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Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK | MRK is in the S&P 500

Merck & Co Inc.
S&P Recommendation BUY
                                         55555                                               Price
                                                                                             $38.56 (as of Feb 17, 2012)
                                                                                                                                         12-Mo. Target Price
                                                                                                                                         $42.00
                                                                                                                                                                                    Investment Style
                                                                                                                                                                                    Large-Cap Blend
                                                       UPDATE: PLEASE SEE THE ANALYST'S LATEST RESEARCH NOTE IN THE COMPANY NEWS SECTION

GICS Sector Health Care                                                                      Summary This company, one of the world's largest drugmakers, acquired Schering-Plough
Sub-Industry Pharmaceuticals                                                                 in November 2009 for about $41 billion in cash and stock.

 Key Stock Statistics (Source S&P, Vickers, company reports)

52-Wk Range             $39.43– 29.47                   S&P Oper. EPS 2012E                          3.85     Market Capitalization(B)           $117.528         Beta                                           0.67
Trailing 12-Month EPS           $2.02                   S&P Oper. EPS 2013E                          3.75     Yield (%)                              4.36         S&P 3-Yr. Proj. EPS CAGR(%)                       5
Trailing 12-Month P/E            19.1                   P/E on S&P Oper. EPS 2012E                   10.0     Dividend Rate/Share                   $1.68         S&P Credit Rating                               AA
$10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago       $10,796                   Common Shares Outstg. (M)                 3,047.9     Institutional Ownership (%)              73

 Price Performance                                                                                                                                Qualitative Risk Assessment
            30-Week Mov. Avg.      10-Week Mov. Avg.          GAAP Earnings vs. Previous Year              Volume Above Avg.        STARS
                                                                                                                                                         LOW                  MEDIUM                     HIGH
            12-Mo. Target Price    Relative Strength             Up      Down         No Change                    Below Avg.
      50                                                                                                                                         Our risk assessment reflects challenges to
                                                                                                                                                 branded patents, new drug development, and
      40
                                                                                                                                                 regulatory risks. In addition, MRK's Vytorin/Zetia
                                                                                                                                                 franchise has been affected by disappointing
                                                                                                                                                 clinical trial results. However, we see significant
      25                                                                                                                                         synergies accruing from the recent acquisition of
                                                                                                                                                 Schering-Plough. We also think MRK has a
      20                                                                                                                                         relatively robust R&D pipeline.
    Vol.
     Mil.                  243                                                                                                                    Quantitative Evaluations
    120
     80                                                                                                                                          S&P Quality Ranking                                                 B
     40
      0                                                                                                                                             D         C     B-        B      B+       A-         A      A+
       5                                           4                                                   4
                 3                                                                            3
                                                                                                                                                 Relative Strength Rank                                  MODERATE
       1
                                                                                                                                                                          45
             S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A
                                                                                                                                                 LOWEST = 1                                              HIGHEST = 99
              2008                2009                                2010                                  2011                  2012

                                                                                                                   Options: ASE, CBOE, P, Ph
                                                                                                                                                  Revenue/Earnings Data
Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst Herman Saftlas on Nov 15, 2011, when the stock traded at $35.73.
                                                                                                                                                 Revenue (Million $)
 Highlights                                                                Investment Rationale/Risk
                                                                                                                                                             1Q       2Q                 3Q          4Q        Year
®   We project 2012 revenues to approximate the                           ®   In mid-November 2011, MRK showcased what                           2011   11,580 12,151                12,022      12,294       48,047
    $48 billion that we estimate for 2011, with                               we consider to be an impressive 37-project                         2010   11,422 11,346                11,125      12,094       45,987
    strength in newer drugs and expansion in                                  R&D pipeline, with 19 compounds in late stage                      2009     5,385    5,900              6,050      10,094       27,428
    emerging markets offsetting expiration losses.                            Phase 3 development, and another five under                        2008     5,822    6,052              5,944       6,032       23,850
    Key growth drivers, in our opinion, include                               regulatory review. Four new drugs were ap-                         2007     5,769    6,111              6,074       6,243       24,198
    Januvia/Janumet anti-diabetic drugs, Isentress                            proved to date in 2011, with eight new filings                     2006     5,410    5,772              5,410       6,044       22,636
    HIV therapy and Victrelis for hepatitis C. We al-                         planned for 2012 and 2013. Key new product op-
    so see gains in animal health sales, lifted by                            portunities, in our opinion, include Victrelis for                 Earnings Per Share ($)
    new products. On the negative side, sales of                              hepatitis C, Tredaptive and anacetrapib for                        2011      0.34     0.65               0.55         0.49         2.02
    Singulair and Cozaar/Hyzaar are expected to                               atherosclerosis, suvorexant for insomnia,                          2010      0.10     0.24               0.11        -0.17         0.28
    fall on generic erosion, while lower sales of                             odanacatib for osteoporosis, and Bridion anes-                     2009      0.67     0.74               1.61         2.35         5.65
    Remicade should reflect the transitioning of                              thesia reversal agent. We also see results ben-                    2008      1.52     0.82               0.51         0.78         3.64
    marketing rights to Johnson & Johnson.                                    efiting from cost restructuring measures, which                    2007      0.78     0.77               0.70        -0.74         1.49
                                                                              are expected to yield annual synergies of $2.8                     2006      0.69     0.69               0.43         0.22         2.03
®   We expect gross margins in 2012 to improve                                billion, and from an ongoing $5 billion share                      Fiscal year ended Dec. 31. Next earnings report expected: Late
                                                                                                                                                 April. EPS Estimates based on S&P Operating Earnings; historical
    modestly from the 75.2% that we estimate for                              buyback program.                                                   GAAP earnings are as reported.
    2011. Despite headwinds from U.S. health care
    reform and European austerity pricing, we ex-                         ®   Risks to our opinion and target price include
                                                                                                                                                  Dividend Data (Dates: mm/dd Payment Date: mm/dd/yy)
    pect pretax margins to show modest improve-                               failure to achieve planned cost savings and
    ment, helped by ongoing merger synergies,                                 synergies, worse-than-expected global drug                         Amount               Date        Ex-Div.      Stk. of       Payment
    cost streamlining measures, and projected in-                             pricing conditions, and possible pipeline set-                     ($)                  Decl.         Date      Record            Date
    creased other income.                                                     backs.                                                             0.380               05/24         06/13       06/15         07/08/11
                                                                                                                                                 0.380               07/26         09/13       09/15         10/07/11
                                                                                                                                                 0.420               11/10         12/13       12/15         01/09/12
®   After a projected adjusted tax rate of about                          ®   Our 12-month target price of $42 applies a peer
                                                                                                                                                 0.420               11/10         12/13       12/15         01/09/12
    23%, versus 24% indicated for 2011, we fore-                              parity P/E of 10.5X to our operating EPS esti-
                                                                                                                                                 Dividends have been paid since 1935. Source: Company reports.
    cast non-GAAP EPS of $4.00 for 2012, up from                              mate for 2012. The dividend, recently increased
    $3.76 that we estimate for 2011.                                          by 11%, to $0.42 quarterly, yields 4.7%.


Please read the Required Disclosures and Analyst Certification on the last page of this report.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK

Merck & Co Inc.
 Business Summary November 15, 2011                                                                                         Corporate Information

CORPORATE OVERVIEW. Merck & Co. is a leading global drugmaker, producing a wide range of prescrip-                         Investor Contact
tion drugs in many therapeutic classes in the U.S. and abroad. Foreign operations accounted for 55% of to-                 G. Bell (908-423-5185)
tal sales in 2010. In early November 2009, MRK acquired rival drugmaker Schering-Plough for about $41 bil-
lion in cash and stock.
                                                                                                                           Office
MRK's largest-selling products include Singulair (sales of $5.0 billion in 2010), a treatment for asthma and               One Merck Drive, PO Box 100, Whitehouse
seasonal allergic rhinitis; Januvia/Janumet ($3.3 billion), treatments for type 2 diabetes; Cozaar/Hyzaar                  Station, NJ 08889-0100.
($2.1 billion), treatments for high blood pressure and congestive heart failure; Fosamax ($926 million), a
drug for osteoporosis (a bone-thinning disease that affects postmenopausal women); and Isentress ($1.1                     Telephone
billion) treatment for HIV/AIDS.                                                                                           908-423-1000.

Merck is also a leading maker of vaccines, which accounted for 8.9% of human health sales in 2010. Key                     Fax
vaccines include ProQuad ($1.4 billion) for measles, mumps, rubella and chicken pox; Gardasil ($988 mil-                   908-298-7082.
lion) for human papillomavirus, the main cause of cervical cancer; and RotaTeq for rotavirus.
                                                                                                                           Website
With the purchase of Schering-Plough, Merck gained total rights to Zetia -- a cholesterol therapy that                     http://www.merck.com
works by blocking cholesterol absorption in the intestines -- as well as Vytorin, a combination pill contain-
ing both Zocor and Zetia. In 2010, Vytorin had sales of $2.0 billion, and Zetia had sales of $2.2 billion. Animal
health products (sales of $2.9 billion) comprise anti-infective and antiparasitic drugs and related items; and             Officers
consumer care products ($1.7 billion) include OTC brands such as Claritin for allergies, Dr. Scholl's foot
                                                                                                                           Chrmn, Pres & CEO        EVP & CIO
care products, and Coppertone suntan lotion. Through a venture with AstraZeneca, Merck books sales of
                                                                                                                           K.C. Frazier             J.C. Scalet
Nexium and other drugs.

MARKET PROFILE. The dollar value of the global drug market is projected to grow 5%-7% in 2011, to $880                     EVP & CFO                SVP, Chief Acctg
billion, versus the indicated gain of 4%-5% in 2010, according to IMS Health. The key driver should be                     P.N. Kellogg             Officer & Cntlr
emerging markets, whose aggregate sales (17 countries) should advance 15%-17% in 2011. Growth in de-                                                J. Canan
veloping markets is being spurred by rising standards of living and rising government spending on health                   EVP & General
care. However, IMS forecasts much slower growth for developed nations, with combined growth for five                       Counsel
major European markets projected at 1%-3% for 2011, while pharmaceutical sales in the U.S. are estimated                   B.N. Kuhlik
to increase 3%-5%.

IMPACT OF MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS. Adjusted R&D expenses totaled $8.1 billion in 2010 (equal to 17.7%                           Board Members
of sales). MRK's R&D pipeline as of November 2011 included 24 products in late stage clinical trials or un-                L. A. Brun
der regulatory review. Key pipeline opportunities, in our opinion, include Tredaptive and anacetrapib for                  T. R. Cech
atherosclerosis, suvorexant for insomnia, odanacatib for osteoporosis, and Bridion for neuromuscular                       K. C. Frazier
blockade reversal. The merger with Schering-Plough is expected to yield annual cost synergies of close to                  T. H. Glocer
$3.5 billion by the end of 2012, with over $2.8 billion to be realized in 2011.                                            S. F. Goldstone
                                                                                                                           W. B. Harrison, Jr.
LEGAL/REGULATORY ISSUES. In September 2004, Merck voluntarily removed its widely used Vioxx treat-
                                                                                                                           H. R. Jacobson
ment for pain and arthritis from the market after studies showed increased cardiovascular risks with the
                                                                                                                           W. N. Kelley
drug. During 2009, MRK completed the payment of $4.85 billion into settlement funds, covering the majority
                                                                                                                           C. R. Kidder
of Vioxx cases. In April 2011, Merck and Johnson & Johnson agreed to settle arbitration litigation over
                                                                                                                           R. B. Lazarus
rights to Remicade and Simponi treatments for inflammatory diseases. The settlement provided for Merck
to pay Johnson & Johnson $500 million, and for the firms to divide foreign distribution rights on Remicade                 C. E. Represas
and Simponi.                                                                                                               P. F. Russo
                                                                                                                           A. M. Tatlock
FINANCIAL TRENDS. The $41.1 billion acquisition of Schering-Plough was funded through cash of about                        C. B. Thompson
$9.8 billion, debt of $8.5 billion, and Merck stock of some $22.8 billion. In early February 2011, MRK with-               W. P. Weeks
drew its previous long-term non-GAAP EPS guidance for a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the                          P. C. Wendell
high single digits over the 2009-2013 period. We believe a clinical setback on vorapaxar R&D heart drug
was a factor in the guidance removal. In late October 2011, MRK forecast non-GAAP EPS for 2011 in the
$3.72-$3.76 range. In April 2011, MRK announced a new board authorization to repurchase up to $5 billion                   Domicile
of its common stock, bringing its total buyback program to $6.4 billion.                                                   New Jersey

                                                                                                                           Founded
                                                                                                                           1891

                                                                                                                           Employees
                                                                                                                           94,000

                                                                                                                           Stockholders
                                                                                                                           170,300




Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK

Merck & Co Inc.
 Quantitative Evaluations                                                                                          Expanded Ratio Analysis

S&P Fair Value                 4+          1             2            3            4             5                                                                      2011           2010           2009      2008
Rank                                 LOWEST                                                     HIGHEST          Price/Sales                                             NA            2.45           3.03      2.73
                                     Based on S&P's proprietary quantitative model, stocks are ranked            Price/EBITDA                                            NA            9.30          11.73      8.30
                                     from most overvalued (1) to most undervalued (5).                           Price/Pretax Income                                     NA           68.02           5.43      6.65
                                                                                                                 P/E Ratio                                               NA             NM            6.44      8.35
Fair Value                 $40.00 Analysis of the stock's current worth, based on S&P's proprietary              Avg. Diluted Shares Outstg (M)                          NA         3,120.0        2,273.2   2,145.3
                                     quantitative model suggests that MRK is slightly undervalued by
Calculation                          $1.44 or 3.7%.                                                              Figures based on calendar year-end price


Investability                                                                                        97            Key Growth Rates and Averages
Quotient                             LOWEST = 1                                           HIGHEST = 100
Percentile                           MRK scored higher than 97% of all companies for which an S&P                Past Growth Rate (%)                             1 Year        3 Years           5 Years    9 Years
                                     Report is available.
                                                                                                                 Sales                                              4.48           29.93            18.12       3.41
                                                                                                                 Net Income                                         NM            -28.16            -4.68      -5.88
Volatility                                     LOW               AVERAGE                  HIGH
                                                                                                                 Ratio Analysis (Annual Avg.)
Technical               BULLISH      Since October, 2011, the technical indicators for MRK have been             Net Margin (%)                                   13.30            20.74           21.70       22.64
                                     BULLISH.                                                                    % LT Debt to Capitalization                       NA               NA             18.07       19.27
Evaluation

Insider Activity                       UNFAVORABLE               NEUTRAL               FAVORABLE


 Company Financials Fiscal Year Ended Dec. 31

Per Share Data ($)                                               2011             2010            2009           2008             2007            2006            2005             2004             2003        2002
Tangible Book Value                                               NA              2.09            1.97            7.97           11.76             7.00            7.48             7.03             6.13       4.88
Cash Flow                                                          NA              2.41            6.65           4.30             2.19            3.06            2.88             3.29             3.51       3.79
Earnings                                                          2.02             0.28            5.65           3.64             1.49            2.03            2.10             2.61             2.92        3.14
S&P Core Earnings                                                  NA              0.36            2.61           2.78             2.85            2.28            2.09             2.56             2.71       2.81
Dividends                                                        1.98              1.52            1.52           1.52            1.52             1.52            1.52             1.49             1.45       1.41
Payout Ratio                                                     98%               NM             27%             42%            102%              75%             72%              57%              50%        45%
Prices:High                                                     37.90            41.56           38.42           61.18           61.62            46.37           35.36            49.33            63.50      64.50
Prices:Low                                                      29.47            30.70           20.05           22.82           42.35            31.81           25.50            25.60            40.57      38.50
P/E Ratio:High                                                      19             NM                 7             17               41              23              17               19               22          21
P/E Ratio:Low                                                       15             NM                 4              6               28              16              12               10               14          12

Income Statement Analysis (Million $)
Revenue                                                        48,047          45,987           27,428          23,850          24,198           22,636          22,012          22,939           22,486     51,790
Operating Income                                               17,398          12,088            7,081           7,854           7,779            5,955           7,567           8,074            9,912     11,361
Depreciation                                                      NA            6,532            2,227           1,415           1,528            2,268           1,708           1,451            1,314      1,488
Interest Expense                                                  749             715              458             251             384              375             386             294              351        391
Pretax Income                                                   7,334           1,653           15,292           9,808           3,492            6,342           7,486           8,129            9,220     10,428
Effective Tax Rate                                             12.8%           40.6%            14.8%           20.4%           2.73%            28.2%           36.5%           26.6%            26.7%      29.3%
Net Income                                                      6,392             861           12,901           7,808           3,275            4,434           4,631           5,813            6,590      7,150
S&P Core Earnings                                                 NA            1,093            5,936           5,958           6,255            4,973           4,582           5,699            6,089      6,395

Balance Sheet & Other Financial Data (Million $)
Cash                                              NA                          12,201            9,605            5,486           8,231           5,915            9,585           2,879            1,201      2,243
Current Assets                                    NA                          29,064           28,429           19,305          15,045          15,230           21,049          13,475           11,527     14,834
Total Assets                                     NA                          105,781          112,090           47,196          48,351          44,570           44,846          42,573           40,588     47,561
Current Liabilities                               NA                          15,641           15,751           14,319          12,258          12,723           13,304          11,744            9,570     12,375
Long Term Debt                                   NA                           15,489           16,075            3,943           3,916           5,551            5,126           4,692            5,096      4,879
Common Equity                                     NA                          54,376           59,058           18,758          18,185          17,560           17,917          17,288           15,576     18,200
Total Capital                                    NA                           76,223           78,316           25,118          24,903          25,517           25,449          24,387           24,588     28,008
Capital Expenditures                              NA                           1,678            1,461            1,298           1,011             980            1,403           1,726            1,916      2,370
Cash Flow                                         NA                           7,514           15,127            9,223           4,803           6,702            6,339           7,264            7,904      8,638
Current Ratio                                     NA                              1.9              1.8              1.4             1.2             1.2              1.6             1.1              1.2        1.2
% Long Term Debt of Capitalization                Nil                           20.3               Nil            15.5            15.7            21.8             20.1            19.2             20.7       17.4
% Net Income of Revenue                          13.3                             1.9            47.0             32.7            13.5            19.6             21.0            25.3             29.3       13.8
% Return on Assets                                NA                             NA               NA              16.3              7.1             9.9            10.6            14.0             15.0       15.6
% Return on Equity                                NA                             NA               NA              42.3            18.3            25.0             26.3            35.4             39.0       41.7




Data as orig reptd.; bef. results of disc opers/spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs.; EPS diluted. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under Review.


Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK

Merck & Co Inc.
Sub-Industry Outlook                                                                                                                                  Stock Performance
Our fundamental outlook for the pharmaceuticals                             We see a large number of major drugs losing patent                        GICS Sector: Health Care
sub-industry for the next 12 months is neutral.                             protection over the next few years, providing                             Sub-Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Although the sector faces significant top-line                              significant opportunities for this group. We also look
pressure this year from patent expirations on many                          for generics to benefit from the new health care                          Based on S&P 1500 Indexes
top-selling drugs, we believe overall industry profits                      reform legislation. We favor companies with rich                          Month-end Price Performance as of 01/31/12
should hold up relatively well, helped by expanding                         generic pipelines, especially those with first-to-file
sales of new innovative drug therapies and margin                           generics with the potential for 180 days of marketing
improvements accruing from cost restructurings                              exclusivity, and competence in litigating complex                              120
and merger synergies. EPS comparisons should also                           patent issues.
benefit from common share buybacks.
                                                                                                                                                           100
                                                                            --Herman B. Saftlas
While we think recent health care reform legislation
will negatively affect industry profitability over the
next two years, we see eventual benefits accruing                                                                                                           80
from significant expansion of the market, with new
coverage potentially being provided to 32 million
currently uninsured Americans. We favor the shares                                                                                                          60
of firms with well defined growth prospects and
generous dividend yields, as we believe they should
perform relatively well over the coming quarters.                                                                                                           40


Despite near-term patent expirations and regulatory
                                                                                                                                                            20
pressures on drug pricing, we still think long-term
prospects for the sector remain favorable.
Pharmaceuticals remains one of the widest-margin
                                                                                                                                                              0
U.S. industries, with prospects enhanced by
demographic growth in the elderly (which account                                                                                                                        2008        2009   2010   2011        2012
for about 33% of industry sales) and new drugs
stemming from discoveries in genomics and                                                                                                             Sub-Industry         Sector           S&P 1500
biotechnology. We expect FDA approvals of new
molecular entities in 2012 to approximate the 30
approved in 2011, which was well above the 21                                                                                                         NOTE: All Sector & Sub-Industry information is based on the
                                                                                                                                                      Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)
cleared in 2010.

Year to date through January 20, the S&P
Pharmaceuticals Index was flat, versus a 4.7%
advance in the S&P 1500 Composite Index. In 2011,
the sub-industry index was up 13.9%, while the 1500
fell 0.3%. We expect prospects for the
generic/specialty drug sector to remain favorable.

Sub-Industry : Pharmaceuticals Peer Group*: Ethical Pharmaceuticals - Major
                                                                                Stk.Mkt.       Recent          52                                                       Fair            S&P Return on         LTD to
                                                                  Stock            Cap.         Stock         Week                         Yield         P/E          Value     Quality IQ   Revenue            Cap
Peer Group                                                       Symbol          (Mil. $)     Price($)     High/Low($)         Beta          (%)        Ratio        Calc.($)   Ranking %ile      (%)            (%)
Merck & Co                                                          MRK          117,528         38.56      39.43/29.47         0.67          4.4           19         40.00    B          97          13.3      NA
AstraZeneca ADS                                                      AZN          60,089         45.18      52.54/40.89         0.62          6.2            6         49.20    NR         95          24.2     28.0
Forest Labs                                                          FRX           8,505         32.03      40.52/28.47         0.68          Nil            8           NA     B          94          23.8      NA
GlaxoSmithKline plc ADS                                              GSK         111,549         44.88      46.50/36.39         0.61          5.0           22         43.20    NR         89           6.5     58.3
Lilly (Eli)                                                           LLY         45,454         39.26     42.03/33.46          0.71          5.0           10           NA     B          99          17.9     NA
Novartis AG ADS                                                      NVS         136,874         56.59      64.82/51.60         0.54          3.7           13         60.80    NR         92          19.0     15.5
Novo-Nordisk A/S ADS                                                 NVO          77,808        138.08     139.83/94.58         0.53          1.3           26        116.20    NR         96          23.7      1.4
Pfizer, Inc                                                          PFE         162,887         21.19     22.17/16.63          0.72          4.2           17         23.70    B+         62          13.0     NA
Sanofi ADS                                                           SNY          99,804         37.18      40.75/30.98         0.89          4.0           15         41.60    NR         92          17.9     11.1

NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.




Source: S&P.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies,Inc.
Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK

Merck & Co Inc.
S&P Analyst Research Notes and other Company News

February 10, 2012                                                                                                October 7, 2011
Merck & Co. Inc. announced that Thomas E. Shenk, Ph.D., has decided to retire                                    Merck & Co. Inc. announced that Chairman and former CEO Richard Clark will
from its board of directors, effective February 8, 2012. Dr.#Shenk is leaving the                                retire from the company December 1, 2011 after nearly 40 years at the company.
board to focus on the new company he is forming to commercialize discoveries                                     Kenneth Frazier, who replaced Clark as CEO in January, will become chairman of
made in his Princeton University laboratory in the area of antiviral therapeutics.                               Merck & Co. Inc. after Clark retires. Clark was president and CEO of Merck from
Dr.#Shenk has been Elkins Professor in the Department of Molecular Biology at                                    2005 to 2010, and he has been chairman of the board since 2007. The company
Princeton University since 1984. He served as the department's chairman from                                     said Clark is retiring following Frazier's successful transition.
1996 to 2004. Dr.#Shenk joined Merck's board in 2001.
                                                                                                                 September 28, 2011
February 2, 2012                                                                                                 Merck & Co. Inc. announced the appointment of Cuong Viet Do as chief strategy
09:54 am ET ... S&P REITERATES BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF MERCK (MRK                                               officer, effective October 3, 2011. As chief strategy officer, Do, 45, will be
38.14****): Q4 EPS climbed 10% to $0.97 (matching our estimate), largely on gross                                responsible for both developing and executing enterprise-wide strategy and
margin expansion and reduced R&D. Sales rose 1.7%, with robust growth in the                                     further building connections between the current and future business plans of
Januvia/Janumet diabetes franchise more than offsetting declines in other lines.                                 Merck's franchises, divisions, and functions. He will report to Kenneth C. Frazier,
Despite expected headwinds from negative forex, patent expiration on Singulair                                   Merck's president and chief executive officer, and will serve on the company's
and lower equity income, we still project modest EPS growth this year, helped by                                 Executive Committee. He succeeds Mervyn Turner, who retired from the
cost efficiencies and stock buybacks. We continue to see much promise in                                         company this summer. Since 2009, Do served as senior vice president of
MRK's pipeline, with 19 compounds in late stage clinical trials. We keep our                                     corporate strategy and business development at TE Connectivity, formerly Tyco
target price of $42. The dividend yields 4.4%. /H. Saftlas                                                       Electronics. Do currently sits on the board of WuXi AppTec, a pharmaceutical
                                                                                                                 R&D outsourcing company.
January 31, 2012
06:03 am ET ... S&P REITERATES BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF MERCK (MRK                                               September 6, 2011
38.89****): Ahead of results expected Feb. 2, we maintain our Q4 EPS estimate of                                 Merck has named Udit Batra as head of the consumer health care division. He
$0.97, which is $0.02 above the Capital IQ consensus, vs. the year-ago $0.88. Our                                succeeds Peter Shotter. Batra will report to Stefan Oschmann, executive board
estimate assumes stronger top line trends in several product lines, especially for                               member of Merck and responsible for the pharmaceutical business.
sales of its recently launched Victrelis hepatitis C drug, which should benefit from
a large VA contract. We continue to see much promise in MRK's pipeline, which
                                                                                                                 August 24, 2011
consists of 19 compounds in advanced Phase 3 clinical trials. We reiterate our
                                                                                                                 Merck & Co. Inc. announced the appointment of Richard R. DeLuca Jr. as
$42 target price, factoring a peer parity P/E of 10.8X our '12 EPS estimate. The
                                                                                                                 executive vice president and president, Merck Animal Health, effective
dividend yields 4.4%. /H. Saftlas
                                                                                                                 September 15, 2011. DeLuca, will report to Kenneth C. Frazier, Merck's president
                                                                                                                 and chief executive officer, and will serve on the company's Executive
November 10, 2011                                                                                                Committee. He will succeed Raul Kohan, who has decided to retire from the
12:05 pm ET ... S&P REITERATES BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF MERCK (MRK                                               company. Kohan will remain with the company until the end of 2011, reporting to
34.81****): MRK showcases R&D pipeline and raises its dividend by 11% to $0.42,                                  Frazier, to ensure a smooth transition. As leader of Merck Animal Health, DeLuca
at today's business briefing. We believe MRK has an impressive R&D pipeline,                                     will leverage the division's strong product portfolio and customer focus to
with 19 compounds in Phase 3 trials. Eight new filings are planned in '12 and '13.                               capitalize on new growth opportunities, including expanding the business in
Key new projects, in our opinion, are Tredaptive for atherosclerosis, suvorexant                                 emerging markets. DeLuca served as chief financial officer of BD Biosciences
for insomnia, odanacatib for osteoporosis, and Bridion anesthetic. We think new                                  since 2010.
drugs, cost restructurings and share buybacks should drive 7% EPS growth in '12,
despite the loss of patent protection on Singulair. We keep our $42 target price.
                                                                                                                 July 29, 2011
The dividend now yields 4.8%. /H. Saftlas
                                                                                                                 MRK posts $0.95 vs. $0.86 Q2 EPS on 7.1% sales rise. Capital IQ consensus
                                                                                                                 forecast $0.95. Raises lower end of its '11 non-GAAP EPS range to $3.68-$3.76,
October 28, 2011                                                                                                 revenue to grow in the low- to mid-single digit percent range from a base of $46B
MRK posts $0.94 vs. $0.85 Q3 non-GAAP EPS on 8.1% higher sales. S&P Capital IQ                                   in '10. Also says it remains on track to achieve its goal of $3.5B in annual cost
consensus forecast was $0.91 EPS. For 2011, MRK ups the lower end of its                                         synergies by the end of '12.
non-GAAP EPS guidance range and is now targeting a range of $3.72-$3.76. Now
expects 2011 revenue to grow in the mid-single digit percent range from a base of
$46.0B in 2010.

October 28, 2011
10:35 am ET ... S&P REITERATES BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF MERCK (MRK
34.75****): Q3 non-GAAP EPS increased 11% to $0.94, matching our estimate.
Sales grew 8% (5% from forex), with Januvia/Janumet diabetes drugs (sales up
41%), and Gardasil HPV vaccine (up 41%) notable outperformers. Although sales
of recently launched Victrelis hepatitis C drug were only $31M, we see a stronger
uptake evolving from a new VA contract and expansion overseas. Gardasil should
also benefit from entry into the male market. We see much promise in the R&D
pipeline, which MRK plans to showcase at an analyst meeting on Nov. 10. We
keep our target price of $42. Dividend yields 4.3%. /H. Saftlas

October 7, 2011
03:48 pm ET ... S&P REITERATES BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF MERCK (MRK
31.84****): FDA approves Juvisync, a combination of Merck's Januvia treatment
for type 2 diabetes and simvastatin statin cholesterol agent. While the American
Diabetes Assn. recommends statin therapy for all diabetics with cardiovascular
risk factors, MRK estimates that some 40% of that population is not being treated
with statins. Reflecting a boost from Juvisync, we project sales of MRK's
diabetes franchise to rise from $3.3B in '10 to over $7B in '16. We continue to see
new drugs, coupled with ongoing cost savings, driving EPS growth in the years
ahead. We keep our target price of $42. /H. Saftlas

Source: S&P.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies,Inc.
Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK

Merck & Co Inc.
 Analysts' Recommendations                                                                                                                                                Wall Steet Consensus Opinion

          Monthly Average Trend                  Buy      Buy/Hold            Hold    Weak Hold          Sell        No Opinion         MRK Trend                        BUY/HOLD
                                                 B        BH                  H       WH                 S


            Wall Street Average                                                                                                                                           Companies Offering Coverage
      B
                                                                                                                                                                         Over 30 firms follow this stock; not all firms are
     BH
                                                                                                                                                                         displayed.
      H
                                                                                                                                                                         Argus Research Company
    WH
                                                                                                                                                                         Atlantic Equities LLP
      S
                                                                                                                                                                         Axia Financial research
            Number of Analysts Following Stock                                                                                                                           BMO Capital Markets, U.S. Equity Research
                                                                                                                                                                         Barclays Capital
     28                                                                                                                                                                  BofA Merrill Lynch
                                                                                                                                                                         Citigroup Inc
     24
                                                                                                                                                                         Cowen and Company, LLC
     20                                                                                                                                                                  Credit Agricole Securities (USA) Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                         Credit Suisse
                                                                                                                                                                         Daewoo Securities Co. Ltd.
            Stock Price ($)
                                                                                                                                                                         Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd.
     40
                                                                                                                                                                         Daiwa Securities America Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                         Davenport & Company
     36
                                                                                                                                                                         Deutsche Bank
                                                                                                                                                                         First Global Stockbroking (P) Ltd.
     32
                                                                                                                                                                         Goldman Sachs
                                                                                                                                                                         Hilliard Lyons
     28
           M     A       M    J      J       A       S    O      N        D       J   F       M      A   M       J        J   A     S       O   N    D        J     F
                                                                                                                                                                         ISI Group Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                         JP Morgan
                                     2010                                                                        2011                                         2012
                                                                                                                                                                         Jefferies & Company, Inc.
                                                                                                                                                                         Leerink Swann LLC
Of the total 36 companies following MRK, 23 analysts currently publish recommendations.
                                                                                                                                                                         MKM Partners LLC
                                                                                                                                                                         Moody?s
                                                                              No. of Ratings              % of Total              1 Mo. Prior 3 Mos. Prior               Morgan Stanley
Buy                                                                                       10                      43                       11           11               Morningstar Inc.
Buy/Hold                                                                                   6                      26                        8            9               Piper Jaffray Companies
Hold                                                                                       7                      30                        6            5               S&P Equity Research
Weak Hold                                                                                  0                       0                        0            0               Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., Inc.
Sell                                                                                       0                       0                        0            0               Silvia Quandt Research GmbH
No Opinion                                                                                 0                       0                        0            0
Total                                                                                     23                    100                        25           25
 Wall Street Consensus Estimates                                                                                                                                         Wall Street Consensus vs. Performance

                                                                                                                                                                         For fiscal year 2012, analysts estimate that MRK
          Estimates           2011                       2012                     2013                                                       2011 Actual $2.02           will earn $3.80. For fiscal year 2013, analysts
      5                                                                                                                                                                  estimate that MRK's earnings per share will
                                                                                                                                                                         decline by 2% to $3.73.
      4

      3

      2      O       N        D          J           F     M          A           M       J          J       A        S       O         N       D        J          F

                  2010                                                                        2011                                                           2012

Fiscal Years                                                    Avg Est.              High Est.              Low Est.                # of Est.               Est. P/E
2013                                                                3.73                   3.97                  3.40                      18                    10.3
2012                                                                3.80                   3.89                  3.61                      20                    10.1
2013 vs. 2012                                                       -2%                     2%                   -6%                    -10%                      2%

Q1'13                                                                 0.89                     0.89                  0.89                       2                 43.3
Q1'12                                                                 1.02                     1.12                  0.95                      14                 37.8
Q1'13 vs. Q1'12                                                      -13%                     -21%                   -6%                    -86%                  15%



A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. Standard & Poor's organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300
Wall Street analysts, and provides their consensus of earnings over the next two years. This graph shows the trend in analyst estimates over
the past 15 months.




Source: S&P, Capital IQ Estimates, Inc.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies,Inc.
Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK

Merck & Co Inc.
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Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK

Merck & Co Inc.
Standard & Poor’s Investment Advisory Services (HK)                     underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark
Limited in Hong Kong, Standard & Poor’s Malaysia Sdn                    over the coming 12 months, and the share price not            the subscription fees or other compensation for services
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                                                                        555551-STARS (Strong Sell): Total return is                   and one of its affiliates is not a recommendation to buy,
Abbreviations Used in S&P Equity Research Reports                       expected to underperform the total return of a relevant       sell, or hold such investment or security, nor is it
CAGR- Compound Annual Growth Rate; CAPEX- Capital                       benchmark by a wide margin over the coming 12 months,         considered to be investment advice.
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Amortization; EPS- Earnings Per Share; EV- Enterprise                   benchmark is the S&P 500 Index, in Europe and in Asia,        fees an investor would pay to purchase the securities
Value; FCF- Free Cash Flow; FFO- Funds From Operations;                 the relevant benchmarks are generally the S&P Europe          they represent. Such costs would lower performance. It
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benchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares
                                                                        fund or the volume of trading activity in the fund,           any security. Standard & Poor’s does not act as a
generally rising in price on an absolute basis.
                                                                        investment in the fund will generally result in Standard &    fiduciary. While Standard & Poor’s has obtained
55555 2-STARS (Sell): Total return is expected to                       Poor's or an affiliate earning compensation in addition to    information from sources it believes to be reliable,
                                                                                                                                      Standard & Poor’s does not perform an audit and

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright © 2012 Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.
STANDARD & POOR’S, S&P, S&P 500, S&P Europe 350 and STARS are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC.
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MRKS&P

  • 1. Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK | MRK is in the S&P 500 Merck & Co Inc. S&P Recommendation BUY 55555 Price $38.56 (as of Feb 17, 2012) 12-Mo. Target Price $42.00 Investment Style Large-Cap Blend UPDATE: PLEASE SEE THE ANALYST'S LATEST RESEARCH NOTE IN THE COMPANY NEWS SECTION GICS Sector Health Care Summary This company, one of the world's largest drugmakers, acquired Schering-Plough Sub-Industry Pharmaceuticals in November 2009 for about $41 billion in cash and stock. Key Stock Statistics (Source S&P, Vickers, company reports) 52-Wk Range $39.43– 29.47 S&P Oper. EPS 2012E 3.85 Market Capitalization(B) $117.528 Beta 0.67 Trailing 12-Month EPS $2.02 S&P Oper. EPS 2013E 3.75 Yield (%) 4.36 S&P 3-Yr. Proj. EPS CAGR(%) 5 Trailing 12-Month P/E 19.1 P/E on S&P Oper. EPS 2012E 10.0 Dividend Rate/Share $1.68 S&P Credit Rating AA $10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago $10,796 Common Shares Outstg. (M) 3,047.9 Institutional Ownership (%) 73 Price Performance Qualitative Risk Assessment 30-Week Mov. Avg. 10-Week Mov. Avg. GAAP Earnings vs. Previous Year Volume Above Avg. STARS LOW MEDIUM HIGH 12-Mo. Target Price Relative Strength Up Down No Change Below Avg. 50 Our risk assessment reflects challenges to branded patents, new drug development, and 40 regulatory risks. In addition, MRK's Vytorin/Zetia franchise has been affected by disappointing clinical trial results. However, we see significant 25 synergies accruing from the recent acquisition of Schering-Plough. We also think MRK has a 20 relatively robust R&D pipeline. Vol. Mil. 243 Quantitative Evaluations 120 80 S&P Quality Ranking B 40 0 D C B- B B+ A- A A+ 5 4 4 3 3 Relative Strength Rank MODERATE 1 45 S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A LOWEST = 1 HIGHEST = 99 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Options: ASE, CBOE, P, Ph Revenue/Earnings Data Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst Herman Saftlas on Nov 15, 2011, when the stock traded at $35.73. Revenue (Million $) Highlights Investment Rationale/Risk 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Year ® We project 2012 revenues to approximate the ® In mid-November 2011, MRK showcased what 2011 11,580 12,151 12,022 12,294 48,047 $48 billion that we estimate for 2011, with we consider to be an impressive 37-project 2010 11,422 11,346 11,125 12,094 45,987 strength in newer drugs and expansion in R&D pipeline, with 19 compounds in late stage 2009 5,385 5,900 6,050 10,094 27,428 emerging markets offsetting expiration losses. Phase 3 development, and another five under 2008 5,822 6,052 5,944 6,032 23,850 Key growth drivers, in our opinion, include regulatory review. Four new drugs were ap- 2007 5,769 6,111 6,074 6,243 24,198 Januvia/Janumet anti-diabetic drugs, Isentress proved to date in 2011, with eight new filings 2006 5,410 5,772 5,410 6,044 22,636 HIV therapy and Victrelis for hepatitis C. We al- planned for 2012 and 2013. Key new product op- so see gains in animal health sales, lifted by portunities, in our opinion, include Victrelis for Earnings Per Share ($) new products. On the negative side, sales of hepatitis C, Tredaptive and anacetrapib for 2011 0.34 0.65 0.55 0.49 2.02 Singulair and Cozaar/Hyzaar are expected to atherosclerosis, suvorexant for insomnia, 2010 0.10 0.24 0.11 -0.17 0.28 fall on generic erosion, while lower sales of odanacatib for osteoporosis, and Bridion anes- 2009 0.67 0.74 1.61 2.35 5.65 Remicade should reflect the transitioning of thesia reversal agent. We also see results ben- 2008 1.52 0.82 0.51 0.78 3.64 marketing rights to Johnson & Johnson. efiting from cost restructuring measures, which 2007 0.78 0.77 0.70 -0.74 1.49 are expected to yield annual synergies of $2.8 2006 0.69 0.69 0.43 0.22 2.03 ® We expect gross margins in 2012 to improve billion, and from an ongoing $5 billion share Fiscal year ended Dec. 31. Next earnings report expected: Late April. EPS Estimates based on S&P Operating Earnings; historical modestly from the 75.2% that we estimate for buyback program. GAAP earnings are as reported. 2011. Despite headwinds from U.S. health care reform and European austerity pricing, we ex- ® Risks to our opinion and target price include Dividend Data (Dates: mm/dd Payment Date: mm/dd/yy) pect pretax margins to show modest improve- failure to achieve planned cost savings and ment, helped by ongoing merger synergies, synergies, worse-than-expected global drug Amount Date Ex-Div. Stk. of Payment cost streamlining measures, and projected in- pricing conditions, and possible pipeline set- ($) Decl. Date Record Date creased other income. backs. 0.380 05/24 06/13 06/15 07/08/11 0.380 07/26 09/13 09/15 10/07/11 0.420 11/10 12/13 12/15 01/09/12 ® After a projected adjusted tax rate of about ® Our 12-month target price of $42 applies a peer 0.420 11/10 12/13 12/15 01/09/12 23%, versus 24% indicated for 2011, we fore- parity P/E of 10.5X to our operating EPS esti- Dividends have been paid since 1935. Source: Company reports. cast non-GAAP EPS of $4.00 for 2012, up from mate for 2012. The dividend, recently increased $3.76 that we estimate for 2011. by 11%, to $0.42 quarterly, yields 4.7%. Please read the Required Disclosures and Analyst Certification on the last page of this report. Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
  • 2. Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK Merck & Co Inc. Business Summary November 15, 2011 Corporate Information CORPORATE OVERVIEW. Merck & Co. is a leading global drugmaker, producing a wide range of prescrip- Investor Contact tion drugs in many therapeutic classes in the U.S. and abroad. Foreign operations accounted for 55% of to- G. Bell (908-423-5185) tal sales in 2010. In early November 2009, MRK acquired rival drugmaker Schering-Plough for about $41 bil- lion in cash and stock. Office MRK's largest-selling products include Singulair (sales of $5.0 billion in 2010), a treatment for asthma and One Merck Drive, PO Box 100, Whitehouse seasonal allergic rhinitis; Januvia/Janumet ($3.3 billion), treatments for type 2 diabetes; Cozaar/Hyzaar Station, NJ 08889-0100. ($2.1 billion), treatments for high blood pressure and congestive heart failure; Fosamax ($926 million), a drug for osteoporosis (a bone-thinning disease that affects postmenopausal women); and Isentress ($1.1 Telephone billion) treatment for HIV/AIDS. 908-423-1000. Merck is also a leading maker of vaccines, which accounted for 8.9% of human health sales in 2010. Key Fax vaccines include ProQuad ($1.4 billion) for measles, mumps, rubella and chicken pox; Gardasil ($988 mil- 908-298-7082. lion) for human papillomavirus, the main cause of cervical cancer; and RotaTeq for rotavirus. Website With the purchase of Schering-Plough, Merck gained total rights to Zetia -- a cholesterol therapy that http://www.merck.com works by blocking cholesterol absorption in the intestines -- as well as Vytorin, a combination pill contain- ing both Zocor and Zetia. In 2010, Vytorin had sales of $2.0 billion, and Zetia had sales of $2.2 billion. Animal health products (sales of $2.9 billion) comprise anti-infective and antiparasitic drugs and related items; and Officers consumer care products ($1.7 billion) include OTC brands such as Claritin for allergies, Dr. Scholl's foot Chrmn, Pres & CEO EVP & CIO care products, and Coppertone suntan lotion. Through a venture with AstraZeneca, Merck books sales of K.C. Frazier J.C. Scalet Nexium and other drugs. MARKET PROFILE. The dollar value of the global drug market is projected to grow 5%-7% in 2011, to $880 EVP & CFO SVP, Chief Acctg billion, versus the indicated gain of 4%-5% in 2010, according to IMS Health. The key driver should be P.N. Kellogg Officer & Cntlr emerging markets, whose aggregate sales (17 countries) should advance 15%-17% in 2011. Growth in de- J. Canan veloping markets is being spurred by rising standards of living and rising government spending on health EVP & General care. However, IMS forecasts much slower growth for developed nations, with combined growth for five Counsel major European markets projected at 1%-3% for 2011, while pharmaceutical sales in the U.S. are estimated B.N. Kuhlik to increase 3%-5%. IMPACT OF MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS. Adjusted R&D expenses totaled $8.1 billion in 2010 (equal to 17.7% Board Members of sales). MRK's R&D pipeline as of November 2011 included 24 products in late stage clinical trials or un- L. A. Brun der regulatory review. Key pipeline opportunities, in our opinion, include Tredaptive and anacetrapib for T. R. Cech atherosclerosis, suvorexant for insomnia, odanacatib for osteoporosis, and Bridion for neuromuscular K. C. Frazier blockade reversal. The merger with Schering-Plough is expected to yield annual cost synergies of close to T. H. Glocer $3.5 billion by the end of 2012, with over $2.8 billion to be realized in 2011. S. F. Goldstone W. B. Harrison, Jr. LEGAL/REGULATORY ISSUES. In September 2004, Merck voluntarily removed its widely used Vioxx treat- H. R. Jacobson ment for pain and arthritis from the market after studies showed increased cardiovascular risks with the W. N. Kelley drug. During 2009, MRK completed the payment of $4.85 billion into settlement funds, covering the majority C. R. Kidder of Vioxx cases. In April 2011, Merck and Johnson & Johnson agreed to settle arbitration litigation over R. B. Lazarus rights to Remicade and Simponi treatments for inflammatory diseases. The settlement provided for Merck to pay Johnson & Johnson $500 million, and for the firms to divide foreign distribution rights on Remicade C. E. Represas and Simponi. P. F. Russo A. M. Tatlock FINANCIAL TRENDS. The $41.1 billion acquisition of Schering-Plough was funded through cash of about C. B. Thompson $9.8 billion, debt of $8.5 billion, and Merck stock of some $22.8 billion. In early February 2011, MRK with- W. P. Weeks drew its previous long-term non-GAAP EPS guidance for a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the P. C. Wendell high single digits over the 2009-2013 period. We believe a clinical setback on vorapaxar R&D heart drug was a factor in the guidance removal. In late October 2011, MRK forecast non-GAAP EPS for 2011 in the $3.72-$3.76 range. In April 2011, MRK announced a new board authorization to repurchase up to $5 billion Domicile of its common stock, bringing its total buyback program to $6.4 billion. New Jersey Founded 1891 Employees 94,000 Stockholders 170,300 Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
  • 3. Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK Merck & Co Inc. Quantitative Evaluations Expanded Ratio Analysis S&P Fair Value 4+ 1 2 3 4 5 2011 2010 2009 2008 Rank LOWEST HIGHEST Price/Sales NA 2.45 3.03 2.73 Based on S&P's proprietary quantitative model, stocks are ranked Price/EBITDA NA 9.30 11.73 8.30 from most overvalued (1) to most undervalued (5). Price/Pretax Income NA 68.02 5.43 6.65 P/E Ratio NA NM 6.44 8.35 Fair Value $40.00 Analysis of the stock's current worth, based on S&P's proprietary Avg. Diluted Shares Outstg (M) NA 3,120.0 2,273.2 2,145.3 quantitative model suggests that MRK is slightly undervalued by Calculation $1.44 or 3.7%. Figures based on calendar year-end price Investability 97 Key Growth Rates and Averages Quotient LOWEST = 1 HIGHEST = 100 Percentile MRK scored higher than 97% of all companies for which an S&P Past Growth Rate (%) 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 9 Years Report is available. Sales 4.48 29.93 18.12 3.41 Net Income NM -28.16 -4.68 -5.88 Volatility LOW AVERAGE HIGH Ratio Analysis (Annual Avg.) Technical BULLISH Since October, 2011, the technical indicators for MRK have been Net Margin (%) 13.30 20.74 21.70 22.64 BULLISH. % LT Debt to Capitalization NA NA 18.07 19.27 Evaluation Insider Activity UNFAVORABLE NEUTRAL FAVORABLE Company Financials Fiscal Year Ended Dec. 31 Per Share Data ($) 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 Tangible Book Value NA 2.09 1.97 7.97 11.76 7.00 7.48 7.03 6.13 4.88 Cash Flow NA 2.41 6.65 4.30 2.19 3.06 2.88 3.29 3.51 3.79 Earnings 2.02 0.28 5.65 3.64 1.49 2.03 2.10 2.61 2.92 3.14 S&P Core Earnings NA 0.36 2.61 2.78 2.85 2.28 2.09 2.56 2.71 2.81 Dividends 1.98 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.49 1.45 1.41 Payout Ratio 98% NM 27% 42% 102% 75% 72% 57% 50% 45% Prices:High 37.90 41.56 38.42 61.18 61.62 46.37 35.36 49.33 63.50 64.50 Prices:Low 29.47 30.70 20.05 22.82 42.35 31.81 25.50 25.60 40.57 38.50 P/E Ratio:High 19 NM 7 17 41 23 17 19 22 21 P/E Ratio:Low 15 NM 4 6 28 16 12 10 14 12 Income Statement Analysis (Million $) Revenue 48,047 45,987 27,428 23,850 24,198 22,636 22,012 22,939 22,486 51,790 Operating Income 17,398 12,088 7,081 7,854 7,779 5,955 7,567 8,074 9,912 11,361 Depreciation NA 6,532 2,227 1,415 1,528 2,268 1,708 1,451 1,314 1,488 Interest Expense 749 715 458 251 384 375 386 294 351 391 Pretax Income 7,334 1,653 15,292 9,808 3,492 6,342 7,486 8,129 9,220 10,428 Effective Tax Rate 12.8% 40.6% 14.8% 20.4% 2.73% 28.2% 36.5% 26.6% 26.7% 29.3% Net Income 6,392 861 12,901 7,808 3,275 4,434 4,631 5,813 6,590 7,150 S&P Core Earnings NA 1,093 5,936 5,958 6,255 4,973 4,582 5,699 6,089 6,395 Balance Sheet & Other Financial Data (Million $) Cash NA 12,201 9,605 5,486 8,231 5,915 9,585 2,879 1,201 2,243 Current Assets NA 29,064 28,429 19,305 15,045 15,230 21,049 13,475 11,527 14,834 Total Assets NA 105,781 112,090 47,196 48,351 44,570 44,846 42,573 40,588 47,561 Current Liabilities NA 15,641 15,751 14,319 12,258 12,723 13,304 11,744 9,570 12,375 Long Term Debt NA 15,489 16,075 3,943 3,916 5,551 5,126 4,692 5,096 4,879 Common Equity NA 54,376 59,058 18,758 18,185 17,560 17,917 17,288 15,576 18,200 Total Capital NA 76,223 78,316 25,118 24,903 25,517 25,449 24,387 24,588 28,008 Capital Expenditures NA 1,678 1,461 1,298 1,011 980 1,403 1,726 1,916 2,370 Cash Flow NA 7,514 15,127 9,223 4,803 6,702 6,339 7,264 7,904 8,638 Current Ratio NA 1.9 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.2 % Long Term Debt of Capitalization Nil 20.3 Nil 15.5 15.7 21.8 20.1 19.2 20.7 17.4 % Net Income of Revenue 13.3 1.9 47.0 32.7 13.5 19.6 21.0 25.3 29.3 13.8 % Return on Assets NA NA NA 16.3 7.1 9.9 10.6 14.0 15.0 15.6 % Return on Equity NA NA NA 42.3 18.3 25.0 26.3 35.4 39.0 41.7 Data as orig reptd.; bef. results of disc opers/spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs.; EPS diluted. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under Review. Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.
  • 4. Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK Merck & Co Inc. Sub-Industry Outlook Stock Performance Our fundamental outlook for the pharmaceuticals We see a large number of major drugs losing patent GICS Sector: Health Care sub-industry for the next 12 months is neutral. protection over the next few years, providing Sub-Industry: Pharmaceuticals Although the sector faces significant top-line significant opportunities for this group. We also look pressure this year from patent expirations on many for generics to benefit from the new health care Based on S&P 1500 Indexes top-selling drugs, we believe overall industry profits reform legislation. We favor companies with rich Month-end Price Performance as of 01/31/12 should hold up relatively well, helped by expanding generic pipelines, especially those with first-to-file sales of new innovative drug therapies and margin generics with the potential for 180 days of marketing improvements accruing from cost restructurings exclusivity, and competence in litigating complex 120 and merger synergies. EPS comparisons should also patent issues. benefit from common share buybacks. 100 --Herman B. Saftlas While we think recent health care reform legislation will negatively affect industry profitability over the next two years, we see eventual benefits accruing 80 from significant expansion of the market, with new coverage potentially being provided to 32 million currently uninsured Americans. We favor the shares 60 of firms with well defined growth prospects and generous dividend yields, as we believe they should perform relatively well over the coming quarters. 40 Despite near-term patent expirations and regulatory 20 pressures on drug pricing, we still think long-term prospects for the sector remain favorable. Pharmaceuticals remains one of the widest-margin 0 U.S. industries, with prospects enhanced by demographic growth in the elderly (which account 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 for about 33% of industry sales) and new drugs stemming from discoveries in genomics and Sub-Industry Sector S&P 1500 biotechnology. We expect FDA approvals of new molecular entities in 2012 to approximate the 30 approved in 2011, which was well above the 21 NOTE: All Sector & Sub-Industry information is based on the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) cleared in 2010. Year to date through January 20, the S&P Pharmaceuticals Index was flat, versus a 4.7% advance in the S&P 1500 Composite Index. In 2011, the sub-industry index was up 13.9%, while the 1500 fell 0.3%. We expect prospects for the generic/specialty drug sector to remain favorable. Sub-Industry : Pharmaceuticals Peer Group*: Ethical Pharmaceuticals - Major Stk.Mkt. Recent 52 Fair S&P Return on LTD to Stock Cap. Stock Week Yield P/E Value Quality IQ Revenue Cap Peer Group Symbol (Mil. $) Price($) High/Low($) Beta (%) Ratio Calc.($) Ranking %ile (%) (%) Merck & Co MRK 117,528 38.56 39.43/29.47 0.67 4.4 19 40.00 B 97 13.3 NA AstraZeneca ADS AZN 60,089 45.18 52.54/40.89 0.62 6.2 6 49.20 NR 95 24.2 28.0 Forest Labs FRX 8,505 32.03 40.52/28.47 0.68 Nil 8 NA B 94 23.8 NA GlaxoSmithKline plc ADS GSK 111,549 44.88 46.50/36.39 0.61 5.0 22 43.20 NR 89 6.5 58.3 Lilly (Eli) LLY 45,454 39.26 42.03/33.46 0.71 5.0 10 NA B 99 17.9 NA Novartis AG ADS NVS 136,874 56.59 64.82/51.60 0.54 3.7 13 60.80 NR 92 19.0 15.5 Novo-Nordisk A/S ADS NVO 77,808 138.08 139.83/94.58 0.53 1.3 26 116.20 NR 96 23.7 1.4 Pfizer, Inc PFE 162,887 21.19 22.17/16.63 0.72 4.2 17 23.70 B+ 62 13.0 NA Sanofi ADS SNY 99,804 37.18 40.75/30.98 0.89 4.0 15 41.60 NR 92 17.9 11.1 NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization. Source: S&P. Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies,Inc.
  • 5. Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK Merck & Co Inc. S&P Analyst Research Notes and other Company News February 10, 2012 October 7, 2011 Merck & Co. Inc. announced that Thomas E. Shenk, Ph.D., has decided to retire Merck & Co. Inc. announced that Chairman and former CEO Richard Clark will from its board of directors, effective February 8, 2012. Dr.#Shenk is leaving the retire from the company December 1, 2011 after nearly 40 years at the company. board to focus on the new company he is forming to commercialize discoveries Kenneth Frazier, who replaced Clark as CEO in January, will become chairman of made in his Princeton University laboratory in the area of antiviral therapeutics. Merck & Co. Inc. after Clark retires. Clark was president and CEO of Merck from Dr.#Shenk has been Elkins Professor in the Department of Molecular Biology at 2005 to 2010, and he has been chairman of the board since 2007. The company Princeton University since 1984. He served as the department's chairman from said Clark is retiring following Frazier's successful transition. 1996 to 2004. Dr.#Shenk joined Merck's board in 2001. September 28, 2011 February 2, 2012 Merck & Co. Inc. announced the appointment of Cuong Viet Do as chief strategy 09:54 am ET ... S&P REITERATES BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF MERCK (MRK officer, effective October 3, 2011. As chief strategy officer, Do, 45, will be 38.14****): Q4 EPS climbed 10% to $0.97 (matching our estimate), largely on gross responsible for both developing and executing enterprise-wide strategy and margin expansion and reduced R&D. Sales rose 1.7%, with robust growth in the further building connections between the current and future business plans of Januvia/Janumet diabetes franchise more than offsetting declines in other lines. Merck's franchises, divisions, and functions. He will report to Kenneth C. Frazier, Despite expected headwinds from negative forex, patent expiration on Singulair Merck's president and chief executive officer, and will serve on the company's and lower equity income, we still project modest EPS growth this year, helped by Executive Committee. He succeeds Mervyn Turner, who retired from the cost efficiencies and stock buybacks. We continue to see much promise in company this summer. Since 2009, Do served as senior vice president of MRK's pipeline, with 19 compounds in late stage clinical trials. We keep our corporate strategy and business development at TE Connectivity, formerly Tyco target price of $42. The dividend yields 4.4%. /H. Saftlas Electronics. Do currently sits on the board of WuXi AppTec, a pharmaceutical R&D outsourcing company. January 31, 2012 06:03 am ET ... S&P REITERATES BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF MERCK (MRK September 6, 2011 38.89****): Ahead of results expected Feb. 2, we maintain our Q4 EPS estimate of Merck has named Udit Batra as head of the consumer health care division. He $0.97, which is $0.02 above the Capital IQ consensus, vs. the year-ago $0.88. Our succeeds Peter Shotter. Batra will report to Stefan Oschmann, executive board estimate assumes stronger top line trends in several product lines, especially for member of Merck and responsible for the pharmaceutical business. sales of its recently launched Victrelis hepatitis C drug, which should benefit from a large VA contract. We continue to see much promise in MRK's pipeline, which August 24, 2011 consists of 19 compounds in advanced Phase 3 clinical trials. We reiterate our Merck & Co. Inc. announced the appointment of Richard R. DeLuca Jr. as $42 target price, factoring a peer parity P/E of 10.8X our '12 EPS estimate. The executive vice president and president, Merck Animal Health, effective dividend yields 4.4%. /H. Saftlas September 15, 2011. DeLuca, will report to Kenneth C. Frazier, Merck's president and chief executive officer, and will serve on the company's Executive November 10, 2011 Committee. He will succeed Raul Kohan, who has decided to retire from the 12:05 pm ET ... S&P REITERATES BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF MERCK (MRK company. Kohan will remain with the company until the end of 2011, reporting to 34.81****): MRK showcases R&D pipeline and raises its dividend by 11% to $0.42, Frazier, to ensure a smooth transition. As leader of Merck Animal Health, DeLuca at today's business briefing. We believe MRK has an impressive R&D pipeline, will leverage the division's strong product portfolio and customer focus to with 19 compounds in Phase 3 trials. Eight new filings are planned in '12 and '13. capitalize on new growth opportunities, including expanding the business in Key new projects, in our opinion, are Tredaptive for atherosclerosis, suvorexant emerging markets. DeLuca served as chief financial officer of BD Biosciences for insomnia, odanacatib for osteoporosis, and Bridion anesthetic. We think new since 2010. drugs, cost restructurings and share buybacks should drive 7% EPS growth in '12, despite the loss of patent protection on Singulair. We keep our $42 target price. July 29, 2011 The dividend now yields 4.8%. /H. Saftlas MRK posts $0.95 vs. $0.86 Q2 EPS on 7.1% sales rise. Capital IQ consensus forecast $0.95. Raises lower end of its '11 non-GAAP EPS range to $3.68-$3.76, October 28, 2011 revenue to grow in the low- to mid-single digit percent range from a base of $46B MRK posts $0.94 vs. $0.85 Q3 non-GAAP EPS on 8.1% higher sales. S&P Capital IQ in '10. Also says it remains on track to achieve its goal of $3.5B in annual cost consensus forecast was $0.91 EPS. For 2011, MRK ups the lower end of its synergies by the end of '12. non-GAAP EPS guidance range and is now targeting a range of $3.72-$3.76. Now expects 2011 revenue to grow in the mid-single digit percent range from a base of $46.0B in 2010. October 28, 2011 10:35 am ET ... S&P REITERATES BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF MERCK (MRK 34.75****): Q3 non-GAAP EPS increased 11% to $0.94, matching our estimate. Sales grew 8% (5% from forex), with Januvia/Janumet diabetes drugs (sales up 41%), and Gardasil HPV vaccine (up 41%) notable outperformers. Although sales of recently launched Victrelis hepatitis C drug were only $31M, we see a stronger uptake evolving from a new VA contract and expansion overseas. Gardasil should also benefit from entry into the male market. We see much promise in the R&D pipeline, which MRK plans to showcase at an analyst meeting on Nov. 10. We keep our target price of $42. Dividend yields 4.3%. /H. Saftlas October 7, 2011 03:48 pm ET ... S&P REITERATES BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF MERCK (MRK 31.84****): FDA approves Juvisync, a combination of Merck's Januvia treatment for type 2 diabetes and simvastatin statin cholesterol agent. While the American Diabetes Assn. recommends statin therapy for all diabetics with cardiovascular risk factors, MRK estimates that some 40% of that population is not being treated with statins. Reflecting a boost from Juvisync, we project sales of MRK's diabetes franchise to rise from $3.3B in '10 to over $7B in '16. We continue to see new drugs, coupled with ongoing cost savings, driving EPS growth in the years ahead. We keep our target price of $42. /H. Saftlas Source: S&P. Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies,Inc.
  • 6. Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK Merck & Co Inc. Analysts' Recommendations Wall Steet Consensus Opinion Monthly Average Trend Buy Buy/Hold Hold Weak Hold Sell No Opinion MRK Trend BUY/HOLD B BH H WH S Wall Street Average Companies Offering Coverage B Over 30 firms follow this stock; not all firms are BH displayed. H Argus Research Company WH Atlantic Equities LLP S Axia Financial research Number of Analysts Following Stock BMO Capital Markets, U.S. Equity Research Barclays Capital 28 BofA Merrill Lynch Citigroup Inc 24 Cowen and Company, LLC 20 Credit Agricole Securities (USA) Inc. Credit Suisse Daewoo Securities Co. Ltd. Stock Price ($) Daiwa Securities Capital Markets Co. Ltd. 40 Daiwa Securities America Inc. Davenport & Company 36 Deutsche Bank First Global Stockbroking (P) Ltd. 32 Goldman Sachs Hilliard Lyons 28 M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F ISI Group Inc. JP Morgan 2010 2011 2012 Jefferies & Company, Inc. Leerink Swann LLC Of the total 36 companies following MRK, 23 analysts currently publish recommendations. MKM Partners LLC Moody?s No. of Ratings % of Total 1 Mo. Prior 3 Mos. Prior Morgan Stanley Buy 10 43 11 11 Morningstar Inc. Buy/Hold 6 26 8 9 Piper Jaffray Companies Hold 7 30 6 5 S&P Equity Research Weak Hold 0 0 0 0 Sanford C. Bernstein & Co., Inc. Sell 0 0 0 0 Silvia Quandt Research GmbH No Opinion 0 0 0 0 Total 23 100 25 25 Wall Street Consensus Estimates Wall Street Consensus vs. Performance For fiscal year 2012, analysts estimate that MRK Estimates 2011 2012 2013 2011 Actual $2.02 will earn $3.80. For fiscal year 2013, analysts 5 estimate that MRK's earnings per share will decline by 2% to $3.73. 4 3 2 O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F 2010 2011 2012 Fiscal Years Avg Est. High Est. Low Est. # of Est. Est. P/E 2013 3.73 3.97 3.40 18 10.3 2012 3.80 3.89 3.61 20 10.1 2013 vs. 2012 -2% 2% -6% -10% 2% Q1'13 0.89 0.89 0.89 2 43.3 Q1'12 1.02 1.12 0.95 14 37.8 Q1'13 vs. Q1'12 -13% -21% -6% -86% 15% A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. Standard & Poor's organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300 Wall Street analysts, and provides their consensus of earnings over the next two years. This graph shows the trend in analyst estimates over the past 15 months. Source: S&P, Capital IQ Estimates, Inc. Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright ©2012 The McGraw-Hill Companies,Inc.
  • 7. Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK Merck & Co Inc. Glossary is a relative ranking to the S&P U.S. STARS universe, and as an indicator of potential medium-to-long term return should be reflective of risk factors related to a and as a caution against downside risk. The measure company’s operations, as opposed to risk and volatility takes into account variables such as technical S&P STARS measures associated with share prices. indicators, earnings estimates, liquidity, financial ratios Since January 1, 1987, Standard and Poor’s Equity and selected S&P proprietary measures. Research Services has ranked a universe of common stocks based on a given stock’s potential for future Quantitative Evaluations In contrast to our qualitative STARS recommendations, S&P's IQ Rationale: performance. Under proprietary STARS (STock which are assigned by S&P analysts, the quantitative Merck & Co Appreciation Ranking System), S&P equity analysts rank stocks according to their individual forecast of a stock’s evaluations described below are derived from Raw Score Max Value future total return potential versus the expected total proprietary arithmetic models. These computer-driven Proprietary S&P Measures 36 115 return of a relevant benchmark (e.g., a regional index evaluations may at times contradict an analyst’s Technical Indicators 27 40 (S&P Asia 50 Index, S&P Europe 350 Index or S&P 500 qualitative assessment of a stock. One primary reason Liquidity/Volatility Measures 15 20 Index)), based on a 12-month time horizon. STARS was for this is that different measures are used to determine Quantitative Measures 57 75 designed to meet the needs of investors looking to put each. For instance, when designating STARS, S&P IQ Total 135 250 their investment decisions in perspective. Data used to analysts assess many factors that cannot be reflected in assist in determining the STARS ranking may be the a model, such as risks and opportunities, management Volatility result of the analyst’s own models as well as internal changes, recent competitive shifts, patent expiration, Rates the volatility of the stock’s price over the past year. proprietary models resulting from dynamic data inputs. litigation risk, etc. Technical Evaluation S&P Quality Ranking In researching the past market history of prices and S&P 12-Month Target Price Growth and stability of earnings and dividends are trading volume for each company, S&P’s computer The S&P equity analyst’s projection of the market price a deemed key elements in establishing S&P’s Quality models apply special technical methods and formulas to given security will command 12 months hence, based on Rankings for common stocks, which are designed to identify and project price trends for the stock. a combination of intrinsic, relative, and private market capsulize the nature of this record in a single symbol. It valuation metrics, including S&P Fair Value. Relative Strength Rank should be noted, however, that the process also takes Shows, on a scale of 1 to 99, how the stock has into consideration certain adjustments and modifications performed versus all other companies in S&P’s universe Investment Style Classification deemed desirable in establishing such rankings. The on a rolling 13-week basis. Characterizes the stock as Growth or Value, and final score for each stock is measured against a scoring indicates its capitalization level. Growth is evaluated matrix determined by analysis of the scores of a large along three dimensions (earnings, sales and internal and representative sample of stocks. The range of Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) growth), while Value is evaluated along four dimensions scores in the array of this sample has been aligned with An industry classification standard, developed by (book-to-price, cash flow-to-price, dividend yield and the following ladder of rankings: Standard & Poor's in collaboration with Morgan Stanley sale-to-price). Growth stocks score higher than the Capital International (MSCI). GICS is currently comprised market average on growth dimensions and lower on A+ Highest B Below Average of 10 Sectors, 24 Industry Groups, 68 Industries, and 154 value dimensions. The reverse is true for Value stocks. A High B- Lower Sub-Industries. Certain stocks are classified as Blend, indicating a A- Above Average C Lowest mixture of growth and value characteristics and cannot B+ Average D In Reorganization be classified as purely growth or value. NR Not Ranked S&P Issuer Credit Rating A Standard & Poor’s Issuer Credit Rating is a current S&P Fair Value Rank opinion of an obligor’s overall financial capacity (its S&P EPS Estimates Using S&P's exclusive proprietary quantitative model, creditworthiness) to pay its financial obligations. This Standard & Poor's earnings per share (EPS) estimates stocks are ranked in one of five groups, ranging from opinion focuses on the obligor’s capacity and willingness reflect analyst projections of future EPS from continuing Group 5, listing the most undervalued stocks, to Group 1, to meet its financial commitments as they come due. It operations, and generally exclude various items that are the most overvalued issues. Group 5 stocks are expected does not apply to any specific financial obligation, as it viewed as special, non-recurring, or extraordinary. Also, to generally outperform all others. A positive (+) or does not take into account the nature of and provisions S&P EPS estimates reflect either forecasts of S&P equity negative (-) Timing Index is placed next to the Fair Value of the obligation, its standing in bankruptcy or liquidation, analysts; or, the consensus (average) EPS estimate, ranking to further aid the selection process. A stock with statutory preferences, or the legality and enforceability which are independently compiled by Capital IQ, a data a (+) added to the Fair Value Rank simply means that this of the obligation. In addition, it does not take into provider to Standard & Poor's Equity Research. Among stock has a somewhat better chance to outperform other account the creditworthiness of the guarantors, insurers, the items typically excluded from EPS estimates are stocks with the same Fair Value Rank. A stock with a (-) or other forms of credit enhancement on the obligation. asset sale gains; impairment, restructuring or has a somewhat lesser chance to outperform other The Issuer Credit Rating is not a recommendation to merger-related charges; legal and insurance stocks with the same Fair Value Rank. The Fair Value purchase, sell, or hold a financial obligation issued by an settlements; in process research and development rankings imply the following: 5-Stock is significantly obligor, as it does not comment on market price or expenses; gains or losses on the extinguishment of debt; undervalued; 4-Stock is moderately undervalued; 3-Stock suitability for a particular investor. Issuer Credit Ratings the cumulative effect of accounting changes; and is fairly valued; 2-Stock is modestly overvalued; 1-Stock are based on current information furnished by obligors or earnings related to operations that have been classified is significantly overvalued. obtained by Standard & Poor’s from other sources it by the company as discontinued. The inclusion of some considers reliable. Standard & Poor’s does not perform items, such as stock option expense and recurring types S&P Fair Value Calculation an audit in connection with any Issuer Credit Rating and of other charges, may vary, and depend on such factors The price at which a stock should trade at, according to may, on occasion, rely on unaudited financial as industry practice, analyst judgment, and the extent to S&P's proprietary quantitative model that incorporates information. Issuer Credit Ratings may be changed, which some types of data is disclosed by companies. both actual and estimated variables (as opposed to only suspended, or withdrawn as a result of changes in, or actual variables in the case of S&P Quality Ranking). unavailability of, such information, or based on other S&P Core Earnings Relying heavily on a company's actual return on equity, circumstances. Standard & Poor's Core Earnings is a uniform the S&P Fair Value model places a value on a security methodology for adjusting operating earnings by Exchange Type based on placing a formula-derived price-to-book focusing on a company's after-tax earnings generated ASE - American Stock Exchange; AU - Australia Stock multiple on a company's consensus earnings per share from its principal businesses. Included in the Standard & Exchange; BB - Bulletin Board; NGM - Nasdaq Global estimate. 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  • 8. Stock Report | February 18, 2012 | NYS Symbol: MRK Merck & Co Inc. Standard & Poor’s Investment Advisory Services (HK) underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark Limited in Hong Kong, Standard & Poor’s Malaysia Sdn over the coming 12 months, and the share price not the subscription fees or other compensation for services Bhd, and Standard & Poor’s Information Services anticipated to show a gain. rendered by Standard & Poor's. A reference to a (Australia) Pty Ltd. particular investment or security by Standard & Poor's 555551-STARS (Strong Sell): Total return is and one of its affiliates is not a recommendation to buy, Abbreviations Used in S&P Equity Research Reports expected to underperform the total return of a relevant sell, or hold such investment or security, nor is it CAGR- Compound Annual Growth Rate; CAPEX- Capital benchmark by a wide margin over the coming 12 months, considered to be investment advice. 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In the United States, providers, as well as their directors, officers, North America recommended 39.1% of issuers with buy research reports are prepared by Standard & Poor's shareholders, employees, or agents (collectively S&P recommendations, 57.4% with hold recommendations Investment Advisory Services LLC ("SPIAS"). In the Parties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness or and 3.5% with sell recommendations. 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In no event shall S&P Parties be liable to any Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services Asia Singapore; in Malaysia by Standard & Poor's Malaysia party for any direct, indirect, incidental, exemplary, recommended 43.8% of issuers with buy Sdn Bhd ("S&PM"), which is regulated by the Securities compensatory, punitive, special or consequential recommendations, 51.0% with hold recommendations Commission; in Australia by Standard & Poor's damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses and 5.2% with sell recommendations. Information Services (Australia) Pty Ltd ("SPIS"), which is (including, without limitation, lost income or lost profits Globally: As of December 31, 2011, research analysts at regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of the Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services globally Commission; and in Korea by SPIAS, which is also information contained in this document even if advised of recommended 38.3% of issuers with buy registered in Korea as a cross-border investment the possibility of such damages. Capital IQ is a business recommendations, 55.7% with hold recommendations advisory company. of Standard & Poor's. and 6.0% with sell recommendations. 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STANDARD & POOR’S, S&P, S&P 500, S&P Europe 350 and STARS are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC.