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Supervised Learning Techniques for Virtual Military Training
Elena Şuşnea1
(1) National Defence University "Carol I"
Sos. Panduri nr.68-72, sector 5, Romania,E-mail: esusnea@yahoo.com
Abstract
Development of some applications that would provide the officer-students and the teachers
with a real time feedback based on the existing data from the virtual training system is
imposed in order to realise a student-centred training. In this regard, we will use supervised
training techniques so as to identify the patterns/ models from the data sets of the system.
According to them, we can generate, organize and disseminate the knowledge necessary for a
good training of the future officers. The conclusions presented at the end can be successfully
used to develop an intelligent tutoring system that would allow monitoring and predicting the
students’ performances.
Keywords: Supervised Learning, Decision Tree, Neural Networks
Introduction
Development and expansion of e-learning systems, the progress regarding the processing power,
the capacity of data storage and the diversity of the digital formats that present the educational
contents have all had an important impact upon the military educational system.
The advantages offered by the e-learning technologies are by default admitted, as it can be
noticed in the present tendency regarding the officer-student training using on-line courses. These
advantages (GAO, 2004) include: better facilitation of student and faculty interaction, increased
flexibility in modifying course material; reductions in time required to complete programs, better
leveraging of resources for administrative support, and establishment of learning management
systems that monitor student progress and produce management reports.
By using e-learning systems for officer-student training, the tendency is to move from a
classroom-centric delivery of instruction to a learner-centric model, in which the officer-students
assume greater responsibility for learning facts, procedures, and complex skills as well as
teamwork skills.
The process of implementing and using the modern military technologies will have major
consequences not only for the military ”concepts and doctrines but also for the military training
and education, which implies full consistence of the educational programs with those from NATO
and EU countries” (www.presidency.ro).
Therefore, it is compulsory that higher military education redefine its functions, development
strategies, managing system, also its general and specific functioning principles. Reorganizing the
military training system, restructuring the educational programs, restating the educational
objectives and including the new technologies in the educational processes are all key elements
that will provide the military personnel with the possibility of training the skills and capacities
necessary not only to fulfil the military profession but also to be able to integrate within the
civilian life.
These changes have important consequences also upon the e-learning system leading to a big
collection of digital data. By diversifying the digital formats of presenting the educational contents
and by increasing the number of enlisted students it is more and more difficult to exploit the data
stored in an e-learning system using the traditional methods. This is the reason that the data
analyse using certain automatic techniques assisted by the computer is required.
University of Bucharest and University of Medicine and Pharmacy Târgu-Mureş514
Supervised learning techniques such as decision trees and artificial neural networks are used
more and more frequently in analysing the data collected by the educational system(unea,
2009a) as they allow creating new explicit models and can be validated, modified, learned from,
or used for training novices in a given domain(Krzysztof et al, 2007).
In this context our goal is to use the data representing the students’ preferences regarding the
most relevant traits of the e-learning environment so as to generate models that would be the
fundamental base for developing an intelligent system for officer-student training.
Background and Literature
As we gain more experience regarding e-learning system, we can notice that essential is not only
accessing the content regardless the time or space, but also the quick accessing of the relevant,
focused and directly usable content.
In the recent years we can notice an increased interest regarding the use of techniques from the
artificial intelligence domain in processing the data specific to the educational area mainly e-
learning. Models as components can generate intelligent information that would support the
students’ training activity, although using the computational models within the training processes
may turn out to be more important for teachers rather than for learners (Baker, 2000).
Supervised learning techniques have been successfully used by higher educational institutions
in all academic processes.
An important and long-term objective of each higher educational institution is represented by
student retention, due to the inferences that it has upon the students, the teachers and the
administrative personnel. Therefore, a series of models has been developed by using the decisional
trees and the artificial neural networks so as to identify the relevant factors for student retention
(Herzog, 2006, Delen, 2010).
Also the predictable mechanisms have been developed which analyse the students’
failure/success according to certain factors such as family, social status, financial status
(Pinninghoff Junemann et al., 2007).
Within the e-learning educational systems, a special attention has been given to developing
some models for an intelligent tutoring system that would adapt contents to students’profile (Hall
and Ko, 2008). Certain researches have been conducted so as to analyse the way in which the
educational resources are used with different learning characteristics(Kelly and Tangney, 2006).
Neural networks have been used in order to develop certain agents (Wang et Mitrovic, 2002) that
would allow predicting the scores achieved by the students and choosing certain items appropriate
to the knowledge level. A special attention has been given to data analyzing and predicting student
graduation outcomes (Herzog, 2004; Karamouzis and Vrettos, 2008; Lykourentzou, 2009,).
Supervised learning techniques have been useful in solving those tasks that recurrently appear
when designing systems to support teaching-learning processes (Salcedo et al, 2009).
Supervised Learning Techniques for Virtual Military Training
The use of e-learning platforms in training the military has many advantages. Besides the facilities
offered to resident/ on-resident students regarding the flexibility of choosing the place and moment
for learning, we can add the advantages obtained by the educational institution such as decreasing
the number of instructors, re-use of the educational contents and use of several forms of media.
The formats used to present the educational contents influence directly the achievement of the
performance objectives specific to military training. This is why we have conducted a research
based on which we have identified the students’ preferences for the most relevant e-learning
characteristics. The answers representing the students’ personal choices have been stored in a
dataset. The fields that are important for our research can be visualised in Table 1. The dataset
consists of 140 recordings.
The 5th International Conference on Virtual Learning ICVL 2010 515
Table 1. Dataset description
Field Description
Changes The students’ perception regarding the effects of using e-learning technologies upon
the military training.
Browsing The most efficient way the students can cover the studying (training) materials as far
as the learning guidance process is concerned.
Multimedia The multimedia format of presenting the educational contents which helps develop
certain relevant skills necessary for future activity.
Communication The most efficient communication means used to send the information.
Organization The organizing form that maximizes the efficiency of the e-learning training process.
Feedback The useful role of the feedback provided by the e-learning platform regarding the
scores on the tests.
Interaction Existence of a strong influence of the interaction factor upon knowledge gaining.
Mark The score achieved by each student at the end of the course.
We will use decision trees to predict the belonging of the instances to certain distinct classes
defined by dependent variable Changes, starting from categorical variables Browsing, Multimedia,
Communication, Organization, Feedback, and Interaction. This technique is often used due to the
advantage provided by the decision tree that allows a very suggestive visual point of the classes.
The objective is to discover certain relations between class variable and the attribute variable.
The decision tree has been induced based on the CART algorithm. To achieve an optimal level,
the k-fold technique has been used for k-10. This can be visualised in Figure 1. As it can be
noticed, 62,14% of the students consider that e-learning technologies have brought positive
changes to specific military training. About 60% of them consider that the use of simulating
programs, the text and video formats in the training activity and an increased degree of interaction
are all essential elements that help achieve the specific objectives of the military training.
Figure 1. Decision tree for predicting the student’s preferences
with regard to the most important e-learning characteristics
University of Bucharest and University of Medicine and Pharmacy Târgu-Mureş516
32% of the students are not decided regarding the changes provoked by e-learning
technologies, as they are interested in the learning materials presented as simulations, video and
textual, a high degree of interaction and a positive feedback provided by the platform.
Next, we will use artificial neural networks (ANN) to create a model based on which we can
predict the scores achieved by the students at the end of the course according to the preferences
that they have regarding e-learning. We have used ANNs, the type Multilayer Perceptron (MLP),
Radial Basis Function (RBF) and Linear for which we have calculated the performances and the
errors recorded by each network. The networks can be visualised in Table 2.
Table 2. Details regarding configuration, performances and errors recorded by each ANN type
Type
ANN
Performance of
ANN
Error of ANN Numbers of input
variables
Numbers of hidden
neurons
T
rain
S
elect
T
est
T
rain
S
elect
T
est
MLP 0,900 0,343 0,429 0,423 3,909 3,206 6 10
Linear 0,486 0,229 0,314 0,453 0,519 0,487 5 0
Linear 0,471 0,314 0,429 0,461 0,509 0,496 4 0
RBF 0,543 0,343 0,429 0,430 0,495 0,483 6 6
RBF 0,514 0,371 0,486 0,449 0,484 0,470 6 3
It can be noticed that the best values have been achieved for RBF network which has 6 input
variables, 3 hidden neurons, and 1 output variable (Mark).
Conclusions
The e-learning characteristics have a powerful impact upon the military training. In this regard, we
have studied the preferences of the student-officers for the most relevant characteristics of the e-
learning environment. For the analyse we have used decision trees and ANNs, types MLP, RBF
and Linear.
To induce the decision tree we have used the CART algorithm. Taking into account the big
percentage of students considering that including the e-learning technologies in the training
process has brought positive changes to the specific military training, we conclude by stating that
they occurred due to a synchronic communication and to the use of simulations and video
materials. Next, we have developed the ANNs models to predict the students’ scores having as
entry variables the e-learning characteristics.
For projecting an intelligent system of training, the use of decision trees allows identifying the
student classes with the same preferences regarding the characteristics of the e-learning
environment, and ANN RBF type will allow predicting their performances.
References
Baker, M. (2000). The Roles of Models in Artificial Intelligence and Education Research: A Prospective
View. International Journal of Artificial Intelligence in Education, 11, 122-143.
Delen, D. (2010): A comparative analysis of machine learning techniques for student retention management.
Decision Support Systems, 49, 4, 498-506.
Hall, O. Jr. and Ko, K (2008): Customized Content Delivery for Graduate Management Education:
Application to Business Statistics. Journal of Statistics Education, 16, 3.
Herzog, S. (2004): Measuring determinants of student return vs. dropout/stopout vs. transfer: A first-to-
second year analysis of new freshmen. In Proceedings of 44th Annual Forum of the Association for
Institutional Research (AIR), Boston, 883-928.
Herzog, S. (2006): Estimating student retention and degree-completion time: Decision trees and neural
networks vis-à-vis regression. New Directions for Institutional Research, 131, 17-33.
The 5th International Conference on Virtual Learning ICVL 2010 517
Karamouzis, T. and Vrettos, A. (2008): The An artificial neural network for predicting student graduation
outcomes. In Proceedings of the World Congress on Engineering and Computer Science, International
Association of Engineers, San Francisco, 991-994.
Kelly, D. and Tangney, B. (2006): Adapting to intelligence profile in an adaptive educational system.
Interacting with Computers, 18, 3, 385-409.
Krzysztof, C. et al (2007): Data Mining. A Knowledge discovery in database approach. Springer, New York.
Lykourentzou, I. (2009): Dropout prediction in e-learning courses through the combination of machine
learning techniques. Computers & Education 53, 3: 950-965.
Pinninghoff Junemann A. et al. (2007): Neural Networks to Predict Schooling Failure/Success. In
Proceedings of the 2nd International Work-Conference on Nature Inspired Problem-Solving Methods in
Knowledge Engineering: Interplay Between Natural and Artificial Computation, Part II, La Manga del
Mar Menor, Spain, 571 – 579.
Salcedo, P., Pinninghoff, M., Contreras, R. (2009): Knowledge-Based Systems: A Tool for Distance
Education. Methods and Models in Artificial and Natural Computation. Lecture Notes in Computer
Science, 5601, 87-98, Springer, New York.
***Strategia Naională de Apărare 2010, Bucureşti. (http://www.presidency.ro)
Şuşnea, E. (2009): Using data mining techniques in higher education, In The 4 nd
International Conference on
Virtual Learning ICVL, pp. 376-379.
Şuşnea, E., (2009): Classification techniques used in Educational System, In The 4 nd
International
Conference on Virtual Learning ICVL, pp. 376-379.
US Government Accountability Office (2004). Military education: DOD needs to develop performance goals
and metrics for advanced distributed learning in professional military education (Publication No. GAO-
04-873), (http://www.gao.gov).
Wang, T. and Mitrovic, A. (2002): Using neural networks to predict student's performance, In Proceedings of
the International Conference on Computers in Education (ICCE'02), Auckland University, 969-973.

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Supervised Learning Techniques for Virtual Military Training

  • 1. Supervised Learning Techniques for Virtual Military Training Elena Şuşnea1 (1) National Defence University "Carol I" Sos. Panduri nr.68-72, sector 5, Romania,E-mail: esusnea@yahoo.com Abstract Development of some applications that would provide the officer-students and the teachers with a real time feedback based on the existing data from the virtual training system is imposed in order to realise a student-centred training. In this regard, we will use supervised training techniques so as to identify the patterns/ models from the data sets of the system. According to them, we can generate, organize and disseminate the knowledge necessary for a good training of the future officers. The conclusions presented at the end can be successfully used to develop an intelligent tutoring system that would allow monitoring and predicting the students’ performances. Keywords: Supervised Learning, Decision Tree, Neural Networks Introduction Development and expansion of e-learning systems, the progress regarding the processing power, the capacity of data storage and the diversity of the digital formats that present the educational contents have all had an important impact upon the military educational system. The advantages offered by the e-learning technologies are by default admitted, as it can be noticed in the present tendency regarding the officer-student training using on-line courses. These advantages (GAO, 2004) include: better facilitation of student and faculty interaction, increased flexibility in modifying course material; reductions in time required to complete programs, better leveraging of resources for administrative support, and establishment of learning management systems that monitor student progress and produce management reports. By using e-learning systems for officer-student training, the tendency is to move from a classroom-centric delivery of instruction to a learner-centric model, in which the officer-students assume greater responsibility for learning facts, procedures, and complex skills as well as teamwork skills. The process of implementing and using the modern military technologies will have major consequences not only for the military ”concepts and doctrines but also for the military training and education, which implies full consistence of the educational programs with those from NATO and EU countries” (www.presidency.ro). Therefore, it is compulsory that higher military education redefine its functions, development strategies, managing system, also its general and specific functioning principles. Reorganizing the military training system, restructuring the educational programs, restating the educational objectives and including the new technologies in the educational processes are all key elements that will provide the military personnel with the possibility of training the skills and capacities necessary not only to fulfil the military profession but also to be able to integrate within the civilian life. These changes have important consequences also upon the e-learning system leading to a big collection of digital data. By diversifying the digital formats of presenting the educational contents and by increasing the number of enlisted students it is more and more difficult to exploit the data stored in an e-learning system using the traditional methods. This is the reason that the data analyse using certain automatic techniques assisted by the computer is required.
  • 2. University of Bucharest and University of Medicine and Pharmacy Târgu-Mureş514 Supervised learning techniques such as decision trees and artificial neural networks are used more and more frequently in analysing the data collected by the educational system(unea, 2009a) as they allow creating new explicit models and can be validated, modified, learned from, or used for training novices in a given domain(Krzysztof et al, 2007). In this context our goal is to use the data representing the students’ preferences regarding the most relevant traits of the e-learning environment so as to generate models that would be the fundamental base for developing an intelligent system for officer-student training. Background and Literature As we gain more experience regarding e-learning system, we can notice that essential is not only accessing the content regardless the time or space, but also the quick accessing of the relevant, focused and directly usable content. In the recent years we can notice an increased interest regarding the use of techniques from the artificial intelligence domain in processing the data specific to the educational area mainly e- learning. Models as components can generate intelligent information that would support the students’ training activity, although using the computational models within the training processes may turn out to be more important for teachers rather than for learners (Baker, 2000). Supervised learning techniques have been successfully used by higher educational institutions in all academic processes. An important and long-term objective of each higher educational institution is represented by student retention, due to the inferences that it has upon the students, the teachers and the administrative personnel. Therefore, a series of models has been developed by using the decisional trees and the artificial neural networks so as to identify the relevant factors for student retention (Herzog, 2006, Delen, 2010). Also the predictable mechanisms have been developed which analyse the students’ failure/success according to certain factors such as family, social status, financial status (Pinninghoff Junemann et al., 2007). Within the e-learning educational systems, a special attention has been given to developing some models for an intelligent tutoring system that would adapt contents to students’profile (Hall and Ko, 2008). Certain researches have been conducted so as to analyse the way in which the educational resources are used with different learning characteristics(Kelly and Tangney, 2006). Neural networks have been used in order to develop certain agents (Wang et Mitrovic, 2002) that would allow predicting the scores achieved by the students and choosing certain items appropriate to the knowledge level. A special attention has been given to data analyzing and predicting student graduation outcomes (Herzog, 2004; Karamouzis and Vrettos, 2008; Lykourentzou, 2009,). Supervised learning techniques have been useful in solving those tasks that recurrently appear when designing systems to support teaching-learning processes (Salcedo et al, 2009). Supervised Learning Techniques for Virtual Military Training The use of e-learning platforms in training the military has many advantages. Besides the facilities offered to resident/ on-resident students regarding the flexibility of choosing the place and moment for learning, we can add the advantages obtained by the educational institution such as decreasing the number of instructors, re-use of the educational contents and use of several forms of media. The formats used to present the educational contents influence directly the achievement of the performance objectives specific to military training. This is why we have conducted a research based on which we have identified the students’ preferences for the most relevant e-learning characteristics. The answers representing the students’ personal choices have been stored in a dataset. The fields that are important for our research can be visualised in Table 1. The dataset consists of 140 recordings.
  • 3. The 5th International Conference on Virtual Learning ICVL 2010 515 Table 1. Dataset description Field Description Changes The students’ perception regarding the effects of using e-learning technologies upon the military training. Browsing The most efficient way the students can cover the studying (training) materials as far as the learning guidance process is concerned. Multimedia The multimedia format of presenting the educational contents which helps develop certain relevant skills necessary for future activity. Communication The most efficient communication means used to send the information. Organization The organizing form that maximizes the efficiency of the e-learning training process. Feedback The useful role of the feedback provided by the e-learning platform regarding the scores on the tests. Interaction Existence of a strong influence of the interaction factor upon knowledge gaining. Mark The score achieved by each student at the end of the course. We will use decision trees to predict the belonging of the instances to certain distinct classes defined by dependent variable Changes, starting from categorical variables Browsing, Multimedia, Communication, Organization, Feedback, and Interaction. This technique is often used due to the advantage provided by the decision tree that allows a very suggestive visual point of the classes. The objective is to discover certain relations between class variable and the attribute variable. The decision tree has been induced based on the CART algorithm. To achieve an optimal level, the k-fold technique has been used for k-10. This can be visualised in Figure 1. As it can be noticed, 62,14% of the students consider that e-learning technologies have brought positive changes to specific military training. About 60% of them consider that the use of simulating programs, the text and video formats in the training activity and an increased degree of interaction are all essential elements that help achieve the specific objectives of the military training. Figure 1. Decision tree for predicting the student’s preferences with regard to the most important e-learning characteristics
  • 4. University of Bucharest and University of Medicine and Pharmacy Târgu-Mureş516 32% of the students are not decided regarding the changes provoked by e-learning technologies, as they are interested in the learning materials presented as simulations, video and textual, a high degree of interaction and a positive feedback provided by the platform. Next, we will use artificial neural networks (ANN) to create a model based on which we can predict the scores achieved by the students at the end of the course according to the preferences that they have regarding e-learning. We have used ANNs, the type Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Radial Basis Function (RBF) and Linear for which we have calculated the performances and the errors recorded by each network. The networks can be visualised in Table 2. Table 2. Details regarding configuration, performances and errors recorded by each ANN type Type ANN Performance of ANN Error of ANN Numbers of input variables Numbers of hidden neurons T rain S elect T est T rain S elect T est MLP 0,900 0,343 0,429 0,423 3,909 3,206 6 10 Linear 0,486 0,229 0,314 0,453 0,519 0,487 5 0 Linear 0,471 0,314 0,429 0,461 0,509 0,496 4 0 RBF 0,543 0,343 0,429 0,430 0,495 0,483 6 6 RBF 0,514 0,371 0,486 0,449 0,484 0,470 6 3 It can be noticed that the best values have been achieved for RBF network which has 6 input variables, 3 hidden neurons, and 1 output variable (Mark). Conclusions The e-learning characteristics have a powerful impact upon the military training. In this regard, we have studied the preferences of the student-officers for the most relevant characteristics of the e- learning environment. For the analyse we have used decision trees and ANNs, types MLP, RBF and Linear. To induce the decision tree we have used the CART algorithm. Taking into account the big percentage of students considering that including the e-learning technologies in the training process has brought positive changes to the specific military training, we conclude by stating that they occurred due to a synchronic communication and to the use of simulations and video materials. Next, we have developed the ANNs models to predict the students’ scores having as entry variables the e-learning characteristics. For projecting an intelligent system of training, the use of decision trees allows identifying the student classes with the same preferences regarding the characteristics of the e-learning environment, and ANN RBF type will allow predicting their performances. References Baker, M. (2000). The Roles of Models in Artificial Intelligence and Education Research: A Prospective View. International Journal of Artificial Intelligence in Education, 11, 122-143. Delen, D. (2010): A comparative analysis of machine learning techniques for student retention management. Decision Support Systems, 49, 4, 498-506. Hall, O. Jr. and Ko, K (2008): Customized Content Delivery for Graduate Management Education: Application to Business Statistics. Journal of Statistics Education, 16, 3. Herzog, S. (2004): Measuring determinants of student return vs. dropout/stopout vs. transfer: A first-to- second year analysis of new freshmen. In Proceedings of 44th Annual Forum of the Association for Institutional Research (AIR), Boston, 883-928. Herzog, S. (2006): Estimating student retention and degree-completion time: Decision trees and neural networks vis-à-vis regression. New Directions for Institutional Research, 131, 17-33.
  • 5. The 5th International Conference on Virtual Learning ICVL 2010 517 Karamouzis, T. and Vrettos, A. (2008): The An artificial neural network for predicting student graduation outcomes. In Proceedings of the World Congress on Engineering and Computer Science, International Association of Engineers, San Francisco, 991-994. Kelly, D. and Tangney, B. (2006): Adapting to intelligence profile in an adaptive educational system. Interacting with Computers, 18, 3, 385-409. Krzysztof, C. et al (2007): Data Mining. A Knowledge discovery in database approach. Springer, New York. Lykourentzou, I. (2009): Dropout prediction in e-learning courses through the combination of machine learning techniques. Computers & Education 53, 3: 950-965. Pinninghoff Junemann A. et al. (2007): Neural Networks to Predict Schooling Failure/Success. In Proceedings of the 2nd International Work-Conference on Nature Inspired Problem-Solving Methods in Knowledge Engineering: Interplay Between Natural and Artificial Computation, Part II, La Manga del Mar Menor, Spain, 571 – 579. Salcedo, P., Pinninghoff, M., Contreras, R. (2009): Knowledge-Based Systems: A Tool for Distance Education. Methods and Models in Artificial and Natural Computation. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 5601, 87-98, Springer, New York. ***Strategia Naională de Apărare 2010, Bucureşti. (http://www.presidency.ro) Şuşnea, E. (2009): Using data mining techniques in higher education, In The 4 nd International Conference on Virtual Learning ICVL, pp. 376-379. Şuşnea, E., (2009): Classification techniques used in Educational System, In The 4 nd International Conference on Virtual Learning ICVL, pp. 376-379. US Government Accountability Office (2004). Military education: DOD needs to develop performance goals and metrics for advanced distributed learning in professional military education (Publication No. GAO- 04-873), (http://www.gao.gov). Wang, T. and Mitrovic, A. (2002): Using neural networks to predict student's performance, In Proceedings of the International Conference on Computers in Education (ICCE'02), Auckland University, 969-973.