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The State of the Web Search

           @dusano
     Kiberpipa, 2012-11-07
mag. Dušan Omerčević, UDI RI
       VP of Engineering @zemanta


@dusano
dusan.omercevic@zemanta.com
restreaming.wordpress.com
linkedin.com/in/dusanomercevic
Outline
• SEO is dead! Long live portal (again!)
• Desktop is dead! Long live mobile!
• Search is dead! Long live ___?
  – Search is disruption ready
  – Some fresh ideas from SIGIR 2012
SEO is dead!

Long live portal (again!)
Query Autocompletion
• Andrei Broder: "Due to query auto-completion
  we went from 2-3 keywords to 2-3 letters!"




Source: http://www.dr4ward.com/dr4ward/2012/10/how-did-google-kill-the-long-
tail-of-search-seo-infographic.html
Source: http://www.dr4ward.com/dr4ward/2012/10/how-did-google-kill-the-long-
tail-of-search-seo-infographic.html
Inbound/
SEO   Content
      Marketing
Desktop is dead!

  Long live mobile!
Mobile is about Mobile
   Technology, not Mobile People!




Phone                        Computer
• Ease of use                • Universal
• Instant availability
• Low price
                         +
Source: http://bradfrostweb.com/blog/web/for-a-future-friendly-web/
Search is dead!

 Long live ____?
Search is Disruption-Ready
Weak Points of Search
• Product reviews / Exploratory search (i.e. not
  knowing the right keywords)
• Personalized Search
• Social
• Mobile
Product Reviews/ Exploratory
          Search
Google's Biggest Nemesis
What about Knowledge Graph?
Personalized Search
Social




http://pandodaily.com/2012/10/16/google-the-phoenix-that-rose-out-of-
facebooks-botched-ipo/
Mobile




Source: http://techcrunch.com/2012/10/28/why-the-future-of-search-may-
look-more-like-yahoo-than-google/
Alternative Exploratory Search
           Interface
Source: Brent Hecht et al. Explanatory Semantic Relatedness and Explicit
Spatialization for Exploratory Search
Semantic Search




http://broccoli.informatik.uni-freiburg.de/
Take-home message

• The new name of the game is
  Inbound/Content marketing!
• Stop developing for desktop today!
• Go disrupt the search! Mobile changes
  everything!
Hvala!

             @dusano
 dusan.omercevic@zemanta.com
http://restreaming.wordpress.com

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The State of the Web Search

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. - Dead in investment sense. The transition will be gradual of course.- Brad Feld -> Why he invested in SEOmoz?
  2. Similar effect due to:- Google Instant- Automatically returning results for the more common query
  3. - 60% of smartphone usage and 80% of tablet usage happens at home -> couch, desk, and bed- Mobile revolution is about bringing IT and Internet to all 7G people, not 0.5G of - rich enough, - smart enough, and - motivated enough users of PCs.- Making IT more phone-like
  4. - stop developing for desktop!- develop for mobile!- make desktop version later!- that's how Facebook does it since January this year
  5. - 15 years ago only librarians concerned themselves about keywords!- 1/3 of human races is now searching for the right keywords!- 100G$ industry- Word from Googler on a panel: "We hit a gold mine! We won't do anything radical to search!"
  6. - No real progres in web search for the past 15 years!- The underlying technology is from 1970's!
  7. - there's no real difference for the user- only difference is for Google – a working business model- Norbert Fuhr: “the greatest improvements in information retrieval will come from better understanding of the user”- Mobile changes everything!- Search is disruption ready! Go disrupt it!
  8. - An open problem: How to capture user's topic of interest?- Search engines suck at exploratory search: - user is unfamiliar with the domain, - unsure about the ways to achieve his goals, - unsure about his goals in the first place
  9. - Google earns most of its 20+ billion from commercial queries!
  10. - semantic search is slowly getting out of trough of disillusionment and is slowly entering slope of enlightenment.
  11. - extensive personalization and query reformulation arebreaking the mental concept about search engines
  12. - "Users explicitly hate personalization but implicitly like its gains (improvement in relevancy)"- "They don't offer switch-off button for personalization. Users would turn personalization off!"- They (Yandex) don't know how to do explicit personalization!
  13. - Google was saved by the bell!- "Using social information is way more difficult than it looks!"
  14. - Exploratory Search is where most of the Google's money comes from
  15. - This hasn't changed since 1995