1. Security risk elevated for Tunisia
The risk rating for Tunisia following the announcement of a state of emergency and the
dissolution of parliament by President Zine al-Abidine Ben Ali on 14 December. The
announcement comes amid clashes between demonstrators and the authorities in the capital
Tunis. Security forces used batons and fired tear gas at demonstrators calling for the immediate
resignation of the president outside the interior ministry. Unconfirmed reports also indicated that
heavy gunfire could be heard. Demonstrations have been reported in a number of other locations
in the country, including Sidi Bouzid where the unrest began. Meanwhile a number of tour
operators are cancelling departures to Tunisia, with some attempting to pull their customers out of
the country. However, the army has secured the main airport and Tunisian air space is reported
to have been closed. There is a high likelihood of further protests and continued violence
throughout the country. Security forces have imposed a curfew from 1700 to 0700 hours, while
further restrictions on travel are likely to be in place throughout the country, particularly in urban
areas. Much of the anger from demonstrators appears to have been directed towards the wife of
Ben Ali, Layla Ben Ali, and as such any assets, companies or buildings associated with her may
be at risk of being targeted by demonstrators. Personnel are advised to stay clear of areas where
protests may occur, including urban centers, especially in Tunis, near government buildings and
police stations. Media personnel covering the demonstrations are advised to wear flak jackets
and helmets. Stay under hard cover where possible and be prepared to leave at short notice if the
security situation deteriorates. While some foreign nationals are attempting to evacuate the
country this may not always be the best option. It may be preferable to stay put and monitor the
situation rather than traveling outside where there is a risk of violence, particularly during curfew
hours when movements will likely be restricted anyway. Contingency plans should nonetheless
be put in place and personnel should assess possible exit routes and safe havens. Note that
many rural areas and suburbs are not being directly affected. In the event that the unrest
continues martial law may be imposed. A prolonging of violence and looting may also lead to
disruption in utilities (such as water and electricity). Mobile coverage may also become restricted.
Risk issued an advisory for Tunisia
Tunisia
A risk advisory for Tunisia as the situation remains uncharacteristically hazardous in the country.
Gun battles are being reported between the military and the former presidential guard (who
constituted the special forces of the former regime). The army is reported to be gaining the upper
hand at present and they are certainly more numerous but the guards are very well trained and
very well armed. They are attempting to disrupt the situation through the use of small arms, arson
and even possibly with explosives. Amid the fluidity of the situation personnel are advised to
remain in close contact with colleagues and employees. Movements should be undertaken only
when necessary. It may be preferable to stay put under hard cover rather than evacuating
although the latter may become necessary in areas particularly affected by violence or fire. Have
contingency plans in place and designate nearby safe havens in case you need to move at short
notice.
Faheem Ul Hasan