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2012-13 Budget
 Assumptions
            Devin Vodicka, EdD
Assistant Superintendent, Business Services

                                              6/13/2012   1
Background
• Governor’s May Revision proposal depends largely
  on successful passage of November 2012 Tax
  Initiative.
• State revenues are lower than projected




                                             6/13/2012   2
What happens if …
• If Initiative passes:
   o Weighted Student Formula (WSF) could be implemented which would
     result in a reduction of categorical funding
       • Schools for Sound Finance update on 6/11/12 indicates that “WSF is
         off the table” for 2012-13

• If Initiative fails:
   o Schools can anticipate a revenue reduction of $441 per Average Daily
     Attendance (ADA)
       • Approximately $4.7 million for CUSD




                                                                    6/13/2012   3
Current Information
• Assumptions impact projected revenues and
  expenditures
• Numerous sources utilized:
  o   School Services of California
  o   San Diego County Office of Education
  o   San Diego County Tax Assessors
  o   North Coastal Consortium for Special Education
  o   Schools for Sound Finance

• As conditions change, assumptions and projected
  are adjusted to reflect most recent updates




                                                       6/13/2012   4
Revenue Assumptions
                                      2012-13    2013-14    2014-15
Revenue Limit COLA                    0%         2.50%      2.70%
K-12 Enrollment Growth                0          0          0
Average Daily Attendance (ADA)        10,616     10,616     10,616
Local Property Taxes                  -0.24%     1%         2%
Redevelopment Agency Funds (RDA)      0          0          0
Revenue Limit Deficit                 -22.272%   -22.272%   -22.272%
Basic Aid “Fair Share” Cut            9.57%      8.92%      8.92%
Governor’s Tax Initiative “Trigger”
                                      0          $441/ADA   $441/ADA
Reduction
Mandated Costs                        0          0          0


                                                                6/13/2012   5
Additional Revenue Assumptions
• NCCSE Equalization: $651,000 additional revenue in
  2012-13 with annual increase of equal amount until
  2014-15.
• Special Ed Transportation State Funding Restored.




                                              6/13/2012   6
Expenditure Assumptions
• At time of agenda publication, 0% salary schedule
  increase was budgeted for certificated. Based on
  Tentative Agreement with CUTA signed on 6/11/12,
  a reduction of 2.71% will be implemented in 2012-
  13.
• Projected increase in Health and Welfare of 10%
  effective December. CUSD covers 75% of the
  increase.
• PERS rate increases from 10.923% to 11.417%.
• STRS rate remains unchanged.


                                              6/13/2012   7
Additional Expenditure Assumptions
• Worker’s Comp rate reduced from 1.74% to 1.62%
• Unemployment Insurance reduced from 1.61% to
  1.10%
• Retiree benefit costs projected to increase by
  $300,000 in 2012-13




                                            6/13/2012   8
Class Sizes
              Kindergarten 1st-3rd   4th-5th   6th-8th   9th-12th
              (Half-Day    Grade     Grade     Grade     Grade
              CSR)
2009-10       32            20       32        33        34
2010-11       32            22       32        33        34
2011-12       32            32       32        33        34
2012-13       33            32       32        33        38.5
(projected)
2013-14       33            32       36        36        38.5
(projected)
2014-15       33            32       36        36        38.5
(projected)



                                                              6/13/2012   9
Expenditure Reductions
• $2.3 million in cuts on November 9, 2011
• $1.4 million in cuts on February 8, 2012
• Relocate Carlsbad Village Academy
   o savings of approximately $400,000

• Employee Compensation Reductions:
   o   LIUNA Agreement to restructure benefits and take pay cuts
   o   CUTA Agreement to take pay cuts
   o   Management pay cuts
   o   Total Employee cuts of approximately $2.0 million


• Total Expenditure Reductions of $6.1 million


                                                                   6/13/2012   10
Outer Year Assumptions
• New Staff projected in 2013-14 for opening of Sage
  Creek High School
   o Included in Sage Creek budget of $1.3 million

• Cultural Arts Center (CAC) likely to exhaust reserve
  in 2012-13, impacting other areas unless facility
  usage increases significantly.
   o Annual expense of over $200,000




                                                     6/13/2012   11
Recommendation
• It is respectfully recommended that the Board
  accept the Budget Assumptions as presented.




                                              6/13/2012   12

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2012-13 Budget Assumptions

  • 1. 2012-13 Budget Assumptions Devin Vodicka, EdD Assistant Superintendent, Business Services 6/13/2012 1
  • 2. Background • Governor’s May Revision proposal depends largely on successful passage of November 2012 Tax Initiative. • State revenues are lower than projected 6/13/2012 2
  • 3. What happens if … • If Initiative passes: o Weighted Student Formula (WSF) could be implemented which would result in a reduction of categorical funding • Schools for Sound Finance update on 6/11/12 indicates that “WSF is off the table” for 2012-13 • If Initiative fails: o Schools can anticipate a revenue reduction of $441 per Average Daily Attendance (ADA) • Approximately $4.7 million for CUSD 6/13/2012 3
  • 4. Current Information • Assumptions impact projected revenues and expenditures • Numerous sources utilized: o School Services of California o San Diego County Office of Education o San Diego County Tax Assessors o North Coastal Consortium for Special Education o Schools for Sound Finance • As conditions change, assumptions and projected are adjusted to reflect most recent updates 6/13/2012 4
  • 5. Revenue Assumptions 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 Revenue Limit COLA 0% 2.50% 2.70% K-12 Enrollment Growth 0 0 0 Average Daily Attendance (ADA) 10,616 10,616 10,616 Local Property Taxes -0.24% 1% 2% Redevelopment Agency Funds (RDA) 0 0 0 Revenue Limit Deficit -22.272% -22.272% -22.272% Basic Aid “Fair Share” Cut 9.57% 8.92% 8.92% Governor’s Tax Initiative “Trigger” 0 $441/ADA $441/ADA Reduction Mandated Costs 0 0 0 6/13/2012 5
  • 6. Additional Revenue Assumptions • NCCSE Equalization: $651,000 additional revenue in 2012-13 with annual increase of equal amount until 2014-15. • Special Ed Transportation State Funding Restored. 6/13/2012 6
  • 7. Expenditure Assumptions • At time of agenda publication, 0% salary schedule increase was budgeted for certificated. Based on Tentative Agreement with CUTA signed on 6/11/12, a reduction of 2.71% will be implemented in 2012- 13. • Projected increase in Health and Welfare of 10% effective December. CUSD covers 75% of the increase. • PERS rate increases from 10.923% to 11.417%. • STRS rate remains unchanged. 6/13/2012 7
  • 8. Additional Expenditure Assumptions • Worker’s Comp rate reduced from 1.74% to 1.62% • Unemployment Insurance reduced from 1.61% to 1.10% • Retiree benefit costs projected to increase by $300,000 in 2012-13 6/13/2012 8
  • 9. Class Sizes Kindergarten 1st-3rd 4th-5th 6th-8th 9th-12th (Half-Day Grade Grade Grade Grade CSR) 2009-10 32 20 32 33 34 2010-11 32 22 32 33 34 2011-12 32 32 32 33 34 2012-13 33 32 32 33 38.5 (projected) 2013-14 33 32 36 36 38.5 (projected) 2014-15 33 32 36 36 38.5 (projected) 6/13/2012 9
  • 10. Expenditure Reductions • $2.3 million in cuts on November 9, 2011 • $1.4 million in cuts on February 8, 2012 • Relocate Carlsbad Village Academy o savings of approximately $400,000 • Employee Compensation Reductions: o LIUNA Agreement to restructure benefits and take pay cuts o CUTA Agreement to take pay cuts o Management pay cuts o Total Employee cuts of approximately $2.0 million • Total Expenditure Reductions of $6.1 million 6/13/2012 10
  • 11. Outer Year Assumptions • New Staff projected in 2013-14 for opening of Sage Creek High School o Included in Sage Creek budget of $1.3 million • Cultural Arts Center (CAC) likely to exhaust reserve in 2012-13, impacting other areas unless facility usage increases significantly. o Annual expense of over $200,000 6/13/2012 11
  • 12. Recommendation • It is respectfully recommended that the Board accept the Budget Assumptions as presented. 6/13/2012 12