Rohit Talwar's presentation 'Facing the Future', given to Kennedys Partners Retreat, 2nd December 2011.

1. Facing the Future
Kennedys Partners Retreat
December 2nd 2011
Rohit Talwar CEO - Fast Future Research
www.fastfuture.com rohit@fastfuture.com Twitter @fastfuture

2. Contents
Presentation p3
About Fast Future p 50
Image Sources p 58

3. Driving Future Growth
Macro Business / Growth
Trends IT Trends Markets

4. Organisations Need to Work on
3 Horizons in Parallel
1-12 Months 1-3 Years 3-10 Years
Operational Drive for Creating
Excellence Growth the Future

5. Growth is not Guaranteed…

6. …Thinking is Back in Fashion

7. Transformational Change?
It’s Only Just Begun

8. The World in 2020

9. Demographic Destinies
2 billion more people in 40 years –
Demographics is Driving Economics
448 739 691 5231
344
1998 4157
729 1030
585
2010 2050 Source : United Nations

10. Life Redefined –
Lifespans are Increasing
Under 50’s have 90%
chance of living to 100.
Aubrey de Grey suggests
we could live to 500 or 1000
What are the health,
housing, consumption and
resource implications?
What kind of opportunities
will be created?

11. BCG’S 2011 Global Challengers
and Emeriti: Origin Countries
35 33
30
25
20
20
15 14
10 8
6
5
5 4
3 3
2 2
1 1 1 1 1
0
Source: Boston Consulting Group, January 2011

12. Service is the ‘Killer App’

14. Tackling Complexity
• Process
• Organisation
• Information /
Systems
• Regulatory
• Human

15. Complex Systems

16. Chaordic Systems

17. Mess

18. Think Like the Customer
e.g. Open Innovation

19. New Business Thinking
e.g. Ultra-Quick Construction

20. New Business Models - Auctions
£3088 £8791.50 £81

21. Access vs. Ownership

22. TMT – Convergence and Immersion
Telephony Connectivity
• Voice • Cellular
• Messaging • Up to 14 bands
• SIM card • WLAN/BT
• Phonebook • GPS
• Ring Tones • NFC
• Security • FM
Data/ Multimedia
Enterprise • Camera 8-16M
• Camcorder
• 100Mbps
• 24M Color Display
• Email
• Memory (160GB)
• IMS
• Multiformat A/V
• Browsing
• HD Video/TV out
• VPN
• Games
• PIM
• Ecommerce
Software (50-100M Tps)
• Protocols • DRM
• Payments
• Middleware
• Applications
• User Interface
• Minimize fragmentation

23. Next Generation Interfaces

24. Haptics / Holograms / Interactive Surfaces

25. Focus on Growth Industries

26. Rising Infrastructure Spending
• CIBC projects up to $35
trillion in public works
by 2030 (1)
• Annual spend:
– North America
$180Bn
– Europe $205Bn
– Asia $400Bn
– Africa $10Bn
Green Buildings - $600Bn by 2015

27. Airport Expansion by 2020
China from ~150 to 244
India from ~100 to 150

28. Opening Up Education

29. Green Transport Revolution

30. Reinventing Retail

31. Smart Grid - $500Bn+

32. Industrial Biotech - $650Bn+ by 2020
Source: Economist, June 2010

33. NBIC Convergence

34. Extending the Experience

35. The Slide@T3
Changi Airport - Singapore

36. Virtual Grocery Shopping –
Tesco South Korea

37. Transcranial Magnetic Stimulation

38. 3D Printing
$1Tn+

39. What Client Strategies are
Emerging?

40. Where are the Opportunities?
• Networks
• Development
• Innovation
• Business Models

41. How can Leaders Respond?

42. Lead or Follow?

43. Make Time and Space for Change

44. Be Sticky and Magnetic

45. Create Tolerance of Uncertainty
Encourage Experimentation

46. Broad Scans and Deep Dives

47. Embrace Networks and
Associations

48. Encourage Curiosity

49. Conclusions – Winners
• Forward Looking
• Experimental
• Tolerant of Uncertainty

50. About Fast Future

51. Fast Future –
Core Services
• Live Events - Speeches, briefings and workshops for executive
management and boards of governments, investment funds,
development agencies , companies, airlines, airports, hotels, venues,
CVB’s and associations
• Future Insights - Customised research on emerging trends, future
scenarios, technologies and new markets
• Immersion - ‘Deep dives’ on future trends, market developments,
emerging issues and technology advances
• Strategy - Development of strategies and business plans
• Innovation - Creation of business models and innovation plans
• Engagement - Consultancy and workshop facilitation

52. Fast Future
• Research, consulting, speaking, leadership
• 5-20 year horizon - focus on ideas, developments, people,
trends and forces shaping the future
• Clients
– ING, ABN Amro, Laing O’Rourke
– Marks and Spencer
– Airports - Aeroports de Paris / Schiphol Group
– Vancouver Airport Services
– Industry Associations – ICCA, ASAE, PCMA, MPI
– Corporates - GE, Nokia, Pepsi, IBM, Intel, Orange,
O2, Siemens, Samsung, GSK, SAPE&Y, KPMG,
Amadeus, Sabre, Travelport, Travelex, ING,
Santander, Barclays, Citibank, DeutscheBank
– Governments - Dubai, Finland, Nigeria, Singapore,
UK, US
– Convention Bureaus – Seoul, Sydney, London, San
Francisco, Toronto, Abu Dhabi, Durban, Athens,
Slovenia, Copenhagen
– Convention Centres – Melbourne,
Adelaide, Qatar, QEIICC
– Hotels - Accor Group, Preferred,
– Intercontinental
– PCO’s - Congrex, Kenes

53. Rohit Talwar
• Global futurist and founder of Fast Future Research.
• Award winning speaker on future insights and strategic
innovation – addressing leadership audiences in 40 countries on
5 continents
• Author of Designing Your Future
• Profiled by UK’s Independent Newspaper as one of the Top 10
Global Future Thinkers
• Led futures research, scenario planning and strategic
consultancy projects for clients in telecommunications,
technology, pharmaceuticals, banking, travel and tourism,
environment, food and government sectors
• Clients include 3M, BBC, BT, BAe, Bayer, Chloride, DTC De
Beers, DHL, EADS, Electrolux, E&Y, GE, Hoover, Hyundai, IBM,
ING, Intel, KPMG, M&S, Nakheel, Nokia, Nomura, Novartis,
OECD, Orange, Panasonic, Pfizer, PwC, Samsung, Shell,
Siemens, Symbian, Yell , numerous international associations
and governments agencies in the US, UK, Finland, Dubai,
Nigeria, Saudi Arabia and Singapore.
• To receive Fast Future’s newsletters please email
rohit@fastfuture.com

54. Designing Your Future
Key Trends, Challenges and Choices
• 50 key trends
• 100 emerging trends
• 10 major patterns of change
• Key challenges and choices for leaders
• Strategic decision making framework
• Scenarios for 2012
• Key futures tools and techniques
• Published August 2008
• Price £49.95 / €54.95/ $69.95
• Email invoice request to rohit@fastfuture.com

55. Our Services
Bespoke research; Identification &
Analysis of Future Trends, Drivers &
Shocks
Public Speaking, In-
Company Briefings, Accelerated Scenario
Seminars and Planning, Timelining &
Workshops Future Mapping
Personal Futuring for
Leaders and Leadership Expert Consultations &
Teams Futures Think Tanks
Identification of
Design & Facilitation of Opportunities for
Innovation, Incubation Innovation and Strategic
& Venturing
Strategy Creation & Investment
Programmes
Development of
Implementation
Roadmaps

56. Example Projects
• Public and private client research e.g. :
– Development of Market Scenarios, emerging trends and strategies for key clients
– Government and OECD Scenario Projects – e.g. Migration 2030, Future of Narcotics, Chemical
Sector, Family 2030
– Scenarios for the global economy for 2030 and the implications for migration
– Designing Your Future (Published August 2008) – book written for the American Society of
Association Executives & The Center for Association Leadership
– Global Economies – e.g. The Future of China – the Path to 2020
– The Shape of Jobs to Come – Emerging Science and Technology Sectors and Careers
– Winning in India and China
– The Future of Human Resources
– Exploiting the Future Potential of Social Media in UK Small to Medium Enterprises
– Convention 2020 – the Future of Business Events
– Future Convention Cities Initiative – Maximising Long-term Economic Impact of Events
– One Step Beyond – Future trends and challenges for the events industry
– Hotels 2020: Beyond Segmentation – Future Hotel Strategies
– The Future of Travel and Tourism in the Middle East – a Vision to 2020
– Future of Travel and Tourism Investment in Saudi Arabia
– Aviation and Airports e.g. Aviation 2030

57. Example Clients

58. Image Sources p1
Page
1. http://i.telegraph.co.uk/multimedia/archive/01016/BUSH-BINOCULARS_1016553i.jpg
3. http://www.wadefinancial.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/5-Big-Questions.jpg
4. Left to Right
http://www.guy-sports.com/fun_pictures/truck_art_pepsis_lg.jpg
http://www.automotive-insight.net/aston-martin-cars/pics/aston%20martin.jpg
http://www.kgwings.com/hawkeye/hawkeye05.jpg
5. http://www.piperreport.com/archives/Images/Medicare%20PFFS%20Plans.jpg
6. http://www.einstein.yu.edu/iphs/images/think_tank.jpg
7. http://creativeclass.typepad.com/thecreativityexchange/images/2007/12/01/global.jpg
8. Clockwise
http://www.etftrends.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/07/1_fullsize.jpg
http://blog.engglib2.upd.edu.ph/wp-content/uploads/2009/03/newsweek4.jpg
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/4b3799e6-5e04-11df-8153-00144feab49a.html#axzz1LCUOTVNv
http://batonrouge.myhomecareblog.com/files/2011/07/active_seniors4.jpg
http://www.imperial-consultants.co.uk/files/biopharmaceuticals.jpg
http://www.nanotechnologyinvesting.us/images/nanotechnology-480.jpg
http://cdn.lightgalleries.net/4bd5ec0d18599/images/Cocoon_05-2.jpg
http://takemetoyourleader.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/010101.jpg
http://www.lostateminor.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/vertical_farming_1.jpg
12. http://www.tensator.com/blog/post/2011/01/31/London-Luton-Airport-Introduces-Two-New-Staff-Members-Holly-and-
Graham.aspx
13. http://freshpeel.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/Future_of_Work.jpg
14. http://encefalus.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/09/complexity.gif
15. http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2292/2338002596_4c08dc0b07.jpg

59. Image Sources p2
16. http://www.petervaldivia.com/technology/networks/image/internet-world.jpg
17. http://howardlindzon.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/09/global-financial-system2.jpg
19. http://images.gizmag.com/gallery_lrg/arkhotelchangsha.png
21. http://www.greensharecar.com.au/
22. http://www.reghardware.com/2010/08/11/video_rim_blackberry_torch_9800/
23. Clockwise
http://www.dexigner.com/news/22673
http://www.livetradingnews.com/wp-content/uploads/hp_3d_laptop.jpg
http://blog.core-ed.net/derekarchives/NokiaFanPhone.jpg
24. Left to Right
http://www.tuvie.com/wp-content/uploads/your-life-in-2020-frog-design1.jpg
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_LYLNQSJkOcM/TMOyFH7Hv3I/AAAAAAAAACE/ISxznCcG6gw/s1600/SkinputImg1.jpg
http://www.flickr.com/photos/lukedebruijn/3991431571/
25. Left to Right
http://teamaltman.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/10/industry-and-data.jpg
http://picturesofcar.blogspot.com/2009/07/future-concept-car-pictures.html
http://www.technologylodging.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/food-biotechnology.jpg
26. http://www.ljlindhurst.com/images/highway.jpg
27. http://www.surfersvillage.com/gal/pictures/1215airplanes.jpg
28. http://www.patelsmith.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/village-classroom-1.jpg
29. Left to Right
http://www.topcarpictures.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/2009-brabus-tesla-roadster.jpg
http://solar.calfinder.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/electric-car-station.jpg
30. http:///karmatrendz.wordpress.com/2009/03/29/michelin-amazing-retail-store-interior-by-eventscape

60. Image Sources p3
31. http://smartgrid.epri.com/App_Themes/Default/Images/smart_grid_network_image.gif
32. http://www.celsias.com/media/uploads/admin/biofuel_1.jpg
33. http://hplusmagazine.com/sites/default/files/images/articles/jan10/nano-info1.jpg
34, Left to Right
http://www.instablogsimages.com/images/2007/10/09/design-concept-of-vertical-farming_5810.jpg
http://www.globalairportcities.com/images/stories/news2011/September/6dcinema.jpg
35. http://www.fastcodesign.com/1662241/wheeeeeee-slides-made-for-adults-in-dire-need-of-fun-video
36. http://trendshq.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/South-Korea-Virtual-Supermarket-on-Subway.jpg
37. Left to Right
http://protomag.com/statics/SU_06_jgrow_rtms_3697_a_sq.jpg
http://www.shockmd.com/wp-content/tms12.jpg
38. Left to Right
http://www.psfk.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/pic-rapid-prototyping-and-jewelry.png
http://www.fastcompany.com/1781551/prototype-of-worlds-first-3-d-printed-car-unveiled
http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/10/on-demand-3d-printing-cut-waste-increase-efficiency.php
39. http://4.bp.blogspot.com/_9SlYS77Pdxg/SeqgR0hQBMI/AAAAAAAACDk/PLTRR4KWo-o/s400/entrepreneur2.gif
40. http://www.visualphotos.com/photo/2x4524045/businesswoman_on_ladder_looking_through_binoculars_bld005521.jpg
42. http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-
EJhAZaiyA8E/TfRRHfKzDMI/AAAAAAAAAGo/JmTQLz1z0xc/s320/6a00d8341c65c453ef010536d4981b970c-800wi.jpg
43. http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/bigphotos/images/090305-daylight-saving-time-facts-history_big.jpg
44. http://www.ripleys.com/assets/img/upload/bions/magnet_man.jpg
45. Left to Right
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_MuWNJtJ8XS4/RwrvXTT4e4I/AAAAAAAABJc/pMnDJx06ZQA/s400/DuaneMichels.Uncertainty88.j
pg
http://embunpagi2009.files.wordpress.com/2009/02/seedling1.jpg

61. Image Sources p4
46. Left to Right
http://www.codeproject.com/KB/grid/DrawingRadarDisplayWithCS/Radar1.jpg
http://www.realmscuba.com/Logos/Dive%20Course/group%20underwater.jpg
47. Outside In
http://www.masternewmedia.org/images/social_network_id469214_size440.jpg
http://i36.tinypic.com/vrxzll.jpg
48. http://www.insidefurniture.com/.a/6a00d834519a9e69e2010536a3c860970b-800wi
49. http://www.oytun.co.uk/wp-content/themes/mimbo2/images//innovation.jpg