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PECHA KUCHA
Subtasks of Task XXIV
Task 24
Closing the Loop Behaviour Change in DSM: From Theory to Practice

Dr Sea Rotmann & Dr Ruth Mourik
Operating Agents
Subtasks are we ?
who of Task XXIV

THEORY

PRACTICE

Ruth: Science and Technology Studies, Cross-EU Behaviour Change research projects, DSM
consulting
Sea: Animal behaviour studies, research funding & evaluation, sustainable
energy policy, sustainability implementation
IEA DSM Task XXIV
Task 24
Subtasks of
participating countries
!"#$%&'(#&)'*(#+$#)",(-.(,/#(0-)'1(23#)4*(56,'--7(89::

!"#$%&'#($()%(*&+%&%,(&-)(#./&!0#&122&30)4(#()5(&")&6$207&80#9+/&")&65%0:(#&;<==

© OECD/IEA, October 2011

Committee for Energy Research & Technology
(CERT)
Oversees 40 intʼl implementing agreements

15 Participating Countries
Each country has ExCo
member
24 Tasks - each task has
Operating Agent/s (OA)

Task 24:
Behaviour
Change in DSM
(OAs: Ruth and
Sea)

DSM Implementing
Agreement
(www.ieadsm.org)

Countries participating

Netherlands
Switzerland
New Zealand
Belgium
Norway
Sweden
Italy
South Africa
UK
Austria
Australia
US
Portugal
Spain (in kind)
What is DSM?
Subtasks of DSM? XXIV
what isTask

•

Demand Side Management (DSM) generally refers to changes that originate from the demand (energy
user) side.

•

Reduce the total demand for energy (conservation), whilst providing the same service (energy
efficiency) and shift demand from peak periods to off-peak periods (load-management).

Text

4

Pics via: tatapower.com, jcwinnie.biz, Guardian.co.uk, Treehugger.com,
What is DSM?
Subtasks of DSM? XXIV
what isTask

•

Demand Side Management (DSM) generally refers to changes that originate from the demand (energy
user) side.

•

Reduce the total demand for energy (conservation), whilst providing the same service (energy
efficiency) and shift demand from peak periods to off-peak periods (load-management).

Text

4

Pics via: tatapower.com, jcwinnie.biz, Guardian.co.uk, Treehugger.com,
What is DSM and Behaviour
Change in Task 24? (in a tweet)
an important caveat
An important caveat
In this Task, a successful behaviour change outcome results in improved
energy use by households and businesses. This does not necessarily
focus solely on an immediate reduction in total energy use, but on
the most efficient and environmentally friendly use of energy to
derive the services that underpin societal and economic wellbeing.

6
WHY, of Task XXIV
OH WHY
Subtasks
BEHAVIOUR?

30% of energy demand is locked in behavioural wedge
Includes: technology uptake, use and maintenance
purchasing and investment behaviour
habits and routine behaviour
social acceptability
premise of Task 24
Premise for Task XXIV
That the current energy efficiency gap results from:
 Homo sapiens sapiens ≠ Homo economicus
 overly technocratic approaches
 the limited transfer of best practice and good research
to the policy domain
 the lack of meaningful monitoring and evaluation tools

8
objectiveTask XXIV 24
of Task
Objectives of Task XXIV
Premise for

Text
9
special featuresTask XXIV 24
of Task
Some special featuresTask XXIV
Premise for of

Text
10
Target audience of Task 24
target Audience of Task XXIV

1. Intermediaries
2. Policymakers
3. Researchers
4. Industry
5. The Third Sector
11

Pics via: theinnovativeeducator.blogspot.com, dreamstime.com, agu.org, lifesupplemented.org, rassutassu.com, change.comminit.com
Target audience of Task 24
target Audience of Task XXIV

CHANGING THE
2.BEHAVIOUR OF
Policymakers
THE
3. Researchers
BEHAVIOUR
4. Industry
CHANGERS
1. Intermediaries

5. The Third Sector
11

Pics via: theinnovativeeducator.blogspot.com, dreamstime.com, agu.org, lifesupplemented.org, rassutassu.com, change.comminit.com
subtasksof(deliverables)
Subtasks for Task XXIV
Premise Task XXIV
5Expert platform

1- Helicopter
2overview of
In depth
models,
analysis in
theories,
areas of
contexts,
greatest need
case studies
and
evaluation
metrics

12

3Evaluation
tool for
stakeholders

4Countryspecific
project ideas,
action plans
and pilot
projects
subtask I

SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview

•
•
•
•

13

Overview of models and
theories of change used
in case studies
Overview of definitions
Inventory of experts
Navigation tool to
translate theory to be
useful by practitioners
The story of:
Behavioural economics

enayetkabir.blogspot.com
greenbookblog.com

14
subtask II -

SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
specific case studies

smart metering

transport

building retrofits

15

SMEs
subtask III -

SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
evaluation

 WHAT IS A SUCCESSFUL LONG-TERM
BEHAVIOUR CHANGE OUTCOME TO YOU?

16
subtask IV -

Subtask IV: Country-specific
country-specific recommendations
recommendations

17
subtaskof Task XXIV
V - expert
Subtasks
platform

JOIN US?
drsea@orcon.net.nz
Subtasks of Task XXIV
subtasks
5- Expert platform

1- Helicopter

2-

3-

4-

view of models,
frameworks,
contexts, case
studies and
evaluation
metrics

In depth
analysis in
areas of
greatest need
(buildings,
transport,
SMEs, smart
metering)

Evaluation tool
for
stakeholders

Countryspecific project
ideas, action
plans and pilot
projects
Subtasks of Task XXIV
subtasks

1- Helicopter view of
models, frameworks,
1- contexts, case studies
234and evaluation metrics
5- Expert platform

Helicopter
view of models,
frameworks,
contexts, case
studies and
evaluation
metrics

In depth
analysis in
areas of
greatest need
(buildings,
transport,
SMEs, smart
metering)

Evaluation tool
for
stakeholders

Countryspecific project
ideas, action
plans and pilot
projects
Subtask I

SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview

•
•
•
•

Inventory of DSM case
studies

•

Inventory of evaluation
metrics and contexts

•
20

Inventory of experts

Navigation tool to
translate theory to be
useful by practitioners

Overview of definitions
Overview of models,
disciplines, frameworks
World Map of

1

Participating countries, contributing experts

Expert platform currently has over 180 experts from 21 countries and 7 main sectors.
subtask I -

SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
Overview of definitions
http://www.slideshare.net/drsea/definitions-for-task-24

22
subtask I -

Overview of models,Overview and
SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter disciplines
frameworks

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DOTkdA97Woo&feature=c4-overview&list=UU_p3PlWDpLyDBh8TwUBmVHQ
23
subtask I - some
SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
definitions
Models of behaviour help us to understand specific
behaviours, by identifying the underlying factors
which influence them.
There are individualistic models and social models.
By contrast, theories of change show how
behaviours change over time, and how they can be
changed.
Behavioural theory is diagnostic, and change
theory is more pragmatic.
Both are important to understand when designing
interventions.
24
subtask I -

Overview of models,Overview and
SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter disciplines
frameworks

25
subtask I -

Overview of models,Overview and
SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter disciplines
frameworks

Towards a multiple m

wrong, but some of

George E.P. Box
(1979)

25
Subtasks of Task XXIV
Babel to Babelfish?
Subtasks of Task XXIV
Babel to Babelfish?
Subtasks of Task XXIV
Babel to Babelfish?
Subtasks of Task XXIV
Babel to Babelfish?
Subtasks of Task XXIV
energy stories: personal
Subtasks of Task XXIV
energy stories: sectoral

Fuel efficient driving behaviour in
the light vehicle fleet
15 February 2013 | Jörn Scherzer | Transport Partnerships

!"#$%&"'()
!"#$%&'%$(

!"#$%&'($
Energy Behaviour Challenge 1
Changing household energy cultures
A research perspective

!"#$%&'($%
)*"$+%,-$./0"1(%,++"2$.%
Subtasks of Task XXIV
energy stories: national
IEA DSM – Task XXIV

Swiss Energy Strategy and research projects
concerning behavior change
Dr. Aurelio Fetz, Market Regulation, Swiss Federal Office of Energy

Belgian Story

Brussels, September 7, 2012

Norwegian Energy Story

Workshop IEA DSM Task 24, 15.10.2013

demand-side

The New Zealand energy
story ^
Sea Rotmann and Janet
Stephenson
Inventory of DSM case
SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
studies
Case studies collected for IEA DSM Task 24 in transport, building retrofits, SMEs and smart metering Note: Blue boxes denote government-led policies and programmes, green boxes
denote business, research or community-led programmes and pilots
Domain/Country Netherlands
Cases and used
theories/models
Smart Metering/ Jouw Energie Moment
Feedback
Theories/Models used:
Expectancy Value
Theory
Design with Intent
Interpretation for
sustainable behaviour

New Zealand

Switzerland

Italy

Austria

Responses to Time Varying
Prices for Electricity (Otago
Uni)

Smart Metering Zurich Pilot
EWZ and EKZ

Time of Use Tariff

Die Energiejagd Demosteinkjer

Theories/Models:
Classical Economics

Theories/Models: Theories/Models: Theories/Models:
Shared learning, Theory of Planned Constructivist
Social Norming, Behaviour
Learning Theory
freezing/
Shared learning
unfreezing

Theories/Model used:
Theories/Model used: Classical behavioural economics and
Economics and marketing
social norms/comparisons
Smart Metering EKT Dietikon

Norway

Sweden

Belgium

Other countries

Rettie, Ruth CHARM

Clockwise

UK

Spain (Juan Pablo
Garçia): VERDIEM

Theories/Models used:
social norms approach Theories/Models:
practice theory
Classical Economics

!CO2
Management

Theories/Model used:
behavioural model of residential
energy use by Raaij & Verhallen
behavioural economics and
social norms/comparisons
Munx Repower website

Portugal (Joane
Abreu): Smart meter
feedback in North

Theories/Models:
Classical
Economics

Theories: Nudge,
classical economics,
moments of change
US (Michela
Beltracchi):
Opower feedback
programme

Theories/Model used:
behavioural economics, social
norming
Retrofitting

Blok voor Blok aanpak, Warm Up New Zealand: Heat
retrofitting programme Smart

Swiss Building Retrofit
Program

Theories/models used: Theories/Models used: social
Behavioural economics marketing; social norms;
classical economic; TPB

Models: Cialdini’s
Social Norming
Retrofitting of
Myhrenenga
Housing

Models: Classical Economics

Theories: TPB

Building retrofits
Theories: Shared
Learning

2000 Watts Society (housing)

SMEs

De Groene Daad
Theory/model used:
Nudge

Mobility

EECA SME Crown Loans
Scheme

Models: Ethics, long-term
visioning
Energy-Model and SME-Model
from (EnAW)

Finnfjord
Theories:
Leadership

Theory/model used: originally
Theories/Models used:
based on TPB; changed to social Classical Economics
learning and social norm
Social norm
theories
Energy Cultures SMEs pilot

Model used: Energy Cultures
Het Nieuwe Rijden (the Active a2b
New Driving)
Theory/models used: Norm
Theories and models
Activation Theory
used: Psychology: Henry Elaboration Likelihood Model
A Murray (1938) and the Stern’s Principles for Intervening
acceptability/availability Triandis TIB
model of behaviour by Lewin’s Unfreezing/Refreezing
Rose (1990).
McKenzie-Mohr
NZ Post Transport Driver
behaviour training
Theory/models used: Value
Action Gap Theory

2000 Watt on mobility

Model: Nudge

Electric vehicles Stockholm
Nobil
congestion tax

Fuel consumption of newly
purchased cars

30

Chatterton & Wilson
Framework

Theories/Models Models: activity
used: TPB
based models

Models: Ethics, long-term
visioning

Theory of Planned Behaviour
(TPB) and Norm-Activation
Model (NAM)

Build4Change

Kevin Luten
UrbanTrans (Australia)

Combining
Transport behaviour
individualistic (eg
change based on BJ
Triandis) and societal Fogg
(Practice theory)
approaches to help UK
policymakers
THE for Task XXIV
Premise MONSTER
Subtask I - Helicopter Overview
Money makes the world go round
You need to change your home’s energy use and we will help you by
paying (part of) its retrofitting
By the way, you need to pay up first and it might take a while before
we pay you back
The info we need from you will teach you all you need to know.
You only need to make a one-off decision to invest
We have the technology you need, contractors or installers (you
will need to find/choose) will put it in and that’s it!
If you do not understand the technology, just don’t touch the
buttons…
You will save money for a nice weekend to the Bahamas
You only need to give us a bill from your installer, we probably won’t
check how much energy you actually saved
What counts for us is how many m2 are insulated, how many homes
are retrofitted or how much money is spent. Oh yes, and how many
kWh are saved of course!
We will do the number crunching, don't worry, we do not need to
know what you actually saved, we will use models to calculate all
energy savings

31
worked examples: smart
SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
metering
4. Smart metering: observations
Country
Netherlands

case

T heory or model used

Policy or
driven
Jouw Energie Moment Expectancy Value Theory; Design with Intent, Interpretation societally
for sustainable behaviour
PowerMatching
Hoogkerk

Societally

City Value action gap theory

Mixed, subsidy from
policy and part of larger
policy programme

New Zealand

Responses to Time Classical Economics and marketing
Varying Prices for
Electricity (Otago Uni)

societally

Switzerland

Smart Metering Zurich behavioural economics and social norms/comparisons
Pilot EWZ

societally

Smart Metering EKT behavioural economics
Dietikon

societally

Norway

Demosteinkjer

Theory of Planned Behaviour

societally

Italy

Time of Use Tariff

Classical Economics

societally

Classical economics

policy

A ustria

-Management

societally

Sweden

Energy neighbourhoods Shared learning
2
Clockwise
Constructivist Learning Theory, collaborative learning

Portugal

CoopRoriz

Combination of participatory and sociological approaches

societally

USA

Opower

Cialdini's social psychology theory

societally

UK

CHARM

social norms approach, practice theory

societally

32

societally
Storytelling
Premise for Task XXIV
Subtask I - Helicopter Overview
Narratives= social science tool aimed at providing
way to explore how big events (policies) impact on
small scale (individuals)

33
Storytelling
Premise for Task XXIV
Subtask I - Helicopter Overview
Narratives= social science tool aimed at providing
way to explore how big events (policies) impact on
small scale (individuals)
Allow for quick practical and useful understanding of
complexity of interconnected factors in behaviour
research

33
Storytelling
Premise for Task XXIV
Subtask I - Helicopter Overview
Narratives= social science tool aimed at providing
way to explore how big events (policies) impact on
small scale (individuals)
Allow for quick practical and useful understanding of
complexity of interconnected factors in behaviour
research
3 ways of telling the stories:

33
Storytelling
Premise for Task XXIV
Subtask I - Helicopter Overview
Narratives= social science tool aimed at providing
way to explore how big events (policies) impact on
small scale (individuals)
Allow for quick practical and useful understanding of
complexity of interconnected factors in behaviour
research
3 ways of telling the stories:
1. The cases fall into story groupings: hero stories,
love stories, horror stories, learning stories...

33
Storytelling
Premise for Task XXIV
Subtask I - Helicopter Overview
Narratives= social science tool aimed at providing
way to explore how big events (policies) impact on
small scale (individuals)
Allow for quick practical and useful understanding of
complexity of interconnected factors in behaviour
research
3 ways of telling the stories:
1. The cases fall into story groupings: hero stories,
love stories, horror stories, learning stories...
2. The models and theories used in the cases tell
their own story from the implementer’s or end user
perspective
33
Storytelling
Premise for Task XXIV
Subtask I - Helicopter Overview
Narratives= social science tool aimed at providing
way to explore how big events (policies) impact on
small scale (individuals)
Allow for quick practical and useful understanding of
complexity of interconnected factors in behaviour
research
3 ways of telling the stories:
1. The cases fall into story groupings: hero stories,
love stories, horror stories, learning stories...
2. The models and theories used in the cases tell
their own story from the implementer’s or end user
perspective
3. Each case can be told as a short story
33
Neoclassical economics
smart metering
Several of our smart meter cases
informed by neoclassical economics:
deficit model

http://www.contemporaryartdaily.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/2.jpg
http://pinterest.com/kyrpersa/homo-economicus/

34
The story of neoclassical
economics & smart meters
Money makes the world go round and we know your time is money
You need to consume less and we will help you by providing numbers, graphs and charts
By the way, you might need to stop drying your hair at peak time in the morning or using the
television to be your kid’s nanny when you prepare dinner
We can help you if you give us access to your private information
You only need to make a one-off decision to let us install this smart meter
If you do not understand the smart meter (and you probably won’t) just DON’T TOUCH
THE BUTTONS!
You might save money for a nice weekend to the Bahamas if you really make an effort
We will send you a bill every two months or so, the main thing is we now know exactly how
much energy you actually saved
What counts for us is that you use electricity when we want you to so we do not need to
invest in more grid capacity and get as much Big Data as possible. And, of course, that you
save a few bucks!
You want to know how much energy you saved today? You can take a look at the smart
meter every 15 minutes or so, or get your wife to stand near the meter when you are
turning something off….
Too difficult? Well, buy a nice feedback translating device, there are 100s out there already.
35
The story of neoclassical
economics & smart meters
Money makes the world go round and we know your time is money
You need to consume less and we will help you by providing numbers, graphs and charts
By the way, you might need to stop drying your hair at peak time in the morning or using the
television to be your kid’s nanny when you prepare dinner
We can help you if you give us access to your private information
You only need to make a one-off decision to let us install this smart meter
If you do not understand the smart meter (and you probably won’t) just DON’T TOUCH
THE BUTTONS!
You might save money for a nice weekend to the Bahamas if you really make an effort
We will send you a bill every two months or so, the main thing is we now know exactly how
much energy you actually saved
What counts for us is that you use electricity when we want you to so we do not need to
invest in more grid capacity and get as much Big Data as possible. And, of course, that you
save a few bucks!
You want to know how much energy you saved today? You can take a look at the smart
meter every 15 minutes or so, or get your wife to stand near the meter when you are
turning something off….
Too difficult? Well, buy a nice feedback translating device, there are 100s out there already.
35
The story of neoclassical
economics & smart meters
Money makes the world go round and we know your time is money
You need to consume less and we will help you by providing numbers, graphs and charts
By the way, you might need to stop drying your hair at peak time in the morning or using the
television to be your kid’s nanny when you prepare dinner
We can help you if you give us access to your private information
You only need to make a one-off decision to let us install this smart meter
If you do not understand the smart meter (and you probably won’t) just DON’T TOUCH
THE BUTTONS!
You might save money for a nice weekend to the Bahamas if you really make an effort
We will send you a bill every two months or so, the main thing is we now know exactly how
much energy you actually saved
What counts for us is that you use electricity when we want you to so we do not need to
invest in more grid capacity and get as much Big Data as possible. And, of course, that you
save a few bucks!
You want to know how much energy you saved today? You can take a look at the smart
meter every 15 minutes or so, or get your wife to stand near the meter when you are
turning something off….
Too difficult? Well, buy a nice feedback translating device, there are 100s out there already.
35
The story of neoclassical
economics & smart meters
Money makes the world go round and we know your time is money
You need to consume less and we will help you by providing numbers, graphs and charts
By the way, you might need to stop drying your hair at peak time in the morning or using the
television to be your kid’s nanny when you prepare dinner
We can help you if you give us access to your private information
You only need to make a one-off decision to let us install this smart meter
If you do not understand the smart meter (and you probably won’t) just DON’T TOUCH
THE BUTTONS!
You might save money for a nice weekend to the Bahamas if you really make an effort
We will send you a bill every two months or so, the main thing is we now know exactly how
much energy you actually saved
What counts for us is that you use electricity when we want you to so we do not need to
invest in more grid capacity and get as much Big Data as possible. And, of course, that you
save a few bucks!
You want to know how much energy you saved today? You can take a look at the smart
meter every 15 minutes or so, or get your wife to stand near the meter when you are
turning something off….
Too difficult? Well, buy a nice feedback translating device, there are 100s out there already.
35
A story of economics theories &
smart metering
Once upon a time...electricity was just coming out of the socket, nobody had to think about it, because
it was cheap and the negative effects of electricity production were not yet discussed at the “Stammtisch” in
Switzerland nor in the pubs of London.
Every day...people were using electricity, paying their invoices for power, water and gas supply without
even looking at the amount, neither the kWh nor the Swiss francs.
But, one day...people began to think about future energy supply, the negative effects of conventional
energy supply and renewable forms of energy and how to integrate them into the energy system.
Because of that... the local energy utilities began to rethink their role in the energy economy. Some of
them jumped onto the opportunity of helping their customers to reduce electricity demand and increase
their efficiency.
But then... the “Smart-Meter-Wave” finally hit Switzerland (it takes sometimes a bit longer in Switzerland,
because we don’t have a coast…)
Because of that... the regional energy utility EKT started a smart meter programme with 200
participants, who can monitor their electricity demand via a smartphone app or a normal homepage. They
also answered questions about their opinions (risks and benefits) about smart meters

So, finally...EKT saw how large the impacts of smart meters were on energy demand (on average minus
1.7%) and what concerns their customers had about them (data security and economic advantages for
utilities)
And ever since then...customer concerns and the realistic potential of demand side management are
taken into account more appropriately by EKT when designing smart meter programmes.
36

 
A story of economics theories &
smart metering
Once upon a time...electricity was just coming out of the socket, nobody had to think about it, because
it was cheap and the negative effects of electricity production were not yet discussed at the “Stammtisch” in
Switzerland nor in the pubs of London.
Every day...people were using electricity, paying their invoices for power, water and gas supply without
even looking at the amount, neither the kWh nor the Swiss francs.
But, one day...people began to think about future energy supply, the negative effects of conventional
energy supply and renewable forms of energy and how to integrate them into the energy system.
Because of that... the local energy utilities began to rethink their role in the energy economy. Some of
them jumped onto the opportunity of helping their customers to reduce electricity demand and increase
their efficiency.
But then... the “Smart-Meter-Wave” finally hit Switzerland (it takes sometimes a bit longer in Switzerland,
because we don’t have a coast…)
Because of that... the regional energy utility EKT started a smart meter programme with 200
participants, who can monitor their electricity demand via a smartphone app or a normal homepage. They
also answered questions about their opinions (risks and benefits) about smart meters

So, finally...EKT saw how large the impacts of smart meters were on energy demand (on average minus
1.7%) and what concerns their customers had about them (data security and economic advantages for
utilities)
And ever since then...customer concerns and the realistic potential of demand side management are
taken into account more appropriately by EKT when designing smart meter programmes.
36

 
Smart meter fears
SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview

37
Smart meter fears
SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview

37
Subtasks of Task XXIV
subtasks
5- Expert platform

1- Helicopter

2-

3-

4-

view of models,
frameworks,
contexts, case
studies and
evaluation
metrics

In depth
analysis in
areas of
greatest need
(buildings,
transport,
SMEs, smart
metering)

Evaluation tool
for
stakeholders

Countryspecific project
ideas, action
plans and pilot
projects
Subtasks of Task XXIV
subtasks
5- Expert platform
2-

In depth analysis in areas of
greatest need
1- Helicopter
23-SMEs, smart
4(buildings,In transport, tool Countryview of models,
depth
Evaluation
frameworks,
analysis in
for
specific project
metering)
contexts, case
areas of
stakeholders
ideas, action
studies and
evaluation
metrics

greatest need
(buildings,
transport,
SMEs, smart
metering)

plans and pilot
projects
Austria -

for Task Management
SubtaskPremise vs €CO2XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
Die Energiejagd

social approach

individualistic approach

social norm (MoU)
social learning (ToC)
Freezing/unfreezing (ToC)

classical economics (MoU)

Gamification, competition, feedback,
tailored advice, champions

Feedback, Advice & Incentive (iPod!)

Goal: CO2 savings
Huge success

Unexpected ‘failure’
39
Austria -

for Task Management
SubtaskPremise vs €CO2XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
Die Energiejagd

social approach

individualistic approach

social norm (MoU)
social learning (ToC)
Freezing/unfreezing (ToC)

classical economics (MoU)

Gamification, competition, feedback,
tailored advice, champions

Feedback, Advice & Incentive (iPod!)

Goal: CO2 savings
Huge success

Unexpected ‘failure’
39
Austria -

for Task Management
SubtaskPremise vs €CO2XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
Die Energiejagd

social approach

individualistic approach

social norm (MoU)
social learning (ToC)
Freezing/unfreezing (ToC)

classical economics (MoU)

Gamification, competition, feedback,
tailored advice, champions

Feedback, Advice & Incentive (iPod!)

Goal: CO2 savings
Huge success

Unexpected ‘failure’
39
In-depth analysis:

Austria - SM

SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview

40
In-depth analysis:

Austria - SM

SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
Beispiel

Meine Kosten

40
In-depth analysis:

Austria - SM

SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
Beispiel

Meine Kosten

40
The story of neoclassical
economics and SM
Once upon a time
Many people in Austria lived beside each other and didn’t care much about energy. And they
paid their energy bills without thinking, no matter how high they were.
Every day
They behaved like the day before, because they didn’t see any difference on their annual bill
if they tried to save some energy in their household.
But one day
They got a smart meter installed and wise men came to their house and gave them advice
how to save energy and the wise men showed them how to use the smart meter to see the
impact of their changed behaviour. They even gave them an ipod with a feedback App
installed. The wise men also gave them brochures about energy efficiency and told them that
there are different tariffs for their electricity and then the wise men left.
Because of that
The people were quite motivated to save energy and made many plans about changing their
behaviour.
But then
After a while they forgot about their plans. They also forgot about the smart meter and the
wise men and even about the intelligent ipod with the feedback App, which could be used to
check their energy consumption.
Because of that
The savings went down and only increased again when the wise men announced that they
would return and ask them how it was going. So overall, the savings were around 6%, which
was better than changing nothing, but the effort was huge compared to the savings.
So finally
The wise men realised that only giving technical advice and providing the technical devices is
not enough to be successful, but keeping the attention level high over a long period is one of
the real challenges. The end.
41
The story of neoclassical
economics and SM
Once upon a time
Many people in Austria lived beside each other and didn’t care much about energy. And they
paid their energy bills without thinking, no matter how high they were.
Every day
They behaved like the day before, because they didn’t see any difference on their annual bill
if they tried to save some energy in their household.
But one day
They got a smart meter installed and wise men came to their house and gave them advice
how to save energy and the wise men showed them how to use the smart meter to see the
impact of their changed behaviour. They even gave them an ipod with a feedback App
installed. The wise men also gave them brochures about energy efficiency and told them that
there are different tariffs for their electricity and then the wise men left.
Because of that
The people were quite motivated to save energy and made many plans about changing their
behaviour.
But then
After a while they forgot about their plans. They also forgot about the smart meter and the
wise men and even about the intelligent ipod with the feedback App, which could be used to
check their energy consumption.
Because of that
The savings went down and only increased again when the wise men announced that they
would return and ask them how it was going. So overall, the savings were around 6%, which
was better than changing nothing, but the effort was huge compared to the savings.
So finally
The wise men realised that only giving technical advice and providing the technical devices is
not enough to be successful, but keeping the attention level high over a long period is one of
the real challenges. The end.
41
The story of neoclassical
economics and SM
Once upon a time
Many people in Austria lived beside each other and didn’t care much about energy. And they
paid their energy bills without thinking, no matter how high they were.
Every day
They behaved like the day before, because they didn’t see any difference on their annual bill
if they tried to save some energy in their household.
But one day
They got a smart meter installed and wise men came to their house and gave them advice
how to save energy and the wise men showed them how to use the smart meter to see the
impact of their changed behaviour. They even gave them an ipod with a feedback App
installed. The wise men also gave them brochures about energy efficiency and told them that
there are different tariffs for their electricity and then the wise men left.
Because of that
The people were quite motivated to save energy and made many plans about changing their
behaviour.
But then
After a while they forgot about their plans. They also forgot about the smart meter and the
wise men and even about the intelligent ipod with the feedback App, which could be used to
check their energy consumption.
Because of that
The savings went down and only increased again when the wise men announced that they
would return and ask them how it was going. So overall, the savings were around 6%, which
was better than changing nothing, but the effort was huge compared to the savings.
So finally
The wise men realised that only giving technical advice and providing the technical devices is
not enough to be successful, but keeping the attention level high over a long period is one of
the real challenges. The end.
41
Norway - SMEs

SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
Finnfjord

42
Sweden - Transport

SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I - Helicopter Overview
Stockholm congestion charges

43
Switzerland - Buildings
SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
I2000 Watt Society
- Helicopter Overview

44
Subtasks of Task XXIV
Subtasks
5- Expert platform

1- Helicopter

2-

3-

4-

view of models,
frameworks,
contexts, case
studies and
evaluation
metrics

In depth
analysis in
areas of
greatest need
(buildings,
transport,
SMEs, smart
metering)

Evaluation tool
for
stakeholders

Countryspecific project
ideas, action
plans and pilot
projects
Subtasks of Task XXIV
Subtasks

3Evaluation tool for
stakeholders 4235- Expert platform

1- Helicopter

view of models,
frameworks,
contexts, case
studies and
evaluation
metrics

In depth
analysis in
areas of
greatest need
(buildings,
transport,
SMEs, smart
metering)

Evaluation tool
for
stakeholders

Countryspecific project
ideas, action
plans and pilot
projects
subtask III -

SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV
Ievaluation metrics
- Helicopter Overview
Conventional monitoring of smart metering success

More systemic monitoring of smart metering
success

!"#$%&'()''*#+&,'#%,%&*'+!-'(&')%%-$+./'
0!,%&)+.%*'0!*,+11%-'
1(+-'*20),'3%&'.10%!,''
!"#$%&'()',0#%*'.10%!,*'1((/%-'+,',2%'
)%%-$+./'3&(40-%-'
+..%3,+!.%'+!-'+,,0,"-%*',(5+&-*'*#+&,'
#%,%&*'
61%.,&0.0,7'.(!*"#3,0(!'(4%&'+'7%+&'
1%4%1'()',%.2!(1(87'+))0!0,7'.(!.%&!0!8',2%'
"*%'()',2%',%.2!0.+1')%%-$+./'%9"03#%!,'

+11'()',2%'0**"%*'10*,%-'1%),:'+!-',2(*%'
#%!,0(!%-'"!-%&'*7*,%#0.'&%,&()0,,0!8'
#(!0,(&0!8'31"*;
<%&*(!+1'#(,04+,0(!',('3+&,0.03+,%'0!',2%'
.(#3%,0,0(!'
=.,"+1'%!%&87>&%1+,%-'$%2+40("&*'
?%.%!,'3"&.2+*%*'0!'%!%&87',%.2!(1(80%*'
@10/%'%!%&87'%))0.0%!,'$(01%&*:'!%5'
50!-(5*:',%.AB'
C2%'0!)(&#+,0(!'1%4%1'(!'%!%&87'%))0.0%!.7'
+!-'&%!%5+$1%'%!%&87'*("&.%*'
D("&.%*'(!'0!)(&#+,0(!'(!'%!%&87'0**"%*'
=,,0,"-%*'(!'%!%&87'+!-'.10#+,%'
3&(,%.,0(!'0**"%*'
6*,0#+,0(!'()',2%'1%4%1'()'(5!'%!%&87'.(*,*'
$"01-0!8'()'.+3+.0,7:''
.&%+,0(!'()'%!8+8%#%!,'
."*,(#%&'*%!,0#%!,:''
3+&,0.03+,0(!'0!'(,2%&'%!%&87'%))0.0%!.7'
3&(8&+#*'
)%%10!8'()'.(!,&(1'@(4%&'%!%&87'$011*:',2%'
2(#%:'%!%&87B'
1%4%1'()'"!%#31(7#%!,:''
1%4%1'()'0110,%&+.7'
E!,%&!%,'3%!%,&+,0(!'&+,%'

46
Subtasks of Task XXIV
questions?

drsea@orcon.net.nz
ruth.mourik@duneworks.nl

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PECHA KUCHA Behaviour Change DSM Theory Practice

  • 1. PECHA KUCHA Subtasks of Task XXIV Task 24 Closing the Loop Behaviour Change in DSM: From Theory to Practice Dr Sea Rotmann & Dr Ruth Mourik Operating Agents
  • 2. Subtasks are we ? who of Task XXIV THEORY PRACTICE Ruth: Science and Technology Studies, Cross-EU Behaviour Change research projects, DSM consulting Sea: Animal behaviour studies, research funding & evaluation, sustainable energy policy, sustainability implementation
  • 3. IEA DSM Task XXIV Task 24 Subtasks of participating countries !"#$%&'(#&)'*(#+$#)",(-.(,/#(0-)'1(23#)4*(56,'--7(89:: !"#$%&'#($()%(*&+%&%,(&-)(#./&!0#&122&30)4(#()5(&")&6$207&80#9+/&")&65%0:(#&;<== © OECD/IEA, October 2011 Committee for Energy Research & Technology (CERT) Oversees 40 intʼl implementing agreements 15 Participating Countries Each country has ExCo member 24 Tasks - each task has Operating Agent/s (OA) Task 24: Behaviour Change in DSM (OAs: Ruth and Sea) DSM Implementing Agreement (www.ieadsm.org) Countries participating Netherlands Switzerland New Zealand Belgium Norway Sweden Italy South Africa UK Austria Australia US Portugal Spain (in kind)
  • 4. What is DSM? Subtasks of DSM? XXIV what isTask • Demand Side Management (DSM) generally refers to changes that originate from the demand (energy user) side. • Reduce the total demand for energy (conservation), whilst providing the same service (energy efficiency) and shift demand from peak periods to off-peak periods (load-management). Text 4 Pics via: tatapower.com, jcwinnie.biz, Guardian.co.uk, Treehugger.com,
  • 5. What is DSM? Subtasks of DSM? XXIV what isTask • Demand Side Management (DSM) generally refers to changes that originate from the demand (energy user) side. • Reduce the total demand for energy (conservation), whilst providing the same service (energy efficiency) and shift demand from peak periods to off-peak periods (load-management). Text 4 Pics via: tatapower.com, jcwinnie.biz, Guardian.co.uk, Treehugger.com,
  • 6. What is DSM and Behaviour Change in Task 24? (in a tweet)
  • 7. an important caveat An important caveat In this Task, a successful behaviour change outcome results in improved energy use by households and businesses. This does not necessarily focus solely on an immediate reduction in total energy use, but on the most efficient and environmentally friendly use of energy to derive the services that underpin societal and economic wellbeing. 6
  • 8. WHY, of Task XXIV OH WHY Subtasks BEHAVIOUR? 30% of energy demand is locked in behavioural wedge Includes: technology uptake, use and maintenance purchasing and investment behaviour habits and routine behaviour social acceptability
  • 9. premise of Task 24 Premise for Task XXIV That the current energy efficiency gap results from:  Homo sapiens sapiens ≠ Homo economicus  overly technocratic approaches  the limited transfer of best practice and good research to the policy domain  the lack of meaningful monitoring and evaluation tools 8
  • 10. objectiveTask XXIV 24 of Task Objectives of Task XXIV Premise for Text 9
  • 11. special featuresTask XXIV 24 of Task Some special featuresTask XXIV Premise for of Text 10
  • 12. Target audience of Task 24 target Audience of Task XXIV 1. Intermediaries 2. Policymakers 3. Researchers 4. Industry 5. The Third Sector 11 Pics via: theinnovativeeducator.blogspot.com, dreamstime.com, agu.org, lifesupplemented.org, rassutassu.com, change.comminit.com
  • 13. Target audience of Task 24 target Audience of Task XXIV CHANGING THE 2.BEHAVIOUR OF Policymakers THE 3. Researchers BEHAVIOUR 4. Industry CHANGERS 1. Intermediaries 5. The Third Sector 11 Pics via: theinnovativeeducator.blogspot.com, dreamstime.com, agu.org, lifesupplemented.org, rassutassu.com, change.comminit.com
  • 14. subtasksof(deliverables) Subtasks for Task XXIV Premise Task XXIV 5Expert platform 1- Helicopter 2overview of In depth models, analysis in theories, areas of contexts, greatest need case studies and evaluation metrics 12 3Evaluation tool for stakeholders 4Countryspecific project ideas, action plans and pilot projects
  • 15. subtask I SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview • • • • 13 Overview of models and theories of change used in case studies Overview of definitions Inventory of experts Navigation tool to translate theory to be useful by practitioners
  • 16. The story of: Behavioural economics enayetkabir.blogspot.com greenbookblog.com 14
  • 17. subtask II - SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview specific case studies smart metering transport building retrofits 15 SMEs
  • 18. subtask III - SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview evaluation  WHAT IS A SUCCESSFUL LONG-TERM BEHAVIOUR CHANGE OUTCOME TO YOU? 16
  • 19. subtask IV - Subtask IV: Country-specific country-specific recommendations recommendations 17
  • 20. subtaskof Task XXIV V - expert Subtasks platform JOIN US? drsea@orcon.net.nz
  • 21. Subtasks of Task XXIV subtasks 5- Expert platform 1- Helicopter 2- 3- 4- view of models, frameworks, contexts, case studies and evaluation metrics In depth analysis in areas of greatest need (buildings, transport, SMEs, smart metering) Evaluation tool for stakeholders Countryspecific project ideas, action plans and pilot projects
  • 22. Subtasks of Task XXIV subtasks 1- Helicopter view of models, frameworks, 1- contexts, case studies 234and evaluation metrics 5- Expert platform Helicopter view of models, frameworks, contexts, case studies and evaluation metrics In depth analysis in areas of greatest need (buildings, transport, SMEs, smart metering) Evaluation tool for stakeholders Countryspecific project ideas, action plans and pilot projects
  • 23. Subtask I SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview • • • • Inventory of DSM case studies • Inventory of evaluation metrics and contexts • 20 Inventory of experts Navigation tool to translate theory to be useful by practitioners Overview of definitions Overview of models, disciplines, frameworks
  • 24. World Map of 1 Participating countries, contributing experts Expert platform currently has over 180 experts from 21 countries and 7 main sectors.
  • 25. subtask I - SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview Overview of definitions http://www.slideshare.net/drsea/definitions-for-task-24 22
  • 26. subtask I - Overview of models,Overview and SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter disciplines frameworks https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DOTkdA97Woo&feature=c4-overview&list=UU_p3PlWDpLyDBh8TwUBmVHQ 23
  • 27. subtask I - some SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview definitions Models of behaviour help us to understand specific behaviours, by identifying the underlying factors which influence them. There are individualistic models and social models. By contrast, theories of change show how behaviours change over time, and how they can be changed. Behavioural theory is diagnostic, and change theory is more pragmatic. Both are important to understand when designing interventions. 24
  • 28. subtask I - Overview of models,Overview and SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter disciplines frameworks 25
  • 29. subtask I - Overview of models,Overview and SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter disciplines frameworks Towards a multiple m wrong, but some of George E.P. Box (1979) 25
  • 30. Subtasks of Task XXIV Babel to Babelfish?
  • 31. Subtasks of Task XXIV Babel to Babelfish?
  • 32. Subtasks of Task XXIV Babel to Babelfish?
  • 33. Subtasks of Task XXIV Babel to Babelfish?
  • 34. Subtasks of Task XXIV energy stories: personal
  • 35. Subtasks of Task XXIV energy stories: sectoral Fuel efficient driving behaviour in the light vehicle fleet 15 February 2013 | Jörn Scherzer | Transport Partnerships !"#$%&"'() !"#$%&'%$( !"#$%&'($ Energy Behaviour Challenge 1 Changing household energy cultures A research perspective !"#$%&'($% )*"$+%,-$./0"1(%,++"2$.%
  • 36. Subtasks of Task XXIV energy stories: national IEA DSM – Task XXIV Swiss Energy Strategy and research projects concerning behavior change Dr. Aurelio Fetz, Market Regulation, Swiss Federal Office of Energy Belgian Story Brussels, September 7, 2012 Norwegian Energy Story Workshop IEA DSM Task 24, 15.10.2013 demand-side The New Zealand energy story ^ Sea Rotmann and Janet Stephenson
  • 37. Inventory of DSM case SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview studies Case studies collected for IEA DSM Task 24 in transport, building retrofits, SMEs and smart metering Note: Blue boxes denote government-led policies and programmes, green boxes denote business, research or community-led programmes and pilots Domain/Country Netherlands Cases and used theories/models Smart Metering/ Jouw Energie Moment Feedback Theories/Models used: Expectancy Value Theory Design with Intent Interpretation for sustainable behaviour New Zealand Switzerland Italy Austria Responses to Time Varying Prices for Electricity (Otago Uni) Smart Metering Zurich Pilot EWZ and EKZ Time of Use Tariff Die Energiejagd Demosteinkjer Theories/Models: Classical Economics Theories/Models: Theories/Models: Theories/Models: Shared learning, Theory of Planned Constructivist Social Norming, Behaviour Learning Theory freezing/ Shared learning unfreezing Theories/Model used: Theories/Model used: Classical behavioural economics and Economics and marketing social norms/comparisons Smart Metering EKT Dietikon Norway Sweden Belgium Other countries Rettie, Ruth CHARM Clockwise UK Spain (Juan Pablo Garçia): VERDIEM Theories/Models used: social norms approach Theories/Models: practice theory Classical Economics !CO2 Management Theories/Model used: behavioural model of residential energy use by Raaij & Verhallen behavioural economics and social norms/comparisons Munx Repower website Portugal (Joane Abreu): Smart meter feedback in North Theories/Models: Classical Economics Theories: Nudge, classical economics, moments of change US (Michela Beltracchi): Opower feedback programme Theories/Model used: behavioural economics, social norming Retrofitting Blok voor Blok aanpak, Warm Up New Zealand: Heat retrofitting programme Smart Swiss Building Retrofit Program Theories/models used: Theories/Models used: social Behavioural economics marketing; social norms; classical economic; TPB Models: Cialdini’s Social Norming Retrofitting of Myhrenenga Housing Models: Classical Economics Theories: TPB Building retrofits Theories: Shared Learning 2000 Watts Society (housing) SMEs De Groene Daad Theory/model used: Nudge Mobility EECA SME Crown Loans Scheme Models: Ethics, long-term visioning Energy-Model and SME-Model from (EnAW) Finnfjord Theories: Leadership Theory/model used: originally Theories/Models used: based on TPB; changed to social Classical Economics learning and social norm Social norm theories Energy Cultures SMEs pilot Model used: Energy Cultures Het Nieuwe Rijden (the Active a2b New Driving) Theory/models used: Norm Theories and models Activation Theory used: Psychology: Henry Elaboration Likelihood Model A Murray (1938) and the Stern’s Principles for Intervening acceptability/availability Triandis TIB model of behaviour by Lewin’s Unfreezing/Refreezing Rose (1990). McKenzie-Mohr NZ Post Transport Driver behaviour training Theory/models used: Value Action Gap Theory 2000 Watt on mobility Model: Nudge Electric vehicles Stockholm Nobil congestion tax Fuel consumption of newly purchased cars 30 Chatterton & Wilson Framework Theories/Models Models: activity used: TPB based models Models: Ethics, long-term visioning Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) and Norm-Activation Model (NAM) Build4Change Kevin Luten UrbanTrans (Australia) Combining Transport behaviour individualistic (eg change based on BJ Triandis) and societal Fogg (Practice theory) approaches to help UK policymakers
  • 38. THE for Task XXIV Premise MONSTER Subtask I - Helicopter Overview Money makes the world go round You need to change your home’s energy use and we will help you by paying (part of) its retrofitting By the way, you need to pay up first and it might take a while before we pay you back The info we need from you will teach you all you need to know. You only need to make a one-off decision to invest We have the technology you need, contractors or installers (you will need to find/choose) will put it in and that’s it! If you do not understand the technology, just don’t touch the buttons… You will save money for a nice weekend to the Bahamas You only need to give us a bill from your installer, we probably won’t check how much energy you actually saved What counts for us is how many m2 are insulated, how many homes are retrofitted or how much money is spent. Oh yes, and how many kWh are saved of course! We will do the number crunching, don't worry, we do not need to know what you actually saved, we will use models to calculate all energy savings 31
  • 39. worked examples: smart SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview metering 4. Smart metering: observations Country Netherlands case T heory or model used Policy or driven Jouw Energie Moment Expectancy Value Theory; Design with Intent, Interpretation societally for sustainable behaviour PowerMatching Hoogkerk Societally City Value action gap theory Mixed, subsidy from policy and part of larger policy programme New Zealand Responses to Time Classical Economics and marketing Varying Prices for Electricity (Otago Uni) societally Switzerland Smart Metering Zurich behavioural economics and social norms/comparisons Pilot EWZ societally Smart Metering EKT behavioural economics Dietikon societally Norway Demosteinkjer Theory of Planned Behaviour societally Italy Time of Use Tariff Classical Economics societally Classical economics policy A ustria -Management societally Sweden Energy neighbourhoods Shared learning 2 Clockwise Constructivist Learning Theory, collaborative learning Portugal CoopRoriz Combination of participatory and sociological approaches societally USA Opower Cialdini's social psychology theory societally UK CHARM social norms approach, practice theory societally 32 societally
  • 40. Storytelling Premise for Task XXIV Subtask I - Helicopter Overview Narratives= social science tool aimed at providing way to explore how big events (policies) impact on small scale (individuals) 33
  • 41. Storytelling Premise for Task XXIV Subtask I - Helicopter Overview Narratives= social science tool aimed at providing way to explore how big events (policies) impact on small scale (individuals) Allow for quick practical and useful understanding of complexity of interconnected factors in behaviour research 33
  • 42. Storytelling Premise for Task XXIV Subtask I - Helicopter Overview Narratives= social science tool aimed at providing way to explore how big events (policies) impact on small scale (individuals) Allow for quick practical and useful understanding of complexity of interconnected factors in behaviour research 3 ways of telling the stories: 33
  • 43. Storytelling Premise for Task XXIV Subtask I - Helicopter Overview Narratives= social science tool aimed at providing way to explore how big events (policies) impact on small scale (individuals) Allow for quick practical and useful understanding of complexity of interconnected factors in behaviour research 3 ways of telling the stories: 1. The cases fall into story groupings: hero stories, love stories, horror stories, learning stories... 33
  • 44. Storytelling Premise for Task XXIV Subtask I - Helicopter Overview Narratives= social science tool aimed at providing way to explore how big events (policies) impact on small scale (individuals) Allow for quick practical and useful understanding of complexity of interconnected factors in behaviour research 3 ways of telling the stories: 1. The cases fall into story groupings: hero stories, love stories, horror stories, learning stories... 2. The models and theories used in the cases tell their own story from the implementer’s or end user perspective 33
  • 45. Storytelling Premise for Task XXIV Subtask I - Helicopter Overview Narratives= social science tool aimed at providing way to explore how big events (policies) impact on small scale (individuals) Allow for quick practical and useful understanding of complexity of interconnected factors in behaviour research 3 ways of telling the stories: 1. The cases fall into story groupings: hero stories, love stories, horror stories, learning stories... 2. The models and theories used in the cases tell their own story from the implementer’s or end user perspective 3. Each case can be told as a short story 33
  • 46. Neoclassical economics smart metering Several of our smart meter cases informed by neoclassical economics: deficit model http://www.contemporaryartdaily.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/2.jpg http://pinterest.com/kyrpersa/homo-economicus/ 34
  • 47. The story of neoclassical economics & smart meters Money makes the world go round and we know your time is money You need to consume less and we will help you by providing numbers, graphs and charts By the way, you might need to stop drying your hair at peak time in the morning or using the television to be your kid’s nanny when you prepare dinner We can help you if you give us access to your private information You only need to make a one-off decision to let us install this smart meter If you do not understand the smart meter (and you probably won’t) just DON’T TOUCH THE BUTTONS! You might save money for a nice weekend to the Bahamas if you really make an effort We will send you a bill every two months or so, the main thing is we now know exactly how much energy you actually saved What counts for us is that you use electricity when we want you to so we do not need to invest in more grid capacity and get as much Big Data as possible. And, of course, that you save a few bucks! You want to know how much energy you saved today? You can take a look at the smart meter every 15 minutes or so, or get your wife to stand near the meter when you are turning something off…. Too difficult? Well, buy a nice feedback translating device, there are 100s out there already. 35
  • 48. The story of neoclassical economics & smart meters Money makes the world go round and we know your time is money You need to consume less and we will help you by providing numbers, graphs and charts By the way, you might need to stop drying your hair at peak time in the morning or using the television to be your kid’s nanny when you prepare dinner We can help you if you give us access to your private information You only need to make a one-off decision to let us install this smart meter If you do not understand the smart meter (and you probably won’t) just DON’T TOUCH THE BUTTONS! You might save money for a nice weekend to the Bahamas if you really make an effort We will send you a bill every two months or so, the main thing is we now know exactly how much energy you actually saved What counts for us is that you use electricity when we want you to so we do not need to invest in more grid capacity and get as much Big Data as possible. And, of course, that you save a few bucks! You want to know how much energy you saved today? You can take a look at the smart meter every 15 minutes or so, or get your wife to stand near the meter when you are turning something off…. Too difficult? Well, buy a nice feedback translating device, there are 100s out there already. 35
  • 49. The story of neoclassical economics & smart meters Money makes the world go round and we know your time is money You need to consume less and we will help you by providing numbers, graphs and charts By the way, you might need to stop drying your hair at peak time in the morning or using the television to be your kid’s nanny when you prepare dinner We can help you if you give us access to your private information You only need to make a one-off decision to let us install this smart meter If you do not understand the smart meter (and you probably won’t) just DON’T TOUCH THE BUTTONS! You might save money for a nice weekend to the Bahamas if you really make an effort We will send you a bill every two months or so, the main thing is we now know exactly how much energy you actually saved What counts for us is that you use electricity when we want you to so we do not need to invest in more grid capacity and get as much Big Data as possible. And, of course, that you save a few bucks! You want to know how much energy you saved today? You can take a look at the smart meter every 15 minutes or so, or get your wife to stand near the meter when you are turning something off…. Too difficult? Well, buy a nice feedback translating device, there are 100s out there already. 35
  • 50. The story of neoclassical economics & smart meters Money makes the world go round and we know your time is money You need to consume less and we will help you by providing numbers, graphs and charts By the way, you might need to stop drying your hair at peak time in the morning or using the television to be your kid’s nanny when you prepare dinner We can help you if you give us access to your private information You only need to make a one-off decision to let us install this smart meter If you do not understand the smart meter (and you probably won’t) just DON’T TOUCH THE BUTTONS! You might save money for a nice weekend to the Bahamas if you really make an effort We will send you a bill every two months or so, the main thing is we now know exactly how much energy you actually saved What counts for us is that you use electricity when we want you to so we do not need to invest in more grid capacity and get as much Big Data as possible. And, of course, that you save a few bucks! You want to know how much energy you saved today? You can take a look at the smart meter every 15 minutes or so, or get your wife to stand near the meter when you are turning something off…. Too difficult? Well, buy a nice feedback translating device, there are 100s out there already. 35
  • 51. A story of economics theories & smart metering Once upon a time...electricity was just coming out of the socket, nobody had to think about it, because it was cheap and the negative effects of electricity production were not yet discussed at the “Stammtisch” in Switzerland nor in the pubs of London. Every day...people were using electricity, paying their invoices for power, water and gas supply without even looking at the amount, neither the kWh nor the Swiss francs. But, one day...people began to think about future energy supply, the negative effects of conventional energy supply and renewable forms of energy and how to integrate them into the energy system. Because of that... the local energy utilities began to rethink their role in the energy economy. Some of them jumped onto the opportunity of helping their customers to reduce electricity demand and increase their efficiency. But then... the “Smart-Meter-Wave” finally hit Switzerland (it takes sometimes a bit longer in Switzerland, because we don’t have a coast…) Because of that... the regional energy utility EKT started a smart meter programme with 200 participants, who can monitor their electricity demand via a smartphone app or a normal homepage. They also answered questions about their opinions (risks and benefits) about smart meters So, finally...EKT saw how large the impacts of smart meters were on energy demand (on average minus 1.7%) and what concerns their customers had about them (data security and economic advantages for utilities) And ever since then...customer concerns and the realistic potential of demand side management are taken into account more appropriately by EKT when designing smart meter programmes. 36  
  • 52. A story of economics theories & smart metering Once upon a time...electricity was just coming out of the socket, nobody had to think about it, because it was cheap and the negative effects of electricity production were not yet discussed at the “Stammtisch” in Switzerland nor in the pubs of London. Every day...people were using electricity, paying their invoices for power, water and gas supply without even looking at the amount, neither the kWh nor the Swiss francs. But, one day...people began to think about future energy supply, the negative effects of conventional energy supply and renewable forms of energy and how to integrate them into the energy system. Because of that... the local energy utilities began to rethink their role in the energy economy. Some of them jumped onto the opportunity of helping their customers to reduce electricity demand and increase their efficiency. But then... the “Smart-Meter-Wave” finally hit Switzerland (it takes sometimes a bit longer in Switzerland, because we don’t have a coast…) Because of that... the regional energy utility EKT started a smart meter programme with 200 participants, who can monitor their electricity demand via a smartphone app or a normal homepage. They also answered questions about their opinions (risks and benefits) about smart meters So, finally...EKT saw how large the impacts of smart meters were on energy demand (on average minus 1.7%) and what concerns their customers had about them (data security and economic advantages for utilities) And ever since then...customer concerns and the realistic potential of demand side management are taken into account more appropriately by EKT when designing smart meter programmes. 36  
  • 53. Smart meter fears SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview 37
  • 54. Smart meter fears SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview 37
  • 55. Subtasks of Task XXIV subtasks 5- Expert platform 1- Helicopter 2- 3- 4- view of models, frameworks, contexts, case studies and evaluation metrics In depth analysis in areas of greatest need (buildings, transport, SMEs, smart metering) Evaluation tool for stakeholders Countryspecific project ideas, action plans and pilot projects
  • 56. Subtasks of Task XXIV subtasks 5- Expert platform 2- In depth analysis in areas of greatest need 1- Helicopter 23-SMEs, smart 4(buildings,In transport, tool Countryview of models, depth Evaluation frameworks, analysis in for specific project metering) contexts, case areas of stakeholders ideas, action studies and evaluation metrics greatest need (buildings, transport, SMEs, smart metering) plans and pilot projects
  • 57. Austria - for Task Management SubtaskPremise vs €CO2XXIV I - Helicopter Overview Die Energiejagd social approach individualistic approach social norm (MoU) social learning (ToC) Freezing/unfreezing (ToC) classical economics (MoU) Gamification, competition, feedback, tailored advice, champions Feedback, Advice & Incentive (iPod!) Goal: CO2 savings Huge success Unexpected ‘failure’ 39
  • 58. Austria - for Task Management SubtaskPremise vs €CO2XXIV I - Helicopter Overview Die Energiejagd social approach individualistic approach social norm (MoU) social learning (ToC) Freezing/unfreezing (ToC) classical economics (MoU) Gamification, competition, feedback, tailored advice, champions Feedback, Advice & Incentive (iPod!) Goal: CO2 savings Huge success Unexpected ‘failure’ 39
  • 59. Austria - for Task Management SubtaskPremise vs €CO2XXIV I - Helicopter Overview Die Energiejagd social approach individualistic approach social norm (MoU) social learning (ToC) Freezing/unfreezing (ToC) classical economics (MoU) Gamification, competition, feedback, tailored advice, champions Feedback, Advice & Incentive (iPod!) Goal: CO2 savings Huge success Unexpected ‘failure’ 39
  • 60. In-depth analysis: Austria - SM SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview 40
  • 61. In-depth analysis: Austria - SM SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview Beispiel Meine Kosten 40
  • 62. In-depth analysis: Austria - SM SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview Beispiel Meine Kosten 40
  • 63. The story of neoclassical economics and SM Once upon a time Many people in Austria lived beside each other and didn’t care much about energy. And they paid their energy bills without thinking, no matter how high they were. Every day They behaved like the day before, because they didn’t see any difference on their annual bill if they tried to save some energy in their household. But one day They got a smart meter installed and wise men came to their house and gave them advice how to save energy and the wise men showed them how to use the smart meter to see the impact of their changed behaviour. They even gave them an ipod with a feedback App installed. The wise men also gave them brochures about energy efficiency and told them that there are different tariffs for their electricity and then the wise men left. Because of that The people were quite motivated to save energy and made many plans about changing their behaviour. But then After a while they forgot about their plans. They also forgot about the smart meter and the wise men and even about the intelligent ipod with the feedback App, which could be used to check their energy consumption. Because of that The savings went down and only increased again when the wise men announced that they would return and ask them how it was going. So overall, the savings were around 6%, which was better than changing nothing, but the effort was huge compared to the savings. So finally The wise men realised that only giving technical advice and providing the technical devices is not enough to be successful, but keeping the attention level high over a long period is one of the real challenges. The end. 41
  • 64. The story of neoclassical economics and SM Once upon a time Many people in Austria lived beside each other and didn’t care much about energy. And they paid their energy bills without thinking, no matter how high they were. Every day They behaved like the day before, because they didn’t see any difference on their annual bill if they tried to save some energy in their household. But one day They got a smart meter installed and wise men came to their house and gave them advice how to save energy and the wise men showed them how to use the smart meter to see the impact of their changed behaviour. They even gave them an ipod with a feedback App installed. The wise men also gave them brochures about energy efficiency and told them that there are different tariffs for their electricity and then the wise men left. Because of that The people were quite motivated to save energy and made many plans about changing their behaviour. But then After a while they forgot about their plans. They also forgot about the smart meter and the wise men and even about the intelligent ipod with the feedback App, which could be used to check their energy consumption. Because of that The savings went down and only increased again when the wise men announced that they would return and ask them how it was going. So overall, the savings were around 6%, which was better than changing nothing, but the effort was huge compared to the savings. So finally The wise men realised that only giving technical advice and providing the technical devices is not enough to be successful, but keeping the attention level high over a long period is one of the real challenges. The end. 41
  • 65. The story of neoclassical economics and SM Once upon a time Many people in Austria lived beside each other and didn’t care much about energy. And they paid their energy bills without thinking, no matter how high they were. Every day They behaved like the day before, because they didn’t see any difference on their annual bill if they tried to save some energy in their household. But one day They got a smart meter installed and wise men came to their house and gave them advice how to save energy and the wise men showed them how to use the smart meter to see the impact of their changed behaviour. They even gave them an ipod with a feedback App installed. The wise men also gave them brochures about energy efficiency and told them that there are different tariffs for their electricity and then the wise men left. Because of that The people were quite motivated to save energy and made many plans about changing their behaviour. But then After a while they forgot about their plans. They also forgot about the smart meter and the wise men and even about the intelligent ipod with the feedback App, which could be used to check their energy consumption. Because of that The savings went down and only increased again when the wise men announced that they would return and ask them how it was going. So overall, the savings were around 6%, which was better than changing nothing, but the effort was huge compared to the savings. So finally The wise men realised that only giving technical advice and providing the technical devices is not enough to be successful, but keeping the attention level high over a long period is one of the real challenges. The end. 41
  • 66. Norway - SMEs SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview Finnfjord 42
  • 67. Sweden - Transport SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I - Helicopter Overview Stockholm congestion charges 43
  • 68. Switzerland - Buildings SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV I2000 Watt Society - Helicopter Overview 44
  • 69. Subtasks of Task XXIV Subtasks 5- Expert platform 1- Helicopter 2- 3- 4- view of models, frameworks, contexts, case studies and evaluation metrics In depth analysis in areas of greatest need (buildings, transport, SMEs, smart metering) Evaluation tool for stakeholders Countryspecific project ideas, action plans and pilot projects
  • 70. Subtasks of Task XXIV Subtasks 3Evaluation tool for stakeholders 4235- Expert platform 1- Helicopter view of models, frameworks, contexts, case studies and evaluation metrics In depth analysis in areas of greatest need (buildings, transport, SMEs, smart metering) Evaluation tool for stakeholders Countryspecific project ideas, action plans and pilot projects
  • 71. subtask III - SubtaskPremise for Task XXIV Ievaluation metrics - Helicopter Overview Conventional monitoring of smart metering success More systemic monitoring of smart metering success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
  • 72. Subtasks of Task XXIV questions? drsea@orcon.net.nz ruth.mourik@duneworks.nl