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Identification of Reduced-Oder Dynamic Models of Gas Turbines   CSC Student Seminars (Spring/Summer, 2006) PhD Student: Xuewu Dai Supervisor: Tim Breikin  and Hong Wang
Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Aims ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
2. Reduced Order ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Linearisation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3. Long-term Prediction a. One-step Ahead Prediction Model Model Model b. Long-term Prediction Model
Model Equations ,[object Object],2. Long-term prediction
Challenges ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],MSE=9.1318 Autocorrelation of prediction errors
4. Dynamic Gradient Descent ,[object Object],[object Object]
Dynamic Gradient Descent
Results 1: deepest direction
BFGS direction
5. Nonlinear Least-squares Optimization (Gauss-Newton)
Search direction, step size and initial value ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Result 3 Gauss-Newton
Prediction of 1 st  Order Model
Comparison of 1 st  Order Model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],98 0.043543 0.977776 9.131785 DGD3* 101 0.043544 0.777774 9.131786 DGD2 * 1000  0.043568 0.977764 9.131816 DGD1 * 10000  0.043542 0.977774 9.131926 Exhausted Search N/A 0.0376 0.9809 11.0163 GD 200 N/A N/A 22.2925 ANFIS  1 0.032551 0.987395 23.49449 LSE Iterations b a MSE M ethods
High Order Model initial (by LSE) : [1.2805  -0.29191  0.10582  0.15903] final:  [1.8604  -0.8641  0.07045  -0.007475]
6. Future Works ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],CSC Student Seminars (Spring/Summer, 2006)
Appendix
Initial value problem manual setting of initial value  [0.5 0.5 0.5  0.5] [1.8604 -0.8641 0.07045  -0.007475] Final MSE=8.60188 setting initial value by LSE [1.2805  -0.29191  0.10582  0.15903] [1.8604  -0.8641  0.07045  -0.007475] Final MSE=3.313612
appendix

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Dynamic Modelling of Gas Turbine Engines