A talk given at SMU in Singapore as part of the Institute of Innovation and Entrepreneurship's Distinguished Speaker Series. Designed to share and discuss 20 of the emerging insights from the synthesis of the Future Agenda materials ahead of publication of new website in January 2016 - More info on http://iie.smu.edu.sg and future agenda.org

1. The World in 2025 | Emerging Insights From Future Agenda 2.0
SMU | Singapore | 5 November 2015
Dr Tim Jones | Programme Director

2. Future Agenda
The Future Agenda is the world’s largest open foresight program
that accesses mulFple views of the next decade
so all can be beHer informed and sFmulate innovaFon.

3. Looking Forwards
OrganisaFons increasingly want to idenFfy and understand
both the anFcipated and unexpected changes
so that they can be beHer prepared for the future.

4. Future Agenda 1.0 Top Insights for 2020
From the 2010 program, 52 key insights on the next decade were shared
widely and have been extensively used by organisaFons around the world.
And Future Agenda became the world’s largest open foresight plaNorm.

5. Future Agenda in Numbers
The first Future Agenda programme engaged a wide range of views in
25 countries. Future Agenda 2.0 has doubled the face-to-face interacFon
and significantly raised online sharing, debate and discussion.
Future Agenda 1.0
1 HOST
16 TOPICS
25 COUNTRIES
50 WORKSHOPS
1500 ORGANISATIONS
Future Agenda 2.0
50 HOSTS
25 TOPICS
38 COUNTRIES
112 WORKSHOPS
5000 ORGANISATIONS

6. Future Agenda 2.0 Topics
The second version of the Future Agenda program is taking place
during 2015 and has been addressing 20+ topics via 100+ events in
45 ciFes in 38 countries in partnership with around 50 core hosts.
Ageing
CiOes
Company
ConnecOvity
Data
EducaOon
Energy
Food
Government
Health
Learning
Loyalty
Payments
Privacy
Resources
Transport
Travel
Water
Wealth
Work

7. Eight Key Themes
Across the mulFple discussions, 86 emerging issues seem to be touching
upon and connecFng with eight underlying, and interwoven, themes.
Many of these provide significant opportuniFes for innovaFon.
The Five
CertainOes
Interconnected
Systems
The Data
RevoluOon
Unequal
Access
Our
Habitat
Beliefs and
Belonging
Power and
Influence
Changing
Business

8. Five CertainOes

9. Imbalanced PopulaOon Growth
A growing populaFon is adding another billion people but it is also rapidly ageing:
A child born next year will live 6 months longer than one born today. While migraFon
helps to rebalance some socieFes, increasing dependency raFos challenge all.

10. ShiVing Power and Influence
The centre of gravity of economic power conFnues shi_ing eastwards, back to
where it was 200 years ago. Recent superpowers seek to moderate the pace of
change but the realiFes of populaFon and resource locaFons are immoveable.

11. Everything Connected
By 2025 over 1 trillion sensors are connected to mulFple networks: Everything that
can benefit from a connecFon will have one. We deliver 10,000x more data 100x
more effecFvely but need to make sense of the informaFon that flows.

12. Interconnected Systems

13. Air Quality
Rising air polluFon in many emerging ciFes is killing people and becomes
the visible catalyst for changing mind-sets. It drives public support for new
policies across health, energy, transportaFon and urban design.

14. Food Waste
The 30-50% of food wasted either in the supply chain or in consumpFon could feed
another 3 billion every day. Focus is on using data to opFmise distribuFon and
storage in developing countries and enabling beHer consumer informaFon in others.

15. Urban Obesity
Mass urbanisaFon, reduced acFvity and poor diets are acceleraFng the rise of obesity.
As half the global populaFon is overweight, levels of obesity in most ciFes are growing
fast and the associated healthcare burden will soon account for 5% of global GDP.

16. The Data RevoluOon

17. The Increasing Value of Data
As organisaFons grab more data, it becomes a currency with a value and a price:
It therefore requires marketplaces – transparent ecosystems for trading data
- so anything that is informaFon is represented in data marketplaces.

18. Data Ownership
Individuals recognize the value of their digital shadows, privacy agents and data
brokers curate clients’ data sets while personal data stores give us transparent control
of our informaFon: We retain more ownership of our data and opt to share it.

19. Ethical Machines
Machines are as smart as humans as automaFon spreads beyond trading and drones
to driverless cars and managing systemic risk. As we approach technology singularity,
autonomous robots and algorithms make ethical judgments that impact life or death.

20. Unequal Access

21. Rising Youth Unemployment
With unemployment rates already over 50% in some naFons, access to work is a rising
barrier to many. Especially across North Africa, the Middle East and southern Europe,
a lost generaFon of 100m fails to connect with and gain from global growth.

22. EducaOon RevoluOon
Networked schools and learning plaNorms encourage self-organised educaFon
for all. Teachers provide prompts, not answers, and help students learn from
one another. Non-linear high content learning becomes the global norm.

23. Our Habitat

24. Housing Everyone
Mass migraFon and localised populaFon explosions drive up the cost of both
housing access and home ownership. In many ciFes, this leads to the development
of new living spaces and ownership models that try to accommodate more of us.

25. Off-Planet Living
Rapid technological advances, coupled with the ambiFons of emerging powers and
wealthy individuals, lead to a new race to colonise space. A priority in this is
long-term habitaFon on Mars as the seed for a future New World migraFon.

26. Preparing for Resilience
As we move forward wider recogniFon of adaptaFon to climate change plays
an increasingly important role in defining and shaping both governmental
and business ahtudes and risk strategies.

27. AcceleraOng Displacement
A faster changing climate and rapidly increasing inequaliFes of opportunity add
to conflict as sFmulus for mass migraFon north at an unprecedented scale.
Over 1 billion are on the move over the next 30 to 50 years.

28. Beliefs and Belonging

29. Social CoagulaOon
Geographically disparate groups (re)connect to reinforce ideas and exclude
others - creaFng opportuniFes to reinforce ideas and normalise acFons
which otherwise might seem extreme as they grow more powerful.

30. Aging in Community
Individuals, families as well as healthcare payers desire to keep older
people living healthy and independent loner. This requires upgraded infrastructure,
transportaFon systems and thoughNul products and services.

31. The Age of Women
In many regions, women have greater control, influence and increased leadership
parFcipaFon. This changes decision-making, strengthens the representaFon
of the feminine view and helps to drive more balanced acFons.

32. Power and Influence

33. New World Order
As demographic shi_s, new alliances and economic challenges re-align global
power and influence, new leaders emerge and control in the world changes
in favour of some - but with others sFll holding the balance.

34. Africa Growth
Despite concerns around governance and corrupFon, the aHracFon of rising
populaFons, a growing workforce, 500m new middle class consumers and conFnued
resource supplies aHract mulFple global brands to make Africa the #1 target market.

35. Purpose of Companies
Successful organisaFons align their purpose with addressing specific societal and
stakeholder needs and move beyond just focusing on creaFng shareholder value.
A mulF-capital approach to integrated reporFng takes hold and spreads.

36. Changing Business

37. Speed to Scale
Greater global connecFvity, growing average consumer wealth, broader reach
and the adopFon of standard plaNorms all combine to accelerate the
Fme to 1bn customers for start-ups and new corporate ventures alike.

38. Digital Money
Cash is gradually replaced by digital money providing consumers with more
convenience and choice – and organisaFons with lower cost transacFons. Wider
adopFon enables new offers to proliferate – including in the black economy.

39. OrganisaOon 3.0
New forms of flaHer, project-based, collaboraFve, virtual, informal
organisaFons dominate - enabled by technology and a global mobile workforce.
As such the nature of work and the role of organisaFon itself blurs.

40. Future Agenda
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