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Challenges and Opportunities
   in Environmental Epidemiology
             of Cancer
             Francine Laden, ScD
   Associate Professor of Environmental Epidemiology
            Harvard School of Public Health
                           and
               The Channing Laboratory
Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School
Structure of Talk

• Challenges of environmental
  epidemiology
• Example: Diesel exhaust and lung
  cancer
How do you define ENVIRONMENT?
Environmental Exposures are:

• Not genetic
    _______________________________________________________________________________________________________




•   Pollution as opposed to life style
•   Passive as opposed to active
•   Involuntary as opposed to voluntary
•   External as opposed to internal
A Few More Definitions:

• The ambient environment
  – By the general population


• The occupational environment
  – By the working population
Challenge:
Pollutants in the Ambient Environment are-

 • Ubiquitous
    – Hard to identify unexposed people
 • Low levels
    – Tight range
    – Measurement error
 • Passive
    – Potentially unknown to participant
    – Hard to identify unexposed AND exposed
      people
Challenge:
What is the Responsible Exposure?

“The Environment caused my cancer”

  “Living in/working at _________
         caused my cancer”
Challenge:
           What to Measure:

• What is the chemical of interest?
• Is there a specific marker for your
  exposure?
• What is the causative aspect of your
  exposure?
• Is there a biomarker available?
Challenge:
           When to Measure?

• Cancer is generally a disease of long
  latency
• Timing during life cycle may be critical
• Usually performing measurements after
  the fact
Challenge:
           Who to Measure?

• Can you sample a representative
  group?
• How do you define the boundaries of
  your cluster (in both space and time)?
Example:
Diesel Exhaust Exposure and
        Lung Cancer
Outline

• What is diesel exhaust?
• Overview of animal and human cancer
  studies
• The Trucking Industry Particle Study
Diesel Exhaust
  “a complex mixture of particles and gases”

• Vapor Phase                 • Particulate Phase
   Carbon Monoxide              Elemental Carbon
   Carbon Dioxide                Sulfates
   Sulfur Dioxide (from          Hydrocarbons
  fuel)
   Nitrogen Oxides                PAH Compounds
   Aldehydes (odor)
   Hydrocarbons
   PAH Compounds

          PAH= Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons
Diesel Particle
CO2 CO                                              Elemental
SO2 Nitrogen oxides                                 Carbon (EC)




                                                                  Organic
                                                                  Carbon
                                                                  (OC)
                                                                  On surface



(Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons)
(PAH Compounds)

                         Health Effects Institute, 1995
What to Measure?

• Fine particle mass (PM2.5): < 2.5 µm
• PM1.0 mass: < 1.0 µm
• Elemental carbon core (EC mass)
• Organics on particle (OC mass)
• Gaseous pollutants (NO2 = vehicle
  exposure)
• PAHs (e.g. naphthalene)
• Particle number/surface area
Or Smell:
Animal Lung Cancer Studies

• Dose related increase in lung tumors at high
  levels of exposure (3500 µg/m3) in rats
• Negative results in other rodent species
• Results not specific to particles with associated
  organics (carbon particles )
• Mechanism:
   – In rats: overload of particle clearance mechanisms
     and inflammatory changes precede the development
     of lung cancer
   – But…inflammation is not part of the human lung
     cancer pathology
Human Lung Cancer Studies
• ~40 studies with 20%-50% elevated risk in
  diesel associated occupations
  –   Truck Drivers
  –   Railroad Workers
  –   Bus Garage And Transport Workers
  –   Dock Workers
  –   Miners
• EPA, IARC, WHO
  – likely or probable carcinogen
• California
  – Toxic Air Contaminant (definite)
Previous Truck Driver Studies
                      “Null”
           Decreased risk Increased risk




                                            Statistically significant




solid circle = smoking adjusted open circle = smoking unadjusted
• Diesel exhaust is likely to be carcinogenic to
  humans by inhalation and this hazard applies
  to environmental exposures
• Conclusions are based on the totality of
  evidence from human, animal, and other
  supporting studies
• Epidemiologic studies were done in
  occupational cohorts, but occupational and
  environmental levels overlap
How the Previous Epi Studies
         Measure Exposure:
• Exposure definitions
  – Single job title or usual job
  – Yearly job, years of employment
• Source of information
  – Self-report, census, next-of-kin, death certificate
  – Union or work record
• Measurement of current exposure
  – Used to rank and validate exposure categories
  – Not used in primary analysis
  – No historical measurements
The Trucking Industry Particle Study
              (TrIPS)




      Funded by the National Cancer Institute
Research Questions

• Is lung cancer risk increased among
  diesel exposed workers?
• What is the quantitative exposure-
  risk relationship?
Population

• Four national unionized less-than-
  truckload trucking companies
  – Cooperation from both management and
    labor (Teamsters)
Study Design

• Retrospective cohort study 1985-2000
• National assessment of current
  exposures
• Smoking survey to representative
  sample of workers
Epidemiologic Component

• From company records:
  – Identified all unionized workers working ≥
    1 day in 1985 (58,326)
  – Obtained personal work histories:
    chronological listing of job titles and work
    locations (terminal address, size)
• Mortality follow-up 1985-2000: NDI
  – Date of death
  – Cause of death – primary and underlying
Exposure Assessment Component

• Randomly selected 36 large terminals
  (>100 employees)
• Each was grouped with 1-2 smaller
  terminals located within 50 miles
• 7 day sampling trips
• Measured PM2.5, EC and OC in PM1.0
  at each work location and upwind of the
  terminal
Trucking Terminals
Freight Terminal
           Wind             Emission Sources
 Air
 Pollution           Incoming                    Outgoing
                                                                Repair
                     Trailers                    Trailers        Shop
                                  Freight
Tractors
(idling)
                                     Forklift

                  Tractor
                                 Dock                           Yard
                  (cab)                Dock
                  Trailer              Office


                                  Offices &
                                  Lunchroom
                                                   Pickup &   Long Haul
Pickup &     Long Haul
                                                   Delivery    (rural)
Delivery      (rural)         Emission sources
Wind
                   Freight Terminal Operations
 Air                          Jobs    Mechanic
 Pollution
                                            Supervisor Repair
                         Freight
                                                       Shop

Tractors
(idling)
                          Forklift

                        Dock                            Yard
                             Dock     Dockman
                             Office   Supervisor
                                                   Drivers:
                         Offices & Dispatcher       Pickup &
                         Lunchroom Manager            delivery
                                      Clerks        Long-haul
Emission sources
Linking Exposure to Epidemiology

• Information available for everybody: job title,
  terminal location and characteristics,
  calendar year, years of work

• Develop statistical model to extrapolate
  exposure for each individual
  – Describes how above factors affect exposure
    intensity
  – Historic records used to estimate changes in
    factors
Historical Exposures

• Traffic exposure in cities
  – Trend for traffic emissions and traffic density
• Truck fleet changes with time
  – Emissions by engine type, cab design, exhaust
    leaks
• Diesel fuel changes with time
  – Sulfur, aromatic, and component contents
• Other exposure factors
  – Changes in other sources
  – Air pollution
Extrapolation of Historical Exposures

• Validation of the model
  – Estimate 1989 exposures at sites of NIOSH
    surveys
  – Data from older operations

• Potential limitations
  – Absence of data on exposures before 1989
  – Uncertainty in simulations of older exposures
  – Missing company records
  – Crude historic air pollution data
Comparisons to the
         General Population

• Overall mortality:
  – SMR=0.72 (95%CI=0.70-0.74)
• Lung cancer mortality
  – Overall: SMR=1.04 (95%CI=0.97-1.12)
  – All drivers: SMR=1.10 (95%CI=1.02-1.19)
  – Dockworkers: SMR=1.10 (95%CI=0.94-
    1.30)


                              Laden et al. EHP 2007
Smoking Rates:
Trucking versus General population
Cohort Study

• Exposure = job title
• Dose = cumulative years of work
• Comparison group = other job titles
Summary of Personal Exposure
       Measurements (µg/m3)

                               EC               PM2.5
                 N      GM      GSD       GM          GSD
Clerk            15     0.09    9.98         5.96 1.86
Dockworker       342    0.76    2.13       18.73 1.75
P&D              366    1.09    2.48       16.20 1.82
Long haul        173    1.12    1.91       19.96 2.30
GM=geometric mean; GSD=geometric standard deviation




                                            Smith et al. JEM 2006
Lung Cancer HRs for +1 yrs of work

 Job title                 PY             Deaths                       HR (95%CI)*
Long haul              161,503                323                       1.15 (0.92, 1.43)
P&D                    139,054                233                       1.19 (0.99, 1.42)
Dock                   147,513                205                       1.30 (1.07, 1.58)
Combo                   96,543                150                       1.40 (1.12, 1.73)
Mechanic                25,523                 38                       0.95 (0.66, 1.38)
Hostler                 29,947                 29                       0.99 (0.68, 1.45)
Clerk                   24,728                 15                       0.55 (0.32, 0.95)
Other jobs              13,040                 12                       0.89 (0.48, 1.63)
* Hazard ratio calculated using regression coefficients from a multivariate Cox proportional hazards
     regression model stratified on age in 1985, decade of hire, and calendar time, with risk sets by attained
     age, adjusted for the healthy worker survivor effect (total years on work, years off of work), race, and
     census region.
Increased Risk with Years of Work
 Long-haul drivers           P&D drivers




            2.5 % Δ/yr wrk           3.6 % Δ/yr wrk
Increased Risk with Years of Work
  Dockworkers             Combo Worker




         3.4 % Δ/yr wrk           4.0 % Δ/yr wrk
Implications

• Increased risk of lung cancer for job
  titles exposed to “freshly generated
  exhaust”
• Easily extrapolated to the general
  population driving on the same
  roadways
Addressing the Challenges

•   Ubiquitous, low level, passive exposures
•   Responsible exposure
•   What to measure
•   When to measure
•   Who to measure
Acknowledgments

•   HSPH and HMS    • U of Wisconsin
•   Eric Garshick   • Jamie Shauer
•   Thomas Smith
•   Mary Davis      •   Advisory Board
•   Ellen Eisen     •   John Peters
•   Jaime Hart      •   David Savitz
•   Kevin Lane      •   Hans Kromhout
•   Serena Hon      •   Vicki Stover Hertzberg

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Challenges and Opportunities in Environmental Epidemiology of Cancer

  • 1. Challenges and Opportunities in Environmental Epidemiology of Cancer Francine Laden, ScD Associate Professor of Environmental Epidemiology Harvard School of Public Health and The Channing Laboratory Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Harvard Medical School
  • 2. Structure of Talk • Challenges of environmental epidemiology • Example: Diesel exhaust and lung cancer
  • 3. How do you define ENVIRONMENT?
  • 4. Environmental Exposures are: • Not genetic _______________________________________________________________________________________________________ • Pollution as opposed to life style • Passive as opposed to active • Involuntary as opposed to voluntary • External as opposed to internal
  • 5. A Few More Definitions: • The ambient environment – By the general population • The occupational environment – By the working population
  • 6. Challenge: Pollutants in the Ambient Environment are- • Ubiquitous – Hard to identify unexposed people • Low levels – Tight range – Measurement error • Passive – Potentially unknown to participant – Hard to identify unexposed AND exposed people
  • 7. Challenge: What is the Responsible Exposure? “The Environment caused my cancer” “Living in/working at _________ caused my cancer”
  • 8. Challenge: What to Measure: • What is the chemical of interest? • Is there a specific marker for your exposure? • What is the causative aspect of your exposure? • Is there a biomarker available?
  • 9. Challenge: When to Measure? • Cancer is generally a disease of long latency • Timing during life cycle may be critical • Usually performing measurements after the fact
  • 10. Challenge: Who to Measure? • Can you sample a representative group? • How do you define the boundaries of your cluster (in both space and time)?
  • 12. Outline • What is diesel exhaust? • Overview of animal and human cancer studies • The Trucking Industry Particle Study
  • 13. Diesel Exhaust “a complex mixture of particles and gases” • Vapor Phase • Particulate Phase Carbon Monoxide Elemental Carbon Carbon Dioxide Sulfates Sulfur Dioxide (from Hydrocarbons fuel) Nitrogen Oxides PAH Compounds Aldehydes (odor) Hydrocarbons PAH Compounds PAH= Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons
  • 14. Diesel Particle CO2 CO Elemental SO2 Nitrogen oxides Carbon (EC) Organic Carbon (OC) On surface (Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons) (PAH Compounds) Health Effects Institute, 1995
  • 15. What to Measure? • Fine particle mass (PM2.5): < 2.5 µm • PM1.0 mass: < 1.0 µm • Elemental carbon core (EC mass) • Organics on particle (OC mass) • Gaseous pollutants (NO2 = vehicle exposure) • PAHs (e.g. naphthalene) • Particle number/surface area
  • 17. Animal Lung Cancer Studies • Dose related increase in lung tumors at high levels of exposure (3500 µg/m3) in rats • Negative results in other rodent species • Results not specific to particles with associated organics (carbon particles ) • Mechanism: – In rats: overload of particle clearance mechanisms and inflammatory changes precede the development of lung cancer – But…inflammation is not part of the human lung cancer pathology
  • 18. Human Lung Cancer Studies • ~40 studies with 20%-50% elevated risk in diesel associated occupations – Truck Drivers – Railroad Workers – Bus Garage And Transport Workers – Dock Workers – Miners • EPA, IARC, WHO – likely or probable carcinogen • California – Toxic Air Contaminant (definite)
  • 19. Previous Truck Driver Studies “Null” Decreased risk Increased risk Statistically significant solid circle = smoking adjusted open circle = smoking unadjusted
  • 20. • Diesel exhaust is likely to be carcinogenic to humans by inhalation and this hazard applies to environmental exposures • Conclusions are based on the totality of evidence from human, animal, and other supporting studies • Epidemiologic studies were done in occupational cohorts, but occupational and environmental levels overlap
  • 21. How the Previous Epi Studies Measure Exposure: • Exposure definitions – Single job title or usual job – Yearly job, years of employment • Source of information – Self-report, census, next-of-kin, death certificate – Union or work record • Measurement of current exposure – Used to rank and validate exposure categories – Not used in primary analysis – No historical measurements
  • 22. The Trucking Industry Particle Study (TrIPS) Funded by the National Cancer Institute
  • 23. Research Questions • Is lung cancer risk increased among diesel exposed workers? • What is the quantitative exposure- risk relationship?
  • 24. Population • Four national unionized less-than- truckload trucking companies – Cooperation from both management and labor (Teamsters)
  • 25. Study Design • Retrospective cohort study 1985-2000 • National assessment of current exposures • Smoking survey to representative sample of workers
  • 26. Epidemiologic Component • From company records: – Identified all unionized workers working ≥ 1 day in 1985 (58,326) – Obtained personal work histories: chronological listing of job titles and work locations (terminal address, size) • Mortality follow-up 1985-2000: NDI – Date of death – Cause of death – primary and underlying
  • 27. Exposure Assessment Component • Randomly selected 36 large terminals (>100 employees) • Each was grouped with 1-2 smaller terminals located within 50 miles • 7 day sampling trips • Measured PM2.5, EC and OC in PM1.0 at each work location and upwind of the terminal
  • 29. Freight Terminal Wind Emission Sources Air Pollution Incoming Outgoing Repair Trailers Trailers Shop Freight Tractors (idling) Forklift Tractor Dock Yard (cab) Dock Trailer Office Offices & Lunchroom Pickup & Long Haul Pickup & Long Haul Delivery (rural) Delivery (rural) Emission sources
  • 30. Wind Freight Terminal Operations Air Jobs Mechanic Pollution Supervisor Repair Freight Shop Tractors (idling) Forklift Dock Yard Dock Dockman Office Supervisor Drivers: Offices & Dispatcher Pickup & Lunchroom Manager delivery Clerks Long-haul Emission sources
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39. Linking Exposure to Epidemiology • Information available for everybody: job title, terminal location and characteristics, calendar year, years of work • Develop statistical model to extrapolate exposure for each individual – Describes how above factors affect exposure intensity – Historic records used to estimate changes in factors
  • 40. Historical Exposures • Traffic exposure in cities – Trend for traffic emissions and traffic density • Truck fleet changes with time – Emissions by engine type, cab design, exhaust leaks • Diesel fuel changes with time – Sulfur, aromatic, and component contents • Other exposure factors – Changes in other sources – Air pollution
  • 41. Extrapolation of Historical Exposures • Validation of the model – Estimate 1989 exposures at sites of NIOSH surveys – Data from older operations • Potential limitations – Absence of data on exposures before 1989 – Uncertainty in simulations of older exposures – Missing company records – Crude historic air pollution data
  • 42. Comparisons to the General Population • Overall mortality: – SMR=0.72 (95%CI=0.70-0.74) • Lung cancer mortality – Overall: SMR=1.04 (95%CI=0.97-1.12) – All drivers: SMR=1.10 (95%CI=1.02-1.19) – Dockworkers: SMR=1.10 (95%CI=0.94- 1.30) Laden et al. EHP 2007
  • 43. Smoking Rates: Trucking versus General population
  • 44. Cohort Study • Exposure = job title • Dose = cumulative years of work • Comparison group = other job titles
  • 45. Summary of Personal Exposure Measurements (µg/m3) EC PM2.5 N GM GSD GM GSD Clerk 15 0.09 9.98 5.96 1.86 Dockworker 342 0.76 2.13 18.73 1.75 P&D 366 1.09 2.48 16.20 1.82 Long haul 173 1.12 1.91 19.96 2.30 GM=geometric mean; GSD=geometric standard deviation Smith et al. JEM 2006
  • 46. Lung Cancer HRs for +1 yrs of work Job title PY Deaths HR (95%CI)* Long haul 161,503 323 1.15 (0.92, 1.43) P&D 139,054 233 1.19 (0.99, 1.42) Dock 147,513 205 1.30 (1.07, 1.58) Combo 96,543 150 1.40 (1.12, 1.73) Mechanic 25,523 38 0.95 (0.66, 1.38) Hostler 29,947 29 0.99 (0.68, 1.45) Clerk 24,728 15 0.55 (0.32, 0.95) Other jobs 13,040 12 0.89 (0.48, 1.63) * Hazard ratio calculated using regression coefficients from a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model stratified on age in 1985, decade of hire, and calendar time, with risk sets by attained age, adjusted for the healthy worker survivor effect (total years on work, years off of work), race, and census region.
  • 47. Increased Risk with Years of Work Long-haul drivers P&D drivers 2.5 % Δ/yr wrk 3.6 % Δ/yr wrk
  • 48. Increased Risk with Years of Work Dockworkers Combo Worker 3.4 % Δ/yr wrk 4.0 % Δ/yr wrk
  • 49. Implications • Increased risk of lung cancer for job titles exposed to “freshly generated exhaust” • Easily extrapolated to the general population driving on the same roadways
  • 50. Addressing the Challenges • Ubiquitous, low level, passive exposures • Responsible exposure • What to measure • When to measure • Who to measure
  • 51. Acknowledgments • HSPH and HMS • U of Wisconsin • Eric Garshick • Jamie Shauer • Thomas Smith • Mary Davis • Advisory Board • Ellen Eisen • John Peters • Jaime Hart • David Savitz • Kevin Lane • Hans Kromhout • Serena Hon • Vicki Stover Hertzberg