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Egils Milbergs
Executive Director
Washington Economic Development Commission
www.wedc.wa.gov
Four Pillars for Economic Growth
and Job Creation
MakingitinWashington
February1,2012
Commission Members
Data source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics
Recovery: Non-farm Employment
Monthly difference with start of recession (Q4 2007)
-208.1
-250
-200
-150
-100
-50
0
50
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
DifferencewithInitialPeriodEmployment
(ThousandsofWorkers)
Months of Recovery
2001 Recession (3 quarters) Since Q4 2007
Data source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics
Non-farm Employment
Seattle-Bellevue-Tacoma Metropolitan Area
-118.9
-71.2
1,340
1,360
1,380
1,400
1,420
1,440
1,460
1,480
1,500
Aug-07
Oct-07
Dec-07
Feb-08
Apr-08
Jun-08
Aug-08
Oct-08
Dec-08
Feb-09
Apr-09
Jun-09
Aug-09
Oct-09
Dec-09
Feb-10
Apr-10
Jun-10
Aug-10
Oct-10
Dec-10
Feb-11
Apr-11
Jun-11
Aug-11
Oct-11
Dec-11
Line indicates employment level in April 2008 (recent max)
Key Performance Comparisons
(by range, state rank and trend)
5WEDC 1.4
$45,464
1.8%
$43,564
0.442
4.0%
86
Real per capita GDP, 2010
Non-farm employment
growth, Nov ‘11 3mma
Per capita personal
income, 2010 (current USD)
Gini Coefficient,
2005-2009
Computer and
mathematical occupations,
as % total workforce, 2010
Patents (all types) per 100k
residents
AK, DE, CT
ND, OK, UT
CT, MA, NJ
UT, AK, NH
VA, MD, WA
VT, WA, CA
Washington’s Rank
#14
#11
#14
#19
#3
#2
$29,318
0.8%
0.499
$31,046
4.6
-0.8%
$63,090
$54,877
4.9%
0.411
106.8
5.1%
(Scale in reverse)
(More than double 2005)
Data source: Washington State Employment Security Department.
Non-farm Absolute Gains and Losses, Year-over-Year
Seattle-Bellevue-Tacoma Metropolitan Area, November 2011 (1000s workers)
-0.63
-0.33
-0.33
-0.33
-0.03
1.30
1.77
1.83
3.73
8.63
Credit Intermediation and Related Activities
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities
Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping and Payroll
Truck Transportation
Air Transportation
Administrative and Support Services
Architectural, Engineering and Related Services
Software Publishers
Computer Systems Design and Related Services
Transportation Equipment Mfg
LargestLossesLargestGains
The Good and the Bad
Reasons for Optimism
• Young, connected, smart people
• Strong anchor companies:
aerospace, food, information
technology, medical, non-profit
• Intellectual property hotspot
• Attractive place to live
• No income tax
• Pacific Rim location
• Potential defense opportunities
• Growing entrepreneurial sector
• Abundant energy sources
Reasons for Pessimism
• Global uncertainty
• Long term unemployed
• Skills mismatch
• Short on engineering talent
• Underperforming schools
• Poor transport infrastructure
• Lagging regions
• Income disparity
• Cost/complexity to start a new
business.
7WEDC 1.4
To accelerate job creation, WA must make
progress on four dimensions
Intellect
Investment
Infrastructure
International
Emphasize career transition, access to learning
resources and the skills that employers need.
Create innovation ecosystem to foster
new products, start-ups and manufacturing.
Design a 21st century infrastructure, an efficient
regulatory system and align to regional objectives.
Grow the global presence of Washington’s business.
8WEDC 1.4
Policy Specifics Around the Four Pillars
TALENT and
WORKFORCE
1. Channel talent
pipeline to
industry needs
2. Shift focus of UI
to support new
career prep.
3. Retain foreign
student
graduates
4. Navigate career
choices with
personalized
information
INVESTMENT
and
ENTREPRENEURSHIP
1. Recruit STARs
research teams
2. Provide
operational funds
for IPZs
3. Turn on FDI
4. Enhance tax policy
to close gaps in
commercialization
INFRASTRUCTURE
and REGULATIONS
1. Assess economic
development
outcomes.
2. Create Lean
Institute for
regulatory
efficiency
3. Align infrastructure
investments to
local priorities
4. Pilot self financing
of collaborative
innovation.
INTERNATIONAL
BUSINES
(Exports)
1. Optimize export
services to SMEs
2. Modernize
transportation
infrastructure for
freight mobility
3. Intensify
innovation
collaboration in the
Pacific Northwest.
SOURCE: Statement of Priorities for Kick-starting Job Creation, Washington Economic Development Commission, Nov 22 , 2011
9WEDC 1.4
Workforce Challenge
WA Economic Development Commission 10
Technical
Prof
Technical
Unskilled
Prof
Unskilled
Washington STAR Researchers
Michael Hochberg Birgitte Ahring
Chen-Ching Liu
Daniel Kirschen
UW
WSU – BSEL Center for Bioproducts and Bioenergy
Smart Grid
WSU
Hugh Hillhouse
Faces of Emerging Industries
Entrepreneurs-in-Residence
Lars Johansson
Ronald Berenson
Terri Butler
Henry Berg
Stephanie Amoss
Ken Myer
David Kaplan
David Croniser
Thomas Schulte
Bryan Zetlan
Lewis Rumpler
Peter Quinn
Karen Fleckner
Kevin Petersen
Jeff Canin
Chris Leyerle
Startup Weekend
WA Economic Development Commission 13
Whidbey Island
Naval Air
Puget Sound
Naval Shipyard
Joint Base
Lewis McChord
Madigan Medical Center
Naval Submarine
Base Bangor Spokane
Fairchild AFB
US Coast Guard
WA Nat’l Guard
US Army, Yakima
US Marine Corps
Opportunities in Defense Technology
191,000 jobs
$12.2 billion in output
$10.5 billion in labor income
$5.2 billion in defense contracts
Intelligence, Surveillance, and Recon
Special forces and special operations
Network-centric operations
Cyber security
Composite materials
 Unmanned systems – both air and sea
 Energy efficiency
Environmental stewardship
Health care for veterans
Naval Station
Everett
14
Transforming Infrastructure
Post “ICE” Age?
Internal Combustion Engine
15
Leave oil
before it
leaves us!
15WA Economic Development Commission
Innovation Partnership Zones
Bellingham Innovation Zone
Aerospace Convergence Zone
North Olympic IPZ
Tri-Cities Research District
South Lake Union Life Science IPZ
Spokane University District IPZ
Bothell Biomedical Manufacturing
Corridor
Central Washington Resource
Energy Collaborative
Grays Harbor Sustainable
Industries
Pullman –Clean Tech Industries
Walla Walla IPZ
Interactive Media and Digital Arts
King County Financial Services
Collaborative
Urban Clean Water Technology
Zone
WA Economic Development Commission 17
Washington’s Global
Health Ecosystem
T
S
R&D Assets
•University based research centers
•National Labs (gov’t)
•Corporate Labs
•Inventors (patent owners)
Transformers
•Entrepreneurs
•Start-ups
•Incubators
•Technology Development Initiatives
•Industry University Collaborations
T
Funders
•Government Policies/Programs/Incentives
•Venture Capital
•Angel/Seed Networks
•Corporate R&D
•IPOs
S
Support
•Regional Innovation Clusters
•Talent pool
•Professional (Legal, Accounting, HR , Mentors)
•Marketing and Branding
Innovation
Ecosystem
Not just ingredients but the
relationships
Adapted from Navi Radjou, Forrester Research18WA Economic Development Commission
Innovation Ecosystems Evolve
Growth
Transformational
Nascent
Emerging
None or few firms
Growth potential
Few to many firms
Fast growth
Some linkages
Accelerated
collaboration
Many linkages
Attraction of firms
Many nodes
Dense linkages
Region to Region
Next generation
STARS
IPZs
R&D
EIRs
Patents
Incubators
Innovation
Triggers
Tax
Incentives
Talent
Gap
Funding SBIR
19WA Economic Development Commission
21
Fiscal constraints require new priorities
Some difficult choices for economic development
Reduce Create
Eliminate Invest
Tough
Trade-offs
Economic
Development
Programs
Outcomes
Jobs
Income
Distribution
Per capita GDP
growth
Quality of life
Tax revenues
WEDC 1.4
22
Current Economic Development System
Many pieces, but how do they work together?
Dept of Commerce
18 Programs
Governor’s Office
Strategic Reserve Account
Employment
Security
Department
15 Programs
Dept. of Agriculture
5 Programs
Dept. of Social &
Health Service
3 Programs
WSDOT
2 Programs
OSPI /Early
Learning
3Programs
WA SBCTC
10 Programs
Workforce Training
Board
2 Programs
Washington State
University
5 Programs
University of WA
6 Programs
36 other state economic programs
Recreation &
Conservation Office
14 Programs
Innovate WA
8 Programs
Trade Associations
Economic
Development
Councils
Innovation
Partnership
Zones
City & County
Government
Federal
Labs
SBA
Dept. of
Agriculture
SBIR/STTR
Dept. of
Defense
Business and Local Economic Development Organizations
FederalPrograms
Dept of
Commerce
Associate
Development
Organizations
WEDC 1.4
PNWER Region (GDP/Pop.)
State/Prov. GDP* Population
Wash. 322,778 6,549,224
Alberta 291,300 3,735,086
B.C. 191,006 4,551,853
Oregon 161,573 3,782,991
Idaho 52,747 1,545,801
Alaska 47,912 686,293
Sask. 41,296 1,049,701
Montana 29,885 974,989
NW Terr. 4,124 41,464
Yukon 2,026 34,157
Total 1,144,647 22,901,559
*2009 population & GDP in $US Million
Data provided by PNWER – Pacific Northwest Economic Region
Pacific Northwest is an innovation powerhouse
If PNWER were a
separate country,
it would rank 14th in
total GDP
23WA Economic Development Commission
If PNWER were a
separate country,
it would rank 14th in
total GDP
24WA Economic Development Commission

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Four Pillars for Economic Growth February 1 2012

  • 1. Egils Milbergs Executive Director Washington Economic Development Commission www.wedc.wa.gov Four Pillars for Economic Growth and Job Creation MakingitinWashington February1,2012
  • 3. Data source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics Recovery: Non-farm Employment Monthly difference with start of recession (Q4 2007) -208.1 -250 -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 DifferencewithInitialPeriodEmployment (ThousandsofWorkers) Months of Recovery 2001 Recession (3 quarters) Since Q4 2007
  • 4. Data source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics Non-farm Employment Seattle-Bellevue-Tacoma Metropolitan Area -118.9 -71.2 1,340 1,360 1,380 1,400 1,420 1,440 1,460 1,480 1,500 Aug-07 Oct-07 Dec-07 Feb-08 Apr-08 Jun-08 Aug-08 Oct-08 Dec-08 Feb-09 Apr-09 Jun-09 Aug-09 Oct-09 Dec-09 Feb-10 Apr-10 Jun-10 Aug-10 Oct-10 Dec-10 Feb-11 Apr-11 Jun-11 Aug-11 Oct-11 Dec-11 Line indicates employment level in April 2008 (recent max)
  • 5. Key Performance Comparisons (by range, state rank and trend) 5WEDC 1.4 $45,464 1.8% $43,564 0.442 4.0% 86 Real per capita GDP, 2010 Non-farm employment growth, Nov ‘11 3mma Per capita personal income, 2010 (current USD) Gini Coefficient, 2005-2009 Computer and mathematical occupations, as % total workforce, 2010 Patents (all types) per 100k residents AK, DE, CT ND, OK, UT CT, MA, NJ UT, AK, NH VA, MD, WA VT, WA, CA Washington’s Rank #14 #11 #14 #19 #3 #2 $29,318 0.8% 0.499 $31,046 4.6 -0.8% $63,090 $54,877 4.9% 0.411 106.8 5.1% (Scale in reverse) (More than double 2005)
  • 6. Data source: Washington State Employment Security Department. Non-farm Absolute Gains and Losses, Year-over-Year Seattle-Bellevue-Tacoma Metropolitan Area, November 2011 (1000s workers) -0.63 -0.33 -0.33 -0.33 -0.03 1.30 1.77 1.83 3.73 8.63 Credit Intermediation and Related Activities Insurance Carriers and Related Activities Accounting, Tax Preparation, Bookkeeping and Payroll Truck Transportation Air Transportation Administrative and Support Services Architectural, Engineering and Related Services Software Publishers Computer Systems Design and Related Services Transportation Equipment Mfg LargestLossesLargestGains
  • 7. The Good and the Bad Reasons for Optimism • Young, connected, smart people • Strong anchor companies: aerospace, food, information technology, medical, non-profit • Intellectual property hotspot • Attractive place to live • No income tax • Pacific Rim location • Potential defense opportunities • Growing entrepreneurial sector • Abundant energy sources Reasons for Pessimism • Global uncertainty • Long term unemployed • Skills mismatch • Short on engineering talent • Underperforming schools • Poor transport infrastructure • Lagging regions • Income disparity • Cost/complexity to start a new business. 7WEDC 1.4
  • 8. To accelerate job creation, WA must make progress on four dimensions Intellect Investment Infrastructure International Emphasize career transition, access to learning resources and the skills that employers need. Create innovation ecosystem to foster new products, start-ups and manufacturing. Design a 21st century infrastructure, an efficient regulatory system and align to regional objectives. Grow the global presence of Washington’s business. 8WEDC 1.4
  • 9. Policy Specifics Around the Four Pillars TALENT and WORKFORCE 1. Channel talent pipeline to industry needs 2. Shift focus of UI to support new career prep. 3. Retain foreign student graduates 4. Navigate career choices with personalized information INVESTMENT and ENTREPRENEURSHIP 1. Recruit STARs research teams 2. Provide operational funds for IPZs 3. Turn on FDI 4. Enhance tax policy to close gaps in commercialization INFRASTRUCTURE and REGULATIONS 1. Assess economic development outcomes. 2. Create Lean Institute for regulatory efficiency 3. Align infrastructure investments to local priorities 4. Pilot self financing of collaborative innovation. INTERNATIONAL BUSINES (Exports) 1. Optimize export services to SMEs 2. Modernize transportation infrastructure for freight mobility 3. Intensify innovation collaboration in the Pacific Northwest. SOURCE: Statement of Priorities for Kick-starting Job Creation, Washington Economic Development Commission, Nov 22 , 2011 9WEDC 1.4
  • 10. Workforce Challenge WA Economic Development Commission 10 Technical Prof Technical Unskilled Prof Unskilled
  • 11. Washington STAR Researchers Michael Hochberg Birgitte Ahring Chen-Ching Liu Daniel Kirschen UW WSU – BSEL Center for Bioproducts and Bioenergy Smart Grid WSU Hugh Hillhouse
  • 12. Faces of Emerging Industries Entrepreneurs-in-Residence Lars Johansson Ronald Berenson Terri Butler Henry Berg Stephanie Amoss Ken Myer David Kaplan David Croniser Thomas Schulte Bryan Zetlan Lewis Rumpler Peter Quinn Karen Fleckner Kevin Petersen Jeff Canin Chris Leyerle
  • 13. Startup Weekend WA Economic Development Commission 13
  • 14. Whidbey Island Naval Air Puget Sound Naval Shipyard Joint Base Lewis McChord Madigan Medical Center Naval Submarine Base Bangor Spokane Fairchild AFB US Coast Guard WA Nat’l Guard US Army, Yakima US Marine Corps Opportunities in Defense Technology 191,000 jobs $12.2 billion in output $10.5 billion in labor income $5.2 billion in defense contracts Intelligence, Surveillance, and Recon Special forces and special operations Network-centric operations Cyber security Composite materials  Unmanned systems – both air and sea  Energy efficiency Environmental stewardship Health care for veterans Naval Station Everett 14
  • 15. Transforming Infrastructure Post “ICE” Age? Internal Combustion Engine 15 Leave oil before it leaves us! 15WA Economic Development Commission
  • 16. Innovation Partnership Zones Bellingham Innovation Zone Aerospace Convergence Zone North Olympic IPZ Tri-Cities Research District South Lake Union Life Science IPZ Spokane University District IPZ Bothell Biomedical Manufacturing Corridor Central Washington Resource Energy Collaborative Grays Harbor Sustainable Industries Pullman –Clean Tech Industries Walla Walla IPZ Interactive Media and Digital Arts King County Financial Services Collaborative Urban Clean Water Technology Zone
  • 17. WA Economic Development Commission 17 Washington’s Global Health Ecosystem
  • 18. T S R&D Assets •University based research centers •National Labs (gov’t) •Corporate Labs •Inventors (patent owners) Transformers •Entrepreneurs •Start-ups •Incubators •Technology Development Initiatives •Industry University Collaborations T Funders •Government Policies/Programs/Incentives •Venture Capital •Angel/Seed Networks •Corporate R&D •IPOs S Support •Regional Innovation Clusters •Talent pool •Professional (Legal, Accounting, HR , Mentors) •Marketing and Branding Innovation Ecosystem Not just ingredients but the relationships Adapted from Navi Radjou, Forrester Research18WA Economic Development Commission
  • 19. Innovation Ecosystems Evolve Growth Transformational Nascent Emerging None or few firms Growth potential Few to many firms Fast growth Some linkages Accelerated collaboration Many linkages Attraction of firms Many nodes Dense linkages Region to Region Next generation STARS IPZs R&D EIRs Patents Incubators Innovation Triggers Tax Incentives Talent Gap Funding SBIR 19WA Economic Development Commission
  • 20.
  • 21. 21 Fiscal constraints require new priorities Some difficult choices for economic development Reduce Create Eliminate Invest Tough Trade-offs Economic Development Programs Outcomes Jobs Income Distribution Per capita GDP growth Quality of life Tax revenues WEDC 1.4
  • 22. 22 Current Economic Development System Many pieces, but how do they work together? Dept of Commerce 18 Programs Governor’s Office Strategic Reserve Account Employment Security Department 15 Programs Dept. of Agriculture 5 Programs Dept. of Social & Health Service 3 Programs WSDOT 2 Programs OSPI /Early Learning 3Programs WA SBCTC 10 Programs Workforce Training Board 2 Programs Washington State University 5 Programs University of WA 6 Programs 36 other state economic programs Recreation & Conservation Office 14 Programs Innovate WA 8 Programs Trade Associations Economic Development Councils Innovation Partnership Zones City & County Government Federal Labs SBA Dept. of Agriculture SBIR/STTR Dept. of Defense Business and Local Economic Development Organizations FederalPrograms Dept of Commerce Associate Development Organizations WEDC 1.4
  • 23. PNWER Region (GDP/Pop.) State/Prov. GDP* Population Wash. 322,778 6,549,224 Alberta 291,300 3,735,086 B.C. 191,006 4,551,853 Oregon 161,573 3,782,991 Idaho 52,747 1,545,801 Alaska 47,912 686,293 Sask. 41,296 1,049,701 Montana 29,885 974,989 NW Terr. 4,124 41,464 Yukon 2,026 34,157 Total 1,144,647 22,901,559 *2009 population & GDP in $US Million Data provided by PNWER – Pacific Northwest Economic Region Pacific Northwest is an innovation powerhouse If PNWER were a separate country, it would rank 14th in total GDP 23WA Economic Development Commission If PNWER were a separate country, it would rank 14th in total GDP