As part of the future agenda programme we are running an event in Munich on July 29th hosted by Nokia. Focused on developments in and around the connected vehicle, the will explore how changes we can see on and beyond the horizon will impact the world of cars, trucks and other vehicles over the next decade. This material is the starting point for the discussion.

1. The
Future
of
the
Connected
Vehicle
|
Munich
|
29
July
2015

2. Context
As
the
impact
digital
increases
and
new
business
models
emerge,
the
world
of
connected
cars,
truck
and
other
vehicles
is
undergoing
significant
change
and
how
this
is
manifested
is
of
interest
to
many.

3. Future
Agenda
The
Future
Agenda
is
the
world’s
largest
open
foresight
program
that
accesses
mulIple
views
of
the
next
decade
so
all
can
be
beKer
informed
and
sImulate
innovaIon.

4. Looking
Forwards
OrganisaIons
increasingly
want
to
idenIfy
and
understand
both
the
anIcipated
and
unexpected
changes
so
that
they
can
be
beKer
prepared
for
the
future.

5. Future
Agenda
1.0
Top
Insights
for
2020
From
the
2010
program,
52
key
insights
on
the
next
decade
were
shared
widely
via
books,
cards
and
online
and
have
been
extensively
used
by
organisaIons
around
the
world.

6. Future
Agenda
in
Numbers
The
first
Future
Agenda
programme
engaged
a
wide
range
of
views
in
25
countries.
Future
Agenda
2.0
is
doubling
the
face-­‐to-­‐face
interacIon
and
significantly
raising
online
sharing,
debate
and
discussion.
Future
Agenda
1.0
1
HOST
16
TOPICS
25
COUNTRIES
50
WORKSHOPS
1500
ORGANISATIONS
Future
Agenda
2.0
50
HOSTS
20+
TOPICS
40
COUNTRIES
100
WORKSHOPS
2500
ORGANISATIONS

7. Future
Agenda
2.0
Topics
The
second
version
of
the
Future
Agenda
program
is
taking
place
during
2015
and
is
addressing
20
topics
via
100
events
in
50
ciIes
in
40
countries
with
around
50
core
hosts.
Ageing
CiNes
Company
ConnecNvity
Data
EducaNon
Energy
Food
Government
Health
Learning
Loyalty
Payments
Privacy
Resources
Transport
Travel
Water
Wealth
Work

8. The
Process
20
iniIal
perspecIves
on
the
future
kicked
off
the
Future
Agenda
discussions
taking
place
across
5
conInents
from
Feb
to
July
2015.
These
are
iniIal
views
to
be
shared,
challenged
and
enhanced.
IniIal
PerspecIves
Q4
2014
Global
Discussions
Q1/2
2015
Insight
Synthesis
Q3
2015
Sharing
Output
Q4
2015

9. The
Future
of
the
Connected
Vehicle
From
the
discussions
so
far,
there
are
many
issues
that
relate
to
the
future
of
the
connected
car
both
from
within
and
outside
the
automoIve
sector.
These
will
be
built
upon
in
Munich
on
29th
July.

10. Intelligent
Highways
Mesh
networks
and
ubiquitous
mobile
connecIons
deliver
automated
highways
to
improve
safety,
increase
capacity
and
reduce
congesIon.

11. Autonomous
Vehicles
Led
by
urban
delivery
pods
and
long
distance
trucks,
the
rise
of
automaIcally
driven
vehicles
leads
to
the
reinvenIon
of
the
travel
experience
around
infotainment.

12. Digital
Showrooms
Vehicle
selecIon
and
purchase
takes
place
on
the
high
street
and
in
shopping
malls
with
immersive
digital
experience
replacing
edge
of
town
physical
car
dealerships.

13. Smart
Cars
Every
vehicle
has
thousands
of
sensor-­‐connected
computers
that
collecIve
provide
the
intelligent
car
able
to
monitor
itself,
its
environment
and
its
passengers.

14. Declining
Cost
of
Ownership
Increased
compeIIon,
system
efficiency
and
more
open
pricing
leads
to
a
net
decline
in
the
ongoing
cost
of
ownership
of
a
vehicle
acer
purchase.

15. Pervasive
Leasing
Driven
by
a
combinaIon
of
sustainability,
new
business
model
and
convenience
factors,
leasing
becomes
the
predominant
mode
of
vehicle
access
for
all:
By
the
hour,
day
or
year.

16. Electric
Car
Services
The
growth
in
electric
vehicles
brings
with
it
the
advent
of
a
completely
new
service
experience
with
remote
socware
uploads,
super-­‐fast
diagnosis
and
plug-­‐and-­‐play
component
swap.

17. Automated
Trucks
Autonomous
and
driverless
trucks
are
now
starIng
to
have
impact.
The
vision
of
long-­‐distance
platoons
of
trucks
all
running
on
intelligent
highways
without
drivers
has
been
a
topic
for
some
years...
but
the
reality
is
not
far
away.

18. Last
Mile
Efficiency
The
benefits
to
be
gained
from
bringing
the
same
level
of
efficiency
to
the
last
mile
as
there
is
to
the
first
thousand
is
aKracIng
aKenIon:
There
will
be
more
focus
on
reducing
inefficiencies
around
the
final
part
of
delivery.

19. PredicNve
Remote
Maintenance
F1
and
satellite
technology
is
applied
at
scale
enabling
car
manufacturers
to
conInuously
monitor
vehicles,
diagnose
any
future
faults
in
advance
and
remotely
update
socware.

20. Drive
Thru
Servicing
With
pre-­‐arrival
diagnosis
the
norm,
drivers
opt
to
take
their
vehicles
to
locaIons
able
to
do
a
full
service
in
30
minutes
while
they
have
a
coffee,
relax
and
browse
the
net.

21. Uninformed
Customers
As
efficiency
improves
and
automaIon
grows,
drivers
are
ignorant
of
how
vehicles
work
and,
especially
in
fast
growing
economies,
unaware
of
anything
under
the
bonnet.

22. The
Fourth
Space
As
tradiIonal
tasks
become
more
automated
and
Ime
is
freed
up,
the
ability
to
do
other
acIviIes
within
the
vehicle
environment
is
embraced
by
all
–
it
enables
the
car
to
be
as
producIve
as
home
or
work
spaces.

23. Insuring
the
System
As
cars
no
longer
crash
and
nothing
is
stolen,
vehicle
insurance
shics
from
the
individual
and
their
car
to
whole
fleets
and,
ulImately,
the
enIre
system.
This
significantly
changes
how
risk
is
managed
and
shared.

24. OpNmal
Experience
Demand
growth
will
be
driven
by
new
data
apps,
device
types
and
connected
objects
all
sharing
the
same
network.
Every
user
-­‐
human,
machine
or
object
-­‐
will
expect
a
personalised
and
consistent
experience
across
all
touch
points.

25. Perfectly
Informed
Consumers
BeKer
informaIon
of
cost,
quality,
benefit
and
availability
enables
consumers
to
set
the
right
price
for
products
and
services
and
buyers
pay
sellers
what
they
want.

26. Transparent
Pricing
Consumers,
supply
chains
and
regulators
share
informaIon
openly
and
force
manufacturers
and
retailers
to
be
more
transparent
about
costs
and
accountable
for
errors.

27. Everything
Connected
By
2025,
>50
billion
objects
and
>1
trillion
sensors
will
be
connected
to
networks
–
many
of
which
are
mobile.
These
generate
diverse
use-­‐cases
from
mulI-­‐cast
/
broadcast
of
live
video
feeds
across
mulIple
areas
of
applicaIon.

28. Access
Not
Ownership
Rising
sustainability
imperaIves
and
increasing
cost
of
ownership
all
shic
the
balance
from
ownership
to
access
and
we
prefer
to
rent
than
buy.

29. Value
of
Data
There
is
undoubtedly
a
huge
economic
incenIve
to
generate
and
collect
data
from
whatever
sources
it
becomes
available.
As
more
data
from
more
things
becomes
available,
we
can
expect
to
see
a
data
“land
grab”
by
organisaIons.

30. A
Data
Marketplace
Data
is
a
currency,
it
has
a
value
and
a
price,
and
therefore
requires
a
market
place.
An
ecosystem
for
trading
data
is
emerging
and
anything
that
is
informaIon
is
represented
in
a
new
data
marketplace.

31. BeWer
Storage
Improvements
in
baKery
and
hydrogen
energy
storage
make
renewable
energy
more
reliable
and
so
accelerate
electric
vehicle
growth
and
support
greater
distributed
generaIon.
This
has
the
potenIal
to
enable
a
behaviour
change.

32. 5G
Era
The
5G
era
encompasses
Gbps
mobile
broadband
but
evolves
to
an
opImsied
architecture
that
integrates
mulIple
fixed
and
wireless
networks
and
supports
flexible
spectrum
usage
with
high
spectral
efficiency.

33. Security
and
Privacy
by
Design
The
trust
of
users
is
fragile
and
can
only
be
sustained
by
embedding
privacy
and
security
in
products
and
processes
to
provide
transparency,
choice
and
individual
parIcipaIon.

34. CogniNve
Networks
In
using
big-­‐data
analyIcs
and
machine
learning,
networks
become
cogniIve
enough
to
operate
themselves
at
the
most
opImal
cost
-­‐
while
understanding
user’s
needs
and
automaIcally
delivering
the
best
experience
in
real-­‐Ime.

35. Linkability
of
Open
Data
No
data
will
be
truly
anonymous:
Current
open
data
pracIce
assumes
that
technology
will
be
not
be
able
to
relink
it
to
its
source.
This
is
not
the
case
and
so,
by
2025,
we
will
see
different
levels
of
de-­‐idenIficaIon.

36. Paying
for
Privacy
We
do
not
currently
understand
the
value
of
our
data
or
how
it
is
being
used
and
so
are
giving
it
away.
In
the
future
we
might
be
willing
to
pay
more
for
our
privacy
than
the
data
we
share.

37. Data
Islands
Some
economies
seek
to
maintain
closed
or
parallel
networks,
independent
of
global
systems.
Different
approaches
from
the
standard
are
developed
for
major
populaIon
centres
and,
in
Ime,
could
have
global
reach.

38. CiNes
Not
Countries
CiIes
are
more
important
than
countries
and
increasingly
set
the
standards
as
cultural
connecIons
predominate
over
naIonal
idenIIes
and
urban
markets
group
around
common
issues.

39. Rising
Cyber
Security
Greater
interconnecIvity
and
the
Internet
of
Things
creates
new
vulnerabiliIes
for
governments
and
corporaIons
-­‐
as
the
unscrupulous
and
the
criminal
increasingly
seek
to
exploit
weakness
and
destroy
systems.

40. Future
Agenda
84
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