SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  47
www.hhs.se
May 2015
Then…
Thx to R. Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
…Now
Thx to R. Wieselfors, Ericsson for photos
If the rate of change on the
outside (of an organization)
exceeds the rate of change on
the inside, the end is near....
-Jack Welch
Increasing pace of change
 From 1920s to 2010s
− Average lifespan of S&P 500 company fell from 67
years to 15 years
 Predictions
− In next few years, 70% of Fortune 1000 companies to
be replaced
− By 2020, >75% of S&P 500 companies do not exist
today
− By 2025, >45% of Fortune 500 companies to be from
emerging markets
Fast Company, McKinsey & Inc
People
• “Net generation”
• 24x7 “mobile” workforce
• Knowledge via MOOCs
• Sharing not consuming
• Sustainability
Technology
• Broadband access
• The cloud
• Mobile phones
• Internet of Things
• Big data
• 3D printing
• Robotics/AI
• VR/AR
Open Source
•Communities
•Software
• Hardware
• Physibles
Convergence of…..
Finance
• Microlending/microfinance
• Crowdfunding/equity/P2P
• Non-fiat cryptocurrencies
• Mobile money/payments
Bitcoin = The power of community +
open source + internet + CPU
• Self-organizing community of thousands of “strangers”
• Not one but many motivations (intrinsic, extrinsic)
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2263707
What’s around the corner?
24x7 Global Internet Collaboration + Open Source + 3D Printing
http://mashable.com/2013/02/13/robohand/
$60,000
$150
Available for free
download on
Where is
the firm?
History tends to repeat itself….
Innovation, financial crisis, industrial revolution, …
Steam
engine
Internal
combustion
engine
Internet
Microelectronics
Late 18th C Late 19th C Late 20th C
Schön 2008
Third
industrial
revolution?
From factories ….
...to offices…
Percentage of freelancers rapidly growing
• US: 40% of workforce freelancers
• Sweden: 700,000 to 900,000 F-skatt in past 10 years
…to Hoffice – a Swedish concept
Hoffice – a Swedish concept gone global
No one knows everything,
everyone knows something,
all knowledge resides in humanity.networks.
Adapted from Lévy 1997
Six degrees of
separation
- Milgram, 1967
Making money from your sofa
Community
Platform
The Firmvs
E.g., Microsoft
~ Created by employees within
organizational boundaries
E.g., Quirky, Local Motors
~ Created by community collaborators
regardless of affiliation
Teigland, Di Gangi, & Yetis 2012
Models of Value Creation
OpenSimulator: A value-creation ecosystem
Academic
Entrepreneur
Hobbyist
Large Firm
Non-profit
Local Public
Federal Public
Research Inst
SME Employee
Periphery
Teigland, Di Gangi, & Yetis 2012
USD 5.5mln in
development costs
In the meanwhile…
Increasing forces for local community
http://www.web-strategist.com/blog/
On-demand economy
Increasing access to capital
through crowdfunding
From the north of Sweden
DIY 3D printing becoming more commonplace…
Turning 3D printing into business…
http://openfabpdx.com/fffiddle/
Developing circular economies
Rise of local currencies
The next generation of the Internet
O’Driscoll 2009
Big money moving into 3D internet
Developing international entrepreneurs?
Clothes/
shoes
MODELLING
AGENCIES
Top
models
Photo-
graphers
Photo
studio
makers
Modelling
furniture
Poses and
animations
Furniture
Hair
Skins
Event
builders
MAGAZINES
MODELLING
SCHOOLS
Shop
builders
Accessories
Body
shapes
DJs
Viachka, Giovacchini, Teigland, Lindqvist 2011
Virtual
fashion
ecosystem
From the mobility of goods
to the mobility of financial capital to …
Teigland, JVWR, 2010
...the “mobility” of labor?
Thomas Jefferson (1816)
“Laws and institutions must go hand in hand
with the progress of the human mind.”
The problem is that the human mind itself
can’t keep pace with the advances that
computers are enabling.
http://wadhwa.com/2014/04/15/mit-technology-review-laws-and-ethics-cant-keep-pace-with-technology/
Virtual healthcare services
Ambulance drone
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y-rEI4bezWc
Sweden’s future regions?
http://app.cotunity.com/space
The future is already here,
it’s just not very evenly
distributed.
- William Gibson
Robin Teigland
robin.teigland@hhs.se
www.knowledgenetworking.org
www.slideshare.net/eteigland
funnovation.se
@RobinTeigland
If you love knowledge,
set it free…
If you like this presentation and would like to
contribute to our research, we accept bitcoins:
14hs4JbnQLXE87GGzu84uXGaspmxmnLpwC.
Thank you!!!!!

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