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Systems Engineering Complexity Types INCOSE WMA July 14, 2009
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
SE and complexity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
How SE has addressed complexity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Complexity Complex systems Simple systems Systems using systems engineering
Spectra  -1...Which systems? Less Complex  More Complex  Closed systems Open systems Clockwork systems Swarm systems Organized Self-organizing Weakly integrated systems Highly integrated systems Central control Decentralized control Single agents to pairs of agents Infinities of agents
Spectra -2...Characteristics Less Complex  More Complex  Understandable Difficult to understand Predictable Unpredictable Equilibrium Chaos Linear Nonlinear Loose coupling Tight coupling Control Adaptability Strict hierarchies Networks
Spectra -3...Consequences Less Complex  More Complex  Strict hierarchies Networks Simple behavior Strategic behavior Simple behavior Emergent behavior Clear cause and effect Unclear cause/effect Economy of scale available Economy of scale-killers Single scale Multi-scale Reductionism works Holism required
Theoretical types of complexity have have created  via Dynamic complexity Development processes Things (Systems, products, things being engineered) Environment supports contains subtypes subtypes have has From current doctoral research Conclusion: Be clear which one you are talking about. Structural complexity Dynamic complexity: long term 5 Structural complexity: Size 1 Socio-political complexity 6 Dynamic complexity: short term 4 2 Structural complexity: Connectivity 3 Structural complexity: Architecture
Existing Measure for Type 6 (SocioPolitical) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Enterprise Systems Engineering Profiler TM   of MITRE Source: Renee Stevens, “Engineering Enterprise Systems: C hallenges and Prospects,”  Presentation to DAS XIII ,  2006.
A process for getting to a Complexity measure ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Use ESE Profiler, get a number What are you measuring the complexity of? x Weights Sum 3 2 2 2 1 3 5 30 20 25 5 15 15 60 40 50 5 45 215 Use Development processes Things (Systems, products, things being engineered) Environment 1 Traditional 2 Transitional 3Messy Frontier Estimate:  Dynamic complexity: long term 5 Structural complexity: Size 1 Socio-political complexity 6 Dynamic complexity: short term 4 2 Structural complexity: Connectivity 3 Structural complexity: Architecture
Complexity in Program 3/31/09
Program Complexity Over Time
Caveats ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusion ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Complex Systems

  • 1. Systems Engineering Complexity Types INCOSE WMA July 14, 2009
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Complexity Complex systems Simple systems Systems using systems engineering
  • 6. Spectra -1...Which systems? Less Complex More Complex Closed systems Open systems Clockwork systems Swarm systems Organized Self-organizing Weakly integrated systems Highly integrated systems Central control Decentralized control Single agents to pairs of agents Infinities of agents
  • 7. Spectra -2...Characteristics Less Complex More Complex Understandable Difficult to understand Predictable Unpredictable Equilibrium Chaos Linear Nonlinear Loose coupling Tight coupling Control Adaptability Strict hierarchies Networks
  • 8. Spectra -3...Consequences Less Complex More Complex Strict hierarchies Networks Simple behavior Strategic behavior Simple behavior Emergent behavior Clear cause and effect Unclear cause/effect Economy of scale available Economy of scale-killers Single scale Multi-scale Reductionism works Holism required
  • 9. Theoretical types of complexity have have created via Dynamic complexity Development processes Things (Systems, products, things being engineered) Environment supports contains subtypes subtypes have has From current doctoral research Conclusion: Be clear which one you are talking about. Structural complexity Dynamic complexity: long term 5 Structural complexity: Size 1 Socio-political complexity 6 Dynamic complexity: short term 4 2 Structural complexity: Connectivity 3 Structural complexity: Architecture
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. Use ESE Profiler, get a number What are you measuring the complexity of? x Weights Sum 3 2 2 2 1 3 5 30 20 25 5 15 15 60 40 50 5 45 215 Use Development processes Things (Systems, products, things being engineered) Environment 1 Traditional 2 Transitional 3Messy Frontier Estimate: Dynamic complexity: long term 5 Structural complexity: Size 1 Socio-political complexity 6 Dynamic complexity: short term 4 2 Structural complexity: Connectivity 3 Structural complexity: Architecture
  • 15.
  • 16.

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. The point is, which apply to SE? What do people mean when they say complexity? (Table 2 from recent draft paper) Discussion instructions...go over all 3 slides then come back to this one What can we agree is the best meaning on this page? (Maybe a composite?) Next Page? Next page? Is there a best among... the three pages? (Expect: no, everything is different, though some things are key like controllability, predictable, understandable
  2. Also Rigor on left, Richness on right, but as Barry Boehm said in SE LI meeting, they are kind of two different things.
  3. Dave sees 1-3 as the thing, how big is it? Dave sees 4 and 5 as ilities, RMA. 6 Dave sees that as regulations, standards, etc.