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Additional
Scenario Indicators

May, 2009
Scenario Indicators

This presentation includes additional indicators
from the four PLANiTulsa scenarios presented
at Cain’s Ballroom on May 12, 2009

These are intended to provide additional detail
for residents interested in delving deeper into
the scenarios.

Please, take some time to review them, and
then complete the survey!
People

Scenarios C and D have the most population growth, Scenario A the least.



            New Population Growth in the City
  600,000
                                               102,333
                                   100,966
                         72,919
  500,000
             28,628
  400,000
                                                            Total Population Added
  300,000
                                                            2000 Population
  200,000

  100,000

        0
                A          B          C           D
People

Scenarios C and D also have the greatest new job growth.


                   New Job Growth in the City
               23,859       32,620      41,700       42,183
   400,000
   350,000
   300,000
   250,000
                                                              Total Jobs Added
   200,000
                                                              2000 Jobs
   150,000
   100,000
    50,000
         0
                  A           B            C           D
People
Scenarios B and D would place the greatest number of new homes on underutilized
parcels

                       New Infill Housing Units
                                (and % of total)
                                                         56%
     25,000

     20,000
                              49%
                                                                       Infill Housing
     15,000
                                                                       Units
     10,000
                                           14%
      5,000
                  4%
          0
                  A             B            C            D
People

Each scenario provides a range of new homes on different sized lots.


            Variety of Single Family Home Types
   14,000
   12,000
   10,000                                                        Single Family Rural
                                                                 Single Family Estate
    8,000
                                                                 Single Family 8-15K lot
    6,000                                                        Single Family 5-8K lot
                                                                 Cottage Home
    4,000
    2,000
        0
                 A            B           C            D
People
Scenarios C and D have most new homes in mixed-use areas, with shops nearby.


              Proportion of Housing Units In A
                  Mixed-Use Environment
   100%

                                                       74%
    75%

                                                                       Percent of
                            49%
    50%                                                                Units
                                         27%
    25%
               8%

     0%
                A             B            C            D
Economy
The types of jobs added were similar across all four scenarios.

                                   Job Profile
   100%
                                                                  14%
                 15%                             15%
    90%                          21%
    80%
    70%
    60%                                                                 Retail
                                                                  61%
                 60%                             60%
                                 58%
    50%                                                                 Office
                                                                        Industrial
    40%
    30%
    20%
                 25%                             25%              25%
                                 21%
    10%
     0%
                  A                B               C              D
Economy

Scenario C would result in the greatest total value of new homes and employment space.


              Value of Total New Construction
$14,000,000,000
$12,000,000,000
$10,000,000,000
                                                                      Value Added
 $8,000,000,000                                                       from All
                                                                      Construction
 $6,000,000,000
 $4,000,000,000
 $2,000,000,000
              $0
                       A          B           C          D
Economy

The estimated increase in annual sales tax revenue for the city is similar across B, C, and D


                   Added City Sales Tax Revenue
   $50,000,000

   $40,000,000

   $30,000,000

   $20,000,000

   $10,000,000

              $0
                          A                B                C               D
Transportation

Scenario A would result in more total lane miles than the others.


               New Lane-Miles of Road Constructed
   2,500

   2,000
                                                                    Added Lane-
                604           504            454           434
                                                                    Miles
   1,500

                                                                    Existing Lane-
   1,000
                                                                    Miles
               1,526         1,526          1,526         1,526
     500

       0
                 A              B             C             D
Transportation
On per-capita basis, Scenario A would require more new roads for fewer new
residents.

        Lane Miles of New Road Per 1,000 New Residents
   25
            21.1
   20
                                                                        Lane Miles
   15                                                                   Added per
                                                                        1,000 New
                                                                        Residents
   10
                            6.9
                                          4.5           4.2
    5

    0
              A             B              C             D
Transportation

Scenarios B, C, and D would result in Tulsans driving fewer miles than Scenario A.



         Per Capita Vehicle Miles Traveled (City)
              40
   40
                             33
                                            31             30
   30
                                                                         VMT per capita
                                                                         (miles)
   20

   10


    0
               A              B              C              D
Transportation
The amount of time Tulsans will spend in the car drops dramatically in Scenarios B,
C and D.


        Per Capita Vehicle Hours Traveled (City)
   60         56
                             46
   50
                                            45
                                                           41
   40
                                                                         VHT per capita
   30                                                                    (Min)

   20

   10

    0
              A              B               C              D
Transportation
Scenarios B and D would result in the least amount of fuel wasted due to traffic
congestion


 Gallons of Fuel Wasted Annually Due to Congestion
                 10,730,000
                               9,420,000 10,290,000
   10,000,000
                                                         8,760,000

    7,500,000                                                            Gallons of Fuel
                                                                         Wasted
                                                                         Annually
    5,000,000

    2,500,000

             0
                      A            B            C            D
Transportation
Scenarios B and D would result in the least amount of lost time due to traffic
congestion.

       Citywide Value of Time Lost Due to Congestion
                              (Annually, in millions)
   $400
               $346
                                             $332
                              $304
                                                           $283
   $300

                                                                          Value of Time
   $200                                                                   Lost (per year)


   $100


      $0
                 A              B             C              D
Community & Environment
Scenario C would consume the greatest amount of land, overall.


                     Acres of Land Consumed
                     (% that is on underutilized parcels)
                                           8%
   10,000

    8,000
                                                                 Underutilized
                3%                                               land
    6,000
                             26%                        35%      Vacant Acres
    4,000

    2,000

        0
                 A             B            C             D
Community & Environment
The number of new residents living near parks, the river, and open space is different
for each scenario.

      New Housing Units within ½ Mile of Open Space
Community & Environment
Scenario C produced the greatest amount of new impervious surface such as parking lots
and rooftops.


            Acres of Impervious Surface Added
   6,000



   4,000



   2,000



       0
                  A                B                 C                D

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Planitulsa Additional Indicators 50909v2

  • 2. Scenario Indicators This presentation includes additional indicators from the four PLANiTulsa scenarios presented at Cain’s Ballroom on May 12, 2009 These are intended to provide additional detail for residents interested in delving deeper into the scenarios. Please, take some time to review them, and then complete the survey!
  • 3. People Scenarios C and D have the most population growth, Scenario A the least. New Population Growth in the City 600,000 102,333 100,966 72,919 500,000 28,628 400,000 Total Population Added 300,000 2000 Population 200,000 100,000 0 A B C D
  • 4. People Scenarios C and D also have the greatest new job growth. New Job Growth in the City 23,859 32,620 41,700 42,183 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 Total Jobs Added 200,000 2000 Jobs 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 A B C D
  • 5. People Scenarios B and D would place the greatest number of new homes on underutilized parcels New Infill Housing Units (and % of total) 56% 25,000 20,000 49% Infill Housing 15,000 Units 10,000 14% 5,000 4% 0 A B C D
  • 6. People Each scenario provides a range of new homes on different sized lots. Variety of Single Family Home Types 14,000 12,000 10,000 Single Family Rural Single Family Estate 8,000 Single Family 8-15K lot 6,000 Single Family 5-8K lot Cottage Home 4,000 2,000 0 A B C D
  • 7. People Scenarios C and D have most new homes in mixed-use areas, with shops nearby. Proportion of Housing Units In A Mixed-Use Environment 100% 74% 75% Percent of 49% 50% Units 27% 25% 8% 0% A B C D
  • 8. Economy The types of jobs added were similar across all four scenarios. Job Profile 100% 14% 15% 15% 90% 21% 80% 70% 60% Retail 61% 60% 60% 58% 50% Office Industrial 40% 30% 20% 25% 25% 25% 21% 10% 0% A B C D
  • 9. Economy Scenario C would result in the greatest total value of new homes and employment space. Value of Total New Construction $14,000,000,000 $12,000,000,000 $10,000,000,000 Value Added $8,000,000,000 from All Construction $6,000,000,000 $4,000,000,000 $2,000,000,000 $0 A B C D
  • 10. Economy The estimated increase in annual sales tax revenue for the city is similar across B, C, and D Added City Sales Tax Revenue $50,000,000 $40,000,000 $30,000,000 $20,000,000 $10,000,000 $0 A B C D
  • 11. Transportation Scenario A would result in more total lane miles than the others. New Lane-Miles of Road Constructed 2,500 2,000 Added Lane- 604 504 454 434 Miles 1,500 Existing Lane- 1,000 Miles 1,526 1,526 1,526 1,526 500 0 A B C D
  • 12. Transportation On per-capita basis, Scenario A would require more new roads for fewer new residents. Lane Miles of New Road Per 1,000 New Residents 25 21.1 20 Lane Miles 15 Added per 1,000 New Residents 10 6.9 4.5 4.2 5 0 A B C D
  • 13. Transportation Scenarios B, C, and D would result in Tulsans driving fewer miles than Scenario A. Per Capita Vehicle Miles Traveled (City) 40 40 33 31 30 30 VMT per capita (miles) 20 10 0 A B C D
  • 14. Transportation The amount of time Tulsans will spend in the car drops dramatically in Scenarios B, C and D. Per Capita Vehicle Hours Traveled (City) 60 56 46 50 45 41 40 VHT per capita 30 (Min) 20 10 0 A B C D
  • 15. Transportation Scenarios B and D would result in the least amount of fuel wasted due to traffic congestion Gallons of Fuel Wasted Annually Due to Congestion 10,730,000 9,420,000 10,290,000 10,000,000 8,760,000 7,500,000 Gallons of Fuel Wasted Annually 5,000,000 2,500,000 0 A B C D
  • 16. Transportation Scenarios B and D would result in the least amount of lost time due to traffic congestion. Citywide Value of Time Lost Due to Congestion (Annually, in millions) $400 $346 $332 $304 $283 $300 Value of Time $200 Lost (per year) $100 $0 A B C D
  • 17. Community & Environment Scenario C would consume the greatest amount of land, overall. Acres of Land Consumed (% that is on underutilized parcels) 8% 10,000 8,000 Underutilized 3% land 6,000 26% 35% Vacant Acres 4,000 2,000 0 A B C D
  • 18. Community & Environment The number of new residents living near parks, the river, and open space is different for each scenario. New Housing Units within ½ Mile of Open Space
  • 19. Community & Environment Scenario C produced the greatest amount of new impervious surface such as parking lots and rooftops. Acres of Impervious Surface Added 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 A B C D