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A report by the Economist Intelligence Unit
Finding a level
playing field:
Models and frameworks
for policymaking in an
innovation-driven economy
Sponsored by
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20151
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
How do you
define a level
playing field?
The Economist
Intelligence Unit
convened an
advisory board to
discuss the impact
of innovation on
market fairness.
James Gattuso, senior
research fellow in regulatory
policy, Thomas A. Roe,
Institute for Economic Policy
Studies, The Heritage
Foundation
Minerva Tantoco, chief
technology officer,
New York City
Rory McDonald, assistant
professor of business
administration, Harvard
Business School
Jessika Trancik, assistant
professor of engineering
systems, Massachusetts
Institute of Technology
Rachel Haot, chief digital
officer, state of New York
James Gattuso: Most people look at the term [level
playing field] as referring to the competitors in the
market. And that concept of equality is not what we
want. It’s consumers that we want to really have the
benefits, and we want the focus of policy to be on them,
not on the competitors.
Minerva Tantoco: When I think about a level playing
field, I think more about the concept of fairness, that
everyone’s playing by the same rules, [which are] there
to protect the consumer, to collect taxes, to make sure
that the workers are protected.
Rory McDonald: You [don’t] want to have any market
participants that had privileged access or undue
influence on any sort of regulatory process. You want to
make sure that all companies have the ability and
motivation to pursue innovation.
Jessika Trancik: A level playing field in markets is one
that supports economic growth and also technology
innovation but at the same time protects certain basic
human rights associated with the environment, safety
and health.
Rachel Haot: I would define a level playing field in the
market as a scenario in which no participant has a
particular advantage over the others, that everyone is
working with the same resources and materials, and of
course one that’s protecting and supporting consumers
with choice and safety.
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20152
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
Executive summary 3
Introduction 5
Recasting the level playing field 7
Businesses’ level playing field 7
Consumers’ level playing field, and rise of the sharing economy 8
The regulator’s quandary 9
Chasing a moving target: Challenges for regulators today 10
Finding an edge in the zettabyte era 10
Regulatory inefficiencies and being late to the game 10
Fleeting internet monopolies and “thin” companies 11
Learning along the way: Models for balancing innovation and regulation 12
Broader policies and open channels 12
Learning the same language 12
Business as a trusted partner 13
Conclusion 15
Contents
1
2
3
4
5
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20153
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
Technological innovation is reshaping markets and
creating new opportunities for businesses at a
faster rate than at any other time in living memory.
But to realise the promise of greater economic
growth, incumbent businesses, challengers and the
policymakers who regulate them need to find a
balance that encourages fairness without either
stifling entrepreneurialism or compromising the
public interest.
Finding this balance has proven difficult for
businesses and industry regulators alike. For
businesses, the massive shift toward producing
digital rather than physical goods and services has
muddied the meaning of market fairness. As they
confront traditional incumbents, nimbler, digital-
first upstarts often walk a fine line between
pressing their competitive advantages and
over-stepping regulatory—and sometimes even
societal—norms. Policymakers, hindered by
bureaucratic processes built for an earlier time,
struggle to respond in a timely and effective way to
fast-evolving markets and continuous
technological disruption.
In order to build greater understanding of the
trade-offs at play in ensuring a level playing field,
this report explores the specific challenges that
regulators face when it comes to disruptors, and
explores workable models for increased
collaboration between the public and private
sectors.
Building a policy environment that ensures fair
competition, promotes innovation and safeguards
the public interest is no small task. But sparking a
dialogue can help. To capture a broad range of
perspectives, The Economist Intelligence Unit
(EIU) convened an advisory board composed of
subject-matter experts across industries, leading
academics and public officials to discuss the impact
of innovation on market fairness. The EIU also
conducted in-depth interviews with additional
experts.
We would like to take this opportunity to thank
the following advisory board members (marked
with an asterisk) and interviewees for their time
and valuable contribution to our research:
Peter Bryant, partner at Clareo Partners and senior
fellow, the Kellogg Innovation Network
Gregory Daniel, fellow in economic studies and
managing director for evidence development
and innovation, Center for Health Policy,
Brookings Institution
Brian Hearing, co-founder, Drone Shield
James Gattuso, senior research fellow in
regulatory policy, Thomas A. Roe Institute for
Economic Policy Studies, The Heritage
Foundation*
Tom Goodwin, senior vice-president of strategy
and innovation, Havas Media
Rachel Haot, chief digital officer, State of New
York*
Executive
summary
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20154
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
Barry Johnson, director of the division of
industrial innovation and partnerships of the
directorate for engineering, National Science
Foundation
Ken Lehn, professor of finance, Katz Graduate
School of Business, University of Pittsburgh*
Steven Leslie, managing editor, financial services,
The EIU*
Rory McDonald, assistant professor of business
administration, Harvard Business School*
Arun Sundararajan, professor and NEC faculty
fellow, New York University, Stern School of
Business*
Minerva Tantoco, chief technology officer, New
York City*
Astro Teller, head of Google X, Google, Inc.
Jessika Trancik, assistant professor of engineering
systems, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
(MIT)*
The advisory board’s panel discussions and
numerous other interviews with business leaders
and policymakers led us to the following key
findings on the nature of business today and what
constitutes a fair marketplace:
l	Regulators cannot keep up with the speed and
effects of technological change. Companies
continue to innovate at a torrid pace, but
regulatory frameworks evolve slowly and
incrementally. Sometimes they’re even backwards-
looking, solving yesterday’s problems rather than
tomorrow’s.
l	Many of today’s fastest-growing companies
are born out of regulatory inefficiencies. Using
technology to disrupt their industries with more
efficient solutions, they sometimes manoeuvre in
areas that regulations—often conceived many
decades ago—don’t clearly address. Unless
governments are staffed with tech-savvy
professionals, they will struggle to keep up with
the disruptors.
l	A level playing field must balance the
interests of business with those of consumers.
While disruptive innovators can deliver welcome
new products and services, without appropriate
regulatory oversight, these products and services
may not serve the public interest.
l	Technology is making it easier for businesses
to self-regulate, but doing this effectively
requires integrity. Through data gathering and
thoughtful user agreements, some digital
disruptors demonstrate an ability to assume
responsibilities previously handled exclusively by
government. However, abusive practices could
make regulators and the public more sceptical of
delegated solutions.
l	Broad and principles-based, rather than
prescriptive, regulation is the way forward. Given
how fast technology can evolve, policymakers
should strive to implement forward-looking, broad
regulations with clear intent. Doing so requires
open channels of communication between industry
and government.
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20155
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
On September 21st 2011, Google’s executive
chairman, Eric Schmidt (a member of the board of
The EIU’s parent company) sat in front of a US
Senate antitrust panel tasked with determining
whether Google favoured its own online
commercial offerings in its widely dominant search
engine. In response to the claims of
anticompetitive behaviour, he proclaimed: “The
internet is the ultimate level playing field.”
On the face of it, that is true. In the hyper-
competitive online space, users are just one click
away from a competitor’s offering. Seen through a
different lens, the advent of an age where
innovation and growth are largely driven by
information technology, has in some ways made it
easier for companies to achieve monopolistic
market positions (or nearly so). Paradoxically,
however, the information age enables upstarts to
achieve dominant market positions at what were
once unimaginable speeds, even as it has delivered
increased consumer choice and price competition.
Traditionally, market concentration caused exactly
the opposite effects.
Of course, innovation cuts both ways. Although
it’s easier than ever for an innovative company to
overtake a legacy competitor, defending that
position has never been harder. In 1960, the
average lifespan of companies in the S&P 500 was
60 years. Innosight, an innovation consulting firm,
expects this to decrease to less than 20 years by
2020. And according to Constellation Research, a
Silicon Valley research firm, it took Hilton Hotels
93 years to build an inventory of 600,000 rooms.
But Airbnb, a short-term apartment and room-
rental service, reached this figure in less than four,
simply by building an app that connects would-be
guests with available, unoccupied homes. The
seven-year-old company now has an “inventory” of
close to a million rooms around the globe—without
having built or purchased a single one of them.
Such companies excel at exploiting market
inefficiencies to bring greater access to more
people. But growth like this does not come without
scrutiny. As Airbnb has grown to provide
accommodation to over 25m people to date, the
company has met regulatory challenges in nearly
every new city it enters. Likewise, Google, whose
stated mission is “to organise the world’s
information and make it universally accessible and
useful”, has been investigated or formally charged
by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) for
anticompetitive behaviour eight times since 2007.
Innovative companies like these would argue
that they’re serving the public interest and
levelling the competitive playing field in their
respective industries. But others—especially the
objects of their disruption—are more likely to cry
foul, not least because the upstarts in many cases
seem to have done an end-run around existing
regulatory frameworks. Why, they ask, shouldn’t an
upstart like Airbnb have to follow the same rules as
traditional hotels? Part of the answer, or lack
thereof, is that regulations never anticipated the
existence of such business models.
Introduction
1
It took Hilton
Hotels 93 years to
build an inventory
of 600,000 rooms.
Airbnb reached
this figure in less
than four.
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20156
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
Regulators are under pressure to resolve a core
dilemma of the information age—how to promote
fair competition, encourage innovation and protect
consumers given how fast the business
environment is changing. To address this and
related questions, our paper will do the following:
l	Explore how the technology landscape both
enables new forms of competition and
challenges conventional ideas of what makes a
market fair;
l	Highlight the specific difficulties regulators face
in their approach to digital disruptors; and
l	Share successful models that will help
policymakers and those they regulate to move
beyond rhetoric towards constructive solutions.
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20157
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
Technology is the main source of competitive
advantage across many industries today. The
purely digital nature of many innovators means
they face relatively few barriers to entry, which
could include difficult access to key natural
resources, or the need to build large, costly
physical manufacturing centres and distribution
networks. Moreover, once a digital good or service
is developed, the marginal cost of producing and
distributing another—an additional “copy” of an
e-book or another user page on a social networking
platform—is often virtually zero.
As a result, these digital innovators can scale up
much faster, far more cheaply, and with far fewer
workers than ever before. But the ramifications for
market fairness are still unclear. “The capitalist
economy is built on innovation leading to
advantage,” notes Arun Sundararajan, a professor
at New York University’s Stern School of Business.
“It’s a question of, at what scale does that suppress
future innovation?”
The basic tenets of the level playing field—that
the same rules apply to everyone, that no
competitor should benefit from unfair advantages,
and that corporate interests should be carefully
balanced with those of the public—have not
changed significantly, even as technology has
transformed the competitive landscape.
Interpreting and applying these tenets, however, is
no longer as straightforward as it once was.
Businesses’ level playing field
Almost every instance of industry disruption elicits
at least a few howls of protest—sincere or
otherwise—from incumbents. By their reckoning, if
the success of a competitor’s innovation appears to
hinge even partially on taking advantage of out-of-
date regulations, then the incumbents must be at a
structural disadvantage; the playing field must be
tilted. But, seen from the perspective of the
innovators, as long as their game-changing activity
isn’t actually proscribed by extant rules—and
particularly if consumers prefer their offering to
incumbents’ version—then there’ no harm, no foul.
Regulators, caught in the middle, struggle to muster
a consistent response. Their challenge is either to
apply existing statutes to today’s technologies or to
come up with seminal new statutes—both of which
are extremely difficult tasks.
“If you work at or on behalf of a major US
technology company, there is a good chance that
you’ve come in contact with an Antitrust Division
investigation,” said Renata Hesse, deputy assistant
attorney-general in the antitrust division at the US
Department of Justice, to high-tech leaders in
January 2014. With so much upheaval in the
industry, this isn’t surprising. As Airbnb, to revisit
our earlier example, doubles in valuation year after
year, the hotel industry’s revenues are dropping.
According to a Credit Suisse report, Airbnb is
rapidly driving down hotel costs in New York
City—revenue from the city’s hotels fell 18.6% per
Recasting the level playing field
2
❛❛
The capitalist
economy is built
on innovation
leading to
advantage. It’s a
question of, at
what scale does
that suppress
future innovation?
❜❜
Arun Sundararajan,
professor and NEC faculty
fellow, New York University,
Stern School of Business
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20158
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
available room in 2014, thanks in large part to
apartment-sharing services.
Similarly, mobile-messaging services like
WhatsApp, which added 500m monthly users in just
five years since its founding, “are absolutely
cannibalizing the telecommunications market,”
says Tom Goodwin, senior vice-president of strategy
and innovation at Havas Media. So-called over-the-
top technologies like WhatsApp and Skype
essentially use existing carrier networks to provide
their own alternative instant messaging services.
“Cellular networks are potentially losing billions of
dollars in what could be revenue from SMS,” adds
Mr Goodwin. According to London-based research
firm Ovum, the global telecommunications industry
will lose $386bn between 2012 and 2018 due to
these internet voice and messaging applications.
Consumers’ level playing field, and
rise of the sharing economy
The effects of disruptive innovation raise questions
of fairness for consumers, too. “Most people look
at the term [level playing field] as referring to the
competitors in the market. And that concept of
equality is not what we want,” says James Gattuso,
senior research fellow in regulatory policy at the
Washington, DC-based Heritage Foundation. “It’s
consumers that we want to really have the benefits,
and we want the focus of policy to be on them, not
on the competitors.”
In some ways, the increasing speed of
innovation makes it more challenging to ensure
that consumers’ interests are being served. It took
36 years for 25% of the US population to use the
telephone since its invention in 1876. In that era,
regulators had ample time to observe and react to
the effects its adoption had on consumers. They no
longer have that luxury. By the same measure, it
took only 13 years for the mobile phone to catch on
and just three years for the tablet. Today, half of
the adult population worldwide owns a
smartphone. By 2020, 80% will.
Is increasing connectivity and the concomitant
shift from traditional commercial exchanges to
digital and oftentimes, peer-to-peer, ones working
in consumers’ favour? Given the speed at which it’s
happening and the borderless nature of tech
adoption, the answer isn’t clear.
Consider the advent of the “sharing” or
“collaborative” economy, which allows individuals
to leverage the power of technology to share goods
and services seamlessly. Rather than a traditional
business providing a product or service to a
customer, this democratisation of the marketplace
blurs the lines between personal and professional,
service provider and buyer, investor and customer,
just to name a few. Not only are middlemen at risk
of being disintermediated, regulators could be, too.
Such concerns continue to mount as the sharing
economy expands. Uber, perhaps the poster-child
of the sharing economy, has become infamous for
setting up shop in new cities and challenging
Amazon and how to own an e-book
Amazon, which started with the ambition to
be the world’s biggest book store, was not the
first e-book retailer, but it was the first sizeable
one. Existing copyright laws that define what
owners can or can’t do with a product had been
written with physical objects in mind—therefore
governing how and when customers could resell
the product. Once a customer sells a book, he or
she no longer owns it. But is this the same case
for e-books? The answer is: not quite.
As a consequence, Amazon came up with a
solution borrowed from the software industry.
Facing a similar dilemma of selling digital
products to a market that was accustomed to the
exchange of physical goods, software companies
in the 1980s used a licensing contract to govern
the selling and reselling of shrink-wrapped
software. Today, the “ownership” of an e-book is
basically a licensing agreement.
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20159
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
existing regulatory frameworks while fending off
challenges from the taxi industry. Many would
argue that the playing field is often tilted in favour
of the taxi lobbies to the detriment of passengers,
and that upstarts’ presence helps correct the
situation. Yet, while Uber itself “employs” over
160,000 drivers (or “driver-partners” as the
company carefully calls them in a white paper by the
company’s policy research team in January 2015), it
does not provide health insurance or similar
benefits, even though nearly 40% of these drivers
have no other jobs. And while the company’s
success is a clear indication of the high demand of
these “personal drivers,” recent newspaper
headlines also point out instances of rogue Uber
drivers misbehaving around the world. “Uber has
the best of both worlds today,” Mr Goodwin says.
“They’re an employer and can say that they create
jobs. At the same time, they’re a traditional
business that creates a lot of revenue. In retrospect,
there should be more rules around employment.”
The regulator’s quandary
Regulators are poorly positioned to anticipate
disruptive innovations, and reacting effectively to
such rapid changes has proven almost as great a
challenge. Amid competing mandates from
upstarts, incumbent businesses and consumers,
regulators must adapt, or they’ll find it increasingly
difficult to ensure a level playing field for each of
these constituents. Adapting, of course, is easier
said than done—especially when entire industries
can change in what seems like the blink of an eye.
Fortunately, some of the very forces that have
confounded regulators offer the promise of a
workable solution.
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201510
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
As we’ve seen, rules to help ensure fair competition
and protect the public interest are caught between
the old and the new. As the pace of innovation
gathers speed, it’s in many ways becoming more
difficult for regulators to do their job. At the heart
of the challenge lies the explosion of data, and its
increasing centrality in commercial and consumer
interactions. “As innovators come up with more
creative approaches to new technologies,” Astro
Teller, head of Google X, the company’s home for
experimental projects, says to The EIU, “this drives
up both the rate of change and the overall demand
for things to be regulated, creating challenging
conditions for policymakers.”
Finding an edge in the zettabyte era
The benefits of ubiquitous digitisation to both
business and society are clear. The free flow of
information boosts economic growth and
improves products and services for consumers. In
2012, IDC, a technology research firm, estimated
that there were 2.7 zettabytes (2.7 x 1021
bytes)
of data generated, which is double the amount
generated in 2011. This figure is expected to
reach 44 zettabytes in 2020. The volume and
velocity of data are increasing exponentially—and
with it, its uses.
Amazon, for example, has built up its dominant
market position by analysing huge amounts of user
data to sell products more effectively—a benefit
less data-savvy competitors, or those with fewer
resources, could not reasonably replicate.
Competitive advantages like these can be
controversial, not only for reasons of consumer
privacy, but because access to such information is
often unevenly distributed. Any attempts to curb
these proprietary information advantages in the
name of preserving competition will, however,
require careful deliberation.
“If we want people to have incentives to gather
data and create new products with that data, we
have to assume that people are going to have
unequal access to that information,” explains
Professor McDonald. “When we can try to get an
information edge, it allows us to develop our
business or release our products in a way that’s
better than competitors.”
For Mr Gattuso, “it goes back to the issue of
fairness. Is it more important that everyone has
access to the same information or has less
information out there in the marketplace?” he
asks. “The number one rule is that information is
good, and you want it to be circulating.”
Regulatory inefficiencies and being
late to the game
Innovators aren’t waiting for regulators to set new
rules. In fact, many digital disruptors were born
out of regulatory inefficiencies, experimenting with
ideas that the regulators of yesteryear could not
have foreseen. And once their idea takes hold in
the marketplace, regulators must cope and react.
Perhaps no industry demonstrates this dynamic
as well as peer-to-peer or peer-to-business lending
platforms such as Lending Club, Prosper and
Funding Circle, which match investors with small-
loan borrowers, typically at better interest rates (for
both buyers and sellers) than traditional bank
Chasing a moving target: Challenges
for regulators today3
❛❛
As innovators
come up with
more creative
approaches to
new technologies,
this drives up both
the rate of change
and the overall
demand for things
to be regulated...
❜❜
Astro Teller,
head of Google X, Google, Inc
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201511
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
lending provides. Following the 2008 financial crisis
and the tightening of borrowing regulations that
followed, the peer-to-peer lending model grew
quickly as a cost-effective and easy alternative. By
2014, US consumer-lending platforms facilitated
more than $8.8bn in loans (projected to rise to
$20bn by end-2015). 100 platforms now vie for
slivers of the trillion-dollar consumer-credit market
that have, until recently, been the reserve of
traditional banks.
Similarly, “Uber came out of loopholes in the taxi
industry and Airbnb with the hotel industry,” says
Mr Goodwin. Uber has found a way to allow virtually
anyone with a driver’s licence and a car to operate
what’s essentially a taxi, and Airbnb looked beyond
expensive hotel properties to a wide-open market
of ordinary people’s not-always-occupied homes.
“These companies are ruthlessly exploring
loopholes. They are built by very smart people who
understand technology, and unless government is
equally equipped with smart, tech-savvy people,
markets are already hacking themselves.”
Our panellists agree that for policymakers, this
means playing catch up: “In part, the government
wants to get ahead of [regulatory challenges] and
we know the sector is important,” says Rachel Haot,
chief digital officer of New York state. “The market is
so powerful—especially with all these technologies,
we hear it [in] the public sector—that it becomes
unavoidable. The power dynamics are shifting in
general and we’re seeing that everywhere.”
Fleeting internet monopolies and
“thin” companies
With the competitive landscape skewing towards a
“winner take all” approach, successful digital
companies are naturally prone to dominant market
positions, as we’ve seen. Yet in the last decade, this
new crop of quasi-monopolies has proven to be
different from traditional monopolies in several ways.
First, they can easily operate two-sided markets,
where companies have two distinct user groups
that provide each other with benefits—leaving
regulators with a complicated task of constantly
overseeing more than one market. For example,
Facebook operates a business for two groups. For
the online public, the company has been the most
dominant social networking site worldwide since
2010. Meanwhile, as an advertising platform, the
company occupies only 5% of the global digital
advertising market, by revenue.
In addition, despite innovative value
propositions, digital, online companies like Uber,
Lyft and Airbnb “are very ‘thin’—they don’t have
unique assets, or unique software. They’re an app,
an API, a brand name and distribution,” says
Mr Goodwin. “They own so little and therefore
remove themselves from regulatory oversight
easily.” According to Rory McDonald, assistant
professor of business administration at Harvard
Business School, upstarts, more agile than larger
companies, “can also change their businesses in
real time to move away from regulations that may
be overly onerous for them.”
Lastly, with typically low barriers to entry, the
competitive landscape can turn overnight. Finding
itself challenged to keep ahead of changing user
behaviour, Facebook, the world’s most popular
social networking platform, made its biggest
acquisition at the time, acquiring the two-year-old,
steadily growing photo-sharing application
Instagram for $1bn. Luckily for Facebook, 26% of
Americans on the internet use Instagram today,
and “hockey-stick” growth came in April 2012,
when the number of users doubled in just four
short months after its acquisition.
In a post-event analysis of FTC’s antitrust case
against Google, in which the agency dropped its
charges after the company agreed to voluntary
changes in its practices, Geoffrey Manne and
William Rinehart researchers from the
International Centre for Law & Economics, a
think-tank, warned against treating digital
monopolies the same as traditional monopolies.
Referring to the Department of Justice’s landmark
antitrust case against Microsoft’s dominance on
operating systems, they wrote in a law review
journal: “We’ve been here before in the relatively
short history of high-tech antitrust. Microsoft’s
market position was unassailable...until it wasn’t.
Even at the time, many could have told you that its
perceived dominance was fleeting, as many did.”
❛❛
These companies
[like Uber and
Airbnb] are
ruthlessly
exploring
loopholes. They
are built by very
smart people who
understand
technology...
❜❜
Tom Goodwin,
senior vice-president of
strategy and innovation,
Havas Media
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201512
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
As long as innovation continues to transform
business at breakneck speed, regulators need to
rethink their strategies to ensure a level playing
field and protect public interest. Our research and
discussion with the advisory board members
suggest that regulators achieve the best results
when they show the same nimbleness as innovators
and embrace digital solutions themselves.
Broader policies and open channels
It’s impossible—and undesirable for all
concerned—for regulators to update or create new
laws around every new technology or upstart. In
this environment, policies need to be broad
enough to accommodate future innovation, but
have clear enough intent to adequately guide
expectations and enforcement.
For instance, governments around the world are
rushing to clarify existing policies to address the
advent of 3D-printed guns. Part of regulators’
challenge is to issue rules that won’t inadvertently
create loopholes for a subsequent generation of
innovators. In the US, regulators recently found
themselves wrestling with the emergence of
organisations like Defense Distributed, which
planned to make 3D-printed gun schematics
available to anyone on the internet. In response,
lawmakers extended the duration the Undetectable
Firearms Act, which prohibits weapons that can
evade metal detectors, for 10 years as well as
updating some of its details around how to define
such weapons.
Often, instead of constantly reacting with
“micro-regulations,” finding a balance comes down
to creating flexible policies that promote fair play
and the public interest, regardless of how
industries transform. “Even in the new context
where new business models are created, or it’s a
new way to deliver a service in an existing industry,
the intentions of the regulation still hold,” argues
Minerva Tantoco, chief technology officer of New
York City. “We’ve seen how technology makes
markets more efficient, competitive, and allows
new entrants into the field, but do not lose track of
what the laws are meant to enforce.”
Learning the same language
Hiring additional technical subject-matter experts
can help government agencies keep abreast of
change in industry. “Where I’ve seen success is
where there’s a two-way dialogue between the
businesses trying to set up and the regulator that’s
in charge of that,” Ms Tantoco adds.
According to CQ Roll Call, a US politics
publication (and sister company of The EIU), only
10% of members in the 113th Congress (serving in
2013 and 2014), had a science or technology
background. There is a general lack of expertise
when it comes to building policies that address
newer technologies, such as those around genetic
sequencing diagnostics and modern systems for
data collection, explains Gregory Daniel, managing
director for evidence development and innovation
at the Brookings Institution, a think-tank based in
Washington, DC. Government is beginning to catch
up, though. The Food and Drug Administration
Learning along the way: Models for
balancing innovation and regulation4
❛❛
We’ve seen how
technology makes
markets more
efficient,
competitive, and
allows new
entrants into the
field, but do not
lose track of what
the laws are
meant to enforce.
❜❜
Minerva Tantoco,
chief technology officer,
New York City
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201513
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
(FDA), for example, is asking Congress to expand
the agency’s budget in order to hire people with
greater technical expertise.
And by drawing on the expertise of the more
tech-literate, regulators can also “track how
technologies are performing right now in terms of
benefit to society,” says Jessika Trancik, assistant
professor of engineering systems at MIT.
To do this, some government departments,
including the Department of Energy, Department of
Homeland Security and Department of Defence, are
leveraging the Advanced Research Projects Agency
(ARPA) model, composed of engineers, developers,
and tech futurists to work hand-in-hand with
policymakers to add technical proficiency to the
regulatory process. Many agencies are also
participating in the Intergovernmental Personnel
Act, a federal mobility programme that encourages
agencies to loan out skilled personnel to other
agencies. And most recently, the US Digital
Service, formed in 2014 after the disappointing
launch of healthcare.gov, is rapidly hiring top tech
talent to bring government services into the
digital era.
“Technology is changing so fast. Adoption is
growing exponentially, and we are all connected by
networks. So many more exponential changes are
coming,” says Mr Goodwin. “Government agencies
must be properly staffed to deal with this.”
Business as a trusted partner
Many regulatory issues in the digital space beg for
delegated solutions, where large stakeholders
other than government (ie, consumers and
businesses) participate actively in rulemaking and
enforcement.
Digital businesses frequently serve as quasi-
regulatory intermediaries or ensure fairness in
their own marketplaces through incentive
structures and user agreements. Such businesses
are often in a better position than the government
to act as referees, given their strict control of user
channels and data. This practice is especially
prevalent in the sharing economy, where on-
demand car services Lyft and Uber, for example,
collect feedback directly from users to incentivise
drivers to offer good service. And Airbnb has been
able to assuage some regulatory concerns by
collecting occupancy tax on behalf of its users in a
handful of US cities. The fact that it captures
accurate occupancy data through its app is, in fact,
what allows it to make the case for a greater degree
of self-regulation.
As the relationships among businesses,
consumers and regulators evolve, it is becoming
clear that the technology and data underlying so
much friction can actually help each party find
solutions. The commercial drone industry is a case
in point. Following a near-ban on all commercial
What are self-regulatory organisations?
❛❛
[Companies]
should be part of
the regulatory
solution. They
should be
involved as actors
in the provision of
making the
markets work
better.
❜❜
Arun Sundararajan,
professor and NEC faculty
fellow, New York University,
Stern School of Business
Self-regulatory organisations (SROs) exercise
authority over a specialised group or industry.
Their roots date back to the communal farming-
and-grazing byelaws that protected land in
13th-century Europe, but they are just as
prevalent in today’s world. Contemporary
examples of SROs include the Chartered Financial
Analyst Institute, which sets high ethical and
professional responsibilities in finance, or the
American Bar Association, which does so in
law. Some government agencies heavily rely on
SROs to oversee complex markets, such as the
Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA),
which is charged by the Securities and Exchange
Commission to set and enforce regulations that
protect investors and promote fair markets.
Depending on context and varying widely in
stakeholders’ involvement, SROs are typically
privately held and serve the purpose of policing
an industry (rather than a trade organisation
that serves to promote the well-being of an
industry).
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201514
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
drones, the Federal Aviation Agency issued an
interim policy in March 2015 governing the use of
small commercial drones for approved companies
as long as the drones fly under 200 feet. Critically,
these companies were able to show that
technology such as GPS-based flight path software
could help address the safety concerns of
regulators, airlines and the general public. As of
the end of April 2015, more than 150 companies
had been granted permission to field commercial
drones, with hundreds more waiting to test drone
applications in agriculture, data collection,
construction and other fields.
Regulatory oversight for the sake of public
safety, especially in industries like air travel, food
and drugs, is critical. But as businesses
increasingly control marketplaces through digital
means, regulators and businesses themselves can
benefit from shared interests, leading to more
partnerships and greater collaboration: “To me,
[companies] should be a part of the regulatory
solution,” says Professor Sundararajan. “They
should be involved as actors in the provision of
making the markets work better.”
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201515
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
Even the most aggressive disruptors would agree
that some form of regulation will always be
necessary in order to ensure fair competition and
safeguard the public interest. And though
policymakers continue to struggle to accommodate
the effects of disruptive innovation, a workable
path forward is becoming clear.
Just as innovators are disrupting industries,
regulators, working in close partnership with
businesses and consumers, need to refresh their
approach to rulemaking. Crafting future-proofed
regulations may seem more difficult than simply
continuing to react with prescriptive regulation,
but the results are likely to be more effective for all
concerned.
Representing many different points of view, our
panel participants observe trade-offs at play as
regulators aim to ensure fair and open markets for
both innovators and incumbents while protecting
public interest. They universally acknowledge that
no single set of rules can address or anticipate the
fast-changing needs for oversight. Instead, they
advocate broad, principles-based and forward-
looking policymaking, which they believe will hold
relevance even as further innovations inevitably
arrive. Of course, such an approach will only be
possible through collaboration with a cooperative
private sector and an increased capacity on
policymakers’ part to embrace new technology.
To Rachel Haot, chief digital officer of the state
of New York, the possibility of greater collaboration
is not far off: “What we find is that at the beginning
government and [innovators] may feel like they’re
speaking different languages. But they do have
common aims. They do have a desire to impact the
public, very often to improve the world in some
way, and by working together we can achieve a lot
more.”
Conclusion
5
© The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201516
Finding a level playing field:
Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy
Whilst every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this
information, neither The Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd. nor the
sponsor of this report can accept any responsibility or liability
for reliance by any person on this white paper or any of the
information, opinions or conclusions set out in the white paper.
Cover:Shutterstock
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London
E14 4QW
United Kingdom
Tel: (44.20) 7576 8000
Fax: (44.20) 7576 8476
E-mail: london@eiu.com
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New York, NY 10017
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Finding a level playing field

  • 1. A report by the Economist Intelligence Unit Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy Sponsored by
  • 2. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20151 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy How do you define a level playing field? The Economist Intelligence Unit convened an advisory board to discuss the impact of innovation on market fairness. James Gattuso, senior research fellow in regulatory policy, Thomas A. Roe, Institute for Economic Policy Studies, The Heritage Foundation Minerva Tantoco, chief technology officer, New York City Rory McDonald, assistant professor of business administration, Harvard Business School Jessika Trancik, assistant professor of engineering systems, Massachusetts Institute of Technology Rachel Haot, chief digital officer, state of New York James Gattuso: Most people look at the term [level playing field] as referring to the competitors in the market. And that concept of equality is not what we want. It’s consumers that we want to really have the benefits, and we want the focus of policy to be on them, not on the competitors. Minerva Tantoco: When I think about a level playing field, I think more about the concept of fairness, that everyone’s playing by the same rules, [which are] there to protect the consumer, to collect taxes, to make sure that the workers are protected. Rory McDonald: You [don’t] want to have any market participants that had privileged access or undue influence on any sort of regulatory process. You want to make sure that all companies have the ability and motivation to pursue innovation. Jessika Trancik: A level playing field in markets is one that supports economic growth and also technology innovation but at the same time protects certain basic human rights associated with the environment, safety and health. Rachel Haot: I would define a level playing field in the market as a scenario in which no participant has a particular advantage over the others, that everyone is working with the same resources and materials, and of course one that’s protecting and supporting consumers with choice and safety.
  • 3. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20152 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy Executive summary 3 Introduction 5 Recasting the level playing field 7 Businesses’ level playing field 7 Consumers’ level playing field, and rise of the sharing economy 8 The regulator’s quandary 9 Chasing a moving target: Challenges for regulators today 10 Finding an edge in the zettabyte era 10 Regulatory inefficiencies and being late to the game 10 Fleeting internet monopolies and “thin” companies 11 Learning along the way: Models for balancing innovation and regulation 12 Broader policies and open channels 12 Learning the same language 12 Business as a trusted partner 13 Conclusion 15 Contents 1 2 3 4 5
  • 4. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20153 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy Technological innovation is reshaping markets and creating new opportunities for businesses at a faster rate than at any other time in living memory. But to realise the promise of greater economic growth, incumbent businesses, challengers and the policymakers who regulate them need to find a balance that encourages fairness without either stifling entrepreneurialism or compromising the public interest. Finding this balance has proven difficult for businesses and industry regulators alike. For businesses, the massive shift toward producing digital rather than physical goods and services has muddied the meaning of market fairness. As they confront traditional incumbents, nimbler, digital- first upstarts often walk a fine line between pressing their competitive advantages and over-stepping regulatory—and sometimes even societal—norms. Policymakers, hindered by bureaucratic processes built for an earlier time, struggle to respond in a timely and effective way to fast-evolving markets and continuous technological disruption. In order to build greater understanding of the trade-offs at play in ensuring a level playing field, this report explores the specific challenges that regulators face when it comes to disruptors, and explores workable models for increased collaboration between the public and private sectors. Building a policy environment that ensures fair competition, promotes innovation and safeguards the public interest is no small task. But sparking a dialogue can help. To capture a broad range of perspectives, The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) convened an advisory board composed of subject-matter experts across industries, leading academics and public officials to discuss the impact of innovation on market fairness. The EIU also conducted in-depth interviews with additional experts. We would like to take this opportunity to thank the following advisory board members (marked with an asterisk) and interviewees for their time and valuable contribution to our research: Peter Bryant, partner at Clareo Partners and senior fellow, the Kellogg Innovation Network Gregory Daniel, fellow in economic studies and managing director for evidence development and innovation, Center for Health Policy, Brookings Institution Brian Hearing, co-founder, Drone Shield James Gattuso, senior research fellow in regulatory policy, Thomas A. Roe Institute for Economic Policy Studies, The Heritage Foundation* Tom Goodwin, senior vice-president of strategy and innovation, Havas Media Rachel Haot, chief digital officer, State of New York* Executive summary
  • 5. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20154 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy Barry Johnson, director of the division of industrial innovation and partnerships of the directorate for engineering, National Science Foundation Ken Lehn, professor of finance, Katz Graduate School of Business, University of Pittsburgh* Steven Leslie, managing editor, financial services, The EIU* Rory McDonald, assistant professor of business administration, Harvard Business School* Arun Sundararajan, professor and NEC faculty fellow, New York University, Stern School of Business* Minerva Tantoco, chief technology officer, New York City* Astro Teller, head of Google X, Google, Inc. Jessika Trancik, assistant professor of engineering systems, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)* The advisory board’s panel discussions and numerous other interviews with business leaders and policymakers led us to the following key findings on the nature of business today and what constitutes a fair marketplace: l Regulators cannot keep up with the speed and effects of technological change. Companies continue to innovate at a torrid pace, but regulatory frameworks evolve slowly and incrementally. Sometimes they’re even backwards- looking, solving yesterday’s problems rather than tomorrow’s. l Many of today’s fastest-growing companies are born out of regulatory inefficiencies. Using technology to disrupt their industries with more efficient solutions, they sometimes manoeuvre in areas that regulations—often conceived many decades ago—don’t clearly address. Unless governments are staffed with tech-savvy professionals, they will struggle to keep up with the disruptors. l A level playing field must balance the interests of business with those of consumers. While disruptive innovators can deliver welcome new products and services, without appropriate regulatory oversight, these products and services may not serve the public interest. l Technology is making it easier for businesses to self-regulate, but doing this effectively requires integrity. Through data gathering and thoughtful user agreements, some digital disruptors demonstrate an ability to assume responsibilities previously handled exclusively by government. However, abusive practices could make regulators and the public more sceptical of delegated solutions. l Broad and principles-based, rather than prescriptive, regulation is the way forward. Given how fast technology can evolve, policymakers should strive to implement forward-looking, broad regulations with clear intent. Doing so requires open channels of communication between industry and government.
  • 6. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20155 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy On September 21st 2011, Google’s executive chairman, Eric Schmidt (a member of the board of The EIU’s parent company) sat in front of a US Senate antitrust panel tasked with determining whether Google favoured its own online commercial offerings in its widely dominant search engine. In response to the claims of anticompetitive behaviour, he proclaimed: “The internet is the ultimate level playing field.” On the face of it, that is true. In the hyper- competitive online space, users are just one click away from a competitor’s offering. Seen through a different lens, the advent of an age where innovation and growth are largely driven by information technology, has in some ways made it easier for companies to achieve monopolistic market positions (or nearly so). Paradoxically, however, the information age enables upstarts to achieve dominant market positions at what were once unimaginable speeds, even as it has delivered increased consumer choice and price competition. Traditionally, market concentration caused exactly the opposite effects. Of course, innovation cuts both ways. Although it’s easier than ever for an innovative company to overtake a legacy competitor, defending that position has never been harder. In 1960, the average lifespan of companies in the S&P 500 was 60 years. Innosight, an innovation consulting firm, expects this to decrease to less than 20 years by 2020. And according to Constellation Research, a Silicon Valley research firm, it took Hilton Hotels 93 years to build an inventory of 600,000 rooms. But Airbnb, a short-term apartment and room- rental service, reached this figure in less than four, simply by building an app that connects would-be guests with available, unoccupied homes. The seven-year-old company now has an “inventory” of close to a million rooms around the globe—without having built or purchased a single one of them. Such companies excel at exploiting market inefficiencies to bring greater access to more people. But growth like this does not come without scrutiny. As Airbnb has grown to provide accommodation to over 25m people to date, the company has met regulatory challenges in nearly every new city it enters. Likewise, Google, whose stated mission is “to organise the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful”, has been investigated or formally charged by the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) for anticompetitive behaviour eight times since 2007. Innovative companies like these would argue that they’re serving the public interest and levelling the competitive playing field in their respective industries. But others—especially the objects of their disruption—are more likely to cry foul, not least because the upstarts in many cases seem to have done an end-run around existing regulatory frameworks. Why, they ask, shouldn’t an upstart like Airbnb have to follow the same rules as traditional hotels? Part of the answer, or lack thereof, is that regulations never anticipated the existence of such business models. Introduction 1 It took Hilton Hotels 93 years to build an inventory of 600,000 rooms. Airbnb reached this figure in less than four.
  • 7. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20156 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy Regulators are under pressure to resolve a core dilemma of the information age—how to promote fair competition, encourage innovation and protect consumers given how fast the business environment is changing. To address this and related questions, our paper will do the following: l Explore how the technology landscape both enables new forms of competition and challenges conventional ideas of what makes a market fair; l Highlight the specific difficulties regulators face in their approach to digital disruptors; and l Share successful models that will help policymakers and those they regulate to move beyond rhetoric towards constructive solutions.
  • 8. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20157 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy Technology is the main source of competitive advantage across many industries today. The purely digital nature of many innovators means they face relatively few barriers to entry, which could include difficult access to key natural resources, or the need to build large, costly physical manufacturing centres and distribution networks. Moreover, once a digital good or service is developed, the marginal cost of producing and distributing another—an additional “copy” of an e-book or another user page on a social networking platform—is often virtually zero. As a result, these digital innovators can scale up much faster, far more cheaply, and with far fewer workers than ever before. But the ramifications for market fairness are still unclear. “The capitalist economy is built on innovation leading to advantage,” notes Arun Sundararajan, a professor at New York University’s Stern School of Business. “It’s a question of, at what scale does that suppress future innovation?” The basic tenets of the level playing field—that the same rules apply to everyone, that no competitor should benefit from unfair advantages, and that corporate interests should be carefully balanced with those of the public—have not changed significantly, even as technology has transformed the competitive landscape. Interpreting and applying these tenets, however, is no longer as straightforward as it once was. Businesses’ level playing field Almost every instance of industry disruption elicits at least a few howls of protest—sincere or otherwise—from incumbents. By their reckoning, if the success of a competitor’s innovation appears to hinge even partially on taking advantage of out-of- date regulations, then the incumbents must be at a structural disadvantage; the playing field must be tilted. But, seen from the perspective of the innovators, as long as their game-changing activity isn’t actually proscribed by extant rules—and particularly if consumers prefer their offering to incumbents’ version—then there’ no harm, no foul. Regulators, caught in the middle, struggle to muster a consistent response. Their challenge is either to apply existing statutes to today’s technologies or to come up with seminal new statutes—both of which are extremely difficult tasks. “If you work at or on behalf of a major US technology company, there is a good chance that you’ve come in contact with an Antitrust Division investigation,” said Renata Hesse, deputy assistant attorney-general in the antitrust division at the US Department of Justice, to high-tech leaders in January 2014. With so much upheaval in the industry, this isn’t surprising. As Airbnb, to revisit our earlier example, doubles in valuation year after year, the hotel industry’s revenues are dropping. According to a Credit Suisse report, Airbnb is rapidly driving down hotel costs in New York City—revenue from the city’s hotels fell 18.6% per Recasting the level playing field 2 ❛❛ The capitalist economy is built on innovation leading to advantage. It’s a question of, at what scale does that suppress future innovation? ❜❜ Arun Sundararajan, professor and NEC faculty fellow, New York University, Stern School of Business
  • 9. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20158 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy available room in 2014, thanks in large part to apartment-sharing services. Similarly, mobile-messaging services like WhatsApp, which added 500m monthly users in just five years since its founding, “are absolutely cannibalizing the telecommunications market,” says Tom Goodwin, senior vice-president of strategy and innovation at Havas Media. So-called over-the- top technologies like WhatsApp and Skype essentially use existing carrier networks to provide their own alternative instant messaging services. “Cellular networks are potentially losing billions of dollars in what could be revenue from SMS,” adds Mr Goodwin. According to London-based research firm Ovum, the global telecommunications industry will lose $386bn between 2012 and 2018 due to these internet voice and messaging applications. Consumers’ level playing field, and rise of the sharing economy The effects of disruptive innovation raise questions of fairness for consumers, too. “Most people look at the term [level playing field] as referring to the competitors in the market. And that concept of equality is not what we want,” says James Gattuso, senior research fellow in regulatory policy at the Washington, DC-based Heritage Foundation. “It’s consumers that we want to really have the benefits, and we want the focus of policy to be on them, not on the competitors.” In some ways, the increasing speed of innovation makes it more challenging to ensure that consumers’ interests are being served. It took 36 years for 25% of the US population to use the telephone since its invention in 1876. In that era, regulators had ample time to observe and react to the effects its adoption had on consumers. They no longer have that luxury. By the same measure, it took only 13 years for the mobile phone to catch on and just three years for the tablet. Today, half of the adult population worldwide owns a smartphone. By 2020, 80% will. Is increasing connectivity and the concomitant shift from traditional commercial exchanges to digital and oftentimes, peer-to-peer, ones working in consumers’ favour? Given the speed at which it’s happening and the borderless nature of tech adoption, the answer isn’t clear. Consider the advent of the “sharing” or “collaborative” economy, which allows individuals to leverage the power of technology to share goods and services seamlessly. Rather than a traditional business providing a product or service to a customer, this democratisation of the marketplace blurs the lines between personal and professional, service provider and buyer, investor and customer, just to name a few. Not only are middlemen at risk of being disintermediated, regulators could be, too. Such concerns continue to mount as the sharing economy expands. Uber, perhaps the poster-child of the sharing economy, has become infamous for setting up shop in new cities and challenging Amazon and how to own an e-book Amazon, which started with the ambition to be the world’s biggest book store, was not the first e-book retailer, but it was the first sizeable one. Existing copyright laws that define what owners can or can’t do with a product had been written with physical objects in mind—therefore governing how and when customers could resell the product. Once a customer sells a book, he or she no longer owns it. But is this the same case for e-books? The answer is: not quite. As a consequence, Amazon came up with a solution borrowed from the software industry. Facing a similar dilemma of selling digital products to a market that was accustomed to the exchange of physical goods, software companies in the 1980s used a licensing contract to govern the selling and reselling of shrink-wrapped software. Today, the “ownership” of an e-book is basically a licensing agreement.
  • 10. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 20159 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy existing regulatory frameworks while fending off challenges from the taxi industry. Many would argue that the playing field is often tilted in favour of the taxi lobbies to the detriment of passengers, and that upstarts’ presence helps correct the situation. Yet, while Uber itself “employs” over 160,000 drivers (or “driver-partners” as the company carefully calls them in a white paper by the company’s policy research team in January 2015), it does not provide health insurance or similar benefits, even though nearly 40% of these drivers have no other jobs. And while the company’s success is a clear indication of the high demand of these “personal drivers,” recent newspaper headlines also point out instances of rogue Uber drivers misbehaving around the world. “Uber has the best of both worlds today,” Mr Goodwin says. “They’re an employer and can say that they create jobs. At the same time, they’re a traditional business that creates a lot of revenue. In retrospect, there should be more rules around employment.” The regulator’s quandary Regulators are poorly positioned to anticipate disruptive innovations, and reacting effectively to such rapid changes has proven almost as great a challenge. Amid competing mandates from upstarts, incumbent businesses and consumers, regulators must adapt, or they’ll find it increasingly difficult to ensure a level playing field for each of these constituents. Adapting, of course, is easier said than done—especially when entire industries can change in what seems like the blink of an eye. Fortunately, some of the very forces that have confounded regulators offer the promise of a workable solution.
  • 11. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201510 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy As we’ve seen, rules to help ensure fair competition and protect the public interest are caught between the old and the new. As the pace of innovation gathers speed, it’s in many ways becoming more difficult for regulators to do their job. At the heart of the challenge lies the explosion of data, and its increasing centrality in commercial and consumer interactions. “As innovators come up with more creative approaches to new technologies,” Astro Teller, head of Google X, the company’s home for experimental projects, says to The EIU, “this drives up both the rate of change and the overall demand for things to be regulated, creating challenging conditions for policymakers.” Finding an edge in the zettabyte era The benefits of ubiquitous digitisation to both business and society are clear. The free flow of information boosts economic growth and improves products and services for consumers. In 2012, IDC, a technology research firm, estimated that there were 2.7 zettabytes (2.7 x 1021 bytes) of data generated, which is double the amount generated in 2011. This figure is expected to reach 44 zettabytes in 2020. The volume and velocity of data are increasing exponentially—and with it, its uses. Amazon, for example, has built up its dominant market position by analysing huge amounts of user data to sell products more effectively—a benefit less data-savvy competitors, or those with fewer resources, could not reasonably replicate. Competitive advantages like these can be controversial, not only for reasons of consumer privacy, but because access to such information is often unevenly distributed. Any attempts to curb these proprietary information advantages in the name of preserving competition will, however, require careful deliberation. “If we want people to have incentives to gather data and create new products with that data, we have to assume that people are going to have unequal access to that information,” explains Professor McDonald. “When we can try to get an information edge, it allows us to develop our business or release our products in a way that’s better than competitors.” For Mr Gattuso, “it goes back to the issue of fairness. Is it more important that everyone has access to the same information or has less information out there in the marketplace?” he asks. “The number one rule is that information is good, and you want it to be circulating.” Regulatory inefficiencies and being late to the game Innovators aren’t waiting for regulators to set new rules. In fact, many digital disruptors were born out of regulatory inefficiencies, experimenting with ideas that the regulators of yesteryear could not have foreseen. And once their idea takes hold in the marketplace, regulators must cope and react. Perhaps no industry demonstrates this dynamic as well as peer-to-peer or peer-to-business lending platforms such as Lending Club, Prosper and Funding Circle, which match investors with small- loan borrowers, typically at better interest rates (for both buyers and sellers) than traditional bank Chasing a moving target: Challenges for regulators today3 ❛❛ As innovators come up with more creative approaches to new technologies, this drives up both the rate of change and the overall demand for things to be regulated... ❜❜ Astro Teller, head of Google X, Google, Inc
  • 12. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201511 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy lending provides. Following the 2008 financial crisis and the tightening of borrowing regulations that followed, the peer-to-peer lending model grew quickly as a cost-effective and easy alternative. By 2014, US consumer-lending platforms facilitated more than $8.8bn in loans (projected to rise to $20bn by end-2015). 100 platforms now vie for slivers of the trillion-dollar consumer-credit market that have, until recently, been the reserve of traditional banks. Similarly, “Uber came out of loopholes in the taxi industry and Airbnb with the hotel industry,” says Mr Goodwin. Uber has found a way to allow virtually anyone with a driver’s licence and a car to operate what’s essentially a taxi, and Airbnb looked beyond expensive hotel properties to a wide-open market of ordinary people’s not-always-occupied homes. “These companies are ruthlessly exploring loopholes. They are built by very smart people who understand technology, and unless government is equally equipped with smart, tech-savvy people, markets are already hacking themselves.” Our panellists agree that for policymakers, this means playing catch up: “In part, the government wants to get ahead of [regulatory challenges] and we know the sector is important,” says Rachel Haot, chief digital officer of New York state. “The market is so powerful—especially with all these technologies, we hear it [in] the public sector—that it becomes unavoidable. The power dynamics are shifting in general and we’re seeing that everywhere.” Fleeting internet monopolies and “thin” companies With the competitive landscape skewing towards a “winner take all” approach, successful digital companies are naturally prone to dominant market positions, as we’ve seen. Yet in the last decade, this new crop of quasi-monopolies has proven to be different from traditional monopolies in several ways. First, they can easily operate two-sided markets, where companies have two distinct user groups that provide each other with benefits—leaving regulators with a complicated task of constantly overseeing more than one market. For example, Facebook operates a business for two groups. For the online public, the company has been the most dominant social networking site worldwide since 2010. Meanwhile, as an advertising platform, the company occupies only 5% of the global digital advertising market, by revenue. In addition, despite innovative value propositions, digital, online companies like Uber, Lyft and Airbnb “are very ‘thin’—they don’t have unique assets, or unique software. They’re an app, an API, a brand name and distribution,” says Mr Goodwin. “They own so little and therefore remove themselves from regulatory oversight easily.” According to Rory McDonald, assistant professor of business administration at Harvard Business School, upstarts, more agile than larger companies, “can also change their businesses in real time to move away from regulations that may be overly onerous for them.” Lastly, with typically low barriers to entry, the competitive landscape can turn overnight. Finding itself challenged to keep ahead of changing user behaviour, Facebook, the world’s most popular social networking platform, made its biggest acquisition at the time, acquiring the two-year-old, steadily growing photo-sharing application Instagram for $1bn. Luckily for Facebook, 26% of Americans on the internet use Instagram today, and “hockey-stick” growth came in April 2012, when the number of users doubled in just four short months after its acquisition. In a post-event analysis of FTC’s antitrust case against Google, in which the agency dropped its charges after the company agreed to voluntary changes in its practices, Geoffrey Manne and William Rinehart researchers from the International Centre for Law & Economics, a think-tank, warned against treating digital monopolies the same as traditional monopolies. Referring to the Department of Justice’s landmark antitrust case against Microsoft’s dominance on operating systems, they wrote in a law review journal: “We’ve been here before in the relatively short history of high-tech antitrust. Microsoft’s market position was unassailable...until it wasn’t. Even at the time, many could have told you that its perceived dominance was fleeting, as many did.” ❛❛ These companies [like Uber and Airbnb] are ruthlessly exploring loopholes. They are built by very smart people who understand technology... ❜❜ Tom Goodwin, senior vice-president of strategy and innovation, Havas Media
  • 13. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201512 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy As long as innovation continues to transform business at breakneck speed, regulators need to rethink their strategies to ensure a level playing field and protect public interest. Our research and discussion with the advisory board members suggest that regulators achieve the best results when they show the same nimbleness as innovators and embrace digital solutions themselves. Broader policies and open channels It’s impossible—and undesirable for all concerned—for regulators to update or create new laws around every new technology or upstart. In this environment, policies need to be broad enough to accommodate future innovation, but have clear enough intent to adequately guide expectations and enforcement. For instance, governments around the world are rushing to clarify existing policies to address the advent of 3D-printed guns. Part of regulators’ challenge is to issue rules that won’t inadvertently create loopholes for a subsequent generation of innovators. In the US, regulators recently found themselves wrestling with the emergence of organisations like Defense Distributed, which planned to make 3D-printed gun schematics available to anyone on the internet. In response, lawmakers extended the duration the Undetectable Firearms Act, which prohibits weapons that can evade metal detectors, for 10 years as well as updating some of its details around how to define such weapons. Often, instead of constantly reacting with “micro-regulations,” finding a balance comes down to creating flexible policies that promote fair play and the public interest, regardless of how industries transform. “Even in the new context where new business models are created, or it’s a new way to deliver a service in an existing industry, the intentions of the regulation still hold,” argues Minerva Tantoco, chief technology officer of New York City. “We’ve seen how technology makes markets more efficient, competitive, and allows new entrants into the field, but do not lose track of what the laws are meant to enforce.” Learning the same language Hiring additional technical subject-matter experts can help government agencies keep abreast of change in industry. “Where I’ve seen success is where there’s a two-way dialogue between the businesses trying to set up and the regulator that’s in charge of that,” Ms Tantoco adds. According to CQ Roll Call, a US politics publication (and sister company of The EIU), only 10% of members in the 113th Congress (serving in 2013 and 2014), had a science or technology background. There is a general lack of expertise when it comes to building policies that address newer technologies, such as those around genetic sequencing diagnostics and modern systems for data collection, explains Gregory Daniel, managing director for evidence development and innovation at the Brookings Institution, a think-tank based in Washington, DC. Government is beginning to catch up, though. The Food and Drug Administration Learning along the way: Models for balancing innovation and regulation4 ❛❛ We’ve seen how technology makes markets more efficient, competitive, and allows new entrants into the field, but do not lose track of what the laws are meant to enforce. ❜❜ Minerva Tantoco, chief technology officer, New York City
  • 14. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201513 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy (FDA), for example, is asking Congress to expand the agency’s budget in order to hire people with greater technical expertise. And by drawing on the expertise of the more tech-literate, regulators can also “track how technologies are performing right now in terms of benefit to society,” says Jessika Trancik, assistant professor of engineering systems at MIT. To do this, some government departments, including the Department of Energy, Department of Homeland Security and Department of Defence, are leveraging the Advanced Research Projects Agency (ARPA) model, composed of engineers, developers, and tech futurists to work hand-in-hand with policymakers to add technical proficiency to the regulatory process. Many agencies are also participating in the Intergovernmental Personnel Act, a federal mobility programme that encourages agencies to loan out skilled personnel to other agencies. And most recently, the US Digital Service, formed in 2014 after the disappointing launch of healthcare.gov, is rapidly hiring top tech talent to bring government services into the digital era. “Technology is changing so fast. Adoption is growing exponentially, and we are all connected by networks. So many more exponential changes are coming,” says Mr Goodwin. “Government agencies must be properly staffed to deal with this.” Business as a trusted partner Many regulatory issues in the digital space beg for delegated solutions, where large stakeholders other than government (ie, consumers and businesses) participate actively in rulemaking and enforcement. Digital businesses frequently serve as quasi- regulatory intermediaries or ensure fairness in their own marketplaces through incentive structures and user agreements. Such businesses are often in a better position than the government to act as referees, given their strict control of user channels and data. This practice is especially prevalent in the sharing economy, where on- demand car services Lyft and Uber, for example, collect feedback directly from users to incentivise drivers to offer good service. And Airbnb has been able to assuage some regulatory concerns by collecting occupancy tax on behalf of its users in a handful of US cities. The fact that it captures accurate occupancy data through its app is, in fact, what allows it to make the case for a greater degree of self-regulation. As the relationships among businesses, consumers and regulators evolve, it is becoming clear that the technology and data underlying so much friction can actually help each party find solutions. The commercial drone industry is a case in point. Following a near-ban on all commercial What are self-regulatory organisations? ❛❛ [Companies] should be part of the regulatory solution. They should be involved as actors in the provision of making the markets work better. ❜❜ Arun Sundararajan, professor and NEC faculty fellow, New York University, Stern School of Business Self-regulatory organisations (SROs) exercise authority over a specialised group or industry. Their roots date back to the communal farming- and-grazing byelaws that protected land in 13th-century Europe, but they are just as prevalent in today’s world. Contemporary examples of SROs include the Chartered Financial Analyst Institute, which sets high ethical and professional responsibilities in finance, or the American Bar Association, which does so in law. Some government agencies heavily rely on SROs to oversee complex markets, such as the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA), which is charged by the Securities and Exchange Commission to set and enforce regulations that protect investors and promote fair markets. Depending on context and varying widely in stakeholders’ involvement, SROs are typically privately held and serve the purpose of policing an industry (rather than a trade organisation that serves to promote the well-being of an industry).
  • 15. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201514 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy drones, the Federal Aviation Agency issued an interim policy in March 2015 governing the use of small commercial drones for approved companies as long as the drones fly under 200 feet. Critically, these companies were able to show that technology such as GPS-based flight path software could help address the safety concerns of regulators, airlines and the general public. As of the end of April 2015, more than 150 companies had been granted permission to field commercial drones, with hundreds more waiting to test drone applications in agriculture, data collection, construction and other fields. Regulatory oversight for the sake of public safety, especially in industries like air travel, food and drugs, is critical. But as businesses increasingly control marketplaces through digital means, regulators and businesses themselves can benefit from shared interests, leading to more partnerships and greater collaboration: “To me, [companies] should be a part of the regulatory solution,” says Professor Sundararajan. “They should be involved as actors in the provision of making the markets work better.”
  • 16. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201515 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy Even the most aggressive disruptors would agree that some form of regulation will always be necessary in order to ensure fair competition and safeguard the public interest. And though policymakers continue to struggle to accommodate the effects of disruptive innovation, a workable path forward is becoming clear. Just as innovators are disrupting industries, regulators, working in close partnership with businesses and consumers, need to refresh their approach to rulemaking. Crafting future-proofed regulations may seem more difficult than simply continuing to react with prescriptive regulation, but the results are likely to be more effective for all concerned. Representing many different points of view, our panel participants observe trade-offs at play as regulators aim to ensure fair and open markets for both innovators and incumbents while protecting public interest. They universally acknowledge that no single set of rules can address or anticipate the fast-changing needs for oversight. Instead, they advocate broad, principles-based and forward- looking policymaking, which they believe will hold relevance even as further innovations inevitably arrive. Of course, such an approach will only be possible through collaboration with a cooperative private sector and an increased capacity on policymakers’ part to embrace new technology. To Rachel Haot, chief digital officer of the state of New York, the possibility of greater collaboration is not far off: “What we find is that at the beginning government and [innovators] may feel like they’re speaking different languages. But they do have common aims. They do have a desire to impact the public, very often to improve the world in some way, and by working together we can achieve a lot more.” Conclusion 5
  • 17. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 201516 Finding a level playing field: Models and frameworks for policymaking in an innovation-driven economy Whilst every effort has been taken to verify the accuracy of this information, neither The Economist Intelligence Unit Ltd. nor the sponsor of this report can accept any responsibility or liability for reliance by any person on this white paper or any of the information, opinions or conclusions set out in the white paper. Cover:Shutterstock
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