1.
Advanced AnalyticsAdvanced Analytics
in Healthcarein Healthcare
Using data and analytics to improve quality and financial
outcomes across the healthcare continuum
2.
2
We’re drowning inWe’re drowning in
data but starving fordata but starving for
knowledge!knowledge!
- unknown author
3.
3
Data in HealthcareData in Healthcare
• 10 X 24th
• Growing at 40% annually
• Largely unstructured – audio dictation,
clinical narratives, personal monitors and
sensors, images, EMRs, email/text, social
media, applications
• 1000’s of EMRs that don’t talk to one another
• Less than 10% of all healthcare organizations
in the U.S. are focusing on analytics
• 60% haven’t even started!
4.
• Source data exists in a format
difficult to get at for end
users. Raw data doesn’t add
value for a company looking
to differentiate from it’s
competitors
• Data and Analytics drive end-to-end process
optimization and improve competitiveness
• Value-added descriptive and predictive methods
are used to better understand customers
and drive strategy
• Data is transformed and easily accessed
to provide basic insight into key financial
and operational business drivers
The Value of Data
4
OPERATIONS
Increasing Value
of Data
AND
Increasing Levels
of Competitiveness
Increasing Value
of Data
AND
Increasing Levels
of Competitiveness
5.
5
The Healthcare Landscape
• Movement from a volume-based
to a value-based business model
• PCP and Nursing shortages require
greater efficiency to achieve
patient-centric goals
• Entrenched inefficiencies in care caused by poor
gathering, sharing and use of information
• Pervasiveness of chronic illnesses with patients living
longer
• Patients not fully engaged in their care plans
• Growing complexity throughout the system
6.
6
The Role of Analytics
• Improve clinical outcomes and care
coordination
• Streamline operations and reduce practice
costs
• Create actionable insights from data
• Improved understanding of at-risk
populations
• Targeted marketing
• Manage patients with chronic illness or poor
adherence individually and innovatively
9.
9
McKinsey 2011 (Big Data Study)
• Healthcare is positioned to benefit greatly
from big data as long as barriers to its use
can be overcome
• Each stakeholder group generates huge
pools of data, but they have historically been
unconnected from each other
• Recent technical advances have made it
easier to collect and analyze information from
multiple sources
• Estimated $450B per year in savings in the
health sectors
11.
11
BIG Data (cont.)
• Large pools of data that can be captured,
communicated, aggregated, stored, and analyzed
• Unstructured data that doesn’t fit well into the
relational database structure that we are used to
with an EDW
• Nuances of small populations (e.g. gluten allergies)
can be included in big data algorithms
• Q=f(L, K, Data)
o Along with human capital and hard assets, data
is becoming an ever-greater part of the
production function
13.
Polling Question
How important will implementing a Big Data strategy
be for your organization within the next 5 years?
(Vital/Very/Somewhat/Not At All/Not Sure)
13
14.
Polling Question
Is anyone currently involved in a Big Data project
within their organization?
(Yes/No)
Less than 10% of companies say
they are involved in Big Data
at the moment
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15.
15
The Analytic Possibilities Curve
Business Value
TechnicalComplexity
Routine
Reporting &
Monitoring
Trending
Routine Analytics
Data Mining &
Evaluation
Forecasting,
Predictive
Modeling &
Campaigns
16.
Advanced Analytic Shortage
“There will be a shortage of talent necessary for
organizations to take advantage of big data. By 2018,
the United States alone could face a shortage of
140,000 to 190,000 people with deep analytical skills as
well as 1.5 million managers and analysts with the
know-how to use the analysis of big data to make
effective decisions”
(McKinsey)
16
18.
Data Analytics Blueprint
18
Develop an Enterprise Data Roadmap (EDR)
Identify Data & Process Gaps
Evaluate the Data Infrastructure
Analyze Business User Needs & Capabilities
Identify Analytics Goals
19.
Big Data Analysis Techniques – Data Integration
• Data Warehouses (DW) – Combination of data across
transactional systems and other sources with the primary
purpose being to provide analytics and decision support
• Internal Integration in healthcare involves integrating data
for use by your organization
• System-wide integration pulls together data from
participants across the healthcare continuum
• Analytic Data Marts (ADM) – Targeted data solutions
that are more flexible than a DW focusing on a specific
department (e.g. Marketing) or function (improving the
Quality of Care)
• Data Quality/Master Data Management – Systems to
make data more useable and reliable
19
20.
Big Data Analysis Techniques – Data Integration
• Generation 3 of the All Payer Claims Database (ACPD3)
brings in population data in the form of benchmarks
• Costs for diabetic patients with CHF and obesity might be
high in absolute value for your plan or ACO, but lower than
benchmark focus care management in other places
• Costs for ER might be lower than budget but high relative to
other networks target intervention programs in this area
• Incorporation of best practices and therapeutic pathways
into the APCD system
• Combine with demographic and lifestyle data in a way that
allows for individualized medicine
20
21.
Big Data Analysis Techniques – Data Mining
• Analysis of large quantities of data to extract previously
unknown, interesting patterns in data
• Retrospective
• Cluster analysis involves determining which records are
closely grouped
• Anomaly detection looks for unusual records in the
database
• Association mining attempts to determine where
dependencies occur in the data
21
22.
Big Data Analysis Techniques – Predictive
Models• A model or algorithm is developed that specifies the
relationship between an outcome and a set of independent
variables in order to predict what will happen when new
data becomes available
• Regression models describe the linear relationship
between a target variable and a set of predictor variables
• Logistic regression is used when the independent
variable is binary
• Decision trees models involve multiple variable analysis
capability that enables you to go beyond simple one-
cause, one-effect relationships
22
23.
Big Data Analysis Techniques – Predictive
Models
• Neural Networks are a
predictive technique that can
recognize and learn patterns in
data
• Simulation models in
healthcare allow for the replication
of reality and exploration of
possible changes and what-if
scenarios
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24.
Big Data Analysis Techniques – Next Generation
• Text, Web and Sentiment Analytics
• 85% of healthcare data is in unstructured formats
• Uses sophisticated linguistic rules and statistical
methods to evaluate text
• Automatically determines keywords and topics,
categorizes content, manages semantic terms, unearths
sentiment and puts things in context
• Visualization supports easy, perceptual inference of
relationships that are otherwise more difficult to induce
through typical tabular or graphically static formats
• Real-Time analytics in healthcare support active
knowledge systems which use patient data to improve
coordination of care and outcomes
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26.
Value of Analytics
• Advanced analytics provides opportunities for
providers, facilities, insurers, and government entities
to improve in the following areas:
Disease Intervention & Prevention
Care Coordination
Customer Service
Financial Risk Management
Fraud & Abuse
Operations
Health Care Reform
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27.
Healthcare Examples
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Quality of Care
Monitoring refills for
discharged patients
and developing
intervention protocols
Integration of admin
data and EMRs to
predict preventable
conditions/diseases
Identification of
patients at higher risk
for a fall
Coordination of Care
ER docsprepared for
incoming patients with
high severity
Longitudinal treatment
of returning nursing
home
Identification of
patients most likely to
adhere to a care plan
Customer Service
Understanding the
unique drivers of
patient satisfaction for
your office
Technologies and
processes to involve
caregivers
Coordination of
satisfaction measures
for entire episodes of
care
Risk Managemet &
Financial Performance
Targeted marketing
campaigns to reduce
churn or defection
Predictive analytics
improving the ROI of
care management
programs
Risk Adjustment
Operations
Evaluating alternative
clinical pathways to
individualize treatment
Operational KPI
control charts allowing
for faster recognition
and correction of
problems
Standardization of
processes to collect
and share data
Fraud & Abuse
Identification of ER
frequent flyers
Integration of
consumer databases
to identify fraud for
subsidy eligibility
Social network
analysis to target
members and
providers abusing pain
medications
29.
Beyond the Frontier
• Health Monitoring – sensors on pills, integrate scales with
provider systems, swiping ID cards at gyms, etc.
• Matching products on the exchange with other preferences for
health-related products (Amazon-style)
• Working with Health Concierge’s and Medical Advocates to
control costs via personalized medicine
• Optimizing operational performance and adopting technology-
enabled process improvements
• True Master Data Management and data quality across the
enterprise – building a system of systems
• Integrating with databases for consumer products (e.g. person
is flagged with a gym membership gets a gift card from Dick’s)
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30.
Case Study – Patient Satisfaction KPI
• Pediatric dental practice had extremely high web
reviews but no internal patient satisfaction data
• Instituted a survey mechanism for parents at
the conclusion of each visit
• First six months 98% of parents provided 4/5-star overall rating
with a 40% responder rate
• Initial efforts focused only on the dissatisfied 2%
• Analytics showed 95% of those who responded (even if
dissatisfied) kept their 6 month follow-up but only 61% of those
who did not respond kept the appointment
• Processes put in place to ‘touch’ non-responders in the time before
the next visit
• 92% of patients now keep their follow-up appointments
30
31.
Case Study – Frequent Flyer Analysis
• Predictive modeling can be used to identify members who are
likely to utilize the ER more than three times per calendar year
• Using demographic, medical claims, pharmacy claims, product
and member-specific data we created models to identify
members who are at a higher risk of becoming a frequent flyer
• Three different advanced analytics models were developed
• Concurrent
• Same-year Intervention
• Prospective
• Prospective model correctly predicts roughly 69% of the
Commercial frequent flyers
• Potential claim cost savings to the health plan (ER only) from
successfully intervening on only 10% of true positives estimated
at $1.5M/year
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32.
Case Study – Predicting Type 2 Diabetics
• Predictive modeling used to identify persons who are at
increased risk for Type 2
• Model correctly predicts those who develop Type 2 in the next
time period around 17% of the time in the Commercial (18-64)
population and 19% of the time in the Medicare population
32
33.
Polling Question
Rate your organization’s level of Big Data readiness
in the area of Expertise with Big Data techniques
(High, Medium, Low)
33
34.
Polling Question
Rate your organization’s level of readiness in the
area of Software/Hardware requirements for Big Data
(High, Medium, Low)
34
35.
Polling Question
Rate the skill level in your organization of employees
who will need to be involved with Big Data projects
(High, Medium, Low)
35
36.
Polling Question
Rate the volume and quality of the data that is
available to analytic units in your organization to
implement a Big Data project
(High, Medium, Low)
36
37.
Recommended Priorities for Payors
• Improving data operations to leverage
existing ‘basic’ analytics more quickly
• Effective data capture, improved data
quality structures and data
governance
• Partnering with providers,
manufacturers and government to
implement monitoring and
intervention programs supported by
analytic frameworks
37
38.
Recommended Priorities for Providers
• Standardized and comprehensive data
capture
• Reinforce the culture of information
sharing
• Improving technology around clinical
data
• Improving technology around operations
• Putting data to use in analytics to
improve patient care and patient risk
38
39.
Recommended Priorities for Manufacturers
• Focus on payer and customer value by
clearly establishing the true, total cost of
care for a product
• Incorporate output data as a function in all
new products
• Establishing systems to monitor product
efficacy and safety
• Collaboration throughout the entire
healthcare system and with external
partners to increase the rate of
breakthrough scientific discoveries
39
40.
Recommended Priorities for Government
• Continue to support the adoption of EMRs
• Support the integration of de-identified payer and
provider data in cloud-based solutions
• Fund researchers to run retrospective clinical trials that
analyze real-world outcomes of highly touted
technologies
• Simplify processes around data for government
programs to ensure program efficiency can be easily
gauged
40
41.
Recommended Priorities for Patients/Members
• Look to better understand data and choices regarding
care
• Demand accurate security and storage of electronic
health data and easier mechanisms to self-report
• Understand that your personal health data can benefit
everyone
• Divulge information to providers regarding behavior
and preferences that are not part of a patient record
• Take part in trials and pilots
41
42.
Limitations to Big Data & Analytics
• Policy issues around privacy, security and liability in
integrating the data pools across stakeholders
• Time to implement – Lag between the labor and capital
investments and productivity gains
• Investment in IT is NOT big data
• Industry – Payors may gain at the expense of providers
• Cost for providers to implement EMRs
• Shortage of Talent
42
43.
Implementing Big Data & Analytics
• Invest in talent & dedicate people to big data
• Have analysts work collaboratively with IT
• Develop cross-functional teams that understand data
• Recognize that data is an engine for growth instead
of a back-office function
• Develop a process-orientation around data and
analytics
• Educate the public. Develop policies that balance the
interests of insurers with public privacy concerns
• Help providers to develop robust data infrastructures
43
Any discussion about analytics in healthcare needs to start with data Audience hand-raise poll… Who has heard about Big Data?
One septillion…had to look it up Google, Amazon, Apple and Facebook are the pioneers of Big Data and already understand the value of it for their business
All this stuff is interwoven into the concept of Big Data Requires a strategy
The major pools of big data that exist in healthcare today are currently poorly integrated with little or no overlap Its going to take a lot of work and it’s not easy, but the benefits of integrating this data are obvious and almost untapped
Reporting & Monitoring – EMRs; identifying patients misusing drugs; readmission rates; patient satisfaction Trending – healthcare businesses seem to worry about year-over-year and lack of long term trending distorts the picture Routine Analytics – Time Series analysis – New patients over time; Churn; Patients with certain conditions; Office utilization analysis; Brand/generic utilization Data Mining & Evaluation – Identifying patients with negative drug/drug interactions; evaluation of clinical pathways to determine a best course of action; Identifying patients with potential diseases that have been misdiagnosed/undiagnosed; performance evaluation of integrated care programs; Understanding the determinants of satisfaction and driving KPIs/visual dashboards Predictive modeling – predicting patients likely to frequent the ER; predicting patients/members likely to leave; risk adjustment; understanding the determinants of patient satisfaction; Visualization
Sometimes difficult to justify since you don’t see the rewards right away and you need to make a significant investment in time, capital and human resources 80% is really 95% for initial model development
Axiom, unstructured data Supply of healthcare data is catching up to the demand Another interesting point is that many healthcare organizations, typically healthcare providers, don’t have data integration strategies and technology in place. In many instances they are supporting data integration requirements using a hodgepodge of primitive technical approaches that don’t provide the ability to change those solutions around changing needs. Worse, they don’t provide the security and the governance subsystems required to remain compliant with the changing regulations.
Cluster Analysis – identification of subpopulations of complex patients (multiple conditions) who may benefit from targeted care management campaigns Anomaly detection – Finding patients or providers engaging in fraudulent behavior Association mining – (Discharged, Same-Day Prescription) PCP follow-up correlated with lower readmission rates; (Onset of T2 Diabetes, Socioeconomic=High, Personal Trainer) rapid improvements
All of these modeling techniques really look to provide insight into variables that cause differences across values of the dependent variable Regression – predicting cost or utilization for a person or population based on a set of health factors; improving rates of central line infections across hospitals Logistic Regression – Frequent Flyers; Hospital readmissions for certain diseases; Members likely to leave/shop Decision trees – determining the appropriate clinical pathway for migraine sufferers; determining a person likely to respond to a marketing campaign Neural Network – determining those likely to adhere to a care plan • Clinical Simulation: simulation is mainly used to study certain diseases • Operational Simulation is mainly used for capturing, analyzing, and studying healthcare operations, service delivery, scheduling, healthcare business processes, and patient flow. • Educational Simulation is used for training and educational purposes, where virtual environments and virtual and physical objects are extensively used to depict reality
Neural Network – determining those likely to adhere to a care plan Simulation- • Clinical Simulation: simulation is mainly used to study certain diseases • Operational Simulation is mainly used for capturing, analyzing, and studying healthcare operations, service delivery, scheduling, healthcare business processes, and patient flow. • Educational Simulation is used for training and educational purposes, where virtual environments and virtual and physical objects are extensively used to depict reality Text/Web Analytics – unstructured data like clinical notes, survey data, social media
It’s not really next generation. It’s here, but just not being used extensively in healthcare Text/Web Analytics – unstructured data like clinical notes, survey data, social media Sentiment Analysis – understanding how different people understand/accept a diagnosis Visualization – Turning rows and columns of data into pictures and graphs that provide for much better holistic understanding to support faster decisions Real-time – Currently the most prevalent application for real-time health care analytics is within Clinical Decision Support (CDS) software. These programs analyze clinical information at the point of care and support health providers as they make prescriptive decisions. These real-time systems are active knowledge systems, which use two or more items of patient data to generate case-specific advice. Alerts in a pcp office when a patient has been admitted to the ER; real-time concussion data to sideline doctor’s; out of control claims for the week for a payor You can interpret customers' opinions, improve products, optimize services, streamline processes and make proactive, fact-based decisions.
Exchanges Understanding and adapting to the individual marketplace faster than the competition ACOs Integrating EMRs and patient registries to cost and utilization data to improve care Commercial Risk Adjustment Handling the size and complexity of data requirements and streamlining processes for submitting and receiving data ICD-10 Adjusting to new requirements and analyzing disease information in a more robust way
1/HIPPA, data security breaches, liability; Access to Data (Internal and External barriers). Liability – who is responsible when an inaccurate piece of data has a negative consequence? 2/Dependent on Initial data infrastructure 3/Must invest in IT (Technology, Storage and Computing Power) but must also recognize the need for IT to work collaboratively with Analytic functions (both learning/developing new skills and competencies) to capitalize on Big Data 4/Supporting human decision making with analysis 5/Some of this is already happening and if I can think of it, its possible and likely to happen 6/ Example of Amy and Under Armour mouthpieces
Weighted average of active patients booked was around 74%...now it’s 89%! This equated to $82K in extra revenue for the practice
Improving data operations to leverage existing ‘basic’ analytics more quickly ACOs, episodes of care, leaver/stayer Isolating outliers – High cost members/groups, providers or facilities that are higher cost/lower quality Employer Group Reporting Effective data capture, improved data quality structures and data governance Defining critical fields that are value drivers for the plan and members Building clear analytical methods to evaluate expected member value/satisfaction and system performance Identification of processes that could be made more efficient through big data such as provider authorization, referrals, evaluation of claims accuracy, auto-adjudication of claims Partnering with providers, manufacturers and government to implement monitoring and intervention programs supported by analytic frameworks Identifying positive trends such as providers, groups, health conditions and patient types that have much lower than expected costs Not only looking to maximize risk adjustment revenue, but also identify people/conditions where costs are more avoidable Creating incentives for best-in-class providers Working proactively with poorly trending groups or individuals on health and wellness programs and incentives
Standardized and comprehensive data capture Drive continued adoption of EMR Develop a strategy to capture data from ‘Smart’ devices and integrate into a holistic view of a patient Participation in HIEs and data sharing partnerships with private institutions Reinforce the culture of information sharing Explain to patients why their information could not only help themselves but others Simplifying the technical barriers to sharing information with appropriate parties Improving technology around clinical data Designing data architecture and governance models to manage and share key clinical data Eliminating gaps in patient health histories; Longitudinal patient records Improving technology around operations Creating decision bodies with joint clinical and IT representation that are responsible for defining and prioritizing key data needs Putting data to use in analytics to improve patient care and patient risk Developing informatics talent and predictive analytic capabilities Incorporating data into decisions and pilot programs that improve the overall quality of care Focusing on outcomes based protocols that balance cost and quality
1/HIPPA, data security breaches, liability; Access to Data (Internal and External barriers). Liability – who is responsible when an inaccurate piece of data has a negative consequence? 2/Dependent on Initial data infrastructure 3/Must invest in IT (Technology, Storage and Computing Power) but must also recognize the need for IT to work collaboratively with Analytic functions (both learning/developing new skills and competencies) to capitalize on Big Data 4/Supporting human decision making with analysis
Move away from the notion that all data needs to be perfect. Advanced analysis and statistics supports strategy. It’s not used for reporting Develop cross-functional teams that understand data – how it is structured, where it exists, research into emerging sources, legacy system expertise, data quality, etc.
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