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Telemedia
 Futures ‣             Futurist
  by Gerd Leonhard
                     ‣ Strategist
                     ‣ Author & Blogger
 www.mediafuturist.com
 twitter.com/gleonhard
Media was a simple game... until now
The past
           EGOsystem
The Future
             ECOsystem
EgoSystem to EcoSystem




Future success in Telecom will not be possible
 without real & deep engagement in Media &
   Content (and therefore, Advertising, too)
Mobile + Social + Video: Major Game
  Changers in Telecom & Media
Social
   Media
   beats
   eMail !
Video beats
 Search...?
Source: STLPartners /
     Telco20.net
Upstream Downstream

              Source: STLPartners /
                   Telco20.net
Key vortex-speed drivers
Expensive   Cheaper   Flat-Rated




                                   New Ecosystem
Content: pricing logic will flip
      Price         Users

100



 75



 50



 25



  0
              Was            Will be
Content is only ~20% of the Cost




                        Thanks to Flickr.com/alextorrenegra
The future: Bundle +   ++   ++
                          High-Def
                       Live Streams
                       Virtual Goods
                           Social
                        Commerce
                              ...
Content: where is the value?




                     100%


                      Content / Copy
Content: where is the value?
          Content
          Context
          Curation           10%
          Timeliness               20%
          Embodiment
          Relevance    15%
          Others
                       5%                20%
                       10%
                               20%
What matters is no longer that we
can actually connect and ‘download‘
all of it but who we connect with and
        what we actually get i.e.
  Content, Context,
     Curation,
    Community.
Lubricate the
system and make
  content liquid
The quickest path towards economic suicide
But: the content pricing & licensing
issues cannot be solved without the solid
   engagement of Telecoms, ISPs and
  Operators (as well as the Advertisers)
Source: Techcrunch UK




Public, open and standardized
  Content Licenses
Advertising
        (2.0)
Telecom
        Social
       Networks
Rights holders and content owners
     have the choice between
Control and declining Revenues
                or

    ‘Open’ and
  new Revenues
Please: forget most of what you know
          about Advertising
Source: PaidContent.org
Friction is Fiction
TeleMedia Futures

                    Content
                    & Media
      Telecom
  Social
 Networks           Advertising
The Opportunity: Lubricate!
Telcos can no longer ignore the need
 to solve the content problem online
Free gets you to
a place where
you can get
paid.
Quote by Fred Wilson, Union Square Ventures www.avc.com
• Social Networks are Broadcasters (yes...
  like Radio & TV)
• These Broadcasts will be mostly mobile
• Social Networks are where next Generation
  Advertising will go first
• Content owners have no choice but to
  accommodate these
  audiences in terms
  of pricing and
  usage models
Data is the new Oil...
  Shared bookmarks, playlists, social markers
      Click-trails and digital bread-crumbs
       Opt-in information such as location
  Ratings, comments, tags and other feedback
It’s not (just) about
transporting the bits -
it’s about transporting
The Meaning.
Media as a Service (MaaS)
Summary
Thanks for your time




email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com
 twitter.com/gleonhard
  facebook: gleonhard
  more presentations at
 www.mediafuturist.com

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TeleMedia Futures (eComm Amsterdam 2009)