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MOUNT ONTAKE: SATURDAY, 
SEPTEMBER 27, 2014
MOUNT ONTAKE 
ERUPTS AFTER 35 YEARS 
OF DORMANCY 
THE ERUPTION OCCURRED A 
LITTLE BEFORE NOON ON 
SEPTEMBER 27, 2014
PHYSICAL IMPACTS 
• With a sound likened to thunder, 
the 10,065 foot (3,320 m) high 
volcano spewed large white 
plumes of gas and ash high into 
the sky and blanketed the 
surrounding area with ash.
LOCAL IMPACTS 
The mountain is a popular climbing 
destination, and at least 250 people were 
initially trapped on the slopes. 
At least 30 were killed; most made their 
way down by Saturday night, but the 
injured, unable to descend the 10,062- 
foot mountain on their own, stayed in 
mountain lodges,
THIS STORY IS UNFINISHED 
• On Sunday, a large plume of ash 
continued to rise from the ash-covered 
summit of Mount Ontake. 
• A convoy of red fire trucks, sirens 
blaring, rescue workers on foot, and 
helicopters headed into the restricted 
zone around the mountain for search 
and rescue missions.
BACKGROUND
Natural Phenomena That Cause 
Disasters 
Planet Earth’s heat 
flow causes 
movement of 
lithospheric 
plates, which 
causes sub-duction, 
which 
causes VOLCANIC 
ERUPTIONS
ELEMENTS OF VOLCANIC 
HAZARDS AND RISK
ELEMENTS OF RISK 
HAZARDS 
EXPOSURE 
RISK 
VULNERABILITY LOCATION
VOLCANOES 
PART OF THE PACIFIC “RING OF FIRE,” 
JAPAN HAS ACTIVE VOLCANOES AS A 
RESULT OF COMPLEX SUBDUCTION OF 
THE PACIFIC PLATE BENEATH THE 
EURASIAN PLATE
SOME OF THE 1,500 ACTIVE 
VOLCANOES ARE IN CHILE
LATERAL BLAST 
VOLCANIC 
ERUPTIONS 
PYROCLASTIC FLOWS 
FLYING DEBRIS 
VOLCANIC ASH PLUME 
LAVA FLOWS 
LAHARS 
TOXIC GASES 
CAUSES 
OF RISK 
CASE HISTORIES
VOLCANO HAZARDS 
CAN HAVE FAR REACHING IMPACTS 
• VERTICAL PLUME (can affect 
jet aircraft) 
• ASH AND TEPHRA 
• LATERAL BLAST 
• PYROCLASTIC CLOUDS, 
BURSTS, AND FLOWS
VOLCANO HAZARDS 
CAN HAVE FAR REACHING IMPACTS 
• LAVA FLOWS 
• LAHARS (can bury villages) 
• EARTHQUAKES (related to 
movement of lava) 
• “VOLCANIC WINTER” (causing 
famine and mass extinctions)
A DISASTER is --- 
--- the set of failures that overwhelm the 
capability of a community to respond 
without external help when three 
continuums: 1) people, 2) community 
(i.e., a set of habitats, livelihoods, and 
social constructs), and 3) complex 
events (e.g., a volcanic eruption, …) 
intersect at a point in space and time.
THE REASONS ARE . . . 
• The community is UN-PREPARED 
for what will likely 
happen, not to mention the 
low-probability of occurrence— 
high-probability of adverse 
consequences event.
THE REASONS ARE . . . 
• The community is UN-PREPARED 
for what will likely 
happen from a “low-probability 
of occurrence—high-probability 
of adverse consequences” 
event.
THE REASONS ARE . . . 
• The community has NO DISASTER 
PLANNING SCENARIO or 
WARNING SYSTEM in place as a 
strategic framework for early threat 
identification and coordinated 
local, national, regional, and 
international countermeasures.
THE REASONS ARE . . . 
• The community LACKS THE 
CAPACITY TO RESPOND in a 
timely and effective manner to 
the full spectrum of expected 
and unexpected emergency 
situations.
THE REASONS ARE . . . 
• The community is INEFFICIENT 
during recovery and 
reconstruction because it HAS 
NOT LEARNED from either the 
current experience or the 
cumulative prior experiences.
THE ALTERNATIVE TO A 
VOLCANO DISASTER IS 
VOLCANO DISASTER 
RESILIENCE
The keys to resilience: 
1) know the eruptive history of your 
region’s volcanoes, 
2) be prepared 
3) have a warning system 4) 
evacuate 
5) learn from the experience and 
start over
JAPAN’S 
COMMUNITIES 
VOLCANO RISK 
•VOLCANO HAZARDS 
•PEOPLE & BLDGS. 
•VULNERABILITY 
•LOCATION 
DATA BASES 
AND INFORMATION 
HAZARDS: 
GROUND SHAKING 
GROUND FAILURE 
SURFACE FAULTING 
TECTONIC DEFORMATION 
TSUNAMI RUN UP 
AFTERSHOCKS 
RISK 
ACCEPTABLE RISK 
UNACCEPTABLE RISK 
GOAL: VOLCANO 
DISASTER RESILIENCE 
POLICY OPTIONS 
• PREPAREDNESS 
•PROTECTION 
•EARLY WARNING 
•EMERGENCY RESPONSE 
•RECOVERY and 
RECONSTRUCTION
TECHNOLOGIES FOR 
MONITORING, FORECASTING, 
AND WARNING ARE VITAL FOR 
SURVIVAL.
AIR AND LAND MONITORING 
TECHNOLOGIES ARE VITAL 
.

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Mount Ontake Erupts After 35 Years of Dormancy

  • 1. MOUNT ONTAKE: SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 27, 2014
  • 2. MOUNT ONTAKE ERUPTS AFTER 35 YEARS OF DORMANCY THE ERUPTION OCCURRED A LITTLE BEFORE NOON ON SEPTEMBER 27, 2014
  • 3. PHYSICAL IMPACTS • With a sound likened to thunder, the 10,065 foot (3,320 m) high volcano spewed large white plumes of gas and ash high into the sky and blanketed the surrounding area with ash.
  • 4. LOCAL IMPACTS The mountain is a popular climbing destination, and at least 250 people were initially trapped on the slopes. At least 30 were killed; most made their way down by Saturday night, but the injured, unable to descend the 10,062- foot mountain on their own, stayed in mountain lodges,
  • 5. THIS STORY IS UNFINISHED • On Sunday, a large plume of ash continued to rise from the ash-covered summit of Mount Ontake. • A convoy of red fire trucks, sirens blaring, rescue workers on foot, and helicopters headed into the restricted zone around the mountain for search and rescue missions.
  • 7. Natural Phenomena That Cause Disasters Planet Earth’s heat flow causes movement of lithospheric plates, which causes sub-duction, which causes VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS
  • 8. ELEMENTS OF VOLCANIC HAZARDS AND RISK
  • 9. ELEMENTS OF RISK HAZARDS EXPOSURE RISK VULNERABILITY LOCATION
  • 10. VOLCANOES PART OF THE PACIFIC “RING OF FIRE,” JAPAN HAS ACTIVE VOLCANOES AS A RESULT OF COMPLEX SUBDUCTION OF THE PACIFIC PLATE BENEATH THE EURASIAN PLATE
  • 11. SOME OF THE 1,500 ACTIVE VOLCANOES ARE IN CHILE
  • 12. LATERAL BLAST VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS PYROCLASTIC FLOWS FLYING DEBRIS VOLCANIC ASH PLUME LAVA FLOWS LAHARS TOXIC GASES CAUSES OF RISK CASE HISTORIES
  • 13. VOLCANO HAZARDS CAN HAVE FAR REACHING IMPACTS • VERTICAL PLUME (can affect jet aircraft) • ASH AND TEPHRA • LATERAL BLAST • PYROCLASTIC CLOUDS, BURSTS, AND FLOWS
  • 14. VOLCANO HAZARDS CAN HAVE FAR REACHING IMPACTS • LAVA FLOWS • LAHARS (can bury villages) • EARTHQUAKES (related to movement of lava) • “VOLCANIC WINTER” (causing famine and mass extinctions)
  • 15. A DISASTER is --- --- the set of failures that overwhelm the capability of a community to respond without external help when three continuums: 1) people, 2) community (i.e., a set of habitats, livelihoods, and social constructs), and 3) complex events (e.g., a volcanic eruption, …) intersect at a point in space and time.
  • 16. THE REASONS ARE . . . • The community is UN-PREPARED for what will likely happen, not to mention the low-probability of occurrence— high-probability of adverse consequences event.
  • 17. THE REASONS ARE . . . • The community is UN-PREPARED for what will likely happen from a “low-probability of occurrence—high-probability of adverse consequences” event.
  • 18. THE REASONS ARE . . . • The community has NO DISASTER PLANNING SCENARIO or WARNING SYSTEM in place as a strategic framework for early threat identification and coordinated local, national, regional, and international countermeasures.
  • 19. THE REASONS ARE . . . • The community LACKS THE CAPACITY TO RESPOND in a timely and effective manner to the full spectrum of expected and unexpected emergency situations.
  • 20. THE REASONS ARE . . . • The community is INEFFICIENT during recovery and reconstruction because it HAS NOT LEARNED from either the current experience or the cumulative prior experiences.
  • 21. THE ALTERNATIVE TO A VOLCANO DISASTER IS VOLCANO DISASTER RESILIENCE
  • 22. The keys to resilience: 1) know the eruptive history of your region’s volcanoes, 2) be prepared 3) have a warning system 4) evacuate 5) learn from the experience and start over
  • 23. JAPAN’S COMMUNITIES VOLCANO RISK •VOLCANO HAZARDS •PEOPLE & BLDGS. •VULNERABILITY •LOCATION DATA BASES AND INFORMATION HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS RISK ACCEPTABLE RISK UNACCEPTABLE RISK GOAL: VOLCANO DISASTER RESILIENCE POLICY OPTIONS • PREPAREDNESS •PROTECTION •EARLY WARNING •EMERGENCY RESPONSE •RECOVERY and RECONSTRUCTION
  • 24. TECHNOLOGIES FOR MONITORING, FORECASTING, AND WARNING ARE VITAL FOR SURVIVAL.
  • 25. AIR AND LAND MONITORING TECHNOLOGIES ARE VITAL .