Great presentation from Frost & Sullivan in Luxembourg at CEO Sustainability Club (by IMS Luxembourg) on the "Mega Trends" which will change the economy in the coming years.
CEO sustainability club Luxembourg presentation Olivia Walker - Frost&Sullivan
1. Mega Trends Driving Change in Business Environments
Macro to Micro Implications of Global Mega Trends
2. What is a Mega Trend?
2
Mega trends are transformative, global forces that define the future world with
their far reaching impact on business, societies, economies, cultures and
personal lives.
Connectivity and
Convergence
Cognitive Era Bricks and Clicks Smart is the New
Green
New Societies
Health,
Wellness, and
Welllbeing
New Business
Models
Urbanisation Future of
Infrastructure
Innovating to
Zero
Future of Energy
New Markets
Beyond BRICSs
Future of
Mobility
3. 3
News Headlines in 2030
Robots enter our personal
lives.
Sensory devices guide our
everyday lives.
Mobile financial transactions
are now in crypto-currencies.
We enter cognitive era
3D printing is commonplace.
4D printing is gaining
mainstream acceptance .
EU signs agreement to
introduce a high speed rail
service from London to
Beijing.
Autonomous cars on the road
Summer Sale: Low-cost
holidays in space.
5. 10 Connected Devices for
Every Household by 2020
5 billion internet users by
2020
5 connected devices for every
user by 2020
500 devices with unique
digital IDs (Internet of things)
per square kilometre by 2020
80 Billion Connected Devices By 2020
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6. 6
GenerationDeviceSpecifications
1G 2G 3G 4G 5G
Less than 1
millisecond
Latency
90% Energy
savings
0 perceived down
time for service
provision
7 trillion M2M
wireless connections
5G Targets
5G Rollout in Europe: Road Map and Vision
European Commission has signed strategic deals with Asian market leaders in 5G technology, Japan and South
Korea and China to rollout 5G by 2020
Analog
Voice Calls
Speed: 50
KBPS
Digital Voice
Calls
Speed: 250
KBPS
Data
Bandwidth:
20 MBPS
Video
Streaming
Bandwidth:
200 MBPS
M2M
Bandwidth:
10 GBPS
7. 559
225
107
102
220
365
129
73
71
327
R&D Reconnaissance Navigation Earth Observaion Communication
136
59
218
354
161 164
31
89
Heavy
5,400kg+
Large
4,200-
5,400 kg
Medium
2,500-4,200
kg
Small
500-
2,500 kg
Micro
100-
500 kg
Mini
10-100 kg
Pico
0.1-1 kg
Nano
1-10 kg
Sub-Trend: Space Jam
There will be 1,213 Satellites Launched, Cumulatively, Globally by 2021.
1,213
965
2011* 2021*
Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis
*Note: The numbers refer to accumulated number of satellites to be launched in
the period 2012 to 2021 cumulatively
8. Sub Trend: Augmented Reality
Augmented Reality (AR) is defined as a real-time augmented view of the environment through
digital data through use of text, sound, graphics, video, and navigation systems that increases
user’s interactivity with the local environment . This extends business and mobility options,
social interactions and experiences which has implications on personal lives, businesses and even
day-to-day activities.
Reality Augmented Reality Augmented Virtuality Virtual World
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10. 10
Case Study on Future of Education: ‘Flipped Classroom’ (Khan
Academy)
Lecture today;
Classwork Tomorrow
Lecture Online;
Classwork Today
Teacher – speaks in the
classroom
Teacher – helps in the
classroom
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Source: Frost & Sullivan
12. Smart
Technology
Smart
Buildings
Smart Mobility
Smart
Windows
Smart CloudsLEVEL 3
Sensing
Mechanism +
Two-way Flow of
Data
Communication
Smart Chip Smart LightingLEVEL 2
Basic Sensing
Mechanism +
One-way Data
Communication
Smart
Bandages
LEVEL 1
Basic Sensing
Mechanism
Image Source: Dreamstime and Connected Digital World
Source: Frost & Sullivan
A smart product is
characterized by an intelligent
sensing technology that is
increasingly being integrated with
Internet technologies, thereby
allowing the product to react to and
communicate with the changing
environment around it. This leads
to optimal operations and
improvement in efficiency.
Smart is the New Green—3 Levels of Smart Products and
Technologies
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14. 14
Selected Smart Cities in 2025
Global Smart Cities
Over 26 Global Cities to be Truly SMART Cities in 2025 - More than 50% of Smart
cities of 2025 will be from Europe and North America
Source: Forbes Smart City List, Innovation City Index, Specific Smart Project Websites for Each City, Frost & Sullivan
Toronto
San Francisco
Vancouver
Paris
Boston
New York
London Berlin
Barcelona
Amsterdam
Seattle
Tokyo
Singapore
Calgary
Chicago
Vienna
Helsinki
Oslo
Seoul
Beijing
Tianjin
Wuhan
Helsinki
Sydney
Shenzhen
Stockholm
Santander
(upcoming)
15. Smart Buildings—The Triple Zero Architecture of the
Future
Smart buildings are green, energy efficient, and intelligent, with advanced automated infrastructure that controls and
manages aspects, such as lighting, temperature & energy consumption, independently or with minimal human intervention.
Commercial
Residential
Building Automation Systems
Reduction in energy consumption up to 30%
Smart Meters
Lighting
HVAC Controls
Energy Management
Energy Efficiency
Image Source: Dreamstime
Source: Frost & Sullivan
HVAC—Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning
EMS—Energy management system
Electronic Article Surveillance
Systems
Contraband Detection Systems
CCTV
Automotive Security systems
Electronic Security Systems
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16. Sub-Trend - Industry 4.0 Creates New Smarter Factories
4th industrial revolution will expand mobile robot applications in the smart factory from playing
mundane jobs like assembly to building sophisticated machinery in production floors
Illustrating the role of Cloud Robotics in Industry 4.0
Industry 4.0
• Internet of Things
• Cloud platforms
• Wireless intelligence
• Integrated Industries
• IP centralization
• Big Data
Industry 4.0 benefits
• Newer insights on factory operations
• Real time trajectory of business
• Insights on customers
• Sustainable manufacturing
Algorithmic
learning & data
enhancing
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18. DEMAND RESPONSIVE
TRANSPORT
(TAXI, BRT)
CONNECTED
LIVING (including
car)
INTERCITY
PUBLIC
TRANSPORT
CAR LEASING
CAR RENTAL
CAR SHARING &
POOLING
INTRACITY
PUBLIC
TRANSPORT
PHYD
INSURANCE
DYNAMIC
PARKING
CONCIERGE
SERVICES
ENERGY
MANAGEMENT
MICRO-MOBILITY
SOLUTIONS
TRAINS/FLIGHTS
INTEGRATION
APPS, JOURNEY
PLANNING, BIG
DATA
Mobility Configuration will Drive Energy Saving in Transportation
In Future Industry Stakeholders Will Showcase Mobility Integration
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19. The Future of Mobility will be Smart
Micro-mobility
Integrated mobility
Global car sharing
Parking management Zero
emission
taxisNew business models
Connected/autonomous
transport
Telematics based insurance
Alternative fuels
Demand Response
Management
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20. Demand Responsive Transport Solutions Remove
Inefficiency
“Fixed”
Carpooling
Instant – Short
Distance
Planned – Long
Distance
Higher Price per
KM
Lower Price per
KM
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
“On Demand”
Carpooling
“Taxi” ServicesPublic
Transport
“Transportation
Network
Companies”
20
21. 21
Urban Transhipment
Areas
Urban Consolidation
Centres
Urban Intermodal
Hubs
Locker BoxesMicrodistribution
Mobile Depots / Freight
Buses
Sub Trend: Future of Consolidation and Last Mile Delivery
More Bundling, Intermodality and Microdistribution in Urban
Areas
Types of Urban Distribution
Types of Urban Last-mile Deliveries
One Hour Deliveries Click ‘n’ Collect
23. In Future, HS Rail will not only Connect Cities and
Countries but will also Connect Continents
• China : 25,000 kms by 2025 (7,431 kms in 2010)
• 2020 Trans Siberian Link: New Route 66
• Biggest Project: $68 billion California HSR
• UK project: £33 billion (by 2026)
What are the Opportunities?
• High Speed Logistics
• Copper-silver and copper-magnesium wires
• Steel Companies
• Construction tooling, spare parts
• Condition monitoring, security, surveillance,
• Data handling, Passenger information
systems
• Mergers and Acquisitions Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
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25. Top 10 Technologies and Markets to Tackle Carbon
Reduction
Energy Efficiency and
SMART Buildings
LED Lighting
Revolution
Small Scale
Distributed Generation
SMART Grid & SMART
Energy
Advanced Batteries
and Energy Storage
SMART Water
Networks
Renewables
Energy
Harvesting
Energy Recovery from
Waste
Gas-fired Power &
Shale Gas Exploitation
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28. Implication : Cities, and Not Countries,
Will Drive Wealth Creation In the Future
New York City, with a GDP of $1.28
trillion, which is the equivalent of being
the 15th largest country in the world, close
in economic scale to South Korea ($1.12
trillion).
Cities like Istanbul in Turkey will account
for more than 22% of country’s GDP
What are the Micro Implications?
High Economic Power
Hub and Spoke Business Model
Pilot Project Approach
New Mobility Solutions
City as a Customer
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29. Suppliers
Manufacturers
Retailers
Consumers
Landfill/Waste Management
Linear
Economy
Circular
Economy
Reuse/
Redistribute
Refurbish/
Remanufacture
Recycle
$700 billion
in consumer goods
material savings
$1.80 trillion
per annum savings
in avoiding waste in
textiles
$1.50 billion in
collecting
household food
waste annually in
the United
Kingdom
Savings in
reusing/refurbishing/
recycling
Source: ESA; Ellen MacArthur Foundation; Frost & Sullivan
New Avenues for Resources: Circular Economy
The circular economy will promote efficient use of resources, provide greener production, and
support resource optimization, with an opportunity in excess of $1 trillion for the global economy.
Circular economy refers to an industrial economy that, contrary to a traditional linear economy, reclaims used
materials and recycles them as secondary raw materials for new products.
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30. Macro Micro
From Macro to Micro: Taking Mega Trends from Information to
Strategy Implementation
Mega Trend
Selected trends that impacts key
business environments
Sub Trend
A sub-layer of trends that has a
wide ranging impact
Impact to Your Industry
Visualising the roadmap of these
critical forces through scenario-
building and macro economic
forecasts
Impact on Future Product/
Technology
Analysis of Opportunities and
Unmet Needs
To
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