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Market perspective on E-commerce Trends in South East Asia 
Citibank Research Conference 
www.pomelofashion.com
South East Asia (‘SEA’) is a large unified market 
with increasingly growing spending power 
Though the 3rd largest population center in the world, minimal focus on 
technology sector until now has created a unique greenfield opportunity 
1347 
Population by Region (M) 
1210 
617 
504 
314 
1600 
1400 
1200 
1000 
800 
600 
400 
200 
0 
China India South 
East Asia 
EU US 
60.8 
17 
9.6 9.1 
4.8 4.3 3.7 
70 
60 
50 
40 
30 
20 
10 
0 
GDP per Capita PPP basis (K of USD) 
Population(M): 5 29 67 247 97 89 
• SEA has 2x the population of the US 
• SEA is evolving into one addressable 
market with ASEAN free trade zone in 
2015 
• Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand 
have higher GDP per capita than 
China 
• Indonesia, Philippines, and Vietnam 
are catching up quickly 
Sources: World Bank
Rapidly accelerating internet and smart phone 
penetration driving this trend 
A step-change increase in internet access is expected over the next 5 
years 
SEA Internet Users (M) 
166 
360 
400 
350 
300 
250 
200 
150 
100 
50 
0 
2010 2020E 
3.4 
SEA smartphone sales (M Units) 
6 
11 
20 
28 
36 
43 
51 
59 
70 
60 
50 
40 
30 
20 
10 
0 
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 
Penetration: 25% 62% 
• Approx. 200M additional internet users gaining access this decade 
Sources: “We are social”, Accenture; Euromonitor 2013
Additionally, SEA is the social media capital of 
the world 
Social networks are powerful and expansive, core to the internet adoption 
revolution 
Top Facebook Cities in 2013 
# City Country Facebook 
• Bangkok and Jakarta are #1 and #2 for 
Facebook users in the world 
Sources 
(1) Social Bakers; Instagram 
Users 
Users/Popu 
lation 
1 Bangkok Thailand 8,682,940 104% 
2 Jakarta Indonesia 7,434,580 34% 
3 Istanbul Turkey 7,066,700 63% 
4 London UK 6,139,180 74% 
5 Bogota Colombia 6,112,120 82% 
6 Sao Paulo Brazil 5,718,220 30% 
7 Mexico City Mexico 4,294,820 23% 
8 Santiago Chile 4,129,700 73% 
9 Mumbai India 3,700,460 19% 
10 Buenos Aires Argentina 3,533,840 29% 
Most Instagram’ed Locations in 2013 
# Location City 
1 Siam Paragon Bangkok 
2 Times Square New York 
3 Disney Land California 
4 Bellagio Fountains Las Vegas 
5 Disney World Florida 
6 Staples Center Los Angeles 
7 Central Park New York 
8 Dodger Stadium Los Angeles 
9 Bangkok International 
Airport 
• Bangkok has 2 of the most Instagram’ed 
locations in the world 
Bangkok 
10 The High Line New York 
“Social networking is what Southeast Asian consumers everywhere do during their online 
leisure time” – Accenture, Surfing Southeast Asia’s Powerful Digital Wave
E-commerce penetration is relatively low but 
ramping up quickly 
Internet access, smart phone availability, hyper connectivity through 
social media driving rapid rise in E-commerce 
TH, PH, & ID - Online Retail Sales Forecast 
(B USD) 
46% 
CAGR 
1 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.5 
7.1 
9.2 
13.5 
18.7 
23.5 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 
E-commerce as % of Total Retail Sales (2014) 
16.3 
11.7 
10.4 
8.2 7.9 
7.2 
1-2% 
18 
16 
14 
12 
10 
8 
6 
4 
2 
0 
Korea USA Japan Australia Global China SEA 
• SEA’s total e-commerce market size is expected to reach $24B USD by 2015 
• If E-commerce represents 7% of retail sales, the market size in TH, PH, and ID alone would be 
$50-100B USD 
Sources: ICD Research; JP Morgan E-commerce Report
China an example of the speed at which 
E-commerce penetrates a market 
18 
39 
70 
127 
199 
283 
369 
461 
1.1% 
2.0% 
2.9% 
4.3% 
6.0% 
7.4% 
8.5% 
9.3% 
9.5% 
8.5% 
7.5% 
6.5% 
5.5% 
4.5% 
3.5% 
2.5% 
1.5% 
0.5% 
-0.5% 
500 
450 
400 
350 
300 
250 
200 
150 
100 
50 
0 
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E 
As % of China’s retail sales 
Online Shopping transaction Value (US$bn) 
1. Surging domestic 
consumption 
2. Low availability of products 
outside major city centers 
3. Rapid increase in internet 
penetration 
4. Rapid development of 
delivery and logistics 
infrastructure 
5. Major capital investment in 
E-commerce sites 
The same drivers that drove 10x growth in China’s E-commerce market 
over last 5 years to drive 5x E-commerce growth in SEA 
Sources: Morgan Stanley 
Key Drivers of 
Chinese E-commerce 
SEA? 
Current SEA 
E-commerce 
penetration 
rate
Rocket Internet was 1st mover helping drive initial 
wave of e-commerce adoption 
Rocket Internet has 2 major e-commerce plays in the region with backing 
from major European and American investors 
Investment Details Investors 
 Started in Q1 2012 
 Regional adaptation of Amazon.com 
 Price driven discount retailer of all vertical 
categories 
 Over $400M USD of raised capital 
 Started in Q4 2011 
 Regional adaptation of Zappos.com; viewed as 
price-driven discounter due to aggressive growth 
targets 
 Shoes and apparel retailer 
 Over $200M USD of raised capital 
Sources: Ardent Capital
Investors now funding more targeted vertical 
plays as reach of E-commerce expands 
Investors seizing opportunity to scale up cheaply and be #1 in a specific 
vertical, as E-commerce seen as certainty in SEA 
Company Focus Most Recent Round Investors 
Reebonz Regional luxury flash sale 
site 
$40M (2014) 
Luxola Regional online beauty site $10M (2014) 
Redmart Singapore online grocery 
site 
$23M (2014) Eduardo Saverin, Garena, 
Softbank Ventures 
A-commerce Regional E-commerce 
logistics & support service 
provider 
$3.1M (2013) 
POMELO Regional online fast fashion UNDISCLOSED 
Sources: TechinAsia, Techcrunch, E27.com
Fashion is the single largest retail category in 
SEA and has the highest average retail GM 
Fashion and Beauty account for 
50% of non-consumable retail sales 
12% 
35.7 
SEA Retail Sales 2013 (In B USD) 
11% 
33.8 
30 
10% 13.4 
4% 
10.3 
3% 
7.4 
2% 
177 
57% 
Fashion 
Home & Living 
Electronics 
Beauty & Pers. Care 
Home Appliances 
Consumer Health 
Kids & Toys 
Other (Food, Travel, etc) 
Fashion typically has highest retail 
gross margins 
53 
49 49 
40 
34 
31 
28 28 27 
24 24 
75 
50 
25 
0 
US Gross Margins by Retail Category 2010 
(%) 
Sources: Euromonitor; Annual Retail Trade Survey 2010
Fashion has leading share of online spending in 
the US and China 
In more developed markets Fashion and Beauty consistently rank as top 
E-commerce categories 
57 
46 
41 
35 
29 27 25 23 22 20 
60 
50 
40 
30 
20 
10 
0 
Best sold items in China over Internet (% of 
shoppers) 
56 
49 
24 
20 19 
12 
9 8 
60 
50 
40 
30 
20 
10 
0 
US Ecommerce Sales by Category – 2013 (B 
USD) 
Sources: I Research; eMarketer
SEA fashion E-commerce to reach 6 to 14B USD 
by 2018 
Fashion E-commerce market size in SEA can be calculated by taking a 
top down approach to the forecast 
2018 Fashion 
and Beauty 
Retail Sales: 
$70-80B USD 
• Assumes 10% 
CAGR from 
2013-2018 
x 
Sources: “We are social”, Accenture; Euromonitor 2013 
2018 Fashion 
and Beauty E-commerce 
sales: 
$6-9B USD 
Expected E-commerce 
share of retail 
sales: 
7-10% 
= 
• Assumes E-commerce 
penetration in line 
with China in 2013 
• 10% market share 
implies $600-900M 
USD revenue 
• 1% market share 
implies $60-90M 
USD revenue
Global fashion E-commerce valuations higher for own-brand 
due to product differentiation and higher margins 
(In M USD) 
Merchandizing Company Focus Revenue 
@ 
Investment 
EV EV / 
Revenue 
Comment 
Own-brand + 
curated 3rd party 
Asos Fast Fashion with own-brand 
#1 online fashion site in UK 
1,240 6,800 5.5x 
4-6x valuation 
at scale 
Own-brand VANCL Own-brand Fast Fashion 
#1 online fashion site in China 
800 3,000 4.0x 
Own-brand + 
curated 3rd party 
Zulily Mom Fashion & Babies Flash 
Sales 
500 2,600 5.2x 
Own-brand Bonobos Men’s own-brand fashion 
#1 online men’s fashion site in 
US 
80 800 10x 
8-10x valuation 
during growth 
phase 
Own-brand + 
curated 3rd party 
Nastygal Women’s LA Street Fashion 100 800 8.0x 
Own-brand Warby 
Parker 
Own-brand Eyewear 
#1 online eyewear site in US 
50 500 10.0x 
Resell 3rd-party 
brands 
Zalando Broadline shoes & apparel 1,800 3,900 2.2x 1-2x valuation 
regardless of 
size due to 
threat of 
competition 
and lack of 
differentiation 
Resell 3rd-party 
brands 
Zappos Broadline shoes & apparel 1,000 (‘09) 1,000 
(‘09) 
1.0x 
Resell 3rd-party 
brands 
Myntra Broadline shoes & apparel 150 300 1.7x 
Sources: Techcrunch, Google Finance, FT.com, Dailypando, Bloomberg
Thank you! 
For more information please contact: 
 David Jou at david@pomelofashion.com

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Intro to E-commerce in South East Asia - Citibank

  • 1. Market perspective on E-commerce Trends in South East Asia Citibank Research Conference www.pomelofashion.com
  • 2. South East Asia (‘SEA’) is a large unified market with increasingly growing spending power Though the 3rd largest population center in the world, minimal focus on technology sector until now has created a unique greenfield opportunity 1347 Population by Region (M) 1210 617 504 314 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 China India South East Asia EU US 60.8 17 9.6 9.1 4.8 4.3 3.7 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 GDP per Capita PPP basis (K of USD) Population(M): 5 29 67 247 97 89 • SEA has 2x the population of the US • SEA is evolving into one addressable market with ASEAN free trade zone in 2015 • Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand have higher GDP per capita than China • Indonesia, Philippines, and Vietnam are catching up quickly Sources: World Bank
  • 3. Rapidly accelerating internet and smart phone penetration driving this trend A step-change increase in internet access is expected over the next 5 years SEA Internet Users (M) 166 360 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2010 2020E 3.4 SEA smartphone sales (M Units) 6 11 20 28 36 43 51 59 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E Penetration: 25% 62% • Approx. 200M additional internet users gaining access this decade Sources: “We are social”, Accenture; Euromonitor 2013
  • 4. Additionally, SEA is the social media capital of the world Social networks are powerful and expansive, core to the internet adoption revolution Top Facebook Cities in 2013 # City Country Facebook • Bangkok and Jakarta are #1 and #2 for Facebook users in the world Sources (1) Social Bakers; Instagram Users Users/Popu lation 1 Bangkok Thailand 8,682,940 104% 2 Jakarta Indonesia 7,434,580 34% 3 Istanbul Turkey 7,066,700 63% 4 London UK 6,139,180 74% 5 Bogota Colombia 6,112,120 82% 6 Sao Paulo Brazil 5,718,220 30% 7 Mexico City Mexico 4,294,820 23% 8 Santiago Chile 4,129,700 73% 9 Mumbai India 3,700,460 19% 10 Buenos Aires Argentina 3,533,840 29% Most Instagram’ed Locations in 2013 # Location City 1 Siam Paragon Bangkok 2 Times Square New York 3 Disney Land California 4 Bellagio Fountains Las Vegas 5 Disney World Florida 6 Staples Center Los Angeles 7 Central Park New York 8 Dodger Stadium Los Angeles 9 Bangkok International Airport • Bangkok has 2 of the most Instagram’ed locations in the world Bangkok 10 The High Line New York “Social networking is what Southeast Asian consumers everywhere do during their online leisure time” – Accenture, Surfing Southeast Asia’s Powerful Digital Wave
  • 5. E-commerce penetration is relatively low but ramping up quickly Internet access, smart phone availability, hyper connectivity through social media driving rapid rise in E-commerce TH, PH, & ID - Online Retail Sales Forecast (B USD) 46% CAGR 1 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.5 7.1 9.2 13.5 18.7 23.5 25 20 15 10 5 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E E-commerce as % of Total Retail Sales (2014) 16.3 11.7 10.4 8.2 7.9 7.2 1-2% 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Korea USA Japan Australia Global China SEA • SEA’s total e-commerce market size is expected to reach $24B USD by 2015 • If E-commerce represents 7% of retail sales, the market size in TH, PH, and ID alone would be $50-100B USD Sources: ICD Research; JP Morgan E-commerce Report
  • 6. China an example of the speed at which E-commerce penetrates a market 18 39 70 127 199 283 369 461 1.1% 2.0% 2.9% 4.3% 6.0% 7.4% 8.5% 9.3% 9.5% 8.5% 7.5% 6.5% 5.5% 4.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% -0.5% 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E As % of China’s retail sales Online Shopping transaction Value (US$bn) 1. Surging domestic consumption 2. Low availability of products outside major city centers 3. Rapid increase in internet penetration 4. Rapid development of delivery and logistics infrastructure 5. Major capital investment in E-commerce sites The same drivers that drove 10x growth in China’s E-commerce market over last 5 years to drive 5x E-commerce growth in SEA Sources: Morgan Stanley Key Drivers of Chinese E-commerce SEA? Current SEA E-commerce penetration rate
  • 7. Rocket Internet was 1st mover helping drive initial wave of e-commerce adoption Rocket Internet has 2 major e-commerce plays in the region with backing from major European and American investors Investment Details Investors  Started in Q1 2012  Regional adaptation of Amazon.com  Price driven discount retailer of all vertical categories  Over $400M USD of raised capital  Started in Q4 2011  Regional adaptation of Zappos.com; viewed as price-driven discounter due to aggressive growth targets  Shoes and apparel retailer  Over $200M USD of raised capital Sources: Ardent Capital
  • 8. Investors now funding more targeted vertical plays as reach of E-commerce expands Investors seizing opportunity to scale up cheaply and be #1 in a specific vertical, as E-commerce seen as certainty in SEA Company Focus Most Recent Round Investors Reebonz Regional luxury flash sale site $40M (2014) Luxola Regional online beauty site $10M (2014) Redmart Singapore online grocery site $23M (2014) Eduardo Saverin, Garena, Softbank Ventures A-commerce Regional E-commerce logistics & support service provider $3.1M (2013) POMELO Regional online fast fashion UNDISCLOSED Sources: TechinAsia, Techcrunch, E27.com
  • 9. Fashion is the single largest retail category in SEA and has the highest average retail GM Fashion and Beauty account for 50% of non-consumable retail sales 12% 35.7 SEA Retail Sales 2013 (In B USD) 11% 33.8 30 10% 13.4 4% 10.3 3% 7.4 2% 177 57% Fashion Home & Living Electronics Beauty & Pers. Care Home Appliances Consumer Health Kids & Toys Other (Food, Travel, etc) Fashion typically has highest retail gross margins 53 49 49 40 34 31 28 28 27 24 24 75 50 25 0 US Gross Margins by Retail Category 2010 (%) Sources: Euromonitor; Annual Retail Trade Survey 2010
  • 10. Fashion has leading share of online spending in the US and China In more developed markets Fashion and Beauty consistently rank as top E-commerce categories 57 46 41 35 29 27 25 23 22 20 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Best sold items in China over Internet (% of shoppers) 56 49 24 20 19 12 9 8 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 US Ecommerce Sales by Category – 2013 (B USD) Sources: I Research; eMarketer
  • 11. SEA fashion E-commerce to reach 6 to 14B USD by 2018 Fashion E-commerce market size in SEA can be calculated by taking a top down approach to the forecast 2018 Fashion and Beauty Retail Sales: $70-80B USD • Assumes 10% CAGR from 2013-2018 x Sources: “We are social”, Accenture; Euromonitor 2013 2018 Fashion and Beauty E-commerce sales: $6-9B USD Expected E-commerce share of retail sales: 7-10% = • Assumes E-commerce penetration in line with China in 2013 • 10% market share implies $600-900M USD revenue • 1% market share implies $60-90M USD revenue
  • 12. Global fashion E-commerce valuations higher for own-brand due to product differentiation and higher margins (In M USD) Merchandizing Company Focus Revenue @ Investment EV EV / Revenue Comment Own-brand + curated 3rd party Asos Fast Fashion with own-brand #1 online fashion site in UK 1,240 6,800 5.5x 4-6x valuation at scale Own-brand VANCL Own-brand Fast Fashion #1 online fashion site in China 800 3,000 4.0x Own-brand + curated 3rd party Zulily Mom Fashion & Babies Flash Sales 500 2,600 5.2x Own-brand Bonobos Men’s own-brand fashion #1 online men’s fashion site in US 80 800 10x 8-10x valuation during growth phase Own-brand + curated 3rd party Nastygal Women’s LA Street Fashion 100 800 8.0x Own-brand Warby Parker Own-brand Eyewear #1 online eyewear site in US 50 500 10.0x Resell 3rd-party brands Zalando Broadline shoes & apparel 1,800 3,900 2.2x 1-2x valuation regardless of size due to threat of competition and lack of differentiation Resell 3rd-party brands Zappos Broadline shoes & apparel 1,000 (‘09) 1,000 (‘09) 1.0x Resell 3rd-party brands Myntra Broadline shoes & apparel 150 300 1.7x Sources: Techcrunch, Google Finance, FT.com, Dailypando, Bloomberg
  • 13. Thank you! For more information please contact:  David Jou at david@pomelofashion.com