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JR's Lifetime Advanced Analytics

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JR's Lifetime Advanced Analytics

  1. 1. Advanced AnalyticsAdvanced Analytics in Healthcarein Healthcare Using data and analytics to improve quality and financial outcomes across the healthcare continuum
  2. 2. 2 We’re drowning inWe’re drowning in data but starving fordata but starving for knowledge!knowledge! - unknown author
  3. 3. 3 Data in HealthcareData in Healthcare • 10 X 24th • Growing at 40% annually • Largely unstructured – audio dictation, clinical narratives, personal monitors and sensors, images, EMRs, email/text, social media, applications • 1000’s of EMRs that don’t talk to one another • Less than 10% of all healthcare organizations in the U.S. are focusing on analytics • 60% haven’t even started!
  4. 4. • Source data exists in a format difficult to get at for end users. Raw data doesn’t add value for a company looking to differentiate from it’s competitors • Data and Analytics drive end-to-end process optimization and improve competitiveness • Value-added descriptive and predictive methods are used to better understand customers and drive strategy • Data is transformed and easily accessed to provide basic insight into key financial and operational business drivers The Value of Data 4 OPERATIONS Increasing Value of Data AND Increasing Levels of Competitiveness Increasing Value of Data AND Increasing Levels of Competitiveness
  5. 5. 5 The Healthcare Landscape • Movement from a volume-based to a value-based business model • PCP and Nursing shortages require greater efficiency to achieve patient-centric goals • Entrenched inefficiencies in care caused by poor gathering, sharing and use of information • Pervasiveness of chronic illnesses with patients living longer • Patients not fully engaged in their care plans • Growing complexity throughout the system
  6. 6. 6 The Role of Analytics • Improve clinical outcomes and care coordination • Streamline operations and reduce practice costs • Create actionable insights from data • Improved understanding of at-risk populations • Targeted marketing • Manage patients with chronic illness or poor adherence individually and innovatively
  7. 7. 7 Implementing Analytics - Considerations
  8. 8. Integrating Big Data in Healthcare 8
  9. 9. 9 McKinsey 2011 (Big Data Study) • Healthcare is positioned to benefit greatly from big data as long as barriers to its use can be overcome • Each stakeholder group generates huge pools of data, but they have historically been unconnected from each other • Recent technical advances have made it easier to collect and analyze information from multiple sources • Estimated $450B per year in savings in the health sectors
  10. 10. 10 BIG Data
  11. 11. 11 BIG Data (cont.) • Large pools of data that can be captured, communicated, aggregated, stored, and analyzed • Unstructured data that doesn’t fit well into the relational database structure that we are used to with an EDW • Nuances of small populations (e.g. gluten allergies) can be included in big data algorithms • Q=f(L, K, Data) o Along with human capital and hard assets, data is becoming an ever-greater part of the production function
  12. 12. Oracle Big Data Survey 12
  13. 13. Polling Question  How important will implementing a Big Data strategy be for your organization within the next 5 years? (Vital/Very/Somewhat/Not At All/Not Sure) 13
  14. 14. Polling Question  Is anyone currently involved in a Big Data project within their organization? (Yes/No) Less than 10% of companies say they are involved in Big Data at the moment 14
  15. 15. 15 The Analytic Possibilities Curve Business Value TechnicalComplexity Routine Reporting & Monitoring Trending Routine Analytics Data Mining & Evaluation Forecasting, Predictive Modeling & Campaigns
  16. 16. Advanced Analytic Shortage “There will be a shortage of talent necessary for organizations to take advantage of big data. By 2018, the United States alone could face a shortage of 140,000 to 190,000 people with deep analytical skills as well as 1.5 million managers and analysts with the know-how to use the analysis of big data to make effective decisions” (McKinsey) 16
  17. 17. 17 The Advanced Analytic Process
  18. 18. Data Analytics Blueprint 18 Develop an Enterprise Data Roadmap (EDR) Identify Data & Process Gaps Evaluate the Data Infrastructure Analyze Business User Needs & Capabilities Identify Analytics Goals
  19. 19. Big Data Analysis Techniques – Data Integration • Data Warehouses (DW) – Combination of data across transactional systems and other sources with the primary purpose being to provide analytics and decision support • Internal Integration in healthcare involves integrating data for use by your organization • System-wide integration pulls together data from participants across the healthcare continuum • Analytic Data Marts (ADM) – Targeted data solutions that are more flexible than a DW focusing on a specific department (e.g. Marketing) or function (improving the Quality of Care) • Data Quality/Master Data Management – Systems to make data more useable and reliable 19
  20. 20. Big Data Analysis Techniques – Data Integration • Generation 3 of the All Payer Claims Database (ACPD3) brings in population data in the form of benchmarks • Costs for diabetic patients with CHF and obesity might be high in absolute value for your plan or ACO, but lower than benchmark  focus care management in other places • Costs for ER might be lower than budget but high relative to other networks  target intervention programs in this area • Incorporation of best practices and therapeutic pathways into the APCD system • Combine with demographic and lifestyle data in a way that allows for individualized medicine 20
  21. 21. Big Data Analysis Techniques – Data Mining • Analysis of large quantities of data to extract previously unknown, interesting patterns in data • Retrospective • Cluster analysis involves determining which records are closely grouped • Anomaly detection looks for unusual records in the database • Association mining attempts to determine where dependencies occur in the data 21
  22. 22. Big Data Analysis Techniques – Predictive Models• A model or algorithm is developed that specifies the relationship between an outcome and a set of independent variables in order to predict what will happen when new data becomes available • Regression models describe the linear relationship between a target variable and a set of predictor variables • Logistic regression is used when the independent variable is binary • Decision trees models involve multiple variable analysis capability that enables you to go beyond simple one- cause, one-effect relationships 22
  23. 23. Big Data Analysis Techniques – Predictive Models • Neural Networks are a predictive technique that can recognize and learn patterns in data • Simulation models in healthcare allow for the replication of reality and exploration of possible changes and what-if scenarios 23
  24. 24. Big Data Analysis Techniques – Next Generation • Text, Web and Sentiment Analytics • 85% of healthcare data is in unstructured formats • Uses sophisticated linguistic rules and statistical methods to evaluate text • Automatically determines keywords and topics, categorizes content, manages semantic terms, unearths sentiment and puts things in context • Visualization supports easy, perceptual inference of relationships that are otherwise more difficult to induce through typical tabular or graphically static formats • Real-Time analytics in healthcare support active knowledge systems which use patient data to improve coordination of care and outcomes 24
  25. 25. Big Data Capability Analysis 25
  26. 26. Value of Analytics • Advanced analytics provides opportunities for providers, facilities, insurers, and government entities to improve in the following areas:  Disease Intervention & Prevention  Care Coordination  Customer Service  Financial Risk Management  Fraud & Abuse  Operations  Health Care Reform 26
  27. 27. Healthcare Examples 27 Quality of Care Monitoring refills for discharged patients and developing intervention protocols Integration of admin data and EMRs to predict preventable conditions/diseases Identification of patients at higher risk for a fall Coordination of Care ER docsprepared for incoming patients with high severity Longitudinal treatment of returning nursing home Identification of patients most likely to adhere to a care plan Customer Service Understanding the unique drivers of patient satisfaction for your office Technologies and processes to involve caregivers Coordination of satisfaction measures for entire episodes of care Risk Managemet & Financial Performance Targeted marketing campaigns to reduce churn or defection Predictive analytics improving the ROI of care management programs Risk Adjustment Operations Evaluating alternative clinical pathways to individualize treatment Operational KPI control charts allowing for faster recognition and correction of problems Standardization of processes to collect and share data Fraud & Abuse Identification of ER frequent flyers Integration of consumer databases to identify fraud for subsidy eligibility Social network analysis to target members and providers abusing pain medications
  28. 28. Health Care Reform 28
  29. 29. Beyond the Frontier • Health Monitoring – sensors on pills, integrate scales with provider systems, swiping ID cards at gyms, etc. • Matching products on the exchange with other preferences for health-related products (Amazon-style) • Working with Health Concierge’s and Medical Advocates to control costs via personalized medicine • Optimizing operational performance and adopting technology- enabled process improvements • True Master Data Management and data quality across the enterprise – building a system of systems • Integrating with databases for consumer products (e.g. person is flagged with a gym membership gets a gift card from Dick’s) 29
  30. 30. Case Study – Patient Satisfaction KPI • Pediatric dental practice had extremely high web reviews but no internal patient satisfaction data • Instituted a survey mechanism for parents at the conclusion of each visit • First six months 98% of parents provided 4/5-star overall rating with a 40% responder rate • Initial efforts focused only on the dissatisfied 2% • Analytics showed 95% of those who responded (even if dissatisfied) kept their 6 month follow-up but only 61% of those who did not respond kept the appointment • Processes put in place to ‘touch’ non-responders in the time before the next visit • 92% of patients now keep their follow-up appointments 30
  31. 31. Case Study – Frequent Flyer Analysis • Predictive modeling can be used to identify members who are likely to utilize the ER more than three times per calendar year • Using demographic, medical claims, pharmacy claims, product and member-specific data we created models to identify members who are at a higher risk of becoming a frequent flyer • Three different advanced analytics models were developed • Concurrent • Same-year Intervention • Prospective • Prospective model correctly predicts roughly 69% of the Commercial frequent flyers • Potential claim cost savings to the health plan (ER only) from successfully intervening on only 10% of true positives estimated at $1.5M/year    31
  32. 32. Case Study – Predicting Type 2 Diabetics • Predictive modeling used to identify persons who are at increased risk for Type 2 • Model correctly predicts those who develop Type 2 in the next time period around 17% of the time in the Commercial (18-64) population and 19% of the time in the Medicare population 32
  33. 33. Polling Question  Rate your organization’s level of Big Data readiness in the area of Expertise with Big Data techniques (High, Medium, Low) 33
  34. 34. Polling Question  Rate your organization’s level of readiness in the area of Software/Hardware requirements for Big Data (High, Medium, Low) 34
  35. 35. Polling Question  Rate the skill level in your organization of employees who will need to be involved with Big Data projects (High, Medium, Low) 35
  36. 36. Polling Question  Rate the volume and quality of the data that is available to analytic units in your organization to implement a Big Data project (High, Medium, Low) 36
  37. 37. Recommended Priorities for Payors • Improving data operations to leverage existing ‘basic’ analytics more quickly • Effective data capture, improved data quality structures and data governance • Partnering with providers, manufacturers and government to implement monitoring and intervention programs supported by analytic frameworks 37
  38. 38. Recommended Priorities for Providers • Standardized and comprehensive data capture • Reinforce the culture of information sharing • Improving technology around clinical data • Improving technology around operations • Putting data to use in analytics to improve patient care and patient risk 38
  39. 39. Recommended Priorities for Manufacturers • Focus on payer and customer value by clearly establishing the true, total cost of care for a product • Incorporate output data as a function in all new products • Establishing systems to monitor product efficacy and safety • Collaboration throughout the entire healthcare system and with external partners to increase the rate of breakthrough scientific discoveries 39
  40. 40. Recommended Priorities for Government • Continue to support the adoption of EMRs • Support the integration of de-identified payer and provider data in cloud-based solutions • Fund researchers to run retrospective clinical trials that analyze real-world outcomes of highly touted technologies • Simplify processes around data for government programs to ensure program efficiency can be easily gauged 40
  41. 41. Recommended Priorities for Patients/Members • Look to better understand data and choices regarding care • Demand accurate security and storage of electronic health data and easier mechanisms to self-report • Understand that your personal health data can benefit everyone • Divulge information to providers regarding behavior and preferences that are not part of a patient record • Take part in trials and pilots 41
  42. 42. Limitations to Big Data & Analytics • Policy issues around privacy, security and liability in integrating the data pools across stakeholders • Time to implement – Lag between the labor and capital investments and productivity gains • Investment in IT is NOT big data • Industry – Payors may gain at the expense of providers • Cost for providers to implement EMRs • Shortage of Talent 42
  43. 43. Implementing Big Data & Analytics • Invest in talent & dedicate people to big data • Have analysts work collaboratively with IT • Develop cross-functional teams that understand data • Recognize that data is an engine for growth instead of a back-office function • Develop a process-orientation around data and analytics • Educate the public. Develop policies that balance the interests of insurers with public privacy concerns • Help providers to develop robust data infrastructures 43
  44. 44. 44 Questions?
  45. 45. Joseph Randazzo Senior Director, Healthcare Practice 45
  46. 46. 46

Notes de l'éditeur

  • Any discussion about analytics in healthcare needs to start with data
    Audience hand-raise poll…
    Who has heard about Big Data?
  • One septillion…had to look it up
    Google, Amazon, Apple and Facebook are the pioneers of Big Data and already understand the value of it for their business
  • All this stuff is interwoven into the concept of Big Data
    Requires a strategy
  • The major pools of big data that exist in healthcare today are currently poorly integrated with little or no overlap
    Its going to take a lot of work and it’s not easy, but the benefits of integrating this data are obvious and almost untapped
  • Reporting & Monitoring – EMRs; identifying patients misusing drugs; readmission rates; patient satisfaction
    Trending – healthcare businesses seem to worry about year-over-year and lack of long term trending distorts the picture
    Routine Analytics – Time Series analysis – New patients over time; Churn; Patients with certain conditions; Office utilization analysis; Brand/generic utilization
    Data Mining & Evaluation – Identifying patients with negative drug/drug interactions; evaluation of clinical pathways to determine a best course of action; Identifying patients with potential diseases that have been misdiagnosed/undiagnosed; performance evaluation of integrated care programs; Understanding the determinants of satisfaction and driving KPIs/visual dashboards
    Predictive modeling – predicting patients likely to frequent the ER; predicting patients/members likely to leave; risk adjustment; understanding the determinants of patient satisfaction;
    Visualization
  • Sometimes difficult to justify since you don’t see the rewards right away and you need to make a significant investment in time, capital and human resources
    80% is really 95% for initial model development
  • Axiom, unstructured data
    Supply of healthcare data is catching up to the demand
    Another interesting point is that many healthcare organizations, typically healthcare providers, don’t have data integration strategies and technology in place.  In many instances they are supporting data integration requirements using a hodgepodge of primitive technical approaches that don’t provide the ability to change those solutions around changing needs.  Worse, they don’t provide the security and the governance subsystems required to remain compliant with the changing regulations.
  • Cluster Analysis – identification of subpopulations of complex patients (multiple conditions) who may benefit from targeted care management campaigns
    Anomaly detection – Finding patients or providers engaging in fraudulent behavior
    Association mining – (Discharged, Same-Day Prescription)  PCP follow-up correlated with lower readmission rates; (Onset of T2 Diabetes, Socioeconomic=High, Personal Trainer)  rapid improvements
  • All of these modeling techniques really look to provide insight into variables that cause differences across values of the dependent variable
    Regression – predicting cost or utilization for a person or population based on a set of health factors; improving rates of central line infections across hospitals
    Logistic Regression – Frequent Flyers; Hospital readmissions for certain diseases; Members likely to leave/shop
    Decision trees – determining the appropriate clinical pathway for migraine sufferers; determining a person likely to respond to a marketing campaign
    Neural Network – determining those likely to adhere to a care plan
    • Clinical Simulation: simulation is mainly used to study certain diseases
    • Operational Simulation is mainly used for capturing, analyzing, and studying healthcare operations, service
    delivery, scheduling, healthcare business processes, and patient flow.
    • Educational Simulation is used for training and educational purposes, where virtual environments and virtual and physical
    objects are extensively used to depict reality
  • Neural Network – determining those likely to adhere to a care plan
    Simulation-
    • Clinical Simulation: simulation is mainly used to study certain diseases
    • Operational Simulation is mainly used for capturing, analyzing, and studying healthcare operations, service
    delivery, scheduling, healthcare business processes, and patient flow.
    • Educational Simulation is used for training and educational purposes, where virtual environments and virtual and physical
    objects are extensively used to depict reality
    Text/Web Analytics – unstructured data like clinical notes, survey data, social media
  • It’s not really next generation. It’s here, but just not being used extensively in healthcare
    Text/Web Analytics – unstructured data like clinical notes, survey data, social media
    Sentiment Analysis – understanding how different people understand/accept a diagnosis
    Visualization – Turning rows and columns of data into pictures and graphs that provide for much better holistic understanding to support faster decisions
    Real-time – Currently the most prevalent application for real-time health care analytics is within Clinical Decision Support (CDS) software. These programs analyze clinical information at the point of care and support health providers as they make prescriptive decisions. These real-time systems are active knowledge systems, which use two or more items of patient data to generate case-specific advice. Alerts in a pcp office when a patient has been admitted to the ER; real-time concussion data to sideline doctor’s; out of control claims for the week for a payor
    You can interpret customers' opinions, improve products, optimize services, streamline processes and make proactive, fact-based decisions.
  • Exchanges
    Understanding and adapting to the individual marketplace faster than the competition
    ACOs
    Integrating EMRs and patient registries to cost and utilization data to improve care
    Commercial Risk Adjustment
    Handling the size and complexity of data requirements and streamlining processes for submitting and receiving data
    ICD-10
    Adjusting to new requirements and analyzing disease information in a more robust way
  • 1/HIPPA, data security breaches, liability; Access to Data (Internal and External barriers). Liability – who is responsible when an inaccurate piece of data has a negative consequence?
    2/Dependent on Initial data infrastructure
    3/Must invest in IT (Technology, Storage and Computing Power) but must also recognize the need
    for IT to work collaboratively with Analytic functions (both learning/developing new skills and competencies)
    to capitalize on Big Data
    4/Supporting human decision making with analysis
    5/Some of this is already happening and if I can think of it, its possible and likely to happen
    6/ Example of Amy and Under Armour mouthpieces
  • Weighted average of active patients booked was around 74%...now it’s 89%! This equated to $82K in extra revenue for the practice
  • Improving data operations to leverage existing ‘basic’ analytics more quickly
    ACOs, episodes of care, leaver/stayer
    Isolating outliers – High cost members/groups, providers or facilities that are higher cost/lower quality
    Employer Group Reporting
    Effective data capture, improved data quality structures and data governance
    Defining critical fields that are value drivers for the plan and members
    Building clear analytical methods to evaluate expected member value/satisfaction and system performance
    Identification of processes that could be made more efficient through big data such as provider authorization, referrals, evaluation of claims accuracy, auto-adjudication of claims
    Partnering with providers, manufacturers and government to implement monitoring and intervention programs supported by analytic frameworks
    Identifying positive trends such as providers, groups, health conditions and patient types that have much lower than expected costs
    Not only looking to maximize risk adjustment revenue, but also identify people/conditions where costs are more avoidable
    Creating incentives for best-in-class providers
    Working proactively with poorly trending groups or individuals on health and wellness programs and incentives
  • Standardized and comprehensive data capture
    Drive continued adoption of EMR
    Develop a strategy to capture data from ‘Smart’ devices and integrate into a holistic view of a patient
    Participation in HIEs and data sharing partnerships with private institutions
    Reinforce the culture of information sharing
    Explain to patients why their information could not only help themselves but others
    Simplifying the technical barriers to sharing information with appropriate parties
    Improving technology around clinical data
    Designing data architecture and governance models to manage and share key clinical data
    Eliminating gaps in patient health histories; Longitudinal patient records
    Improving technology around operations
    Creating decision bodies with joint clinical and IT representation that are responsible for defining and prioritizing key data needs
    Putting data to use in analytics to improve patient care and patient risk
    Developing informatics talent and predictive analytic capabilities
    Incorporating data into decisions and pilot programs that improve the overall quality of care
    Focusing on outcomes based protocols that balance cost and quality
  • 1/HIPPA, data security breaches, liability; Access to Data (Internal and External barriers). Liability – who is responsible when an inaccurate piece of data has a negative consequence?
    2/Dependent on Initial data infrastructure
    3/Must invest in IT (Technology, Storage and Computing Power) but must also recognize the need
    for IT to work collaboratively with Analytic functions (both learning/developing new skills and competencies)
    to capitalize on Big Data
    4/Supporting human decision making with analysis
  • Move away from the notion that all data needs to be perfect. Advanced analysis and statistics supports strategy. It’s not used for reporting
    Develop cross-functional teams that understand data – how it is structured, where it exists, research into emerging sources, legacy system expertise, data quality, etc.

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