hexagonal in 
shape to the extent permitted by natural or 
political boundaries.” 
Being “easily identifiable and understandable 
by voters”. 
Facilitating “communication between a 
representative and his constituents”. 
Preserving “media markets”. 
Enhancing “opportunity for voters to know 
their representative and the other voters he 
represents.” 
Aligning with “prior legislative boundaries”. 
Consistency with “political subdivisions”. 
Utilizing “vernacularly insular regions so as to 
allow for the representation of common 
interest”. 
Redistricting and Technology
Can we use them 
all? 
Redistricting and Technology
Tensions Among 
Representational Criteria 
• Logically exclusivity: 
– Competitiveness and anticompetitiveness 
• Mathematically bounds: 
• Can’t maximize competitiveness & guarantee 
constant swing [Niemi & Deegan 1978] 
• Can’t maximize competitiveness & symmetry 
[Niemi & Deegan 1978] 
• Empirically bounds: 
• Compactness, communities of interest, 
competitiveness, symmetry, etc. 
Redistricting and Technology
What about 
neutral rules? 
Redistricting and Technology
“Neutral” Rules and Higher-Order Bias 
• Eliminating judgment leads to 
calcification: 
Electoral District-based systems are unique in 
incorporating expert judgment into this process 
converting voter preferences to candidate selection 
• Weak empirical links between 
process and outcomes 
– Little empirical support for 
restrictions other than population 
– Population restriction, etc. has not 
prevented gerrymanders 
• Unintended consequences 
– Baker & Karcher lead to widescale 
abandonment of other traditional 
principles (Altman 1998a) 
• Intended (second order) 
consequences 
– Choice of combination of neutral 
rules to disadvantage minorities 
(Parker 1990 
– Compactness rules have partisan 
consequences (Altman 1999; 
Barabas 2005; Rodden & Chen 
Redistricting and Technology 
(Parker 1990)
Trends in computing use for 
boundary delimitation? 
1960-70 
• Research 
systems, 
demos 
1980 
• First 
production use 
1990 
• Common use 
of GIS for 
congressional 
boundaries 
• GIS = Decision 
Support 
• Professional 
Only 
• Bespoke 
systems 
2000 
• Web – 
disseminate 
government 
information 
• Ubiquitous 
GIS on 
desktop 
Redistricting and Technology 
Source: Altman, MacDonald, 
McDonald 2005
A Typology of computer use 
Redistricting and Technology 
History 
Typology 
Transparency
GIS – Unjustly Feared 
• Fears 
Mappers were able to specify a desired outcome or outcomes — the 
number of people in a district, say, or the percentage of Democrats 
in it — and have the program design a potential new district 
instantly. These systems allow redistricters to create hundreds of 
rough drafts easily and quickly, and to choose from among them 
maps that are both politically and aesthetically appealing. [Peck and 
Caitlin, 2003] 
• Evidence 
• Widespread adoption of computers in the 1990’s post-dates precipitous 
changes in district shape and composition 
• Redistricting software prices dropped in 2000, but features remained 
essentially the same. 
• Competitiveness declined in 2000, after computers and election data 
already ubiquitous. 
• No statistical correlation between computer use/data and bad outcomes 
Redistricting and Technology 
History 
Typology 
Transparency
Automated Redistricting 
• First invented: 
1961. [Vickrey] 
• First practical – 
Mexico 2004 
• Practical in US ? 
Results from “redistricter” 
software. [Olson 2008] 
Redistricting and Technology
A General Combinatoric Optimization Problem 
Redistricting and Technology 
• Graph representation 
– Easy to represent contiguity 
– Easy to represent most district attributes 
– Inconvenient for some compactness measures 
• Some other representations… 
– Set partition 
– Weighted polygon partition 
– Integer program
Hardwiring Criteria 
• Full auto works (or comes close) by 
restricting attention to population, 
contiguity, and (some limited forms of) 
compactness. 
• This implies no other criteria matter. 
• But there are many strongly advocated 
normative criteria: 
Redistricting and Technology
Metaheuristics Approaches 
• Genetic Algorithms [Xiao 2003] 
– <500 Units (?) 
– Population variance< 1% 
• Genetic Algorithm w/TSP Encoding [Forman and Yu 
2003] 
– <400 Units 
– Some post-processing 
– Population variance< 1% 
• Annealing [Andrade & Garcia 2009] 
– <400 Units 
• Tabu Seach [Bozkaya et. al 2003] 
– <850 units 
– Population variance <25% 
• General Metaheuristics [Altman & McDonald 2010] 
– Framework for multiple metaheuristics & criteria 
– Preliminrary results on <1000 units 
Redistricting and Technology
State of the Practice Only a few software packages available that are functional in practice: 
• “Redistricter” [Olson 2008] 
– Advantages 
• uses kmeans with ad-hoc refinements (including annealing) to solve 
• Using 500K census blocks can find solutions within 1% of population 
– Limitations 
• Ad-hoc definition of compactness 
• Does not permit inclusion of districting criteria other than compactness, population, contiguity 
• BARD [Altman-McDonald 2006-10] 
– Advantages 
• Uses a variety of meta-heuristics 
• Flexible criteria selection 
• Districting analysis tools 
– Limitations 
• Automated approaches limited to a few 1000 population units 
• IFE System 
– Advantages 
• Complete GIS interface for redistricting – not just an optimization algorithm 
• Successfully used for automated redistricting of 1000’s of units in Mexico 
• Annealing algorithm allows for flexibility in cost functions 
– Limitations 
• Not as well known, source license and distribution terms are informal 
• Single algorithm w/limited tunable parameters 
, may require adaptation/experimentation for new costs & applications 
Redistricting and Technology 
Context 
Algorithms 
Transparency
Semi-Auto: Technical 
challenges 
• Too many solutions to enumerate: 
S(n,r) = 
1 
r! 
r 
å = 
– Even redistricting using common criteria is NP-complete [Altman 1997] 
– Not mathematically possible to find optimal solutions to general 
Redistricting and Technology 
redistricting criteria! 
(-1)r 
(r - i)n r! 
(r - i)!i! 
é 
ê 
ë 
ù 
ú 
û 
i=0
Are Redistricting Criteria more 
Transparent than Plans? 
• Even ‘contiguity’ involves many operational decisions 
– ‘telephone line’ contiguity vs. census block contiguity 
– Crossovers allowed? 
– Single point of contact allowed? 
– ‘Donut’s? 
– Require roads (or bridges, or ferries)? 
– ‘Compact’ district 
[see Young 1988; Niemi et. a 1991; Altman 1998b, etc.] 
– 30+ different base measures to choose from, e.g. 
• Moment of inertia [Weaver & Hess 1965] 
• Minimize distance between people [Payapanapolous 1973] 
• Compare to area of bounding circle [Reock 1961] 
Then variations … 
– Map orientation and scale can matter [Altman 1998] 
– Treatment of water? 
Redistricting and Technology 
• Ignore it 
• Assign to closest land area 
• Include it 
• Transform it away 
– Treatment of population 
• Ignore it 
• Drop zero population blocks 
• Weight it 
• Type of population: any, voting age, citizen, eligible voter 
• Transform map
Building a 
Platform – 
A Policy 
Experiment 
Redistricting and Technology
Why DIY Redistricting? 
• Generally, only well-organized political 
interests – political parties, incumbents, and 
minority voting rights groups – have had the 
capacity to draw redistricting plans. 
• Plans are policy proposals… but drawing a 
legal plan has required technical and legal 
expertise using expensive geographic 
information systems (GIS) software and 
difficult to compile census and election 
databases. 
• In last round of redistricting much more data 
was available publicly, but public participation 
lagged. [Altman Mac Donald McDonald 2005] 
Redistricting and Technology
Collaborative Mapping – Almost 
• Tools emerging There? 
– Google MapMaker 
– Redistricting Game 
– Ohio redistricting 
exercise 
• Potential 
– Participation 
– Education 
– Demonstrate 
representational 
possibilities 
– Identify emergent 
communities of 
interest 
Redistricting Game [NYT 2007] 
Redistricting and Technology
Research Questions 
• Is it possible for non-professionals to 
create legal redistricting plans? 
• Can supporting technology increase 
participation in the redistricting process? 
• How do redistricting plans produced by 
non-professionals differ from those 
produced by professional politicians? 
Redistricting and Technology
Intervention Part 1 - Platform 
Redistricting and Technology
Public Mapping Project Goals 
• Identify principles for transparency and public 
participation in redistricting 
• Enable the public to draw maps of the 
communities and redistricting plans for their 
states 
– Facilitate public input to process 
– Inform the public debate 
– Provide maps for courts where litigation occurs 
Redistricting and Technology
Supporting a Public Mapping 
Workflow -- Initial Features 
• Create 
– Create districts and plans 
• Evaluate 
– Visualize 
– Summarize 
• Population balance 
• Geographic compactness 
• Completeness and contiguity 
– Report in depth 
• Share 
– Import & export plans 
– Publish a plan 
Redistricting and Technology
Added Features in 2010-13 
• Shapefile import/export 
• PDF “printing” 
• Open data – link to original data 
• Throttling 
• Data administration – add new data through administrative 
web interface 
• Community layers – add your own community, publish, and 
check for splits 
• Scoreboards, contest submission workflows 
• Internationalization 
– Localization in French, English, Spanish, Japanese 
Redistricting and Technology
Builds on Best-of-Class 
Open Source Software 
Redistricting and Technology
(Also Award Winning) 
 Named one of the top ten political 
innovations of 2011 
by Politico 
 Winner of the 2012 data innovation 
award, for data used for social 
impact, 
by Strata 
 Winner of the 2012 award for 
outstanding software development, 
by American Political Science 
Association 
 Winner of the 2013 Tides Pizzigati 
Prize 
Redistricting and Technology
Platform Interface Example 
Redistricting and Technology
Sign in – Or just View 
Open Data Open Access Open Source 
Redistricting and Technology
Choose Your Legislature 
Redistricting and Technology
Get the Picture – Visualize Successful 
Redistricting and Technology
Drill Down – Get The Facts 
Redistricting and Technology
Make A Plan 
Redistricting and Technology
Get the Details 
Redistricting and Technology
Run The Numbers 
Redistricting and Technology
Is it legal? How Well Are You Doing? 
Who’s Doing Better? 
Redistricting and Technology
Spread the Word 
 Share your plans with others in the 
system 
 Publish links 
 Have a contest 
Redistricting and Technology
Intervention Part 1 - Platform 
Redistricting and Technology
Are Public Maps 
Different? 
Redistricting and Technology
Our Solution: 
Increase Public Participation 
Interest 
Information 
Seeking 
Debate & 
Commentary 
Propose 
Alternatives 
Consultative 
Government 
Get the data 
Evaluate maps? 
Draw the Lines? 
Watch the 
News 
Redistricting and Technology
How has DistrictBuilder been used? 
Redistricting and Technology 
 For Transparency: 
 Dissemination 
 Public understanding 
 Evaluation/comparison 
 For Education: 
 Staff training 
 Classroom teaching 
 Student competitions 
 For Participation: 
 Integrated into official decision process 
 Non-partisan public organizations 
 For Election Administration: 
 Internal collaboration/analysis sharing 
 Support for commission
Where has DistrictBuilder been used? 
 Used in 10 states 
 More than 1000 
legal plans 
created by the 
public 
 Thousands of 
public participants 
Redistricting and Technology 
 Millions of 
viewers
Intervention - Redistricting Competitions 
 Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, New York, Virginia, 
City of Philadelphia 
 Inspire participation 
 Transform the redistricting story 
Redistricting and Technology
Virginia Redistricting Competition 
• Participants 
– Eligible: Any student from Virginia College/University 
• Incentives 
– Potential media attention 
– Honorarium: $200 
– Prizes: $500-$2000 
• Criteria 
– Legally required redistricting criteria: equal population, contiguity, 
voting rights, completeness 
– Good government criteria: communities of interest, county & city 
boundaries, competitiveness, partisan balance 
– Explanatory narrative 
• Timeline 
– Nov 2010 (recruitment) -March 2011 (awards) 
Redistricting and Technology
Plan Evaluation Criteria 
Redistricting and Technology 
Majority-Minority 
Representation 
Number of districts in which minority population > 50% of the 
district 
Population Equality percentage deviation from ideal district population 
County Integrity Number of times counties & independent cities are split by 
districts 
Compactness Normalized ratio of (perimeter of district)/(area of district)^2 
Partisan Balance Number of Republican leaning districts minus 
Number of Democratic-leaning districts 
Competitiveness Number of districts with normal Democratic vote share in [45%- 
55%]
Data 
Domain: Virginia Redistricting Proposals 
- All redistricting plans submitted by members of the 
public 
- All redistricting plans proposed by legislature 
- All plans proposed by redistricting commission 
Exclusions: 
- Proposals that did not meet minimum legal criteria 
- Plans developed internally by legislature, but never 
proposed publicly 
Redistricting and Technology
Examples: Winning Plans 
Redistricting and Technology 
! 
!
Results: VA Congress 
Redistricting and Technology
Results: VA Senate 
Redistricting and Technology
Results: VA House 
Redistricting and Technology
Results from Virginia 
• Students can create legal districting plans. 
• The “best” plan, as ranked by each individual 
criterion, was a student plan. 
• Student plans 
– demonstrated a wider range of possibilities than other 
entities. 
– covered a larger set of possible tradeoffs among each 
criterion. 
– were generally better on pairs of criteria. 
• Student plans were more competitive and had more 
partisan balance than any of the adopted plans. 
Redistricting and Technology
Preview of Florida 
• Yes, Florida, the 
public can still draw 
districts 
• Revealed 
preferences of the 
legislature – 
stick it to the 
Democrats 
Redistricting and Technology
Work in Progress 
Redistricting and Technology
Preview: Minneapolis Experience 
Before After 
Redistricting and Technology
Preview: Minneapolis Experience 
• Citizen redistricting commission created by 2010 voter 
initiative 
• Software Users: 
– Redistricting Commissioners 
– Community Groups (Somali, Latino, African-American, 
Common Cause & League of Women Voters) 
– Private individuals 
• Public participation: 
– 170 users 
– 500 total plans 
– 96 publicly shared plans 
• E-Democracy Forum 
Redistricting and Technology
Preview: Minneapolis Experience 
• Population Characteristics 
– 382,578 total persons 
– 151,928 persons of color (39.7%) 
• Representation Change 
– Before: 2 of 13 districts represented by persons 
of color 
– After: 4 of 13 expected to be represented 
(30.8%) 
• Created new Somali district and new Latino district 
Redistricting and Technology
Observations: 
Technology 
Implementation 
Redistricting and Technology
Goals Gap 
Our goals 
• Create workflows 
• Support decisions and 
analysis 
• Configured/administere 
d by stakeholders 
• Extend open source 
software 
What most tools support 
• Build applications 
• Manipulate and 
visualize data 
• Configured by expert 
programmers 
• Maintain applications 
built from OSS 
Redistricting and Technology
Expertise Gap 
Our Expertise 
• Maps 
• Legal criteria; 
quantitative criteria; 
statistics 
• Information display 
• High performance 
computing 
• Research design 
Expertise Required 
• GIS 
• SQL queries, python 
functions 
• Tiles, vectors; Javascript 
• Database optimization 
• Systems log analysis; 
performance testing 
Redistricting and Technology
Models Gap 
Our Models 
• Political geography: 
geographic units, building 
blocks criteria 
• Statistical visualizations: 
choropleths, plots 
• Interaction models; 
metaphors; and design 
patterns 
• Randomized 
interventions 
• User behavioral models: 
attention, errors 
Software Models 
• Vectors; Polygons 
• Layers, line weights, 
colors, 
• UI API’s – dialog boxes; 
selections; 
• Authentication 
• Sessions; log events 
Redistricting and Technology
Observations: 
Methodology 
Redistricting and Technology
How does crowd-sourcing enable new 
analysis? 
• Crowd-sourcing samples from plans plans that 
are discoverable by humans 
– Unbiased random-sampling of legal redistricting 
plans is not feasible -- so crowd-sourcing may be 
only practical sapling method 
• Large sets of plans allow for revealed 
preference analysis 
– discover legislative intent by examining trade-offs 
among criteria 
Redistricting and Technology
Observations: 
Technology & 
Policy 
Redistricting and Technology
Lessons for Future Engagement 
• What works 
– Technology is an enabler … many more plans created by public than in previous decades 
– Engagement of good-government groups, or other advocates is also critical to public participation 
– Permeability of government authorities (legislature, courts) to public input needed to have significant 
effect 
• Technology barriers 
– Tools for collaborative construction 
– Tools for web-based visualization and analytics 
• Government resistance through data availability 
– Not providing election results merged with census geography 
– Redistricting authorities may purposefully restrict the scope of the information they make available. 
• For example, a number of states chose to make available boundaries and information related to the approved plan 
only. 
– Non-machine readable formats 
– No API or automatable way to retrieve plans/data 
• Forms of government impermeability 
– Authorities blatantly resist public input by providing no recognized channel for it; or 
– Create a nominal channel, but leaving it devoid of funding or process;or 
– Procedurally accept input, but substantively ignore it 
Redistricting and Technology
Challenges to Transparency 
• Algorithms matters – require documentation, 
publication 
• Code matters – impossible to verify or correct 
implementation of an algorithm without Open 
Source 
• Data matters – Open Data, containing 
complete information, in accessible formats, 
accompanied by complete provenance 
history 
• Online systems do not guarantee 
transparency 
• Are algorithms, code and data used transparent? 
• Is sponsorship of the system transparent? 
• Can data and plans be transferred in and out of the 
system freely?Redistricting and Technology
Principles for Transparency 
• All redistricting plans should include sufficient information such that the public can verify, 
reproduce, and evaluate a plan 
• Proposed redistricting plans should be publicly available in non-proprietary formats. 
• The criteria used as a basis for creating plans and individual districts should be clearly 
documented. 
• All demographic, electoral and geographic data necessary to create legal redistricting plans 
and define community boundaries should be publicly available, under a license allowing 
reuse of these data for non-commercial purposes. 
• Software used to automatically create or improve redistricting plans should be either open-source 
or provide documentation sufficient for the public to replicate the results using 
independent software. 
• Software used to generate reports that analyze redistricting plans should be accompanied 
by documentation of data, methods, and procedures sufficient for the reports to be verified 
by the public. 
• Software necessary to replicate the creation or analysis of redistricting plans and 
community boundaries produced by the service must be publicly available. 
• Public redistricting services should provide the public with the ability to make available all 
published redistricting plans and community boundaries in non-proprietary formats. 
• Public redistricting services must provide documentation of any organizations providing 
significant contributions to their operation. 
Redistricting and Technology
Informal 
Observations 
Redistricting and Technology
Some Informal Observations 
• Field experiments are hard … 
• Kranzberg’s 1rt law 
– technology is neither good, nor bad – neither is it 
neutral 
• Technology matters in politics 
– Transparency, data and information technology are 
interconnected 
– Data transparency can enable participation 
• Transparency & Data Involves 
– IP law 
– Electronic Access / formats 
– Timeliness 
– Completeness 
Redistricting and Technology
Future Research 
• Analyze results from other states 
– over a dozen states had public processes 
• Randomized interventions 
• Evaluate effect on participants 
• Computer-aided automated redistricting 
• Characterizing plans 
– semantic fingerprints for maps 
• Measurements of openness of legislative web sites 
• Standardizing measurements of “openness”, transparency, and 
participation for data, software, and websites and other technologies 
related to voting, elections and electoral administration 
• General methods and tools for eliciting geospatially based preferences and 
opinions 
– Combine: What’s your community?; What’s your opinion?; What’s your 
location 
– Integrate: Data collection & management and distribution 
– Sustain: Reintegrate editing workflows into core open-source GIStools 
Crowd-Sourced Mapping for Open Government
What’s next? 
2010 
• Web/GIS “2.0” 
• Transparency 
• Public Engagement 
2020 
• ??? 
• AI tools for 
computer-aided 
boundary 
• Public Government 
Collaboration? 
• Social collaboration? 
• “CAD” tools? 
Redistricting and Technology
Additional References 
• Altman, Micah. "Is automation the answer: the computational complexity of automated redistricting." Rutgers Computer and 
Law Technology Journal 23 (1997).Altman, Micah, Karin MacDonald, and Michael McDonald. "From Crayons to Computers 
The Evolution of Computer Use in Redistricting." Social Science Computer Review 23.3 (2005): 334-346. 
• Parker, Frank R. Black votes count: Political empowerment in Mississippi after 1965. UNC Press, 1990. 
• J. Aerts, C.J.H,. Erwin Eisinger,Gerard B.M. Heuvelink and Theodor J. Stewart, 2003. “Using Linear Integer Programming 
for Multi-Site Land-Use Allocation”, Geographical Analysis 35(2) 148-69. 
• M. Andrade and E. Garcia 2009, “Redistricting by Square Cells”, A. Hernández Aguirre et al. (Eds.): MICAI 2009, LNAI 
Redistricting and Technology 
5845, pp. 669–679, 2009. 
• J. Barabas & J. Jerit, 2004. "Redistricting Principles and Racial Representation," State and Politics Quarterly¸4 (4): 415-435. 
• B. Bozkaya, E. Erkut and G. Laporte 2003, A Tabu Search Heuristic and Adaptive Memory Procedure for Political Districting. 
European Journal of Operational Re- search 144(1) 12-26. 
• F. Caro et al . , School redistricting: embedding GIS tools with integer programming Journal of the Operational Research 
Society (2004) 55, 836–849 
• PG di Cortona, Manzi C, Pennisi A, Ricca F, Simeone B (1999). Evaluation and Optimization of Electoral Systems. SIAM 
Pres, Philadelphia. 
• J.C. Duque, 2007. "Supervised Regionalization Methods: A Survey" International Regional Science Review, Vol. 30, No. 3, 
195-220 
• S Forman & Y. Yue 2003, Congressional Districting Using a TSP-Based Genetic Algorithm 
• P. Kai, Tan Yue, Jiang Sheng, 2007, “The study of a new gerrymandering methodology”, Manuscript. 
http://arxiv.org/abs/0708.2266 
• J. Kalcsics, S. Nickel, M. Schroeder, 2009. A Geometric Approach to Territory Design and Districting, Fraunhofer Insititut 
techno und Wirtshaftsmethematik. Dissertation. 
• A. Mehrotra, E.L. Johnson, G.L. Nemhauser (1998), An optimization based heuristic for political districting, Management 
Science 44, 1100-1114. 
• Grofman, B. 1982, "For single Member Districts Random is Not Equal", In Representation and Redistricting Issues, ed. B. 
Grofman, A. Lijphart, R. McKay, H. Scarrow. Lexington, MA: Lexington Books. 
• B. Olson, 2008 Redistricter. Software Package. URL: http://code.google.com/p/redistricter/ 
• C. Puppe,, Attlia Tasnadi, 2009. "Optimal redistricting under geographical constraints: Why “pack and crack” does not work", 
Economics Letter 105:93-96 
• C. Puppe,, Attlia Tasnadi, 2008. "A computational approach to unbiased districting", Mathematical and Computer Modeling 
48(9-10), November 2008, Pages 1455-1460 
• F. Ricca, A. Scozzari and B. Simeone, Weighted Voronoi Region Algorithms for Political Districting. Mathematical Computer 
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• F. Ricci, C, Bruno Simeone, 2008, "Local search algorithms for political districting", European Journal of Operational 
Research189, Issue 3, 16 September 2008, Pages 1409-1426 
• T. Shirabe, 2009. District modeling with exact contiguity constraints, Environment and Planning B (35) 1-14 
• S. ,Toshihiro and Junichiro Wado. 2008, "Automating the Districting Process: An Experiment Using a Japanese Case Study" 
in Lisa Handley and Bernard Grofman (ed.) Redistricting in Comparative Perspective, Oxford University Press 
• D.H. Wolpert, Macready, W.G. (1997), "No Free Lunch Theorems for Optimization," IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary 
Computation 1, 67 
• N. Xiao, 2003. Geographical Optimization using Evolutionay Alogroithms, University of Iowa. Dissertatioz
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• Cirincione, C., T.A. Darling, T.G. O'Rourke, 2000. "Assessing South Carolina's 1990's Congressional Districting", Political Geography 
Redistricting and Technology 
19: 189-211. 
• J.C. Duque, 2007. "Supervised Regionalization Methods: A Survey" International Regional Science Review, Vol. 30, No. 3, 195-220 
• McDonald, M.D. & R. C. Engstrom, 1990. "Detecting Gerrymandering", in B. Grofman (Ed.), PoliiticalGerrymandering and the Courts, 
Agathon: New York. 
• T. Brunell, 2008 Redistricting and Representation, Rutledge, New York 
• di Cortona PG, Manzi C, Pennisi A, Ricca F, Simeone B (1999). Evaluation and Optimization of Electoral Systems. SIAM Pres, Philadelphia. 
• B. Forest, 2004, “Information sovereignty and GIS: the evolution of “communities of interest” in political redistricting”, Political 
Geography, Volume 23, Issue 4, May 2004, Pages 425-451 
• Gelman, A. and G. King (1994a). “A Unified Method of Evaluating Electoral Systems and Redistricting Plans.” American Journal of 
Political Science 38: 513-54. 
• Goff, Tom, “Reagan, Reinecke Denounce Court; Legislative Leaders Praise Action,” Los Angeles Times, 19 Jan. 1972, sec. A. Grofman B (1982). “For 
single Member Districts Random is Not Equal.” In B Grofman, A Lijphart, R McKay, H Scarrow (eds.), “Representation and Redistricting Issues,” 
Lexington Book 
• Grofman, Bernard. 1985. “Criteria for Districting: A Social Science Perspective.”UCLA Law Review33: 77-184 
• Gronke, A, and J. Matthew Wilson, 1999. “Competing Redistricting Plans as Evidence of Political Motives,” American Politics Quarterly 
27(2): 147-76. 
• Kousser, J. M. (1996). “Estimating the Partisan Consequences of Redistricting Plans — Simply.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 22(4): 
521-541. 
• Kousser, J.M. (1991) “How to Determine Intent: Lessons from L.A.”, Journal of Law and Politics 7(4) 591-732., 
• McDonald ,M.P. 2004, “A comparative Analysis of Redistricting Institutions in the United states 2001-2”, State Politics and Policy 
Quarterly, 4,4 2004 
• Nagel, Stuart S. 1965. “Simplified Bipartisan Computer Redistricting.” The Stanford Law Review 17: 863-869. 
• Niemi, Richard, Bernard Grofman, Carl Carlucci and Thomas Hofeller. 1991. “Measuring Compactness and the Role of a Compactness Standard in a 
Test for Partisan and Racial Gerrymandering.” Journal of Politics 53: 1155-1179. 
• O'Loughlin, J. 1982. "The identification and evaluation of racial Gerrymandering." Annals of the Association of American Geographers 
70: 353-70 
• Papayanopoulos, L. 1973. “Quantitative Principles Underlying Apportionment Methods.” In Democratic Representation and Apportionment: 
Quantitative Methods, Measures, and Criteria New York: Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 
• N. Persily, 2002, In Defense of Foxes Guarding Henhouses: The Case for Judicial Acquiescence to Incumbent-Protecting 
Gerrymanders, 115 HARVARD LAW REVIEW 593 (2002) 
• Rossiter, D.J., & Johnston, R.J., 1981. "Program GROUP: the identification of all possible solutions to a constituency-delimitation 
problem," Environment and Planning A 13: 231-8. 
• R. Niemi & J. Deegan Niem, 1978, “A Theory of Political Districting”, The American Political Science Review, Vol. 72, No. 4 (Dec., 
1978), pp. 1304-1323 
• K.Sherstyuk, How to gerrymander: A formal analysis, 1998, Public Choice 95: 27-49. 
• Wolpert, D.H., Macready, W.G. (1997), "No Free Lunch Theorems for Optimization," IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation 1, 
67
Questions? 
E-mail: escience@mit.edu 
Web: informatics.mit.edu 
Redistricting and Technology

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Redistricting and Voting Technology

  • 1. Prepared for 6.S897 / 17.S952 : Elections and Voting Technology (Guest Lecture) MIT October 2014 Redistricting and Technology Dr. Micah Altman <escience@mit.edu> Director of Research, MIT Libraries Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution
  • 2. DISCLAIMER These opinions are my own, they are not the opinions of MIT, Brookings, any of the project funders, nor (with the exception of co-authored previously published work) my collaborators Secondary disclaimer: “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future!” -- Attributed to Woody Allen, Yogi Berra, Niels Bohr, Vint Cerf, Winston Churchill, Confucius, Disreali [sic], Freeman Dyson, Cecil B. Demille, Albert Einstein, Enrico Fermi, Edgar R. Fiedler, Bob Fourer, Sam Goldwyn, Allan Lamport, Groucho Marx, Dan Quayle, George Bernard Shaw, Casey Stengel, Will Rogers, M. Taub, Mark Twain, Kerr L. White, etc. Redistricting and Technology
  • 3. Collaborators & Co-Conspirators • Michael P. McDonald, George Mason University • Alejandro Trelles, University of Pittsburgh • Eric Magar, ITAM • Research Support Thanks to the the Sloan Foundation, the Joyce Foundation, the Judy Ford Watson Center for Public Policy, Amazon Corporation Redistricting and Technology
  • 4. Recent Related Work • Altman, Micah, and Michael P McDonald (2014) “Paradoxes of Political Reform: Congressional Redistricting in Florida”, in Jigsaw Politics in the Sunshine State, University Press of Florida. Forthcoming. • Altman, Micah, and Michael P McDonald. (2014) “Public Participation GIS : The Case of Redistricting.” Proceedings of the 47th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences. Computer Society Press (IEEE). • Micah Altman, Michael P McDonald (2013) “A Half-Century of Virginia Redistricting Battles: Shifting from Rural Malapportionment to Voting Rights to Public Participation”. Richmond Law Review. • Micah Altman, Michael P McDonald (2012) Redistricting Principles for the Twenty-First Century, 1- 26. In Case-Western Law Review 62 (4). • Micah Altman, Michael P. McDonald (2012) Technology for Public Participation in Redistricting. In Redistricting and Reapportionment in the West, Lexington Press. • Altman, M., & McDonald, M. P. (2011). The Dawn of Do-It-Yourself Redistricting ? Campaigns & Elections, (January), 38-42 • Michael Altman, Michael P McDonald (2011) BARD: Better automated redistricting, 1-28. In Journal Of Statistical Software 42 (4). • Micah Altman, M MCDONALD (2010) The Promise and Perils of Computers in Redistricting, 69– 159. In Duke J Const Law Pub Policy Reprints available from: informatics.mit.edu Redistricting and Technology
  • 5. Roadmap * Redistricting & Gerrymandering* * Algorithmic Approaches * * Crowdsourcing * * Thoughts on System and Algorithmic Transparency* Redistricting and Technology
  • 6. What are Redistricting & Gerrymandering Redistricting and Technology
  • 7. What is Redistricting ? • The periodic redrawing of legislative boundaries • Advance administrative criteria, e.g.: – equalize district populations – compactness – maintain existing political boundaries – respect communities of interest • Advance explicitly representational criteria, e.g.: – Voting Rights Act – “Cannot favor” candidates and parties – Competitiveness Redistricting and Technology
  • 8. What is Gerrymandering Electoral Boundary Delimitation. Assignment of people to geographical districts from which they will elect representatives, in order to reflect communities of interest, meet administrative criteria, and to improve representation. Gerrymandering. Gerrymandering is a form of political boundary delimitation, or redistricting, in which the boundaries are selected to produce an outcome that is improperly favorable to some group.. Redistricting and Technology Classic (eponymous) Gerrymander Modern Gerrymander
  • 9. What’s hard about doing it right? Redistricting and Technology
  • 10. A Core Challenge: How to measure quality of representation? There is a story about a very senior political scientist and a world- renowned scholar in the field of representation who traveled to Russia shortly after the fall of communism to lecture to the newly formed Duma. After speaking, a newly-minted member of the Duma approached him and asked him a question with great earnestness. “I have been elected as a representative,” the Duma member asked, “so when I vote, should I vote the way I think the electors want me to, or should I vote the way I think is right?” “That’s a good question… Scholars have been studying this for two thousand years. And, let me just say, there are many opinions.” Redistricting and Technology
  • 11. Can we just agree on some measures? Redistricting and Technology
  • 12. Some Proposed Representational Measures Scholarly criteria Neutrality’ (unbiasedness) [Niemi & Deegan 1978] symmetry of seats-votes curve ‘Range of responsiveness’ [Niemi & Deegan 1978] range of vote shares across which electoral results change Constant Swing [Niemi & Deegan 1978] increase of seat share is constant in increase in seat share ‘Competitiveness’ [Niemi & Deegan 1978] maximize number of districts with competitive margins Compactness – perception of district appearance [see Altman 1998b] Minimize voting for a loser (anticompetitiveness) [Brunell 2008] ‘Cognizability’ [Grofman 1985] ‘Communities of Interest’ [See Forrest 2004] Clustering [Fryer & Holden 2007] Conformance with natural/administrative boundaries Media market preservation Moderate majoritarianism Continuity of representative relationship (incumbency protection) [ see Persily 2003] Graphical symmetry around expected partisan vote share [Kousser 1996] U.S. State Criteria Coincidence with “major roads, streams, or other natural boundaries”. Coincidence with census tract boundaries. Being “square, rectangular or hexagonal in shape to the extent permitted by natural or political boundaries.” Being “easily identifiable and understandable by voters”. Facilitating “communication between a representative and his constituents”. Preserving “media markets”. Enhancing “opportunity for voters to know their representative and the other voters he represents.” Aligning with “prior legislative boundaries”. Consistency with “political subdivisions”. Utilizing “vernacularly insular regions so as to allow for the representation of common interest”. Redistricting and Technology
  • 13. Can we use them all? Redistricting and Technology
  • 14. Tensions Among Representational Criteria • Logically exclusivity: – Competitiveness and anticompetitiveness • Mathematically bounds: • Can’t maximize competitiveness & guarantee constant swing [Niemi & Deegan 1978] • Can’t maximize competitiveness & symmetry [Niemi & Deegan 1978] • Empirically bounds: • Compactness, communities of interest, competitiveness, symmetry, etc. Redistricting and Technology
  • 15. What about neutral rules? Redistricting and Technology
  • 16. “Neutral” Rules and Higher-Order Bias • Eliminating judgment leads to calcification: Electoral District-based systems are unique in incorporating expert judgment into this process converting voter preferences to candidate selection • Weak empirical links between process and outcomes – Little empirical support for restrictions other than population – Population restriction, etc. has not prevented gerrymanders • Unintended consequences – Baker & Karcher lead to widescale abandonment of other traditional principles (Altman 1998a) • Intended (second order) consequences – Choice of combination of neutral rules to disadvantage minorities (Parker 1990 – Compactness rules have partisan consequences (Altman 1999; Barabas 2005; Rodden & Chen Redistricting and Technology (Parker 1990)
  • 17. Trends in computing use for boundary delimitation? 1960-70 • Research systems, demos 1980 • First production use 1990 • Common use of GIS for congressional boundaries • GIS = Decision Support • Professional Only • Bespoke systems 2000 • Web – disseminate government information • Ubiquitous GIS on desktop Redistricting and Technology Source: Altman, MacDonald, McDonald 2005
  • 18. A Typology of computer use Redistricting and Technology History Typology Transparency
  • 19. GIS – Unjustly Feared • Fears Mappers were able to specify a desired outcome or outcomes — the number of people in a district, say, or the percentage of Democrats in it — and have the program design a potential new district instantly. These systems allow redistricters to create hundreds of rough drafts easily and quickly, and to choose from among them maps that are both politically and aesthetically appealing. [Peck and Caitlin, 2003] • Evidence • Widespread adoption of computers in the 1990’s post-dates precipitous changes in district shape and composition • Redistricting software prices dropped in 2000, but features remained essentially the same. • Competitiveness declined in 2000, after computers and election data already ubiquitous. • No statistical correlation between computer use/data and bad outcomes Redistricting and Technology History Typology Transparency
  • 20. Automated Redistricting • First invented: 1961. [Vickrey] • First practical – Mexico 2004 • Practical in US ? Results from “redistricter” software. [Olson 2008] Redistricting and Technology
  • 21. A General Combinatoric Optimization Problem Redistricting and Technology • Graph representation – Easy to represent contiguity – Easy to represent most district attributes – Inconvenient for some compactness measures • Some other representations… – Set partition – Weighted polygon partition – Integer program
  • 22. Hardwiring Criteria • Full auto works (or comes close) by restricting attention to population, contiguity, and (some limited forms of) compactness. • This implies no other criteria matter. • But there are many strongly advocated normative criteria: Redistricting and Technology
  • 23. Metaheuristics Approaches • Genetic Algorithms [Xiao 2003] – <500 Units (?) – Population variance< 1% • Genetic Algorithm w/TSP Encoding [Forman and Yu 2003] – <400 Units – Some post-processing – Population variance< 1% • Annealing [Andrade & Garcia 2009] – <400 Units • Tabu Seach [Bozkaya et. al 2003] – <850 units – Population variance <25% • General Metaheuristics [Altman & McDonald 2010] – Framework for multiple metaheuristics & criteria – Preliminrary results on <1000 units Redistricting and Technology
  • 24. State of the Practice Only a few software packages available that are functional in practice: • “Redistricter” [Olson 2008] – Advantages • uses kmeans with ad-hoc refinements (including annealing) to solve • Using 500K census blocks can find solutions within 1% of population – Limitations • Ad-hoc definition of compactness • Does not permit inclusion of districting criteria other than compactness, population, contiguity • BARD [Altman-McDonald 2006-10] – Advantages • Uses a variety of meta-heuristics • Flexible criteria selection • Districting analysis tools – Limitations • Automated approaches limited to a few 1000 population units • IFE System – Advantages • Complete GIS interface for redistricting – not just an optimization algorithm • Successfully used for automated redistricting of 1000’s of units in Mexico • Annealing algorithm allows for flexibility in cost functions – Limitations • Not as well known, source license and distribution terms are informal • Single algorithm w/limited tunable parameters , may require adaptation/experimentation for new costs & applications Redistricting and Technology Context Algorithms Transparency
  • 25. Semi-Auto: Technical challenges • Too many solutions to enumerate: S(n,r) = 1 r! r å = – Even redistricting using common criteria is NP-complete [Altman 1997] – Not mathematically possible to find optimal solutions to general Redistricting and Technology redistricting criteria! (-1)r (r - i)n r! (r - i)!i! é ê ë ù ú û i=0
  • 26. Are Redistricting Criteria more Transparent than Plans? • Even ‘contiguity’ involves many operational decisions – ‘telephone line’ contiguity vs. census block contiguity – Crossovers allowed? – Single point of contact allowed? – ‘Donut’s? – Require roads (or bridges, or ferries)? – ‘Compact’ district [see Young 1988; Niemi et. a 1991; Altman 1998b, etc.] – 30+ different base measures to choose from, e.g. • Moment of inertia [Weaver & Hess 1965] • Minimize distance between people [Payapanapolous 1973] • Compare to area of bounding circle [Reock 1961] Then variations … – Map orientation and scale can matter [Altman 1998] – Treatment of water? Redistricting and Technology • Ignore it • Assign to closest land area • Include it • Transform it away – Treatment of population • Ignore it • Drop zero population blocks • Weight it • Type of population: any, voting age, citizen, eligible voter • Transform map
  • 27. Building a Platform – A Policy Experiment Redistricting and Technology
  • 28. Why DIY Redistricting? • Generally, only well-organized political interests – political parties, incumbents, and minority voting rights groups – have had the capacity to draw redistricting plans. • Plans are policy proposals… but drawing a legal plan has required technical and legal expertise using expensive geographic information systems (GIS) software and difficult to compile census and election databases. • In last round of redistricting much more data was available publicly, but public participation lagged. [Altman Mac Donald McDonald 2005] Redistricting and Technology
  • 29. Collaborative Mapping – Almost • Tools emerging There? – Google MapMaker – Redistricting Game – Ohio redistricting exercise • Potential – Participation – Education – Demonstrate representational possibilities – Identify emergent communities of interest Redistricting Game [NYT 2007] Redistricting and Technology
  • 30. Research Questions • Is it possible for non-professionals to create legal redistricting plans? • Can supporting technology increase participation in the redistricting process? • How do redistricting plans produced by non-professionals differ from those produced by professional politicians? Redistricting and Technology
  • 31. Intervention Part 1 - Platform Redistricting and Technology
  • 32. Public Mapping Project Goals • Identify principles for transparency and public participation in redistricting • Enable the public to draw maps of the communities and redistricting plans for their states – Facilitate public input to process – Inform the public debate – Provide maps for courts where litigation occurs Redistricting and Technology
  • 33. Supporting a Public Mapping Workflow -- Initial Features • Create – Create districts and plans • Evaluate – Visualize – Summarize • Population balance • Geographic compactness • Completeness and contiguity – Report in depth • Share – Import & export plans – Publish a plan Redistricting and Technology
  • 34. Added Features in 2010-13 • Shapefile import/export • PDF “printing” • Open data – link to original data • Throttling • Data administration – add new data through administrative web interface • Community layers – add your own community, publish, and check for splits • Scoreboards, contest submission workflows • Internationalization – Localization in French, English, Spanish, Japanese Redistricting and Technology
  • 35. Builds on Best-of-Class Open Source Software Redistricting and Technology
  • 36. (Also Award Winning)  Named one of the top ten political innovations of 2011 by Politico  Winner of the 2012 data innovation award, for data used for social impact, by Strata  Winner of the 2012 award for outstanding software development, by American Political Science Association  Winner of the 2013 Tides Pizzigati Prize Redistricting and Technology
  • 37. Platform Interface Example Redistricting and Technology
  • 38. Sign in – Or just View Open Data Open Access Open Source Redistricting and Technology
  • 39. Choose Your Legislature Redistricting and Technology
  • 40. Get the Picture – Visualize Successful Redistricting and Technology
  • 41. Drill Down – Get The Facts Redistricting and Technology
  • 42. Make A Plan Redistricting and Technology
  • 43. Get the Details Redistricting and Technology
  • 44. Run The Numbers Redistricting and Technology
  • 45. Is it legal? How Well Are You Doing? Who’s Doing Better? Redistricting and Technology
  • 46. Spread the Word  Share your plans with others in the system  Publish links  Have a contest Redistricting and Technology
  • 47. Intervention Part 1 - Platform Redistricting and Technology
  • 48. Are Public Maps Different? Redistricting and Technology
  • 49. Our Solution: Increase Public Participation Interest Information Seeking Debate & Commentary Propose Alternatives Consultative Government Get the data Evaluate maps? Draw the Lines? Watch the News Redistricting and Technology
  • 50. How has DistrictBuilder been used? Redistricting and Technology  For Transparency:  Dissemination  Public understanding  Evaluation/comparison  For Education:  Staff training  Classroom teaching  Student competitions  For Participation:  Integrated into official decision process  Non-partisan public organizations  For Election Administration:  Internal collaboration/analysis sharing  Support for commission
  • 51. Where has DistrictBuilder been used?  Used in 10 states  More than 1000 legal plans created by the public  Thousands of public participants Redistricting and Technology  Millions of viewers
  • 52. Intervention - Redistricting Competitions  Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, New York, Virginia, City of Philadelphia  Inspire participation  Transform the redistricting story Redistricting and Technology
  • 53. Virginia Redistricting Competition • Participants – Eligible: Any student from Virginia College/University • Incentives – Potential media attention – Honorarium: $200 – Prizes: $500-$2000 • Criteria – Legally required redistricting criteria: equal population, contiguity, voting rights, completeness – Good government criteria: communities of interest, county & city boundaries, competitiveness, partisan balance – Explanatory narrative • Timeline – Nov 2010 (recruitment) -March 2011 (awards) Redistricting and Technology
  • 54. Plan Evaluation Criteria Redistricting and Technology Majority-Minority Representation Number of districts in which minority population > 50% of the district Population Equality percentage deviation from ideal district population County Integrity Number of times counties & independent cities are split by districts Compactness Normalized ratio of (perimeter of district)/(area of district)^2 Partisan Balance Number of Republican leaning districts minus Number of Democratic-leaning districts Competitiveness Number of districts with normal Democratic vote share in [45%- 55%]
  • 55. Data Domain: Virginia Redistricting Proposals - All redistricting plans submitted by members of the public - All redistricting plans proposed by legislature - All plans proposed by redistricting commission Exclusions: - Proposals that did not meet minimum legal criteria - Plans developed internally by legislature, but never proposed publicly Redistricting and Technology
  • 56. Examples: Winning Plans Redistricting and Technology ! !
  • 57. Results: VA Congress Redistricting and Technology
  • 58. Results: VA Senate Redistricting and Technology
  • 59. Results: VA House Redistricting and Technology
  • 60. Results from Virginia • Students can create legal districting plans. • The “best” plan, as ranked by each individual criterion, was a student plan. • Student plans – demonstrated a wider range of possibilities than other entities. – covered a larger set of possible tradeoffs among each criterion. – were generally better on pairs of criteria. • Student plans were more competitive and had more partisan balance than any of the adopted plans. Redistricting and Technology
  • 61. Preview of Florida • Yes, Florida, the public can still draw districts • Revealed preferences of the legislature – stick it to the Democrats Redistricting and Technology
  • 62. Work in Progress Redistricting and Technology
  • 63.
  • 64. Preview: Minneapolis Experience Before After Redistricting and Technology
  • 65. Preview: Minneapolis Experience • Citizen redistricting commission created by 2010 voter initiative • Software Users: – Redistricting Commissioners – Community Groups (Somali, Latino, African-American, Common Cause & League of Women Voters) – Private individuals • Public participation: – 170 users – 500 total plans – 96 publicly shared plans • E-Democracy Forum Redistricting and Technology
  • 66. Preview: Minneapolis Experience • Population Characteristics – 382,578 total persons – 151,928 persons of color (39.7%) • Representation Change – Before: 2 of 13 districts represented by persons of color – After: 4 of 13 expected to be represented (30.8%) • Created new Somali district and new Latino district Redistricting and Technology
  • 67. Observations: Technology Implementation Redistricting and Technology
  • 68. Goals Gap Our goals • Create workflows • Support decisions and analysis • Configured/administere d by stakeholders • Extend open source software What most tools support • Build applications • Manipulate and visualize data • Configured by expert programmers • Maintain applications built from OSS Redistricting and Technology
  • 69. Expertise Gap Our Expertise • Maps • Legal criteria; quantitative criteria; statistics • Information display • High performance computing • Research design Expertise Required • GIS • SQL queries, python functions • Tiles, vectors; Javascript • Database optimization • Systems log analysis; performance testing Redistricting and Technology
  • 70. Models Gap Our Models • Political geography: geographic units, building blocks criteria • Statistical visualizations: choropleths, plots • Interaction models; metaphors; and design patterns • Randomized interventions • User behavioral models: attention, errors Software Models • Vectors; Polygons • Layers, line weights, colors, • UI API’s – dialog boxes; selections; • Authentication • Sessions; log events Redistricting and Technology
  • 72. How does crowd-sourcing enable new analysis? • Crowd-sourcing samples from plans plans that are discoverable by humans – Unbiased random-sampling of legal redistricting plans is not feasible -- so crowd-sourcing may be only practical sapling method • Large sets of plans allow for revealed preference analysis – discover legislative intent by examining trade-offs among criteria Redistricting and Technology
  • 73. Observations: Technology & Policy Redistricting and Technology
  • 74. Lessons for Future Engagement • What works – Technology is an enabler … many more plans created by public than in previous decades – Engagement of good-government groups, or other advocates is also critical to public participation – Permeability of government authorities (legislature, courts) to public input needed to have significant effect • Technology barriers – Tools for collaborative construction – Tools for web-based visualization and analytics • Government resistance through data availability – Not providing election results merged with census geography – Redistricting authorities may purposefully restrict the scope of the information they make available. • For example, a number of states chose to make available boundaries and information related to the approved plan only. – Non-machine readable formats – No API or automatable way to retrieve plans/data • Forms of government impermeability – Authorities blatantly resist public input by providing no recognized channel for it; or – Create a nominal channel, but leaving it devoid of funding or process;or – Procedurally accept input, but substantively ignore it Redistricting and Technology
  • 75. Challenges to Transparency • Algorithms matters – require documentation, publication • Code matters – impossible to verify or correct implementation of an algorithm without Open Source • Data matters – Open Data, containing complete information, in accessible formats, accompanied by complete provenance history • Online systems do not guarantee transparency • Are algorithms, code and data used transparent? • Is sponsorship of the system transparent? • Can data and plans be transferred in and out of the system freely?Redistricting and Technology
  • 76. Principles for Transparency • All redistricting plans should include sufficient information such that the public can verify, reproduce, and evaluate a plan • Proposed redistricting plans should be publicly available in non-proprietary formats. • The criteria used as a basis for creating plans and individual districts should be clearly documented. • All demographic, electoral and geographic data necessary to create legal redistricting plans and define community boundaries should be publicly available, under a license allowing reuse of these data for non-commercial purposes. • Software used to automatically create or improve redistricting plans should be either open-source or provide documentation sufficient for the public to replicate the results using independent software. • Software used to generate reports that analyze redistricting plans should be accompanied by documentation of data, methods, and procedures sufficient for the reports to be verified by the public. • Software necessary to replicate the creation or analysis of redistricting plans and community boundaries produced by the service must be publicly available. • Public redistricting services should provide the public with the ability to make available all published redistricting plans and community boundaries in non-proprietary formats. • Public redistricting services must provide documentation of any organizations providing significant contributions to their operation. Redistricting and Technology
  • 78. Some Informal Observations • Field experiments are hard … • Kranzberg’s 1rt law – technology is neither good, nor bad – neither is it neutral • Technology matters in politics – Transparency, data and information technology are interconnected – Data transparency can enable participation • Transparency & Data Involves – IP law – Electronic Access / formats – Timeliness – Completeness Redistricting and Technology
  • 79. Future Research • Analyze results from other states – over a dozen states had public processes • Randomized interventions • Evaluate effect on participants • Computer-aided automated redistricting • Characterizing plans – semantic fingerprints for maps • Measurements of openness of legislative web sites • Standardizing measurements of “openness”, transparency, and participation for data, software, and websites and other technologies related to voting, elections and electoral administration • General methods and tools for eliciting geospatially based preferences and opinions – Combine: What’s your community?; What’s your opinion?; What’s your location – Integrate: Data collection & management and distribution – Sustain: Reintegrate editing workflows into core open-source GIStools Crowd-Sourced Mapping for Open Government
  • 80. What’s next? 2010 • Web/GIS “2.0” • Transparency • Public Engagement 2020 • ??? • AI tools for computer-aided boundary • Public Government Collaboration? • Social collaboration? • “CAD” tools? Redistricting and Technology
  • 81. Additional References • Altman, Micah. "Is automation the answer: the computational complexity of automated redistricting." Rutgers Computer and Law Technology Journal 23 (1997).Altman, Micah, Karin MacDonald, and Michael McDonald. "From Crayons to Computers The Evolution of Computer Use in Redistricting." Social Science Computer Review 23.3 (2005): 334-346. • Parker, Frank R. Black votes count: Political empowerment in Mississippi after 1965. UNC Press, 1990. • J. Aerts, C.J.H,. Erwin Eisinger,Gerard B.M. Heuvelink and Theodor J. Stewart, 2003. “Using Linear Integer Programming for Multi-Site Land-Use Allocation”, Geographical Analysis 35(2) 148-69. • M. Andrade and E. Garcia 2009, “Redistricting by Square Cells”, A. Hernández Aguirre et al. (Eds.): MICAI 2009, LNAI Redistricting and Technology 5845, pp. 669–679, 2009. • J. Barabas & J. Jerit, 2004. "Redistricting Principles and Racial Representation," State and Politics Quarterly¸4 (4): 415-435. • B. Bozkaya, E. Erkut and G. Laporte 2003, A Tabu Search Heuristic and Adaptive Memory Procedure for Political Districting. European Journal of Operational Re- search 144(1) 12-26. • F. Caro et al . , School redistricting: embedding GIS tools with integer programming Journal of the Operational Research Society (2004) 55, 836–849 • PG di Cortona, Manzi C, Pennisi A, Ricca F, Simeone B (1999). Evaluation and Optimization of Electoral Systems. SIAM Pres, Philadelphia. • J.C. Duque, 2007. "Supervised Regionalization Methods: A Survey" International Regional Science Review, Vol. 30, No. 3, 195-220 • S Forman & Y. Yue 2003, Congressional Districting Using a TSP-Based Genetic Algorithm • P. Kai, Tan Yue, Jiang Sheng, 2007, “The study of a new gerrymandering methodology”, Manuscript. http://arxiv.org/abs/0708.2266 • J. Kalcsics, S. Nickel, M. Schroeder, 2009. A Geometric Approach to Territory Design and Districting, Fraunhofer Insititut techno und Wirtshaftsmethematik. Dissertation. • A. Mehrotra, E.L. Johnson, G.L. Nemhauser (1998), An optimization based heuristic for political districting, Management Science 44, 1100-1114. • Grofman, B. 1982, "For single Member Districts Random is Not Equal", In Representation and Redistricting Issues, ed. B. Grofman, A. Lijphart, R. McKay, H. Scarrow. Lexington, MA: Lexington Books. • B. Olson, 2008 Redistricter. Software Package. URL: http://code.google.com/p/redistricter/ • C. Puppe,, Attlia Tasnadi, 2009. "Optimal redistricting under geographical constraints: Why “pack and crack” does not work", Economics Letter 105:93-96 • C. Puppe,, Attlia Tasnadi, 2008. "A computational approach to unbiased districting", Mathematical and Computer Modeling 48(9-10), November 2008, Pages 1455-1460 • F. Ricca, A. Scozzari and B. Simeone, Weighted Voronoi Region Algorithms for Political Districting. Mathematical Computer Modelling forthcoming (2008). • F. Ricci, C, Bruno Simeone, 2008, "Local search algorithms for political districting", European Journal of Operational Research189, Issue 3, 16 September 2008, Pages 1409-1426 • T. Shirabe, 2009. District modeling with exact contiguity constraints, Environment and Planning B (35) 1-14 • S. ,Toshihiro and Junichiro Wado. 2008, "Automating the Districting Process: An Experiment Using a Japanese Case Study" in Lisa Handley and Bernard Grofman (ed.) Redistricting in Comparative Perspective, Oxford University Press • D.H. Wolpert, Macready, W.G. (1997), "No Free Lunch Theorems for Optimization," IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation 1, 67 • N. Xiao, 2003. Geographical Optimization using Evolutionay Alogroithms, University of Iowa. Dissertatioz
  • 82. Additional References • Cirincione, C., T.A. Darling, T.G. O'Rourke, 2000. "Assessing South Carolina's 1990's Congressional Districting", Political Geography Redistricting and Technology 19: 189-211. • J.C. Duque, 2007. "Supervised Regionalization Methods: A Survey" International Regional Science Review, Vol. 30, No. 3, 195-220 • McDonald, M.D. & R. C. Engstrom, 1990. "Detecting Gerrymandering", in B. Grofman (Ed.), PoliiticalGerrymandering and the Courts, Agathon: New York. • T. Brunell, 2008 Redistricting and Representation, Rutledge, New York • di Cortona PG, Manzi C, Pennisi A, Ricca F, Simeone B (1999). Evaluation and Optimization of Electoral Systems. SIAM Pres, Philadelphia. • B. Forest, 2004, “Information sovereignty and GIS: the evolution of “communities of interest” in political redistricting”, Political Geography, Volume 23, Issue 4, May 2004, Pages 425-451 • Gelman, A. and G. King (1994a). “A Unified Method of Evaluating Electoral Systems and Redistricting Plans.” American Journal of Political Science 38: 513-54. • Goff, Tom, “Reagan, Reinecke Denounce Court; Legislative Leaders Praise Action,” Los Angeles Times, 19 Jan. 1972, sec. A. Grofman B (1982). “For single Member Districts Random is Not Equal.” In B Grofman, A Lijphart, R McKay, H Scarrow (eds.), “Representation and Redistricting Issues,” Lexington Book • Grofman, Bernard. 1985. “Criteria for Districting: A Social Science Perspective.”UCLA Law Review33: 77-184 • Gronke, A, and J. Matthew Wilson, 1999. “Competing Redistricting Plans as Evidence of Political Motives,” American Politics Quarterly 27(2): 147-76. • Kousser, J. M. (1996). “Estimating the Partisan Consequences of Redistricting Plans — Simply.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 22(4): 521-541. • Kousser, J.M. (1991) “How to Determine Intent: Lessons from L.A.”, Journal of Law and Politics 7(4) 591-732., • McDonald ,M.P. 2004, “A comparative Analysis of Redistricting Institutions in the United states 2001-2”, State Politics and Policy Quarterly, 4,4 2004 • Nagel, Stuart S. 1965. “Simplified Bipartisan Computer Redistricting.” The Stanford Law Review 17: 863-869. • Niemi, Richard, Bernard Grofman, Carl Carlucci and Thomas Hofeller. 1991. “Measuring Compactness and the Role of a Compactness Standard in a Test for Partisan and Racial Gerrymandering.” Journal of Politics 53: 1155-1179. • O'Loughlin, J. 1982. "The identification and evaluation of racial Gerrymandering." Annals of the Association of American Geographers 70: 353-70 • Papayanopoulos, L. 1973. “Quantitative Principles Underlying Apportionment Methods.” In Democratic Representation and Apportionment: Quantitative Methods, Measures, and Criteria New York: Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences • N. Persily, 2002, In Defense of Foxes Guarding Henhouses: The Case for Judicial Acquiescence to Incumbent-Protecting Gerrymanders, 115 HARVARD LAW REVIEW 593 (2002) • Rossiter, D.J., & Johnston, R.J., 1981. "Program GROUP: the identification of all possible solutions to a constituency-delimitation problem," Environment and Planning A 13: 231-8. • R. Niemi & J. Deegan Niem, 1978, “A Theory of Political Districting”, The American Political Science Review, Vol. 72, No. 4 (Dec., 1978), pp. 1304-1323 • K.Sherstyuk, How to gerrymander: A formal analysis, 1998, Public Choice 95: 27-49. • Wolpert, D.H., Macready, W.G. (1997), "No Free Lunch Theorems for Optimization," IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation 1, 67
  • 83. Questions? E-mail: escience@mit.edu Web: informatics.mit.edu Redistricting and Technology

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. This work by Micah Altman (http://redistricting.info) is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 United States License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/us/ or send a letter to Creative Commons, 171 Second Street, Suite 300, San Francisco, California, 94105, USA.
  2. This work. by Micah Altman (http://micahaltman.com) is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 United States License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/us/ or send a letter to Creative Commons, 171 Second Street, Suite 300, San Francisco, California, 94105, USA.
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  10. This work. “The Public Mapping Project”, by Micah Altman (http://redistricting.info) is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-Share Alike 3.0 United States License. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/us/ or send a letter to Creative Commons, 171 Second Street, Suite 300, San Francisco, California, 94105, USA.
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