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GBR HOSPITALITY QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER

       Greek Hospitality Industry Performance


                                   2010 Q3
Introduction
This newsletter provides a snapshot of the performance of Greek hotels based on a sample of more than 180 hotels
& resorts in Greece. The hotel permorfmance data is complemented by data from other sources so as to place the
Greek hospitality industry in the context of Greek tourism and of the International Hospitality Industry. Finally, a topic
of special importance to the hospitality industry will be presented each time.

International arrivals1 in Greek airports, 2010 compared to 2009
    Region               % Change in International arrivals -- Q3                     % Change in International Arrivals – ytd Q3

      Athens     -5,2%                                                            -5,3%




 Thessaloniki                 -3,4%                                                          -4,2%




     Greece                                                                1,4%                                             -0,5%




  Source: SETE, processed by GBR Consulting


RevPAR2 in Greek hotels, 2010 compared to 2009

    Region          % Change in RevPAR of Greek hotels -- Q3                      % Change in RevPAR of Greek hotels – ytd Q3

      Athens                     -11,3%                                                                 -6,6%




 Thessaloniki   -22,0%                                                              -19,0%



      Resorts                                                       5,1%                                                      4,4%




  Source: GBR Consulting


RevPAR in Competitive Destinations, 2010 compared to 2009

    Region          % = in RevPAR of Comp. Dest.inations – Q3                     % = in RevPAR of Comp. Destinations – ytd Q3

    S. Europe                                 7,2%                                                        5,9%


       Rome                     3,5%                                                                             6,7%


     Madrid                                                        12,0%
                                                                                                                             10,2%


                                                           10,6%
        Cairo                                                                                                   6,5%



  Source: STR Global, processed by GBR Consulting


Commentary
    International arrivals at airports outside Athens and Thessaloniki, i.e. at resort destinations picked up in Q3,
    showing an increase of 5.3%, compared to a continuation of the negative trends in Athens and Thessaloniki,
    -11.3% and -22.0% respectively. As a result the ytd figure for the country as a whole shows only a small drop
    compared to last year indicating that the fear of a sharp drop in foreign tourism due to the bad publicity of the

Hotels • Resorts • Spas • Marinas • Casinos • Conference Centers • Theme Parks • Golf                                         Page 2 of 4
country this year, has not materiealised. Resort destinations have held their market, with some showing strong
    increase (e.g. Rodos (+9%), Kos (+11%), Santorini (+6%)), while losses at Crete were checked at -1% at
    Heraklion and -2% at Chania.
    The RevPAR in Athens dropped by -11.3% in Q3 leading to a ytd drop in the RevPAR of -6%.
    The RevPAR in Thessaloniki continued its sharp drop, -22%, for the reasons explained in detail in earlier
    newsletters, namely increased room supply and falling demand from Greek businesses following the
    implementation of the Greek government’s austerity package in spring.
    Resort hotels, however, showed a significant improvement in their Total RevPAR, by 5.1%, leading to a reversal of
    the previously negative trend in the ytd figure, which improved by 4.4%, compared to -4.0% in Q2. Therefore,
    fears that Greek tourism would collapse this year did not materialise.


Hotel & Other News
    The Law liberalizing the cruise market (see earlier newsletters) has been voted in the parliament and is now in
    effect. The Athens hotel industry is expected to be a main beneficiary of this change as/if Piraeus develops as a
    hub for cruises, in response to the high demand for cruises in the Greek islands – according to the latest European
    Cruise Council report, Greece has topped Italy as a favourite cruise destination with 5 million alightings or a
    20.9% market share. However, the government is still being criticized by the cruise companies for placing
    unnecessary administrative obstacles in the liberalization process.
    The Greek government signed a Cooperation Memorandum with the Qatar Government on Sept 23, which
    includes a € 5 bn investment budget for tourism and hospitality developments, energy and real estate.
    A draft Investment Law has been issued by the government including financial incentives in the form of subsidies o
    up to 50% or equivalent incentives in the form of tax breaks for companies carrying out new investments or
    buying assets of companies that have seized operations. The Law is expected to be tabled in parliament in the
    beginning of November.
    The rigorous implementation of the adjustment and stabilization programme by the Government has helped
    restore the country’s credibility, at least partially. As a result, the spread at which Greek bonds are traded in
    comparison to German bonds in the capital markets, has dropped in the last weeks since its high point in the
    summer, by approximately 400 basis points to ~650 basis points, at the same time that spreads in Portugal,
    Spain and Ireland have inched upwards. A sharp drop in the interest rates and a relaxation of the credit squeeze
    on the banks (see also next point) will allow easier credit terms in the Greek economy, a prerequisite for growth
    and development.
    A recent capital increase by the largest bank, the National Bank of Greece, oversubscribed by 1.8x, is
    considered to signal the reentering of the Greek banking sector in the international financial markets.
    Furthermore, after many months of finding interbank market gates closed, Eurobank accessed the markets for
    € 500 million, €200 of which had international bonds as security and the remaining € 300 were Greek bonds
    as security with a spread of 200 basis points over Euribor and a 2-year term.


Things to consider for the next Quarter
    The representatives of the Greek state’s lenders, i.e. the IMF, the EU and the ECB, are due in November for an
    evaluation of the fiscal progress made and the budget plan for 2011. A positive evaluation will signal to the
    markets that the Greek economy is getting back in order and that the country may reenter the financial markets in
    the next 12-18 months.
Endnotes
    1
           The international arrivals statistics are based on SETE calculations compiling the data from 13 major airports of Greece,
           representing 95% of foreigners’ arrivals by plane in Greece and 72% of total foreigners’ arrivals. Thessaloniki airport
           does not distinguish between arrivals of Greeks and foreigners.
    2
           RevPAR : Revenue per Available Room; for Greek resorts, calculations are based on TRevPAR (i.e. Total RevPAR).
Hotels • Resorts • Spas • Marinas • Casinos • Conference Centers • Theme Parks • Golf                                  Page 3 of 4
Special Quarterly Issue


                                                      Hotel Branding in Greece

                                     The following table shows the number of hotel brands in Greece:
                                                            minus
                                                        left brand or       plus
                     Origin of            Number           ceased           new                           Number
                     Brand                in 2005        operations        entries                        in 2009
                     International           26               -4               11             =              33
                     National                18               -1               12             =              29
                     Regional                21               -4               28             =              45
                     Cyprus                   6               0                0              =               6
                     Total                   71               -9              51              =             113


                    while in terms of branded hotels and their penetration in the market the following picture emerges:
                                                                                2005        2009
                                         Number of Branded Hotels                296         431
                                         Number of Branded Rooms              57.321      77.464
                                         Market Share
                                         - by number of branded hotels              3%       4%
                                         - by number of branded rooms              17%      19%

         Source: D. Koutoulas, Greek Hotel Branding Report , 2009



GBR Consulting is the leading hospitality and tourism consultancy in Greece. Its experience includes market and
financial feasibility studies as well as valuations and development plans for Hotels, Resorts, Spas, Marinas, Casinos
& Gaming, Conference Centers & Arenas, Theme Parks, Golf Courses etc.
GBR Consulting is affiliated to CBRE Atria, the Greek arm of CB Richard Ellis, providing together a specialized
service for Tourism Properties Transactions.
GBR Consulting possesses a database with financial data for over 1,000 hotel establishments in Greece and has a
datashare agreement with STR Global, the word’s largest databank of hotel operational data.

         Feasibility Studies           Valuations                      Market Audits                   Sales/Acquisitions

         Strategic Positioning         Concept Validation              Benchmarking                    Management Contracts

         Repositioning                 Expert Testimony                Competition Audit               Managerial Audit

         Best Use Studies              Litigation Support              Classifications                 Asset Management


Contact Details
GBR Consulting
Voukourestiou 31, 106 73 Athens, Greece
T (+30) 210 36 05 002
F (+30) 210 36 06 935
www.gbrconsulting.gr
info@gbrconsulting.gr

       To receive your own free copy of this newsletter, you may register at www.gbrconsulting.gr/newsletter.
                        Past Issues of the Newsletter are also available at the same address.
                © GBR Consulting Ltd. - copying is permitted, provided the source is clearly mentioned.

Hotels • Resorts • Spas • Marinas • Casinos • Conference Centers • Theme Parks • Golf                                       Page 4 of 4

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GBR hospitality newsletter 2010 Q3

  • 1. GBR HOSPITALITY QUARTERLY NEWSLETTER Greek Hospitality Industry Performance 2010 Q3
  • 2. Introduction This newsletter provides a snapshot of the performance of Greek hotels based on a sample of more than 180 hotels & resorts in Greece. The hotel permorfmance data is complemented by data from other sources so as to place the Greek hospitality industry in the context of Greek tourism and of the International Hospitality Industry. Finally, a topic of special importance to the hospitality industry will be presented each time. International arrivals1 in Greek airports, 2010 compared to 2009 Region % Change in International arrivals -- Q3 % Change in International Arrivals – ytd Q3 Athens -5,2% -5,3% Thessaloniki -3,4% -4,2% Greece 1,4% -0,5% Source: SETE, processed by GBR Consulting RevPAR2 in Greek hotels, 2010 compared to 2009 Region % Change in RevPAR of Greek hotels -- Q3 % Change in RevPAR of Greek hotels – ytd Q3 Athens -11,3% -6,6% Thessaloniki -22,0% -19,0% Resorts 5,1% 4,4% Source: GBR Consulting RevPAR in Competitive Destinations, 2010 compared to 2009 Region % = in RevPAR of Comp. Dest.inations – Q3 % = in RevPAR of Comp. Destinations – ytd Q3 S. Europe 7,2% 5,9% Rome 3,5% 6,7% Madrid 12,0% 10,2% 10,6% Cairo 6,5% Source: STR Global, processed by GBR Consulting Commentary International arrivals at airports outside Athens and Thessaloniki, i.e. at resort destinations picked up in Q3, showing an increase of 5.3%, compared to a continuation of the negative trends in Athens and Thessaloniki, -11.3% and -22.0% respectively. As a result the ytd figure for the country as a whole shows only a small drop compared to last year indicating that the fear of a sharp drop in foreign tourism due to the bad publicity of the Hotels • Resorts • Spas • Marinas • Casinos • Conference Centers • Theme Parks • Golf Page 2 of 4
  • 3. country this year, has not materiealised. Resort destinations have held their market, with some showing strong increase (e.g. Rodos (+9%), Kos (+11%), Santorini (+6%)), while losses at Crete were checked at -1% at Heraklion and -2% at Chania. The RevPAR in Athens dropped by -11.3% in Q3 leading to a ytd drop in the RevPAR of -6%. The RevPAR in Thessaloniki continued its sharp drop, -22%, for the reasons explained in detail in earlier newsletters, namely increased room supply and falling demand from Greek businesses following the implementation of the Greek government’s austerity package in spring. Resort hotels, however, showed a significant improvement in their Total RevPAR, by 5.1%, leading to a reversal of the previously negative trend in the ytd figure, which improved by 4.4%, compared to -4.0% in Q2. Therefore, fears that Greek tourism would collapse this year did not materialise. Hotel & Other News The Law liberalizing the cruise market (see earlier newsletters) has been voted in the parliament and is now in effect. The Athens hotel industry is expected to be a main beneficiary of this change as/if Piraeus develops as a hub for cruises, in response to the high demand for cruises in the Greek islands – according to the latest European Cruise Council report, Greece has topped Italy as a favourite cruise destination with 5 million alightings or a 20.9% market share. However, the government is still being criticized by the cruise companies for placing unnecessary administrative obstacles in the liberalization process. The Greek government signed a Cooperation Memorandum with the Qatar Government on Sept 23, which includes a € 5 bn investment budget for tourism and hospitality developments, energy and real estate. A draft Investment Law has been issued by the government including financial incentives in the form of subsidies o up to 50% or equivalent incentives in the form of tax breaks for companies carrying out new investments or buying assets of companies that have seized operations. The Law is expected to be tabled in parliament in the beginning of November. The rigorous implementation of the adjustment and stabilization programme by the Government has helped restore the country’s credibility, at least partially. As a result, the spread at which Greek bonds are traded in comparison to German bonds in the capital markets, has dropped in the last weeks since its high point in the summer, by approximately 400 basis points to ~650 basis points, at the same time that spreads in Portugal, Spain and Ireland have inched upwards. A sharp drop in the interest rates and a relaxation of the credit squeeze on the banks (see also next point) will allow easier credit terms in the Greek economy, a prerequisite for growth and development. A recent capital increase by the largest bank, the National Bank of Greece, oversubscribed by 1.8x, is considered to signal the reentering of the Greek banking sector in the international financial markets. Furthermore, after many months of finding interbank market gates closed, Eurobank accessed the markets for € 500 million, €200 of which had international bonds as security and the remaining € 300 were Greek bonds as security with a spread of 200 basis points over Euribor and a 2-year term. Things to consider for the next Quarter The representatives of the Greek state’s lenders, i.e. the IMF, the EU and the ECB, are due in November for an evaluation of the fiscal progress made and the budget plan for 2011. A positive evaluation will signal to the markets that the Greek economy is getting back in order and that the country may reenter the financial markets in the next 12-18 months. Endnotes 1 The international arrivals statistics are based on SETE calculations compiling the data from 13 major airports of Greece, representing 95% of foreigners’ arrivals by plane in Greece and 72% of total foreigners’ arrivals. Thessaloniki airport does not distinguish between arrivals of Greeks and foreigners. 2 RevPAR : Revenue per Available Room; for Greek resorts, calculations are based on TRevPAR (i.e. Total RevPAR). Hotels • Resorts • Spas • Marinas • Casinos • Conference Centers • Theme Parks • Golf Page 3 of 4
  • 4. Special Quarterly Issue Hotel Branding in Greece The following table shows the number of hotel brands in Greece: minus left brand or plus Origin of Number ceased new Number Brand in 2005 operations entries in 2009 International 26 -4 11 = 33 National 18 -1 12 = 29 Regional 21 -4 28 = 45 Cyprus 6 0 0 = 6 Total 71 -9 51 = 113 while in terms of branded hotels and their penetration in the market the following picture emerges: 2005 2009 Number of Branded Hotels 296 431 Number of Branded Rooms 57.321 77.464 Market Share - by number of branded hotels 3% 4% - by number of branded rooms 17% 19% Source: D. Koutoulas, Greek Hotel Branding Report , 2009 GBR Consulting is the leading hospitality and tourism consultancy in Greece. Its experience includes market and financial feasibility studies as well as valuations and development plans for Hotels, Resorts, Spas, Marinas, Casinos & Gaming, Conference Centers & Arenas, Theme Parks, Golf Courses etc. GBR Consulting is affiliated to CBRE Atria, the Greek arm of CB Richard Ellis, providing together a specialized service for Tourism Properties Transactions. GBR Consulting possesses a database with financial data for over 1,000 hotel establishments in Greece and has a datashare agreement with STR Global, the word’s largest databank of hotel operational data. Feasibility Studies Valuations Market Audits Sales/Acquisitions Strategic Positioning Concept Validation Benchmarking Management Contracts Repositioning Expert Testimony Competition Audit Managerial Audit Best Use Studies Litigation Support Classifications Asset Management Contact Details GBR Consulting Voukourestiou 31, 106 73 Athens, Greece T (+30) 210 36 05 002 F (+30) 210 36 06 935 www.gbrconsulting.gr info@gbrconsulting.gr To receive your own free copy of this newsletter, you may register at www.gbrconsulting.gr/newsletter. Past Issues of the Newsletter are also available at the same address. © GBR Consulting Ltd. - copying is permitted, provided the source is clearly mentioned. Hotels • Resorts • Spas • Marinas • Casinos • Conference Centers • Theme Parks • Golf Page 4 of 4