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ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY

                           2007 SECOND QUARTER
                           SHAREHOLDERS’ REPORT
“Due to personal reasons, I have decided to leave Erie       services as attorney-in-fact, the Company charges a
Indemnity,” said Mr. Ludrof. “I have enjoyed a long and      management fee calculated as a percentage, not to
successful career at this company, but after considering     exceed 25 percent, of the direct and affiliated assumed
the recent passing of Bill Hirt, as well as the excellent    premiums written by the Exchange.
financial and operational shape of the Company, I think      The Company also operates as a property/casualty insurer
that this is the ideal moment—for myself, my family and      through its three insurance subsidiaries. The Exchange and
for the company—to move on to something new. I am            its property/casualty subsidiary and the Company’s three
confident that, from a business perspective, the timing of   property/casualty subsidiaries (collectively, the “Property
my decision could not be better.                             and Casualty Group”) write personal and commercial
Mr. Ludrof continued, “It is evident from our second         lines property/casualty coverages exclusively through
quarter results that the Company is in outstanding           independent agents and pool their underwriting results.
financial shape. At $4.6 billion, the policyholder surplus   The financial position or results of operations of the
in Erie Insurance Exchange is the highest it has ever        Exchange are not consolidated with those of the Company.
been. As the soft market persists, we continue to take       The Company’s earnings are largely generated by fees
a long-term view of our business, managing in a steady,      based on direct written premiums of the Property and
consistent manner. This discipline has produced positive     Casualty Group, the principal member of which is the
second quarter results for Erie Indemnity Company within     Exchange. The Company, therefore, has a direct incentive
every segment of the business, including increased direct    to protect the financial condition of the Exchange. The
written premiums. With a seamless transition to John         members of the Property and Casualty Group pool their
Brinling as the interim president and CEO, I have no         underwriting results. Under the pooling agreement, the
doubt that the Company will continue to perform well.”       Exchange assumes 94.5 percent of the pool. Accordingly,
                                                             the underwriting risk of the Property and Casualty
About Erie Indemnity Company                                 Group’s business is largely borne by the Exchange.
Erie Indemnity Company (Company) is a Pennsylvania           Through the pool, the Company’s property/casualty
business corporation formed in 1925 to be the attorney-      subsidiaries currently assume 5.5 percent of the Property
in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange (Exchange), a        and Casualty Group’s underwriting results.
Pennsylvania-domiciled reciprocal insurance exchange.
                                                             The Property and Casualty Group seeks to insure
As attorney-in-fact, the Company is required to perform
                                                             standard and preferred risks primarily in private
certain services relating to the sales, underwriting and
                                                             passenger automobile, homeowners and small
issuance of policies on behalf of the Exchange. For its


                             Erie Insurance Group Organizational Chart
Corporate Information
                                                                Stock transfer agent
commercial lines, including workers’ compensation. The
Property and Casualty Group’s sole distribution channel
                                                                American Stock Transfer & Trust Company
is its independent agency force, which consists of more
                                                                59 Maiden Lane
than 1,900 agencies comprised of over 8,100 licensed
                                                                Plaza Level
representatives in 11 midwestern, mid-Atlantic and
                                                                New York, NY 10038
southeastern states, and the District of Columbia.
                                                                (800) 937-5449
Financial information
                                                                Corporate headquarters
The Erie Indemnity Company submits a quarterly report
                                                                100 Erie Insurance Place
to the Securities and Exchange Commission on Form
                                                                Erie, PA 16530
10-Q. Shareholders may obtain a copy of the Form 10-Q
                                                                (814) 870-2000
report without charge by writing to: Chief Financial
Officer, Erie Indemnity Company, 100 Erie Insurance
                                                                Internet address
Place, Erie, PA, 16530 or by visiting the Company’s Web
                                                                Financial statement filings, shareholder information, press
site at www.erieinsurance.com.
                                                                releases and general news about the Company may also
Common stock information                                        be accessed at: www.erieinsurance.com.
The Erie Indemnity Company’s Class A, non-voting
common stock is traded on the NASDAQ Stock Market
under the symbol “ERIE.” Quotations are available via
major financial news sources.




                   Erie Indemnity Company Second Quarter 2007 Results

Key points for the second quarter 2007:                           operations decreased to 21.4% in the second quarter
                                                                  of 2007 from 22.0% in the second quarter of 2006.
• Net income was $70.5 million for the second quarter
                                                                • Direct written premiums increased in the second
  of 2007, a 25.3 percent increase from $56.3 million for
                                                                  quarter of 2007.
  the same period in 2006. Net income per share-diluted
  increased to $1.11 per share, compared to $0.86 per           • Substantial improvement in the second quarter 2007
  share in the comparable quarter in 2006.                        from insurance underwriting operations.
• Net operating income per share (excluding net realized        • Net revenue from investment operations increased to
  gains or losses on investments and related taxes)               $37.8 million, or 28.3 percent, from $29.5 million for
  increased by 25.6 percent to $1.09 per share in the             the second quarters of 2007 and 2006, respectively.
  second quarter of 2007, from $0.87 per share for the
                                                                • The 2007 annualized effective tax rate of 32.7 percent
  same period one year ago.
                                                                  was benefited by the settlement of IRS examinations
• Management fee revenue increased 2.1 percent                    on the years 2001 and 2002 totaling $1.0 million and
  to $256.5 million, from $251.1 million for the same             a reduction to the interest expense on uncertain tax
  period one year ago. Gross margins from management              positions of $0.5 million.




                                                            2
Key Drivers of Second Quarter 2007 Results
                                                              (Unaudited)                               (Unaudited)
                                                      Three months ended June 30,                Six months ended June 30,
(dollars in thousands)                               2007        2006     Change                2007        2006     Change
Management Operations:
Management fee revenues                    $ 256,462          $ 251,104           2.1%     $ 485,106 $ 484,039              0.2%
  P&C Group* direct written premium (DWP) $ 1,028,247         $ 1,019,005         0.9%     $ 1,946,425 $ 1,961,773        (0.8)%
  Drivers of P&C Group* DWP
    Policies in force—year-over-year                                                         3,848,180   3,781,558        66,622
    Policy retention—year-over-year                                                              89.9%       89.0%        0.9 pts
    Avg. premium per policy—year-over-year                                                 $       984 $     1,026      $    (42)
Insurance Underwriting Operations:
GAAP combined ratio                              84.8                    99.4 (14.6) pts          87.0          92.9     (5.9) pts
Prior accident year reserve development—
  (redundancy) deficiency**                      (4.3)                    0.3 (4.6) pts           (7.4)         (3.9)    (3.5) pts
Catastrophe loss ratio                             2.2                    9.2 (7.0) pts            1.3           4.9     (3.6) pts
Investment Operations:
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships       $   20,180   $       14,058     43.5%     $    32,698 $     18,200       79.7%
 * P&C Group—Property and Casualty Group
** Excludes salvage and subrogation recoveries



Management operations                                                 and promotional incentives increased $2.2 million in the
                                                                      second quarter of 2007.
Management fee revenue increased 2.1 percent for the
                                                                      Second quarter costs of management operations,
quarter ended June 30, 2007, benefiting from 0.9%
                                                                      excluding commissions, increased 4.5 percent to $58.5
growth in the direct written premiums of the Property and
                                                                      million in 2007 from $56.0 million in 2006. Personnel costs
Casualty Group and the management fee rate being set
                                                                      increased by 4.6 percent in the second quarter of 2007,
at its maximum level of 25% for 2007, up from 24.75% in
                                                                      due to (1) an increase in salary expense from increases in
2006. This higher management fee rate in 2007 increased
                                                                      the average pay rates offset by lower staffing levels and
management fee revenue by $4.9 million, or $0.05 per
                                                                      (2) an increase of less than 1% in employee benefits costs,
share-diluted, for the six months ended June 30, 2007.
                                                                      as the second quarter of 2007 was favorably impacted
Growth in policies in force is the result of the Company’s            by a reduction in pension costs due to an increase in the
expansion of its independent agency force through                     discount rate, while the second quarter of 2006 included
appointments and other marketing initiatives as well as               the recognition of a one-time full curtailment benefit
improved policyholder retention. Through the first half               related to the termination of the retiree health benefit
of 2007, the Company appointed 129 new agencies,                      plan.
bringing our total agencies to 1,891 at June 30, 2007.
The Company expects to meet its goal of 200 new                       Insurance underwriting operations
agency appointments during 2007. In 2006, the Company
                                                                      The Company’s insurance underwriting operations
appointed 139 new agencies.
                                                                      generated gains of $7.9 million and $0.3 million in the
Due to continued soft market conditions, the Property                 second quarters of 2007 and 2006, respectively. The
and Casualty Group has been implementing rate                         GAAP combined ratio of the Company was 84.8 in the
reductions to be more price competitive, which resulted               second quarter of 2007 compared to 99.4 in the second
in a $56 million decrease in written premiums in the first            quarter of 2006, and Property and Casualty Group’s
half of 2007. An additional $31 million in rate reductions            adjusted statutory combined ratio was 77.7 and 92.3 in
are forecast for the remainder of the year. The most                  the second quarter of 2007 and 2006, respectively.
significant rate reductions have been in the Group’s
                                                                      • Earned premiums declined $1.7 million for the second
largest line of business, private passenger auto.
                                                                        quarter of 2007 reflecting the trend of rate decreases.
The cost of management operations increased 3.2
                                                                      • Development of prior accident year loss reserves,
percent to $207.4 million in the second quarter of
                                                                        excluding salvage and subrogation recoveries,
2007, from $201.0 million for the same period in 2006.
                                                                        continued to be favorable in the second quarter 2007.
Commission costs, the largest component of the cost
of management operations, increased 2.7 percent to                    • The second quarter of 2007 included tornados and
$148.9 million from $145.0 million in the second quarter                flooding in Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia, while
2006. Normal commissions increased 0.9 percent, or                      2006 included hail storms in Indiana. Catastrophe
$1.1 million, in line with the Property and Casualty                    losses incurred for the first half of 2007 and 2006 were
growth in premium, while estimates for agent bonuses                    $1.4 million and $5.3 million, respectively.
                                                                  3
Liquidity and capital resources
The majority of this positive development in the second
quarter of 2007 resulted from favorable developments
                                                                  As part of our capital management strategy, the Company
of reserves on prior accident quarters for automobile
                                                                  repurchased 313,110 shares of our Class A common
bodily injury and uninsured/underinsured motorist bodily
                                                                  stock at a cost of $16.7 million during the second quarter
injury. Improvements in accident quarter loss ratios in
                                                                  of 2007, or $53.26 per share. In the first half of 2007,
these lines were a result of improved frequency and
                                                                  595,649 shares were repurchased at a cost of $31.7
severity trends. In the second quarter of 2006, there was
                                                                  million. The Company had approximately $98 million in
a strengthening of pre-1986 automobile catastrophic
                                                                  outstanding repurchase authority under this program at
liability injury reserves based on a claim by claim review,
                                                                  June 30, 2007, that expires in December 2009.
which increased our share of the reserves by $1.4 million.
The strengthening of certain other catastrophic injury
reserves was due to increasing pharmaceutical costs and
a deterioration in the health of the claimants.

Investment operations
Net revenue from investment operations increased 28.3             “Safe Harbor” Statement Under the Private Securities
percent in the second quarter of 2007 to $37.8 million            Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Certain forward-looking
compared to $29.5 million in the second quarter of 2006.          statements contained herein involve risks and uncertainties.
                                                                  These statements include certain discussions relating to
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships contributed
                                                                  management fee revenue, cost of management operations,
significantly to the improved investment performance,
                                                                  underwriting, premium and investment income volume,
increasing by $6.1 million in the second quarter of 2007.         business strategies, profitability and business relationships
Optimal market conditions resulted in a higher return on          and the Company’s other business activities during 2007
capital on mezzanine debt and private equity partnership          and beyond. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking
investments by some of our more seasoned limited                  statements by terms such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,”
partnerships and realized gains on sales of commercial            “would,” “expect,” “plan,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,”
properties owned by our real estate limited partnerships.         “contemplate,” “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “potential”
                                                                  and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements
Net realized gains on investments were $2.2 million               reflect the Company’s current views about future events, are
in the second quarter of 2007 compared to losses of               based on assumptions and are subject to known and unknown
$0.6 million in 2006. Included in net realized gains on           risks and uncertainties that may cause results to differ materially
investments are impairment charges of $2.0 million and            from those anticipated in those statements. Many of the factors
$1.3 million during the second quarters of 2007 and               that will determine future events or achievements are beyond
                                                                  our ability to control or predict.
2006, respectively. Impairment charges recorded on fixed
maturity and equity securities during the first six months
of 2007 and 2006 were $2.6 million and $3.4 million,
respectively.




                                                              4
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS
                                      (Dollars in thousands, except in per share data)
                                                              Three months ended                         Six months ended
                                                                     June 30                                  June 30
                                                              2007             2006                    2007             2006
                                                                   (unaudited)                              (unaudited)
Operating revenue
 Management fee revenue—net                             $    242,324       $    237,233      $        458,343     $       457,334
 Premiums earned                                              52,122             53,825               104,096             107,852
 Service agreement revenue                                     7,299              6,506                14,717              14,098
  Total operating revenue                                    301,745            297,564               577,156             579,284
Operating expenses
 Cost of management operations                               195,969            189,939               375,855             373,093
 Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred                 29,789             38,635                62,023              68,688
 Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses           11,695             12,079                23,689              26,580
  Total operating expenses                                   237,453            240,653               461,567             468,361
Investment income—unaffiliated
  Investment income, net of expenses                           14,138             14,603                28,116             29,603
  Net realized gains (losses) on investments                    2,222               ( 632)               4,112                152
  Equity in earnings of limited partnerships                   20,180             14,058                32,698             18,200
    Total investment income—unaffiliated                       36,540             28,029                64,926             47,955
Income before income taxes and equity in earnings
  of Erie Family Life Insurance Company                       100,832             84,940               180,515            158,878
Provision for income taxes                                     31,505             30,015                56,098             55,092
Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance
 Company, net of tax                                               1,159           1,330                 2,430              1,935
 Net income                                             $      70,486      $      56,255         $ 126,847            $ 105,721
 Net income per share:
  Class A common stock—basic                            $        1.22      $        0.95         $        2.19        $      1.76
  Class A common stock—diluted                                   1.11               0.86                  1.99               1.59
  Class B common stock—basic and diluted                       187.31             144.90                336.32             265.30
 Weighted average shares outstanding:
  Class A common stock—basic                                57,337,436         59,063,615            57,513,372       59,842,796
  Class A common stock—diluted                              63,556,114         65,554,096            63,734,450       66,527,677
  Class B common stock—basic and diluted                         2,571              2,670                 2,572            2,751
 Dividends declared per share:
  Class A common stock                                  $           0.40   $        0.36         $        0.80        $      0.72
  Class B common stock                                             60.00           54.00                120.00             108.00




                                                               5
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS—SEGMENT BASIS
                                    (Amounts in thousands, except in per share data)
                                                               Three months ended                Six months ended
                                                                      June 30                         June 30
                                                               2007             2006           2007             2006
                                                                    (unaudited)                     (unaudited)
Management operations
Management fee revenue                                     $   256,462     $   251,104     $   485,106     $   484,039
Service agreement revenue                                        7,299           6,506          14,717          14,098
 Total revenue from management operations                      263,761         257,610         499,823         498,137
Cost of management operations                                  207,392         201,028         397,777         394,854
 Income from management operations                              56,369          56,582         102,046         103,283
Insurance underwriting operations
Premiums earned                                                 52,122          53,825         104,096         107,852
Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred                    29,789          38,635          62,023          68,688
Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses              14,410          14,861          28,530          31,524
  Total losses and expenses                                     44,199          53,496          90,553         100,212
  Underwriting gain                                              7,923             329          13,543           7,640
Investment operations
Investment income, net of expenses                             14,138           14,603          28,116          29,603
Net realized gains (losses) on investments                      2,222             ( 632)         4,112             152
Equity in earnings of limited partnerships                     20,180           14,058          32,698          18,200
Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company        1,247            1,430           2,613           2,081
  Net revenue from investment operations                       37,787           29,459          67,539          50,036
Income before income taxes                                     102,079          86,370         183,128         160,959
Provision for income taxes                                      31,593          30,115          56,281          55,238
 Net income                                                $   70,486      $    56,255     $ 126,847       $ 105,721
 Net income per share—Class A basic                        $       1.22    $      0.95     $      2.19     $      1.76
 Net income per share—Class A diluted                              1.11           0.86            1.99            1.59
 Net income per share—Class B basic and diluted                187.31           144.90          336.32          265.30
Weighted average shares outstanding—
 Class A diluted                                               63,556           65,554          63,734          66,528

Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items




                                                               6
RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME

                                                                    We use operating income to evaluate the results of
Definition of non-GAAP and
                                                                    operations. It reveals trends in our management services,
operating measures
                                                                    insurance underwriting and investment operations that
We believe that investors’ understanding of our perfor-             may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital
mance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non-           gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may
GAAP financial measure. Our method of calculating this              vary significantly between periods and are generally
measure may differ from those used by other companies               driven by business decisions and economic developments
and therefore comparability may be limited.                         such as capital market condition, the timing of which is
                                                                    unrelated to our management services and insurance
Operating income is net income excluding realized
                                                                    underwriting processes. We believe it is useful for
capital gains and losses and related federal income
                                                                    investors to evaluate these components separately and in
taxes. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life
                                                                    the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We are
Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of
                                                                    aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used
limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation
                                                                    by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses
of operating income. Both of these categories include
                                                                    operating income as the denominator. Operating income
the respective investment’s realized capital gains and
                                                                    should not be considered as a substitute for net income
losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses, as these
                                                                    and does not reflect our overall profitability.
investments are accounted for under the equity method.
                                                                    The following table reconciles operating income and net
Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly
                                                                    income for the periods ended June 30, 2007 and 2006:
comparable to operating income.


                                                               Three months ended                    Six months ended
                                                                     June 30                               June 30
                                                                   (unaudited)                           (unaudited)
(in thousands, except per share data)
                                                               2007               2006            2007             2006
Operating income                                           $   69,042         $   56,666       $ 124,174        $ 105,622
 Net realized gains (losses) on investments                        2,222             (632)           4,112               152
 Income tax (expense) benefit on realized
   gains (losses)                                                   ( 778)             221          ( 1,439)             ( 53)
   Realized gains (losses), net of income taxes                    1,444             ( 411)           2,673                99
Net income                                                 $   70,486         $   56,255       $ 126,847        $ 105,721

                                                               Three months ended                    Six months ended
                                                                     June 30                               June 30
                                                                   (unaudited)                           (unaudited)
Per Class A Share—Diluted                                      2007               2006             2007             2006
Operating income                                           $     1.09         $      0.87      $      1.95      $      1.59
 Net realized gains (losses) on investments                          0.03           ( 0.01)            0.06             0.00
 Income tax (expense) benefit on realized gains (losses)           ( 0.01)            0.00           ( 0.02)            0.00
   Realized gains (losses), net of income tax expense                0.02           ( 0.01)            0.04             0.00
Net income                                                 $        1.11      $      0.86      $       1.99     $       1.59




                                                               7
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION
                                                (Amounts in thousands, except per share data)
                                                                                                      June 30     December 31
                                                                                                       2007          2006
                                                                                                    (unaudited)
Assets
Investments
Fixed maturities                                                                                $      827,777    $    836,738
Equity securities
  Preferred stock                                                                                      139,800          133,401
  Common stock                                                                                         122,899          117,246
Other invested assets                                                                                  266,454          235,672
  Total investments                                                                                  1,356,930        1,323,057
Cash and cash equivalents                                                                            27,292            60,241
Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance Company                                                         57,784            57,162
Premiums receivable from policyholders                                                              257,632           247,187
Receivables from affiliates                                                                       1,187,993         1,220,058
Other assets                                                                                        134,179           131,656
 Total assets                                                                                   $ 3,021,810       $ 3,039,361
Liabilities and shareholders’ equity
Liabilities
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses                                                      $ 1,036,362       $ 1,073,570
Unearned premiums                                                                                   436,996           424,282
Other liabilities                                                                                   344,460           379,661
 Total liabilities                                                                                1,817,818         1,877,513
 Total shareholders’ equity                                                                       1,203,992         1,161,848
 Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity                                                     $ 3,021,810       $ 3,039,361
Book value per share                                                                            $     19.00       $     18.17
Shares outstanding                                                                                   63,356            63,952




Member • Erie Insurance Group
An Equal Opportunity Employer
Home Office • 100 Erie Insurance Place • Erie, PA 16530
814.870.2000 • www.erieinsurance.com

GF540 8/07 © 2007 Erie Indemnity Company

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erie insurance group 2007-second-quarter-report

  • 1. ERIE INDEMNITY COMPANY 2007 SECOND QUARTER SHAREHOLDERS’ REPORT “Due to personal reasons, I have decided to leave Erie services as attorney-in-fact, the Company charges a Indemnity,” said Mr. Ludrof. “I have enjoyed a long and management fee calculated as a percentage, not to successful career at this company, but after considering exceed 25 percent, of the direct and affiliated assumed the recent passing of Bill Hirt, as well as the excellent premiums written by the Exchange. financial and operational shape of the Company, I think The Company also operates as a property/casualty insurer that this is the ideal moment—for myself, my family and through its three insurance subsidiaries. The Exchange and for the company—to move on to something new. I am its property/casualty subsidiary and the Company’s three confident that, from a business perspective, the timing of property/casualty subsidiaries (collectively, the “Property my decision could not be better. and Casualty Group”) write personal and commercial Mr. Ludrof continued, “It is evident from our second lines property/casualty coverages exclusively through quarter results that the Company is in outstanding independent agents and pool their underwriting results. financial shape. At $4.6 billion, the policyholder surplus The financial position or results of operations of the in Erie Insurance Exchange is the highest it has ever Exchange are not consolidated with those of the Company. been. As the soft market persists, we continue to take The Company’s earnings are largely generated by fees a long-term view of our business, managing in a steady, based on direct written premiums of the Property and consistent manner. This discipline has produced positive Casualty Group, the principal member of which is the second quarter results for Erie Indemnity Company within Exchange. The Company, therefore, has a direct incentive every segment of the business, including increased direct to protect the financial condition of the Exchange. The written premiums. With a seamless transition to John members of the Property and Casualty Group pool their Brinling as the interim president and CEO, I have no underwriting results. Under the pooling agreement, the doubt that the Company will continue to perform well.” Exchange assumes 94.5 percent of the pool. Accordingly, the underwriting risk of the Property and Casualty About Erie Indemnity Company Group’s business is largely borne by the Exchange. Erie Indemnity Company (Company) is a Pennsylvania Through the pool, the Company’s property/casualty business corporation formed in 1925 to be the attorney- subsidiaries currently assume 5.5 percent of the Property in-fact for the Erie Insurance Exchange (Exchange), a and Casualty Group’s underwriting results. Pennsylvania-domiciled reciprocal insurance exchange. The Property and Casualty Group seeks to insure As attorney-in-fact, the Company is required to perform standard and preferred risks primarily in private certain services relating to the sales, underwriting and passenger automobile, homeowners and small issuance of policies on behalf of the Exchange. For its Erie Insurance Group Organizational Chart
  • 2. Corporate Information Stock transfer agent commercial lines, including workers’ compensation. The Property and Casualty Group’s sole distribution channel American Stock Transfer & Trust Company is its independent agency force, which consists of more 59 Maiden Lane than 1,900 agencies comprised of over 8,100 licensed Plaza Level representatives in 11 midwestern, mid-Atlantic and New York, NY 10038 southeastern states, and the District of Columbia. (800) 937-5449 Financial information Corporate headquarters The Erie Indemnity Company submits a quarterly report 100 Erie Insurance Place to the Securities and Exchange Commission on Form Erie, PA 16530 10-Q. Shareholders may obtain a copy of the Form 10-Q (814) 870-2000 report without charge by writing to: Chief Financial Officer, Erie Indemnity Company, 100 Erie Insurance Internet address Place, Erie, PA, 16530 or by visiting the Company’s Web Financial statement filings, shareholder information, press site at www.erieinsurance.com. releases and general news about the Company may also Common stock information be accessed at: www.erieinsurance.com. The Erie Indemnity Company’s Class A, non-voting common stock is traded on the NASDAQ Stock Market under the symbol “ERIE.” Quotations are available via major financial news sources. Erie Indemnity Company Second Quarter 2007 Results Key points for the second quarter 2007: operations decreased to 21.4% in the second quarter of 2007 from 22.0% in the second quarter of 2006. • Net income was $70.5 million for the second quarter • Direct written premiums increased in the second of 2007, a 25.3 percent increase from $56.3 million for quarter of 2007. the same period in 2006. Net income per share-diluted increased to $1.11 per share, compared to $0.86 per • Substantial improvement in the second quarter 2007 share in the comparable quarter in 2006. from insurance underwriting operations. • Net operating income per share (excluding net realized • Net revenue from investment operations increased to gains or losses on investments and related taxes) $37.8 million, or 28.3 percent, from $29.5 million for increased by 25.6 percent to $1.09 per share in the the second quarters of 2007 and 2006, respectively. second quarter of 2007, from $0.87 per share for the • The 2007 annualized effective tax rate of 32.7 percent same period one year ago. was benefited by the settlement of IRS examinations • Management fee revenue increased 2.1 percent on the years 2001 and 2002 totaling $1.0 million and to $256.5 million, from $251.1 million for the same a reduction to the interest expense on uncertain tax period one year ago. Gross margins from management positions of $0.5 million. 2
  • 3. Key Drivers of Second Quarter 2007 Results (Unaudited) (Unaudited) Three months ended June 30, Six months ended June 30, (dollars in thousands) 2007 2006 Change 2007 2006 Change Management Operations: Management fee revenues $ 256,462 $ 251,104 2.1% $ 485,106 $ 484,039 0.2% P&C Group* direct written premium (DWP) $ 1,028,247 $ 1,019,005 0.9% $ 1,946,425 $ 1,961,773 (0.8)% Drivers of P&C Group* DWP Policies in force—year-over-year 3,848,180 3,781,558 66,622 Policy retention—year-over-year 89.9% 89.0% 0.9 pts Avg. premium per policy—year-over-year $ 984 $ 1,026 $ (42) Insurance Underwriting Operations: GAAP combined ratio 84.8 99.4 (14.6) pts 87.0 92.9 (5.9) pts Prior accident year reserve development— (redundancy) deficiency** (4.3) 0.3 (4.6) pts (7.4) (3.9) (3.5) pts Catastrophe loss ratio 2.2 9.2 (7.0) pts 1.3 4.9 (3.6) pts Investment Operations: Equity in earnings of limited partnerships $ 20,180 $ 14,058 43.5% $ 32,698 $ 18,200 79.7% * P&C Group—Property and Casualty Group ** Excludes salvage and subrogation recoveries Management operations and promotional incentives increased $2.2 million in the second quarter of 2007. Management fee revenue increased 2.1 percent for the Second quarter costs of management operations, quarter ended June 30, 2007, benefiting from 0.9% excluding commissions, increased 4.5 percent to $58.5 growth in the direct written premiums of the Property and million in 2007 from $56.0 million in 2006. Personnel costs Casualty Group and the management fee rate being set increased by 4.6 percent in the second quarter of 2007, at its maximum level of 25% for 2007, up from 24.75% in due to (1) an increase in salary expense from increases in 2006. This higher management fee rate in 2007 increased the average pay rates offset by lower staffing levels and management fee revenue by $4.9 million, or $0.05 per (2) an increase of less than 1% in employee benefits costs, share-diluted, for the six months ended June 30, 2007. as the second quarter of 2007 was favorably impacted Growth in policies in force is the result of the Company’s by a reduction in pension costs due to an increase in the expansion of its independent agency force through discount rate, while the second quarter of 2006 included appointments and other marketing initiatives as well as the recognition of a one-time full curtailment benefit improved policyholder retention. Through the first half related to the termination of the retiree health benefit of 2007, the Company appointed 129 new agencies, plan. bringing our total agencies to 1,891 at June 30, 2007. The Company expects to meet its goal of 200 new Insurance underwriting operations agency appointments during 2007. In 2006, the Company The Company’s insurance underwriting operations appointed 139 new agencies. generated gains of $7.9 million and $0.3 million in the Due to continued soft market conditions, the Property second quarters of 2007 and 2006, respectively. The and Casualty Group has been implementing rate GAAP combined ratio of the Company was 84.8 in the reductions to be more price competitive, which resulted second quarter of 2007 compared to 99.4 in the second in a $56 million decrease in written premiums in the first quarter of 2006, and Property and Casualty Group’s half of 2007. An additional $31 million in rate reductions adjusted statutory combined ratio was 77.7 and 92.3 in are forecast for the remainder of the year. The most the second quarter of 2007 and 2006, respectively. significant rate reductions have been in the Group’s • Earned premiums declined $1.7 million for the second largest line of business, private passenger auto. quarter of 2007 reflecting the trend of rate decreases. The cost of management operations increased 3.2 • Development of prior accident year loss reserves, percent to $207.4 million in the second quarter of excluding salvage and subrogation recoveries, 2007, from $201.0 million for the same period in 2006. continued to be favorable in the second quarter 2007. Commission costs, the largest component of the cost of management operations, increased 2.7 percent to • The second quarter of 2007 included tornados and $148.9 million from $145.0 million in the second quarter flooding in Ohio, North Carolina and Virginia, while 2006. Normal commissions increased 0.9 percent, or 2006 included hail storms in Indiana. Catastrophe $1.1 million, in line with the Property and Casualty losses incurred for the first half of 2007 and 2006 were growth in premium, while estimates for agent bonuses $1.4 million and $5.3 million, respectively. 3
  • 4. Liquidity and capital resources The majority of this positive development in the second quarter of 2007 resulted from favorable developments As part of our capital management strategy, the Company of reserves on prior accident quarters for automobile repurchased 313,110 shares of our Class A common bodily injury and uninsured/underinsured motorist bodily stock at a cost of $16.7 million during the second quarter injury. Improvements in accident quarter loss ratios in of 2007, or $53.26 per share. In the first half of 2007, these lines were a result of improved frequency and 595,649 shares were repurchased at a cost of $31.7 severity trends. In the second quarter of 2006, there was million. The Company had approximately $98 million in a strengthening of pre-1986 automobile catastrophic outstanding repurchase authority under this program at liability injury reserves based on a claim by claim review, June 30, 2007, that expires in December 2009. which increased our share of the reserves by $1.4 million. The strengthening of certain other catastrophic injury reserves was due to increasing pharmaceutical costs and a deterioration in the health of the claimants. Investment operations Net revenue from investment operations increased 28.3 “Safe Harbor” Statement Under the Private Securities percent in the second quarter of 2007 to $37.8 million Litigation Reform Act of 1995: Certain forward-looking compared to $29.5 million in the second quarter of 2006. statements contained herein involve risks and uncertainties. These statements include certain discussions relating to Equity in earnings of limited partnerships contributed management fee revenue, cost of management operations, significantly to the improved investment performance, underwriting, premium and investment income volume, increasing by $6.1 million in the second quarter of 2007. business strategies, profitability and business relationships Optimal market conditions resulted in a higher return on and the Company’s other business activities during 2007 capital on mezzanine debt and private equity partnership and beyond. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking investments by some of our more seasoned limited statements by terms such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” partnerships and realized gains on sales of commercial “would,” “expect,” “plan,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” properties owned by our real estate limited partnerships. “contemplate,” “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “potential” and similar expressions. These forward-looking statements Net realized gains on investments were $2.2 million reflect the Company’s current views about future events, are in the second quarter of 2007 compared to losses of based on assumptions and are subject to known and unknown $0.6 million in 2006. Included in net realized gains on risks and uncertainties that may cause results to differ materially investments are impairment charges of $2.0 million and from those anticipated in those statements. Many of the factors $1.3 million during the second quarters of 2007 and that will determine future events or achievements are beyond our ability to control or predict. 2006, respectively. Impairment charges recorded on fixed maturity and equity securities during the first six months of 2007 and 2006 were $2.6 million and $3.4 million, respectively. 4
  • 5. CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS (Dollars in thousands, except in per share data) Three months ended Six months ended June 30 June 30 2007 2006 2007 2006 (unaudited) (unaudited) Operating revenue Management fee revenue—net $ 242,324 $ 237,233 $ 458,343 $ 457,334 Premiums earned 52,122 53,825 104,096 107,852 Service agreement revenue 7,299 6,506 14,717 14,098 Total operating revenue 301,745 297,564 577,156 579,284 Operating expenses Cost of management operations 195,969 189,939 375,855 373,093 Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred 29,789 38,635 62,023 68,688 Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses 11,695 12,079 23,689 26,580 Total operating expenses 237,453 240,653 461,567 468,361 Investment income—unaffiliated Investment income, net of expenses 14,138 14,603 28,116 29,603 Net realized gains (losses) on investments 2,222 ( 632) 4,112 152 Equity in earnings of limited partnerships 20,180 14,058 32,698 18,200 Total investment income—unaffiliated 36,540 28,029 64,926 47,955 Income before income taxes and equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company 100,832 84,940 180,515 158,878 Provision for income taxes 31,505 30,015 56,098 55,092 Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company, net of tax 1,159 1,330 2,430 1,935 Net income $ 70,486 $ 56,255 $ 126,847 $ 105,721 Net income per share: Class A common stock—basic $ 1.22 $ 0.95 $ 2.19 $ 1.76 Class A common stock—diluted 1.11 0.86 1.99 1.59 Class B common stock—basic and diluted 187.31 144.90 336.32 265.30 Weighted average shares outstanding: Class A common stock—basic 57,337,436 59,063,615 57,513,372 59,842,796 Class A common stock—diluted 63,556,114 65,554,096 63,734,450 66,527,677 Class B common stock—basic and diluted 2,571 2,670 2,572 2,751 Dividends declared per share: Class A common stock $ 0.40 $ 0.36 $ 0.80 $ 0.72 Class B common stock 60.00 54.00 120.00 108.00 5
  • 6. CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS—SEGMENT BASIS (Amounts in thousands, except in per share data) Three months ended Six months ended June 30 June 30 2007 2006 2007 2006 (unaudited) (unaudited) Management operations Management fee revenue $ 256,462 $ 251,104 $ 485,106 $ 484,039 Service agreement revenue 7,299 6,506 14,717 14,098 Total revenue from management operations 263,761 257,610 499,823 498,137 Cost of management operations 207,392 201,028 397,777 394,854 Income from management operations 56,369 56,582 102,046 103,283 Insurance underwriting operations Premiums earned 52,122 53,825 104,096 107,852 Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred 29,789 38,635 62,023 68,688 Policy acquisition and other underwriting expenses 14,410 14,861 28,530 31,524 Total losses and expenses 44,199 53,496 90,553 100,212 Underwriting gain 7,923 329 13,543 7,640 Investment operations Investment income, net of expenses 14,138 14,603 28,116 29,603 Net realized gains (losses) on investments 2,222 ( 632) 4,112 152 Equity in earnings of limited partnerships 20,180 14,058 32,698 18,200 Equity in earnings of Erie Family Life Insurance Company 1,247 1,430 2,613 2,081 Net revenue from investment operations 37,787 29,459 67,539 50,036 Income before income taxes 102,079 86,370 183,128 160,959 Provision for income taxes 31,593 30,115 56,281 55,238 Net income $ 70,486 $ 56,255 $ 126,847 $ 105,721 Net income per share—Class A basic $ 1.22 $ 0.95 $ 2.19 $ 1.76 Net income per share—Class A diluted 1.11 0.86 1.99 1.59 Net income per share—Class B basic and diluted 187.31 144.90 336.32 265.30 Weighted average shares outstanding— Class A diluted 63,556 65,554 63,734 66,528 Amounts presented on a segment basis are gross of intercompany/intersegment items 6
  • 7. RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING INCOME TO NET INCOME We use operating income to evaluate the results of Definition of non-GAAP and operations. It reveals trends in our management services, operating measures insurance underwriting and investment operations that We believe that investors’ understanding of our perfor- may be obscured by the net effects of realized capital mance is enhanced by the disclosure of the following non- gains and losses. Realized capital gains and losses may GAAP financial measure. Our method of calculating this vary significantly between periods and are generally measure may differ from those used by other companies driven by business decisions and economic developments and therefore comparability may be limited. such as capital market condition, the timing of which is unrelated to our management services and insurance Operating income is net income excluding realized underwriting processes. We believe it is useful for capital gains and losses and related federal income investors to evaluate these components separately and in taxes. Equity in earnings or losses of Erie Family Life the aggregate when reviewing our performance. We are Insurance Company and equity in earnings or losses of aware that the price to earnings multiple commonly used limited partnerships are not excluded from the calculation by investors as a forward-looking valuation technique uses of operating income. Both of these categories include operating income as the denominator. Operating income the respective investment’s realized capital gains and should not be considered as a substitute for net income losses, as well as unrealized gains and losses, as these and does not reflect our overall profitability. investments are accounted for under the equity method. The following table reconciles operating income and net Net income is the GAAP measure that is most directly income for the periods ended June 30, 2007 and 2006: comparable to operating income. Three months ended Six months ended June 30 June 30 (unaudited) (unaudited) (in thousands, except per share data) 2007 2006 2007 2006 Operating income $ 69,042 $ 56,666 $ 124,174 $ 105,622 Net realized gains (losses) on investments 2,222 (632) 4,112 152 Income tax (expense) benefit on realized gains (losses) ( 778) 221 ( 1,439) ( 53) Realized gains (losses), net of income taxes 1,444 ( 411) 2,673 99 Net income $ 70,486 $ 56,255 $ 126,847 $ 105,721 Three months ended Six months ended June 30 June 30 (unaudited) (unaudited) Per Class A Share—Diluted 2007 2006 2007 2006 Operating income $ 1.09 $ 0.87 $ 1.95 $ 1.59 Net realized gains (losses) on investments 0.03 ( 0.01) 0.06 0.00 Income tax (expense) benefit on realized gains (losses) ( 0.01) 0.00 ( 0.02) 0.00 Realized gains (losses), net of income tax expense 0.02 ( 0.01) 0.04 0.00 Net income $ 1.11 $ 0.86 $ 1.99 $ 1.59 7
  • 8. CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF FINANCIAL POSITION (Amounts in thousands, except per share data) June 30 December 31 2007 2006 (unaudited) Assets Investments Fixed maturities $ 827,777 $ 836,738 Equity securities Preferred stock 139,800 133,401 Common stock 122,899 117,246 Other invested assets 266,454 235,672 Total investments 1,356,930 1,323,057 Cash and cash equivalents 27,292 60,241 Equity in Erie Family Life Insurance Company 57,784 57,162 Premiums receivable from policyholders 257,632 247,187 Receivables from affiliates 1,187,993 1,220,058 Other assets 134,179 131,656 Total assets $ 3,021,810 $ 3,039,361 Liabilities and shareholders’ equity Liabilities Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses $ 1,036,362 $ 1,073,570 Unearned premiums 436,996 424,282 Other liabilities 344,460 379,661 Total liabilities 1,817,818 1,877,513 Total shareholders’ equity 1,203,992 1,161,848 Total liabilities and shareholders’ equity $ 3,021,810 $ 3,039,361 Book value per share $ 19.00 $ 18.17 Shares outstanding 63,356 63,952 Member • Erie Insurance Group An Equal Opportunity Employer Home Office • 100 Erie Insurance Place • Erie, PA 16530 814.870.2000 • www.erieinsurance.com GF540 8/07 © 2007 Erie Indemnity Company