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glen hiemstra
“If you don’t go far enough back in
memory or far enough ahead in hope,
your present will be impoverished.”
Edward Lindaman
what is your image of the future?
probable?
possible?
preferred?
the future creates the present…
not a mystery
✦ older younger diverse
✦ everything becoming intelligent
✦ health innovation and longevity
✦ income gap economics, working
and saving
✦ living and moving around
✦ shaping the future
27	
  Florida’s	
  by	
  2025	
  
States	
  where	
  at	
  least	
  20%	
  of	
  
The	
  popula:on	
  will	
  be	
  elderly
◆ 2020 Census will show that 50% of
people under age 30 in U.S. are
minorities
◆ 2060 Census will show for first time that
the older population age 65 and over
outnumber those 18 and under
Marc Prensky originated 

“digital native” term
digital natives
digital immigrants
in charge
retiring
over the next decade
people of the screen...
will not accept old limitations
internet of everything
In the next 20 years PC’s will be replaced by
millions of tiny intelligent systems embedded in
our clothes, jewelry, cars, furniture, and walls.
They will recognize voice commands and carry
out simple wishes. They will cost less than a
penny, less than scrap paper, so companies which
do not put chips [intelligence] in all their
products will be at a severe disadvantage.

Michio Kaku, 1998
what is internet of everything?
platform for devices to communicate with the world around
them and to integrate human, natural and built worlds
From Harbor Research Infographic
when things are smart
nano | bio | info | cogno | robo | space
3D | connectivity | convergence
health innovation and longevity...
✦ access expanded
✦ enhancing brain focus and understanding
✦ diagnosis through genome
✦ rejuvenation therapy research
✦ systems pharmacology
✦ 4P disruption: personalized, predictive,
preventive, participatory
Geneticist Richard Cawthon and colleagues at the
University of Utah found shorter telomeres are
associated with shorter lives. Among people older
than 60, those with shorter telomeres were three
times more likely to die from heart disease and eight
times more likely to die from infectious disease.
http://learn.genetics.utah.edu/content/chromosomes/telomeres/
https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2015/01/telomere-
extension-turns-back-aging-clock-in-cultured-cells.html
Now we have found a way to
lengthen human telomeres by as
much as 1,000 nucleotides, turning
back the internal clock in these
cells by the equivalent of many
years of human life,” said Helen
Blau, PhD, professor of
microbiology and immunology at
Stanford and director of the
university’s Baxter Laboratory for
Stem Cell Biology.
global knowledge value economy
disintermediation, dematerialization,
disruption and lessons of the
“marketplace”…
$50 Billion $20 BillionUBER
dematerialized economy
income gap economics
“In only four countries surveyed
—South Korea, the U.S.,
Germany and Britain—
do more than 1/3 of the public
say that the primary
responsibility for the economic
well-being of people aged 65 &
over rests with the elderly
themselves.”
- Pew Research Center
aging in america
Photo	
  Credit:	
  Dreams:me
end of retirement
Measures of labor force participation rate of people aged
65 and over continue trending up and
58% who work, work full time
Primary reasons:
•Sense of value
•intellectual
challenges
•economic
necessity
The average balance of 401k savings for people
approaching 65 is $73K median and $203K mean.
hAp://www.forbes.com/sites/edwardsiedle/2013/03/20/the-­‐greatest-­‐re:rement-­‐crisis-­‐in-­‐american-­‐history/
“Aging	
  is	
  the	
  adults’	
  version	
  
of	
  the	
  birds	
  and	
  the	
  bees;	
  
we	
  need	
  to	
  talk	
  about	
  it.”	
  	
  
-­‐Rob	
  Lowe	
  
Social	
  Innovation	
  Summit	
  2014
senior mobility issues
Danielson Grove Kirkland WA
Chapin Architects
✦ housing for donut hole - middle class
✦ cluster housing
✦ dementia friendly neighborhoods
✦ training market staff
✦ infrastructure fixes
✦ neighbor to neighbor support
✦ children day-care on site
✦ attention to bullying in group housing
what is your
image of the
future?
The future is not
something that just
happens
to us
The future is
something we do
www.futurist.com
glen@futurist.com
twitter.com/glenhiemstra
linkedin.com/glenhiemstra
thank you for your time
for more information

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The Future and Aging

  • 2. “If you don’t go far enough back in memory or far enough ahead in hope, your present will be impoverished.” Edward Lindaman
  • 3. what is your image of the future? probable? possible? preferred?
  • 4.
  • 5. the future creates the present…
  • 7. ✦ older younger diverse ✦ everything becoming intelligent ✦ health innovation and longevity ✦ income gap economics, working and saving ✦ living and moving around ✦ shaping the future
  • 8. 27  Florida’s  by  2025   States  where  at  least  20%  of   The  popula:on  will  be  elderly
  • 9. ◆ 2020 Census will show that 50% of people under age 30 in U.S. are minorities ◆ 2060 Census will show for first time that the older population age 65 and over outnumber those 18 and under
  • 10. Marc Prensky originated 
 “digital native” term digital natives digital immigrants in charge retiring over the next decade
  • 11. people of the screen... will not accept old limitations
  • 12. internet of everything In the next 20 years PC’s will be replaced by millions of tiny intelligent systems embedded in our clothes, jewelry, cars, furniture, and walls. They will recognize voice commands and carry out simple wishes. They will cost less than a penny, less than scrap paper, so companies which do not put chips [intelligence] in all their products will be at a severe disadvantage.
 Michio Kaku, 1998
  • 13. what is internet of everything? platform for devices to communicate with the world around them and to integrate human, natural and built worlds
  • 14. From Harbor Research Infographic
  • 16. nano | bio | info | cogno | robo | space 3D | connectivity | convergence
  • 17. health innovation and longevity... ✦ access expanded ✦ enhancing brain focus and understanding ✦ diagnosis through genome ✦ rejuvenation therapy research ✦ systems pharmacology ✦ 4P disruption: personalized, predictive, preventive, participatory
  • 18. Geneticist Richard Cawthon and colleagues at the University of Utah found shorter telomeres are associated with shorter lives. Among people older than 60, those with shorter telomeres were three times more likely to die from heart disease and eight times more likely to die from infectious disease. http://learn.genetics.utah.edu/content/chromosomes/telomeres/ https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2015/01/telomere- extension-turns-back-aging-clock-in-cultured-cells.html Now we have found a way to lengthen human telomeres by as much as 1,000 nucleotides, turning back the internal clock in these cells by the equivalent of many years of human life,” said Helen Blau, PhD, professor of microbiology and immunology at Stanford and director of the university’s Baxter Laboratory for Stem Cell Biology.
  • 20.
  • 21. disintermediation, dematerialization, disruption and lessons of the “marketplace”…
  • 22. $50 Billion $20 BillionUBER dematerialized economy
  • 24. “In only four countries surveyed —South Korea, the U.S., Germany and Britain— do more than 1/3 of the public say that the primary responsibility for the economic well-being of people aged 65 & over rests with the elderly themselves.” - Pew Research Center
  • 25. aging in america Photo  Credit:  Dreams:me
  • 27. Measures of labor force participation rate of people aged 65 and over continue trending up and 58% who work, work full time Primary reasons: •Sense of value •intellectual challenges •economic necessity
  • 28. The average balance of 401k savings for people approaching 65 is $73K median and $203K mean.
  • 29.
  • 31. “Aging  is  the  adults’  version   of  the  birds  and  the  bees;   we  need  to  talk  about  it.”     -­‐Rob  Lowe   Social  Innovation  Summit  2014
  • 33. Danielson Grove Kirkland WA Chapin Architects ✦ housing for donut hole - middle class ✦ cluster housing ✦ dementia friendly neighborhoods ✦ training market staff ✦ infrastructure fixes ✦ neighbor to neighbor support ✦ children day-care on site ✦ attention to bullying in group housing
  • 34. what is your image of the future?
  • 35. The future is not something that just happens to us The future is something we do