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The World’s Largest Science and
      Innovation Park

                                  Egils Milbergs
             Washington Economic Development Commission
                                             May 7, 2010
                                          Tuesday Group
                                          Washington DC




                                                V.1.2
A History of Innovation

                       Commercial
                       Airplanes




COSTCO
Geography of Knowledge Based Industries   2007                     Total
                                               Metro Area
Milken Institute                          Rank                     Score
                                               San Jose –
                                          1    Sunnyvale-Santa     100.0
                                               Clara, CA
                                               Seattle-Bellevue-
                                          2    Everett, WA
                                                                 46.4
                                               Cambridge-Newton-
                                          3    Framingham, MA
                                                                    45.2
                                               Washington-
                                               Arlington-
                                          4    Alexandria, DC-VA-
                                                                    41.8
                                               MD-WV
                                               Los Angeles – Long
                                          5    Beach – Glendale, 40.2
                                               CA
                                               Dallas – Plano -
                                          6    Irving, TX
                                                                    21.8
                                               San Diego – Carlsbad
                                          7    – San Marcos, CA
                                                                    19.3
                                               Santa Ana –
                                          8    Anaheim-Irvine, CA
                                                                    17.7
                                               New York – White
                                          9    Plains – Wayne, NY- 16.8
                                               NJ
                                               San Francisco – San
                                          10   Mateo-Redwood        16.1
                                               City, CA                    4
Seattle –King County




                                                                        5
             Source: Sommers,Beyers,Wenzl,Industry Cluster Analysis, 2008
6
Geography of WA Unemployment (Mar. NSA)
A New Innovation Growth Curve

                       We are here
PROSPERITY




               TIME
Innovation is key to economic recovery
                                                                                2000s
 Over half of Fortune 500 and just under half of 2008 Inc.
 list began during a recession or bear market.                          Advantage is Innovation
                               Dane Stangler, Kauffman Foundation

                                                                            Strategy is
                                                                       “Make something new”
                                   1980s & 1990s
                                  Advantage is Quality

                                       Strategy is
    1960s & 1970s                    “Make it Better”
     Advantage is Cost

                                                                    There is no better time like
       Strategy is
                                                                    a downturn to innovate.
    “Make it Cheaper”
The risks inherent to starting a thriving business
in today’s troubled waters are immense, but the
rewards have never been greater.
The Commission’s Ten Year Vision
                  We should not fear to lead

Make Washington State the
most attractive, creative and
fertile investment
environment for innovation in
the world.

…, we can’t rest on our laurels, so        We must look over the horizon and
let’s commit today to grooming a           prepare for the new economy that
workforce and leaders who are
                                           will emerge when this recession
agile, creative, and embrace
innovation.
                                           passes.
                 Gov. Chris Gregoire              Commerce Secretary Gary Locke
                          March 10, 2009                            March 18, 2009


                                                                              11
Innovation Policy Framework
         Talent
                                      Education

                                                   Research

                          Workforce                           Growth
                           Skills
   Investment                                                 Employment
Entrepreneurship   Business
                                                  Entrepre
                                                   neurs
                                                              Prosperity
                                                                              GSH
                                  Innovation
                                  Ecosystem                   Quality of Life
                                               Associations   Competitiveness
                     Capital


                                             Non-
  Infrastructure               Gov’t        Profits




     Innovation                Innovation                         Innovation
       Drivers                  Ecosystem                          Outcomes
                                                                               12
Talent Challenge




    Egils Milbergs   13
Investment Challenge
                   Transforming ideas
                   Into applications
                                                  Creating business
                                                  models
Researchers and
entrepreneurs
create new ideas
                    No capital

                                                  No capital


                                                                     Firm creation
                         Dead                                        and innovation
                         ideas                                       success
                                                      Dead
                                                      firms
  Double “Valley of Death”
                                                                   Graphic concept adapted from
                                 Egils Milbergs         Dr. Charles Wessner, National Academies
                                                                                          14
Smarter, Cleaner, Greener
     Infrastructure




         Post “ICE” Age?
         Internal Combustion Engine


           Egils Milbergs             15
Leg     Notes
                   WEDC 2010 Scorecard                                       Action

                        Talent & Workforce
Retrain dislocated workers in high demand fields and occupations..
Deploy education and training resources to meet specific needs of
employers
Sustain the capacity of our higher education system

          Investment & Entrepreneurship
Expand STARS program and strengthen Innovation Partnership Zones.
Provide job creation incentives and integrated business services for small
business.
Compete for Federal R&D funds in strategic areas.

                            Infrastructure
Provide tax increment financing and other tools for local investment.
Streamline the regulatory process for significant projects and small
business
Develop state-wide energy strategy and plan.

Promote next generation broadband.

Apply economic development criteria to transportation projects.
New Model for Economic Development
        Traditional Model                Innovation Driven Model
Attract and retain companies           Invest in talent, ideas and
                                       infrastructure
Jobs                                   Quality of jobs, per capita incomes
Lowest cost of business inputs         Higher value inputs, increasing
                                       productivity and outcomes
Top down economic development          Bottom-up and organic growth
Competing regions: zero sum game       Collaborating regions: value creation
Closed linear innovation system        Open innovation ecosystem
Single disciplines, functions          Multiple disciplines, integration
Locally linked clusters                Globally linked clusters


   Strategize                    Organize              Operationize
                                                                             17
Source: Washington Technology Industry Association (WTIA)
http://wtia.micromaps.com/
Emergent Innovation Ecosystems
                   (illustrative portfolio)

  SMART GRID/                                    RENEWABLE
                  CLOUD COMPUTING
ENERGY EFFICIENCY                                  ENERGY

                   ELECTRIC VEHICLE             ADVANCED
 GLOBAL HEALTH
                   INFRASTRUCTURE              MANUCTURING

                     HEALTH IT                WATER RESOURCES/
 NEW MATERIALS
                   MEDICAL DEVICES             ENVIRONMENT

   LOGISTICS/           DEFENSE
                                              FOOD PROCESSING
FREIGHT MOBILITY      TECHNOLOGY
Global Health Ecosystem




         Ecosystem
Innovation Ecosystems Evolve
                                                                                          Innovation Ecosystem




          Innovation
         Accelerators                                               Virtual Cluster


                                                Growth Node
                                                                                             Many nodes
                                                                                            Dense linkages
                                                                    Virtualized functions
Talent                                                                                    Network to Network
                            Nascent Cluster                              Accelerated
              IPZs                                                      collaboration
    STARS
                                                Few to many firms
               EIRs                                Fast growth
Patents                                           Key linkages
                            None or few firms
         Incubators         Growth potential

                  Tax
    R&D
               Incentives
          Gap
         Funding      SBIR
                                                                                                         21
Marine
                           Agriculture,          World’s Largest Innovation Park
     Food Tourism          Composites
     Marine Energy
                                                                               Biomedical,
“Twilight”                           IT, gaming,                               Incubators
                   Aerospace         simulation

                                                        Food Processing,
  Life Sciences,                           Medical       Rail Innovation
  Global Health                            Devices
     Defense                              Environment
                                          Remediation
                                                               Wind, Solar,     Clean IT
                                                               Data Centers,
                                                                Adv. Mfg.

                                 Electric Cars
New Forestry




                                                                                Wine, Water
                                                   Clean Tech, Smart
  Biotech, Energy, Semi-                             Grid, Biofuels
   conductors, Exports
Extending the Innovation Ecosystem
PNWER GDP and Population
If PNWER were a separate country, it           PNWER Region (GDP/Pop.)
    would rank 13th in total GDP
                                       State/Prov.   GDP*       Population
    Country GDP*
    1. US 13,811,200                   Wash. 311,270            6,468,424
    2. Japan 4,376,705                 Alberta 259,900          3,585,000
    3. Germany 3,297,705               Oregon 158,233           3,790,060
    4. China 3,280,053                 B.C.    150,412          4,310,305
    5. U.K. 2,727,806
    6. France 2,562,288
                                       Idaho    51,149          1,523,816
    7. Italy 2,107,481                 Sask.    40,340          1,008,697
    8. Spain 1,429,226                 Alaska 44,517            686,293
    9. Canada 1,326,376                Montana 34,253           967,440
    10. Brazil 1,314,170               Yukon     1,767          32,714
    11. Russia 1,291,011
    12. India 1,170,968
    13. PNWER 1,051,841                Total 1,051,841          22,372,731

*2007 GDP in $US Million               *2007 population & GDP in $US Million
Your view of the Pacific Northwest
     economy in the next 24 months?

A. Robust growth and
                              50%   43%
   outperforming national                 39%
                              40%
   averages                   30%
                              20%               17%
B. Performance in line with
                              10%
   national economy trends                            0%
                               0%
C. Underperforming in most
   business sectors
D.    Don’t know

                                                           25
Will innovation be more important in the
next three decades than in the last three?

                      100%   91%
A.   Yes
                      80%
B.   No
                      60%

                      40%

                      20%            9%
                       0%
                             Yes     No

                                          26
Are there significant opportunities in cross
border innovation and collaboration?

1. Yes
2. Maybe               80%   74%
3. No                  70%
                       60%
                       50%
                       40%
                       30%         22%
                       20%
                       10%               4%
                                              0%
                        0%
                             Yes Maybe   No   (4)
                                                    27
Which areas offer the biggest opportunity
for innovation collaboration?


1.   Clean Energy               70%   65%
                                60%
2.   Information Technology     50%
3.   Health Services            40%
                                30%                        17%
4.   Communications             20%         9%
                                10%              4%   4%
5.   Transportation/Logistics    0%




                                                             28
What is the major factor limiting Pacific
Northwest’s innovation performance?
1.    Schools lagging in science
     and math education
2.   Government not doing           30%     26%     26%
     enough to support              25% 22%
     technological innovation       20%         17%
3.    Business not investing        15%
                                                        9%
     enough in technological        10%
     innovation                      5%                    0%
                                     0%
4.   Workers lacking skills to be
     technologically innovative
5.    Don’t know




                                                            29
What primary skills will children need
to drive innovation in the future?

1. Math and science skills    70%        61%
                              60%
2. Creative approaches to     50%
   problem-solving            40%
                              30%              22%
3. Entrepreneurial and        20%                    9% 4%
                              10%   4%
   business skills             0%
4. Knowledge of the world’s
   culture



                                                             30
How effective are your innovation and
R&D collaboration linkages with
neighboring states/ provinces?

1.   Absolutely great       50%                   43%
                            40%                         35%
2.   Good
                            30%
3.   Fair                                   17%
                            20%
4.   Needs more attention   10%        4%
                                  0%
5.   Poor                    0%




                                                              31
What is the biggest hurdle in forging
productive collaborations in the PNW?
1.   Disseminating awareness of
     opportunities
2.   Overcoming cultural, political,   35%              32%
     institutional rivalry             30%        27%
3.   Finding funds for                 25%                          23%
     collaborative projects and        20%                    14%
     ventures                          15%
                                       10%   5%
4.   Removing specific policy and       5%
     regulatory barriers                0%
5.   Adequately coordinating
     relevant stakeholders




                                                                      32
States and regions can be powerful
    players in the innovation economy
• States, regions and smaller nations are:
  – Large enough to:
     •   create intellectual capital
     •   build innovation ecosystem(s)
     •   connect globally
     •   respond to innovation opportunities
  – Small enough for:
     • shared vision and achievable outcomes
     • trusted personal relationships
     • effective governance
                                               33
Considerations for organizing effective regional
            innovation ecosystems
•   make innovation a clear and central mission
•   focus on outcomes and local, organic growth
•   enhance the visibility of regional resources
•   adapt policy to different economic structures
•   enable regional leadership
•   maximize results through collaboration
•   rationalize government program structure
•   creatively leverage public sector programs
•   measure performance and outcomes
Innovation Inputs                            Innovation Performance


                 Investment                                  Business         Public
Talent          Entrepreneurship
                                      Infrastructure
                                                           Performance        Impact

                                                              New Products
    R&D                R&D                                                     State GDP
                                         Transportation        & Services
  Personnel          Intensity


   STEM             Innovation                                Productivity    Employment
                                          Broadband
 Proficiency      Commercialization                                             Growth


  Education          Business                                  Exports          Standard
   Pipeline          Start-ups
                                            Energy                              of living


 Workforce            Capital              Business                             Income
                                                             Profitability
  Quality             Access               Climate                            Distribution


  Lifelong            Inward                                    Market           State
                                          Sustainability
  Learning          Investment                               Capitalization    Revenues
The best way to predict the future is to invent it.

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Milbergs Tuesday Group Presentation 1.2 May 7 2010

  • 1. The World’s Largest Science and Innovation Park Egils Milbergs Washington Economic Development Commission May 7, 2010 Tuesday Group Washington DC V.1.2
  • 2.
  • 3. A History of Innovation Commercial Airplanes COSTCO
  • 4. Geography of Knowledge Based Industries 2007 Total Metro Area Milken Institute Rank Score San Jose – 1 Sunnyvale-Santa 100.0 Clara, CA Seattle-Bellevue- 2 Everett, WA 46.4 Cambridge-Newton- 3 Framingham, MA 45.2 Washington- Arlington- 4 Alexandria, DC-VA- 41.8 MD-WV Los Angeles – Long 5 Beach – Glendale, 40.2 CA Dallas – Plano - 6 Irving, TX 21.8 San Diego – Carlsbad 7 – San Marcos, CA 19.3 Santa Ana – 8 Anaheim-Irvine, CA 17.7 New York – White 9 Plains – Wayne, NY- 16.8 NJ San Francisco – San 10 Mateo-Redwood 16.1 City, CA 4
  • 5. Seattle –King County 5 Source: Sommers,Beyers,Wenzl,Industry Cluster Analysis, 2008
  • 6. 6
  • 7. Geography of WA Unemployment (Mar. NSA)
  • 8. A New Innovation Growth Curve We are here PROSPERITY TIME
  • 9. Innovation is key to economic recovery 2000s Over half of Fortune 500 and just under half of 2008 Inc. list began during a recession or bear market. Advantage is Innovation Dane Stangler, Kauffman Foundation Strategy is “Make something new” 1980s & 1990s Advantage is Quality Strategy is 1960s & 1970s “Make it Better” Advantage is Cost There is no better time like Strategy is a downturn to innovate. “Make it Cheaper”
  • 10. The risks inherent to starting a thriving business in today’s troubled waters are immense, but the rewards have never been greater.
  • 11. The Commission’s Ten Year Vision We should not fear to lead Make Washington State the most attractive, creative and fertile investment environment for innovation in the world. …, we can’t rest on our laurels, so We must look over the horizon and let’s commit today to grooming a prepare for the new economy that workforce and leaders who are will emerge when this recession agile, creative, and embrace innovation. passes. Gov. Chris Gregoire Commerce Secretary Gary Locke March 10, 2009 March 18, 2009 11
  • 12. Innovation Policy Framework Talent Education Research Workforce Growth Skills Investment Employment Entrepreneurship Business Entrepre neurs Prosperity GSH Innovation Ecosystem Quality of Life Associations Competitiveness Capital Non- Infrastructure Gov’t Profits Innovation Innovation Innovation Drivers Ecosystem Outcomes 12
  • 13. Talent Challenge Egils Milbergs 13
  • 14. Investment Challenge Transforming ideas Into applications Creating business models Researchers and entrepreneurs create new ideas No capital No capital Firm creation Dead and innovation ideas success Dead firms Double “Valley of Death” Graphic concept adapted from Egils Milbergs Dr. Charles Wessner, National Academies 14
  • 15. Smarter, Cleaner, Greener Infrastructure Post “ICE” Age? Internal Combustion Engine Egils Milbergs 15
  • 16. Leg Notes WEDC 2010 Scorecard Action Talent & Workforce Retrain dislocated workers in high demand fields and occupations.. Deploy education and training resources to meet specific needs of employers Sustain the capacity of our higher education system Investment & Entrepreneurship Expand STARS program and strengthen Innovation Partnership Zones. Provide job creation incentives and integrated business services for small business. Compete for Federal R&D funds in strategic areas. Infrastructure Provide tax increment financing and other tools for local investment. Streamline the regulatory process for significant projects and small business Develop state-wide energy strategy and plan. Promote next generation broadband. Apply economic development criteria to transportation projects.
  • 17. New Model for Economic Development Traditional Model Innovation Driven Model Attract and retain companies Invest in talent, ideas and infrastructure Jobs Quality of jobs, per capita incomes Lowest cost of business inputs Higher value inputs, increasing productivity and outcomes Top down economic development Bottom-up and organic growth Competing regions: zero sum game Collaborating regions: value creation Closed linear innovation system Open innovation ecosystem Single disciplines, functions Multiple disciplines, integration Locally linked clusters Globally linked clusters Strategize Organize Operationize 17
  • 18. Source: Washington Technology Industry Association (WTIA) http://wtia.micromaps.com/
  • 19. Emergent Innovation Ecosystems (illustrative portfolio) SMART GRID/ RENEWABLE CLOUD COMPUTING ENERGY EFFICIENCY ENERGY ELECTRIC VEHICLE ADVANCED GLOBAL HEALTH INFRASTRUCTURE MANUCTURING HEALTH IT WATER RESOURCES/ NEW MATERIALS MEDICAL DEVICES ENVIRONMENT LOGISTICS/ DEFENSE FOOD PROCESSING FREIGHT MOBILITY TECHNOLOGY
  • 21. Innovation Ecosystems Evolve Innovation Ecosystem Innovation Accelerators Virtual Cluster Growth Node Many nodes Dense linkages Virtualized functions Talent Network to Network Nascent Cluster Accelerated IPZs collaboration STARS Few to many firms EIRs Fast growth Patents Key linkages None or few firms Incubators Growth potential Tax R&D Incentives Gap Funding SBIR 21
  • 22. Marine Agriculture, World’s Largest Innovation Park Food Tourism Composites Marine Energy Biomedical, “Twilight” IT, gaming, Incubators Aerospace simulation Food Processing, Life Sciences, Medical Rail Innovation Global Health Devices Defense Environment Remediation Wind, Solar, Clean IT Data Centers, Adv. Mfg. Electric Cars New Forestry Wine, Water Clean Tech, Smart Biotech, Energy, Semi- Grid, Biofuels conductors, Exports
  • 24. PNWER GDP and Population If PNWER were a separate country, it PNWER Region (GDP/Pop.) would rank 13th in total GDP State/Prov. GDP* Population Country GDP* 1. US 13,811,200 Wash. 311,270 6,468,424 2. Japan 4,376,705 Alberta 259,900 3,585,000 3. Germany 3,297,705 Oregon 158,233 3,790,060 4. China 3,280,053 B.C. 150,412 4,310,305 5. U.K. 2,727,806 6. France 2,562,288 Idaho 51,149 1,523,816 7. Italy 2,107,481 Sask. 40,340 1,008,697 8. Spain 1,429,226 Alaska 44,517 686,293 9. Canada 1,326,376 Montana 34,253 967,440 10. Brazil 1,314,170 Yukon 1,767 32,714 11. Russia 1,291,011 12. India 1,170,968 13. PNWER 1,051,841 Total 1,051,841 22,372,731 *2007 GDP in $US Million *2007 population & GDP in $US Million
  • 25. Your view of the Pacific Northwest economy in the next 24 months? A. Robust growth and 50% 43% outperforming national 39% 40% averages 30% 20% 17% B. Performance in line with 10% national economy trends 0% 0% C. Underperforming in most business sectors D. Don’t know 25
  • 26. Will innovation be more important in the next three decades than in the last three? 100% 91% A. Yes 80% B. No 60% 40% 20% 9% 0% Yes No 26
  • 27. Are there significant opportunities in cross border innovation and collaboration? 1. Yes 2. Maybe 80% 74% 3. No 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 22% 20% 10% 4% 0% 0% Yes Maybe No (4) 27
  • 28. Which areas offer the biggest opportunity for innovation collaboration? 1. Clean Energy 70% 65% 60% 2. Information Technology 50% 3. Health Services 40% 30% 17% 4. Communications 20% 9% 10% 4% 4% 5. Transportation/Logistics 0% 28
  • 29. What is the major factor limiting Pacific Northwest’s innovation performance? 1. Schools lagging in science and math education 2. Government not doing 30% 26% 26% enough to support 25% 22% technological innovation 20% 17% 3. Business not investing 15% 9% enough in technological 10% innovation 5% 0% 0% 4. Workers lacking skills to be technologically innovative 5. Don’t know 29
  • 30. What primary skills will children need to drive innovation in the future? 1. Math and science skills 70% 61% 60% 2. Creative approaches to 50% problem-solving 40% 30% 22% 3. Entrepreneurial and 20% 9% 4% 10% 4% business skills 0% 4. Knowledge of the world’s culture 30
  • 31. How effective are your innovation and R&D collaboration linkages with neighboring states/ provinces? 1. Absolutely great 50% 43% 40% 35% 2. Good 30% 3. Fair 17% 20% 4. Needs more attention 10% 4% 0% 5. Poor 0% 31
  • 32. What is the biggest hurdle in forging productive collaborations in the PNW? 1. Disseminating awareness of opportunities 2. Overcoming cultural, political, 35% 32% institutional rivalry 30% 27% 3. Finding funds for 25% 23% collaborative projects and 20% 14% ventures 15% 10% 5% 4. Removing specific policy and 5% regulatory barriers 0% 5. Adequately coordinating relevant stakeholders 32
  • 33. States and regions can be powerful players in the innovation economy • States, regions and smaller nations are: – Large enough to: • create intellectual capital • build innovation ecosystem(s) • connect globally • respond to innovation opportunities – Small enough for: • shared vision and achievable outcomes • trusted personal relationships • effective governance 33
  • 34. Considerations for organizing effective regional innovation ecosystems • make innovation a clear and central mission • focus on outcomes and local, organic growth • enhance the visibility of regional resources • adapt policy to different economic structures • enable regional leadership • maximize results through collaboration • rationalize government program structure • creatively leverage public sector programs • measure performance and outcomes
  • 35. Innovation Inputs Innovation Performance Investment Business Public Talent Entrepreneurship Infrastructure Performance Impact New Products R&D R&D State GDP Transportation & Services Personnel Intensity STEM Innovation Productivity Employment Broadband Proficiency Commercialization Growth Education Business Exports Standard Pipeline Start-ups Energy of living Workforce Capital Business Income Profitability Quality Access Climate Distribution Lifelong Inward Market State Sustainability Learning Investment Capitalization Revenues
  • 36. The best way to predict the future is to invent it.